Originally posted by rkhemp:
Sure sounds like you went overboard and and are overreacting a tad bit. We have about 2 years to go before we will hear from the state. In the meanwhile, I hope Regina gets challenged in 1A. I hope schools like Solon and Decorah can be competitive with Xavier and Assumption. My prediction is 2A will be the most competitive race. Both Kuemper and Waukon were senior dominated teams. 4A- Dowling 3A- Xavier 1A- Regina. IMO Xavier has the capablity of beginning a Regina type run as long as they are in 3A. Now, you can be for or against a multiplier, but is there anyone who thinks my predictions are way off?
And if Regina played up this year, I would have predicted them as the early favorite for 2A.
This post was edited on 4/3 8:24 AM by rkhemp
You mean like all the people freaking out because the private schools had a really good year in football?
People really need to face it. Iowa isn't going to add a multiplier that would affect only a handful of the 350+ schools in the state. You can talk about the percentage of private schools having success and how it's disproportionately high all you want. But when you're talking about such a small group of schools, it'd be pretty tough NOT to have "too high" of a percentage of those schools having success.
Thinking off the top of my head, these are schools that jump out as having success in at least one sport in the last 10 years:
Dowling (football, baseball)
Xavier (football)
Heelan (football, boys basketball)
Assumption (baseball, wrestling)
Wahlert (basketball)
Western Christian (boys basketball)
Pella Christian (basketball)
Dyersville Beckman (football, baseball)
Kuemper (baseball, football, basketball)
St. Albert (football)
Regina (football, basketball)
Don Bosco (football, baseball, wrestling)
Newman (baseball)
IMS (baseball)
I might be missing a few, but I think that makes up the majority. Of that group, the success is cyclical in nearly every sport I listed--with a few exceptions (Dowling/Heelan/Regina/CBSA football, Newman/Assumption/Kuemper baseball, Western Christian basketball). And not all of those schools have even won championships recently; they've been very good, but not brought home hardware.
In other words, there have been schools that have had an outstanding group of kids come through and achieve some great things (think Kuemper football, IMS baseball, Pella Christian basketball, etc.) and then fell back to the pack after that group left; granted I'm projecting that for Kuemper this fall (as well as Don Bosco; Hogan was a very gifted player who lifted a team that wasn't all that remarkable without him). Then there are some others that have enjoyed consistent success for years in certain sports.
Tell me, how does that sound all that different from what public schools have done? For every Harlan football or Kee baseball, there are plenty of schools that enjoy brief runs of dominance (lasting 3-4 years).