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BCMoore Prediction Game: week 9

bcmoore87

All District
Oct 30, 2001
8,004
29
48
1. Guess the game margin for the top 10 matchups in Class 4A. Beat the computer - earn iapreps fame - prove to everyone that your team is underrated.
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2. Notation: +2 --> Home wins by 2 points. -7 --> Visitor wins by 7 points.
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3. Game is open to all, and all are encouraged to play. The greater the number of participants, the more accurate the overall predictions should be (central limit theorem).
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3.1 Reply to this post in this form:
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username, -2, -4, +3, +5, -3, +10, -20, +3, +3, -1
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where: username --> your rivals.com username,<br>
-2, -4, +3, +5, -3, +10, -20, +3, +3, -1 --> your predictions for the 10 games this week
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3.2 Notes:
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3.2.1 Use one line only.<br>
3.2.2 Use a comma and space as separators
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3.2 The following are example of bad replies:
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name
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-13, +3, +14, +12, +4, +26, +10, -8, +21, +43 (entry uses two lines, comma after name missing)
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name,-13,+3,+14,+12,+4,+26,+10,-8,+21,+43 (spaces missing)
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name: -13,+3,+14,+12,+4,+26,+10,-8,+21,+43 (don't use colon, spaces missing)
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name -13, +3, +14, +12, +4, +26, +10, -8, +21, +43 (commas after name missing)
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3.3 Motivation of format rules is to minimize mistakes in reading your entry and minimize the amount of my time in working on this contest.
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4. Rankings: Official rankings of the contest are the BCMoore Rankings, <a href="http://bcmoorerankings.com">http://bcmoorerankings.com</a>.
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5. Scoring: Entry with most correct answers wins. Ties will be broken by sum of (absolute values of predictions - actual scores).
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6. Deadline: All entries must be submitted by <b>Thursday, 5PM</b>. Entries can be changed up to deadline. To change your entry, submit a new entry. Do not edit a previous entry; I may not see the change you want to make.
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7. Duration: Contest will run for the length of the regular season. Updates on season long standings will be given weekly in addition to each individual weeks winner.
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8. Game selection: Games are generally selected based on two criteria:<br>
8.1 Each district has at least one team in the weekly game.<br>
8.2 Remaining games are selected based on state-wide merit.<br>


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This week's games:


Code:
 N Conf Rk (W-L) Visitor              Conf Rk (W-L) Home                Matchup
81 4A-4 14 (5-3) Urbandale            4A-4  6 (7-1) Fort Dodge           178.81
82 4A-5 18 (4-4) Marion Linn-Mar      4A-5 10 (5-3) CR Jefferson         175.67
83 4A-2 11 (6-2) Johnston             4A-2 24 (5-3) Sioux City East      174.84
84 4A-7 16 (3-5) Iowa City West       4A-7  8 (6-2) Pleasant Valley      174.62
85 4A-1 12 (7-1) Ankeny               4A-1  9 (5-3) Southeast Polk       174.44
86 4A-6 20 (5-3) Iowa City High       4A-6 17 (6-2) Muscatine            173.70
87 4A-8 25 (5-3) Clinton              4A-8 27 (3-5) Dubuque Senior       164.52
88 4A-5  2 (8-0) CR Kennedy           4A-5 26 (3-5) Waterloo West        151.80
89 4A-6 22 (3-5) CR Prairie           4A-6 30 (4-4) Ottumwa              148.27
90 4A-3 37 (5-3) Des Moines Hoover    4A-3 38 (2-6) Sioux City West      135.79

Composite Computer, 15, 8, -15, 23, -6, 5, -12, -56, -6, -18
Modified Computer, 12, 9, -15, 9, 5, 4, -1, -35, -15, -1
Standard Computer, 9, 6, -3, 8, 7, 2, -2, -32, -17, 6
Momentum Computer, 11, 4, 2, 7, 14, -4, -6, -30, -21, 2
 
Code:
Conf Rk (W-L) Visitor              Conf Rk (W-L) Home                  Open  Curr
4A-4 14 (5-3) Urbandale            4A-4  6 (7-1) Fort Dodge            11.5  10.5
4A-5 18 (4-4) Marion Linn-Mar      4A-5 10 (5-3) CR Jefferson           7.0   6.5
4A-2 11 (6-2) Johnston             4A-2 24 (5-3) Sioux City East       -9.0  -6.0
4A-7 16 (3-5) Iowa City West       4A-7  8 (6-2) Pleasant Valley        8.5   9.5
4A-1 12 (7-1) Ankeny               4A-1  9 (5-3) Southeast Polk         6.0   6.0
4A-6 20 (5-3) Iowa City High       4A-6 17 (6-2) Muscatine              3.0  -3.0
4A-8 25 (5-3) Clinton              4A-8 27 (3-5) Dubuque Senior        -4.0  -7.5
4A-5  2 (8-0) CR Kennedy           4A-5 26 (3-5) Waterloo West        -33.5 -34.5
4A-6 22 (3-5) CR Prairie           4A-6 30 (4-4) Ottumwa              -16.0 -14.0
4A-3 37 (5-3) Des Moines Hoover    4A-3 38 (2-6) Sioux City West        0.5  -4.0
 
recorded: (Thursday games as 0's)

SimpsonStorm, +7, 0, -7, -4, -3, -14, -10, -31, -10, 0
 
Code:
Conf Rk (W-L) Visitor              Conf Rk (W-L) Home                  Open  Curr Act
4A-4 14 (5-3) Urbandale            4A-4  6 (7-1) Fort Dodge            11.5  10.0 -20
4A-5 18 (4-4) Marion Linn-Mar      4A-5 10 (5-3) CR Jefferson           7.0   6.5  27
4A-2 11 (6-2) Johnston             4A-2 24 (5-3) Sioux City East       -9.0  -6.0 -21
4A-7 16 (3-5) Iowa City West       4A-7  8 (6-2) Pleasant Valley        8.5   9.0  15
4A-1 12 (7-1) Ankeny               4A-1  9 (5-3) Southeast Polk         6.0   5.0 -20
4A-6 20 (5-3) Iowa City High       4A-6 17 (6-2) Muscatine              3.0  -3.0  -1
4A-8 25 (5-3) Clinton              4A-8 27 (3-5) Dubuque Senior        -4.0  -8.0   8
4A-5  2 (8-0) CR Kennedy           4A-5 26 (3-5) Waterloo West        -33.5 -34.0 -26
4A-6 22 (3-5) CR Prairie           4A-6 30 (4-4) Ottumwa              -16.0 -14.0 -25
4A-3 37 (5-3) Des Moines Hoover    4A-3 38 (2-6) Sioux City West        0.5  -4.0 -20
 
Code:
Name                 Cor Att   %    Dev
Orsky1                 8  10 0.800  135
GoBigD6788             8  10 0.800  147
Composite Computer     7  10 0.700  159
screwloose             7  10 0.700  160
straw1397              7  10 0.700  164
bcmoore87              6  10 0.600  135
Modified Computer      6  10 0.600  139
Dragon7678             6  10 0.600  173
Standard Computer      5  10 0.500  155
Momentum Computer      5  10 0.500  166
makelovenotwar         5  10 0.500  173
SimpsonStorm           5  10 0.500  175
MarionHawk             5  10 0.500  184


Congratulations to screwloose!

Name                 Cor Att   %    Dev
screwloose            66  90 0.733 1181
Dragon7678            66  89 0.742 1292
GoBigD6788            65  89 0.730 1191
straw1397             62  90 0.689 1213
makelovenotwar        61  90 0.678 1324
Composite Computer    61  90 0.678 1706
Momentum Computer     60  90 0.667 1219
Modified Computer     60  90 0.667 1236
SimpsonStorm          60  88 0.682 1273
Orsky1                59  80 0.738 1178
bcmoore87             59  90 0.656 1186
Standard Computer     59  90 0.656 1200
MarionHawk            56  80 0.700 1281
PNation               17  30 0.567 1629
SEPRamFan             16  30 0.533 1588
Dodge59               13  20 0.650 1620
RedAgentRadar         12  20 0.600 1667
ZMac328               10  20 0.500 1630
DSMan                  8  20 0.400 1700


Congratulations to screwloose!

Name                 ATS Att   %    p-val Fame
screwloose            45  77 0.584  0.070   13
Orsky1                31  54 0.574  0.140    8
ZMac328               14  20 0.700  0.036    8
Dodge59               12  18 0.667  0.082    6
SimpsonStorm          37  69 0.536  0.276    5
Standard Computer     38  72 0.528  0.320    4
GoBigD6788            33  63 0.524  0.354    3
Modified Computer     36  71 0.507  0.453    1
MarionHawk            37  73 0.507  0.454    1
SEPRamFan             12  23 0.522  0.420    1
RedAgentRadar          7  13 0.538  0.397    1
Dragon7678            37  74 0.500  0.500    0
Momentum Computer     36  73 0.493  0.454   -1
bcmoore87             28  59 0.475  0.350   -3
straw1397             34  71 0.479  0.362   -3
DSMan                  7  18 0.389  0.180   -4
makelovenotwar        34  73 0.466  0.281   -5
PNation               10  26 0.385  0.123   -6
Composite Computer    36  81 0.444  0.160   -9
 
Congrats to me too, since we didn't count week 1...supposedly. Since I won last year Screwloose I'll let you have this one.
 
I clearly need that generator back -- I barely escaped last place.

new contest this week
 
I thought of a new way to do this.

* create a new directory
* copied games 11-90 from the games.txt file
* created soft links to contestants files (ln -s ../4a/week2.txt week1.txt

Code:
Name                 Cor Att   %    Dev
Orsky1                 8  10 0.800  135
GoBigD6788             8  10 0.800  147
Composite Computer     7  10 0.700  159
screwloose             7  10 0.700  160
straw1397              7  10 0.700  164
bcmoore87              6  10 0.600  135
Modified Computer      6  10 0.600  139
Dragon7678             6  10 0.600  173
Standard Computer      5  10 0.500  155
Momentum Computer      5  10 0.500  166
makelovenotwar         5  10 0.500  173
SimpsonStorm           5  10 0.500  175
MarionHawk             5  10 0.500  184


Name                 Cor Att   %    Dev
screwloose            60  80 0.750 1057
Dragon7678            60  79 0.759 1166
Orsky1                59  80 0.738 1033
straw1397             58  80 0.725 1079
GoBigD6788            58  79 0.734 1085
MarionHawk            56  80 0.700 1136
SimpsonStorm          55  78 0.705 1124
makelovenotwar        55  80 0.688 1204
Composite Computer    55  80 0.688 1574
bcmoore87             54  80 0.675 1048
Momentum Computer     54  80 0.675 1082
Modified Computer     54  80 0.675 1099
Standard Computer     53  80 0.662 1063
Dodge59               13  20 0.650 1475
PNation               12  20 0.600 1477
SEPRamFan             11  20 0.550 1450
ZMac328               10  20 0.500 1485
RedAgentRadar          7  10 0.700 1495
DSMan                  4  10 0.400 1523


Name                 ATS Att   %    p-val Fame
screwloose            41  70 0.586  0.076   12
Orsky1                31  54 0.574  0.140    8
SimpsonStorm          35  62 0.565  0.157    8
ZMac328               14  20 0.700  0.036    8
Dodge59               12  18 0.667  0.082    6
Standard Computer     34  65 0.523  0.356    3
RedAgentRadar          4   6 0.667  0.233    2
GoBigD6788            29  57 0.509  0.448    1
MarionHawk            37  73 0.507  0.454    1
Dragon7678            34  67 0.507  0.452    1
straw1397             31  62 0.500  0.500    0
Modified Computer     32  64 0.500  0.500    0
SEPRamFan              7  14 0.500  0.500    0
Momentum Computer     32  66 0.485  0.404   -2
DSMan                  4  10 0.400  0.278   -2
bcmoore87             26  55 0.473  0.345   -3
PNation                6  17 0.353  0.118   -5
makelovenotwar        31  68 0.456  0.235   -6
Composite Computer    31  73 0.425  0.100  -11
 
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