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BCMoore Prediction Game: Week 9

bcmoore87

All District
Oct 30, 2001
8,004
29
48
1. Guess the game margin for the top 10 matchups in Class 4A. Beat the computer - earn iapreps fame - prove to everyone that your team is underrated.
<p>
2. Notation: +2 --> Home wins by 2 points. -7 --> Visitor wins by 7 points.
<p>
3. Game is open to all, and all are encouraged to play. The greater the number of participants, the more accurate the overall predictions should be (central limit theorem).
<p>
3.1 Reply to this post in this form:
<p>
username, -2, -4, +3, +5, -3, +10, -20, +3, +3, -1
<p>
where: username --> your rivals.com username,<br>
-2, -4, +3, +5, -3, +10, -20, +3, +3, -1 --> your predictions for the 10 games this week
<p>
3.2 Notes:
<p>
3.2.1 Use one line only.<br>
3.2.2 Use a comma and space as separators
<p>
3.2 The following are example of bad replies:
<p>
name
<p>
-13, +3, +14, +12, +4, +26, +10, -8, +21, +43 (entry uses two lines, comma after name missing)
<p>
name,-13,+3,+14,+12,+4,+26,+10,-8,+21,+43 (spaces missing)
<p>
name: -13,+3,+14,+12,+4,+26,+10,-8,+21,+43 (don't use colon, spaces missing)
<p>
name -13, +3, +14, +12, +4, +26, +10, -8, +21, +43 (commas after name missing)
<p>
3.3 Motivation of format rules is to minimize mistakes in reading your entry and minimize the amount of my time in working on this contest.
<p>
4. Rankings: Official rankings of the contest are the BCMoore Rankings, <a href="http://bcmoorerankings.com">http://bcmoorerankings.com</a>.
<p>
5. Scoring: Entry with most correct answers wins. Ties will be broken by sum of (absolute values of predictions - actual scores).
<p>
6. Deadline: All entries must be submitted by <b>Friday, 5PM</b>. Entries can be changed up to deadline. To change your entry, submit a new entry. Do not edit a previous entry; I may not see the change you want to make.
<p>
7. Duration: Contest will run for the length of the regular season. Updates on season long standings will be given weekly in addition to each individual weeks winner.
<p>
8. Game selection: Games are generally selected based on two criteria:<br>
8.1 Each district has at least one team in the weekly game.<br>
8.2 Remaining games are selected based on state-wide merit.<br>


<p>
This week's games:


Code:
 N Conf Rk (W-L) Visitor              Conf Rk (W-L) Home                Matchup
80 4A-8 10 (7-1) CR Prairie           4A-8 14 (5-3) CR Kennedy           153.71
81 4A-3  9 (5-3) Urbandale            4A-3  5 (5-3) Ankeny               152.21
82 4A-5  7 (7-1) CR Washington        4A-5 13 (8-0) Waterloo West        148.95
83 4A-7 18 (5-3) Muscatine            4A-7 19 (5-3) Clinton              144.71
84 4A-4 24 (4-4) Indianola            4A-4 32 (5-3) Newton               131.56
85 4A-6 31 (3-5) Dubuque Senior       4A-6 27 (2-6) Pleasant Valley      129.51
86 4A-6 21 (6-2) Western Dubuque      4A-6 26 (5-3) Dubuque Hempstead    125.80
87 4A-4 30 (4-4) Fort Dodge           4A-4 15 (4-4) Southeast Polk       125.64
88 4A-1 28 (3-4) Sioux City East      4A-1 11 (4-4) Johnston             123.87
89 4A-2 29 (4-4) Des Moines Lincoln   4A-2 39 (2-6) CB Lincoln           118.76

Composite Computer, -16, 6, 11, -1, -1, -5, -14, 10, 17, -14
Modified Computer, -3, 12, -6, 1, -4, 3, -5, 17, 23, -13
Standard Computer, -1, 8, -6, -1, -3, 3, -9, 15, 18, -8
Momentum Computer, -3, 8, 1, 1, -8, -4, -10, 18, 12, -11
 
1. Guess the game margin for the top 10 matchups in Class 4A. Beat the computer - earn iapreps fame - prove to everyone that your team is underrated.
<p>
2. Notation: +2 --> Home wins by 2 points. -7 --> Visitor wins by 7 points.
<p>
3. Game is open to all, and all are encouraged to play. The greater the number of participants, the more accurate the overall predictions should be (central limit theorem).
<p>
3.1 Reply to this post in this form:
<p>
username, -2, -4, +3, +5, -3, +10, -20, +3, +3, -1
<p>
where: username --> your rivals.com username,<br>
-2, -4, +3, +5, -3, +10, -20, +3, +3, -1 --> your predictions for the 10 games this week
<p>
3.2 Notes:
<p>
3.2.1 Use one line only.<br>
3.2.2 Use a comma and space as separators
<p>
3.2 The following are example of bad replies:
<p>
name
<p>
-13, +3, +14, +12, +4, +26, +10, -8, +21, +43 (entry uses two lines, comma after name missing)
<p>
name,-13,+3,+14,+12,+4,+26,+10,-8,+21,+43 (spaces missing)
<p>
name: -13,+3,+14,+12,+4,+26,+10,-8,+21,+43 (don't use colon, spaces missing)
<p>
name -13, +3, +14, +12, +4, +26, +10, -8, +21, +43 (commas after name missing)
<p>
3.3 Motivation of format rules is to minimize mistakes in reading your entry and minimize the amount of my time in working on this contest.
<p>
4. Rankings: Official rankings of the contest are the BCMoore Rankings, <a href="http://bcmoorerankings.com">http://bcmoorerankings.com</a>.
<p>
5. Scoring: Entry with most correct answers wins. Ties will be broken by sum of (absolute values of predictions - actual scores).
<p>
6. Deadline: All entries must be submitted by <b>Friday, 5PM</b>. Entries can be changed up to deadline. To change your entry, submit a new entry. Do not edit a previous entry; I may not see the change you want to make.
<p>
7. Duration: Contest will run for the length of the regular season. Updates on season long standings will be given weekly in addition to each individual weeks winner.
<p>
8. Game selection: Games are generally selected based on two criteria:<br>
8.1 Each district has at least one team in the weekly game.<br>
8.2 Remaining games are selected based on state-wide merit.<br>


<p>
This week's games:


Code:
N Conf Rk (W-L) Visitor              Conf Rk (W-L) Home                Matchup
80 4A-8 10 (7-1) CR Prairie           4A-8 14 (5-3) CR Kennedy           153.71
81 4A-3  9 (5-3) Urbandale            4A-3  5 (5-3) Ankeny               152.21
82 4A-5  7 (7-1) CR Washington        4A-5 13 (8-0) Waterloo West        148.95
83 4A-7 18 (5-3) Muscatine            4A-7 19 (5-3) Clinton              144.71
84 4A-4 24 (4-4) Indianola            4A-4 32 (5-3) Newton               131.56
85 4A-6 31 (3-5) Dubuque Senior       4A-6 27 (2-6) Pleasant Valley      129.51
86 4A-6 21 (6-2) Western Dubuque      4A-6 26 (5-3) Dubuque Hempstead    125.80
87 4A-4 30 (4-4) Fort Dodge           4A-4 15 (4-4) Southeast Polk       125.64
88 4A-1 28 (3-4) Sioux City East      4A-1 11 (4-4) Johnston             123.87
89 4A-2 29 (4-4) Des Moines Lincoln   4A-2 39 (2-6) CB Lincoln           118.76

Composite Computer, -16, 6, 11, -1, -1, -5, -14, 10, 17, -14
Modified Computer, -3, 12, -6, 1, -4, 3, -5, 17, 23, -13
Standard Computer, -1, 8, -6, -1, -3, 3, -9, 15, 18, -8
Momentum Computer, -3, 8, 1, 1, -8, -4, -10, 18, 12, -11


Straw1397, -14, 13, -3, 4, -13, 6, -7, 17, 21, -10
 
Code:
Conf Rk (W-L) Visitor              Conf Rk (W-L) Home                  Open  Curr
4A-8 10 (7-1) CR Prairie           4A-8 14 (5-3) CR Kennedy            -3.0  -7.0
4A-3  9 (5-3) Urbandale            4A-3  5 (5-3) Ankeny                 8.0  10.0
4A-5  7 (7-1) CR Washington        4A-5 13 (8-0) Waterloo West         -2.5  -3.0
4A-7 18 (5-3) Muscatine            4A-7 19 (5-3) Clinton                0.0  -1.0
4A-4 24 (4-4) Indianola            4A-4 32 (5-3) Newton                -3.5  -7.0
4A-6 31 (3-5) Dubuque Senior       4A-6 27 (2-6) Pleasant Valley       -0.5   3.0
4A-6 21 (6-2) Western Dubuque      4A-6 26 (5-3) Dubuque Hempstead     -9.5  -9.0
4A-4 30 (4-4) Fort Dodge           4A-4 15 (4-4) Southeast Polk        16.0  17.0
4A-1 28 (3-4) Sioux City East      4A-1 11 (4-4) Johnston              17.5  18.0
4A-2 29 (4-4) Des Moines Lincoln   4A-2 39 (2-6) CB Lincoln           -12.0 -11.0
 
Code:
Conf Rk (W-L) Visitor              Conf Rk (W-L) Home                  Open  Curr
4A-8 10 (7-1) CR Prairie           4A-8 14 (5-3) CR Kennedy            -3.0  -5.0
4A-3  9 (5-3) Urbandale            4A-3  5 (5-3) Ankeny                 8.0  10.5
4A-5  7 (7-1) CR Washington        4A-5 13 (8-0) Waterloo West         -2.5  -4.5
4A-7 18 (5-3) Muscatine            4A-7 19 (5-3) Clinton                0.0   1.0
4A-4 24 (4-4) Indianola            4A-4 32 (5-3) Newton                -3.5  -7.5
4A-6 31 (3-5) Dubuque Senior       4A-6 27 (2-6) Pleasant Valley       -0.5   4.0
4A-6 21 (6-2) Western Dubuque      4A-6 26 (5-3) Dubuque Hempstead     -9.5  -9.5
4A-4 30 (4-4) Fort Dodge           4A-4 15 (4-4) Southeast Polk        16.0  19.0
4A-1 28 (3-4) Sioux City East      4A-1 11 (4-4) Johnston              17.5  17.5
4A-2 29 (4-4) Des Moines Lincoln   4A-2 39 (2-6) CB Lincoln           -12.0 -13.5
 
Code:
Conf Rk (W-L) Visitor              Conf Rk (W-L) Home                  Open  Curr Act
4A-8 10 (7-1) CR Prairie           4A-8 14 (5-3) CR Kennedy            -3.0  -5.0 -12
4A-3  9 (5-3) Urbandale            4A-3  5 (5-3) Ankeny                 8.0  10.5  11
4A-5  7 (7-1) CR Washington        4A-5 13 (8-0) Waterloo West         -2.5  -4.5 -14
4A-7 18 (5-3) Muscatine            4A-7 19 (5-3) Clinton                0.0   1.0   6
4A-4 24 (4-4) Indianola            4A-4 32 (5-3) Newton                -3.5  -7.5  17
4A-6 31 (3-5) Dubuque Senior       4A-6 27 (2-6) Pleasant Valley       -0.5   4.0  31
4A-6 21 (6-2) Western Dubuque      4A-6 26 (5-3) Dubuque Hempstead     -9.5  -9.5 -14
4A-4 30 (4-4) Fort Dodge           4A-4 15 (4-4) Southeast Polk        16.0  19.0  30
4A-1 28 (3-4) Sioux City East      4A-1 11 (4-4) Johnston              17.5  17.5  47
4A-2 29 (4-4) Des Moines Lincoln   4A-2 39 (2-6) CB Lincoln           -12.0 -13.5  -5
 
Code:
Straw1397 wins!

Name                 Cor Att   %    Dev
Straw1397              9  10 0.900  123
Modified Computer      9  10 0.900  126
Dragon7678             9  10 0.900  139
MarionHawk             8  10 0.800  118
Standard Computer      8  10 0.800  129
bcmoore87              7  10 0.700  140
Momentum Computer      7  10 0.700  149
Kraftwerk              7  10 0.700  198
screwloose             6  10 0.600  152
Composite Computer     6  10 0.600  154


Dragon7678 wins the season-long contest!

Name                 Cor Att   %    Dev
Dragon7678            69  89 0.775 1304
Straw1397             68  89 0.764 1345
MarionHawk            65  89 0.730 1262
Modified Computer     65  89 0.730 1423
bcmoore87             62  89 0.697 1392
Standard Computer     60  89 0.674 1415
GoBigD6788            59  79 0.747 1405
Composite Computer    59  89 0.663 1664
screwloose            58  79 0.734 1286
Momentum Computer     58  89 0.652 1444
makelovenotwar        46  79 0.582 1630
Kraftwerk             28  40 0.700 1612
iowaqb                21  40 0.525 1733
Iafootballfan         19  30 0.633 1714
zmac328                9  10 0.900 1661
DSMan                  8  10 0.800 1693
Simpson Storm          6  10 0.600 1707


Dragon7678 wins the season-long contest!

Name                 ATS Att   %    p-val Fame
Dragon7678            56  86 0.651  0.002   26
MarionHawk            52  80 0.650  0.003   24
screwloose            42  72 0.583  0.079   12
Kraftwerk             24  39 0.615  0.076    9
GoBigD6788            33  60 0.550  0.222    6
Straw1397             39  74 0.527  0.323    4
zmac328                5   7 0.714  0.145    3
iowaqb                20  37 0.541  0.314    3
DSMan                  5   9 0.556  0.380    1
Simpson Storm          2   7 0.286  0.145   -3
Iafootballfan          9  23 0.391  0.154   -5
makelovenotwar        30  66 0.455  0.232   -6
bcmoore87             30  67 0.448  0.198   -7
Composite Computer    39  86 0.453  0.196   -8
Modified Computer     34  79 0.430  0.109  -11
Standard Computer     27  69 0.391  0.035  -15
Momentum Computer     27  69 0.391  0.035  -15
 
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