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BCMoore Prediction Game: week 1

bcmoore87

All District
Oct 30, 2001
8,004
29
48
1. Guess the game margin for the top 10 matchups in Class 4A. Beat the computer - earn iapreps fame - prove to everyone that your team is underrated.
<p>
2. Notation: +2 --> Home wins by 2 points. -7 --> Visitor wins by 7 points.
<p>
3. Game is open to all, and all are encouraged to play. The greater the number of participants, the more accurate the overall predictions should be (central limit theorem).
<p>
3.1 Reply to this post in this form:
<p>
username, -2, -4, +3, +5, -3, +10, -20, +3, +3, -1
<p>
where: username --> your rivals.com username,<br>
-2, -4, +3, +5, -3, +10, -20, +3, +3, -1 --> your predictions for the 10 games this week
<p>
3.2 Notes:
<p>
3.2.1 Use one line only.<br>
3.2.2 Use a comma and space as separators
<p>
3.2 The following are example of bad replies:
<p>
name
<p>
-13, +3, +14, +12, +4, +26, +10, -8, +21, +43 (entry uses two lines, comma after name missing)
<p>
name,-13,+3,+14,+12,+4,+26,+10,-8,+21,+43 (spaces missing)
<p>
name: -13,+3,+14,+12,+4,+26,+10,-8,+21,+43 (don't use colon, spaces missing)
<p>
name -13, +3, +14, +12, +4, +26, +10, -8, +21, +43 (commas after name missing)
<p>
3.3 Motivation of format rules is to minimize mistakes in reading your entry and minimize the amount of my time in working on this contest.
<p>
4. Rankings: Official rankings of the contest are the BCMoore Rankings, <a href="http://bcmoorerankings.com">http://bcmoorerankings.com</a>.
<p>
5. Scoring: Entry with most correct answers wins. Ties will be broken by sum of (absolute values of predictions - actual scores).
<p>
6. Deadline: All entries must be submitted by <b>Friday, 5PM</b>. Entries can be changed up to deadline. To change your entry, submit a new entry. Do not edit a previous entry; I may not see the change you want to make.
<p>
7. Duration: Contest will run for the length of the regular season. Updates on season long standings will be given weekly in addition to each individual weeks winner.
<p>
8. Game selection: Games are generally selected based on two criteria:<br>
8.1 Each district has at least one team in the weekly game.<br>
8.2 Remaining games are selected based on state-wide merit.<br>


<p>
This week's games:


Code:
 N Conf Rk (W-L) Visitor              Conf Rk (W-L) Home                Matchup
 1 4A-4  2 (0-0) Waukee               4A-3  3 (0-0) WDM Valley           202.61
 2 4A-2  5 (0-0) Johnston             4A-1  8 (0-0) Southeast Polk       178.23
 3 4A-7 12 (0-0) Pleasant Valley      4A-8 13 (0-0) Eldridge North Scott 173.87
 4 4A-1 10 (0-0) Ames                 4A-3  7 (0-0) Ankeny Centennial    173.66
 5 3A-1 12 (0-0) Sergeant Bluff-Luton 4A-2  9 (0-0) CB Lewis Central     162.72
 6 4A-6 19 (0-0) CR Prairie           4A-5 11 (0-0) Marion Linn-Mar      159.84
 7 4A-7 15 (0-0) Iowa City West       4A-5 22 (0-0) CR Kennedy           159.68
 8 4A-7 24 (0-0) Dubuque Hempstead    4A-6 18 (0-0) Muscatine            154.73
 9 4A-1  6 (0-0) Ankeny               4A-4 23 (0-0) Indianola            150.27
10 4A-3 30 (0-0) CB Lincoln           4A-1 34 (0-0) Sioux City North     148.88

Composite Computer, 1, -3, 1, 3, 6, 6, -3, 5, -10, -1
Modified Computer, 1, -6, 1, 5, 11, 11, -7, 8, -21, -1
Standard Computer, 1, -6, 1, 5, 11, 11, -7, 8, -21, -1
Momentum Computer, 1, -6, 1, 5, 11, 11, -7, 8, -21, -1
 
Sorry again for the delay; I've been putting significant time into stock market trend analysis. Good times.

week 1 will be practice

contest will run from week 2 - week 9.
 
Code:
Conf Rk (W-L) Visitor              Conf Rk (W-L) Home                  Open  Curr
4A-4  2 (0-0) Waukee               4A-3  3 (0-0) WDM Valley             1.0   5.5
4A-2  5 (0-0) Johnston             4A-1  8 (0-0) Southeast Polk        -6.0  -6.0
4A-7 12 (0-0) Pleasant Valley      4A-8 13 (0-0) Eldridge North Scott   1.0   1.0
4A-1 10 (0-0) Ames                 4A-3  7 (0-0) Ankeny Centennial      5.0   0.0
3A-1 12 (0-0) Sergeant Bluff-Luton 4A-2  9 (0-0) CB Lewis Central      11.0  11.0
4A-6 19 (0-0) CR Prairie           4A-5 11 (0-0) Marion Linn-Mar       11.0  10.5
4A-7 15 (0-0) Iowa City West       4A-5 22 (0-0) CR Kennedy            -7.0  -7.0
4A-7 24 (0-0) Dubuque Hempstead    4A-6 18 (0-0) Muscatine              8.0   4.0
4A-1  6 (0-0) Ankeny               4A-4 23 (0-0) Indianola            -21.0 -21.0
4A-3 30 (0-0) CB Lincoln           4A-1 34 (0-0) Sioux City North      -1.0  -4.0
 
Code:
Conf Rk (W-L) Visitor              Conf Rk (W-L) Home                  Open  Curr
4A-4  2 (0-0) Waukee               4A-3  3 (0-0) WDM Valley             1.0  10.0
4A-2  5 (0-0) Johnston             4A-1  8 (0-0) Southeast Polk        -6.0  -3.0
4A-7 12 (0-0) Pleasant Valley      4A-8 13 (0-0) Eldridge North Scott   1.0   1.0
4A-1 10 (0-0) Ames                 4A-3  7 (0-0) Ankeny Centennial      5.0  -6.5
3A-1 12 (0-0) Sergeant Bluff-Luton 4A-2  9 (0-0) CB Lewis Central      11.0  12.0
4A-6 19 (0-0) CR Prairie           4A-5 11 (0-0) Marion Linn-Mar       11.0  10.0
4A-7 15 (0-0) Iowa City West       4A-5 22 (0-0) CR Kennedy            -7.0   0.0
4A-7 24 (0-0) Dubuque Hempstead    4A-6 18 (0-0) Muscatine              8.0   8.0
4A-1  6 (0-0) Ankeny               4A-4 23 (0-0) Indianola            -21.0 -21.0
4A-3 30 (0-0) CB Lincoln           4A-1 34 (0-0) Sioux City North      -1.0  -7.0
 
1. Guess the game margin for the top 10 matchups in Class 4A. Beat the computer - earn iapreps fame - prove to everyone that your team is underrated.
<p>
2. Notation: +2 --> Home wins by 2 points. -7 --> Visitor wins by 7 points.
<p>
3. Game is open to all, and all are encouraged to play. The greater the number of participants, the more accurate the overall predictions should be (central limit theorem).
<p>
3.1 Reply to this post in this form:
<p>
username, -2, -4, +3, +5, -3, +10, -20, +3, +3, -1
<p>
where: username --> your rivals.com username,<br>
-2, -4, +3, +5, -3, +10, -20, +3, +3, -1 --> your predictions for the 10 games this week
<p>
3.2 Notes:
<p>
3.2.1 Use one line only.<br>
3.2.2 Use a comma and space as separators
<p>
3.2 The following are example of bad replies:
<p>
name
<p>
-13, +3, +14, +12, +4, +26, +10, -8, +21, +43 (entry uses two lines, comma after name missing)
<p>
name,-13,+3,+14,+12,+4,+26,+10,-8,+21,+43 (spaces missing)
<p>
name: -13,+3,+14,+12,+4,+26,+10,-8,+21,+43 (don't use colon, spaces missing)
<p>
name -13, +3, +14, +12, +4, +26, +10, -8, +21, +43 (commas after name missing)
<p>
3.3 Motivation of format rules is to minimize mistakes in reading your entry and minimize the amount of my time in working on this contest.
<p>
4. Rankings: Official rankings of the contest are the BCMoore Rankings, <a href="http://bcmoorerankings.com">http://bcmoorerankings.com</a>.
<p>
5. Scoring: Entry with most correct answers wins. Ties will be broken by sum of (absolute values of predictions - actual scores).
<p>
6. Deadline: All entries must be submitted by <b>Friday, 5PM</b>. Entries can be changed up to deadline. To change your entry, submit a new entry. Do not edit a previous entry; I may not see the change you want to make.
<p>
7. Duration: Contest will run for the length of the regular season. Updates on season long standings will be given weekly in addition to each individual weeks winner.
<p>
8. Game selection: Games are generally selected based on two criteria:<br>
8.1 Each district has at least one team in the weekly game.<br>
8.2 Remaining games are selected based on state-wide merit.<br>


<p>
This week's games:


Code:
N Conf Rk (W-L) Visitor              Conf Rk (W-L) Home                Matchup
1 4A-4  2 (0-0) Waukee               4A-3  3 (0-0) WDM Valley           202.61
2 4A-2  5 (0-0) Johnston             4A-1  8 (0-0) Southeast Polk       178.23
3 4A-7 12 (0-0) Pleasant Valley      4A-8 13 (0-0) Eldridge North Scott 173.87
4 4A-1 10 (0-0) Ames                 4A-3  7 (0-0) Ankeny Centennial    173.66
5 3A-1 12 (0-0) Sergeant Bluff-Luton 4A-2  9 (0-0) CB Lewis Central     162.72
6 4A-6 19 (0-0) CR Prairie           4A-5 11 (0-0) Marion Linn-Mar      159.84
7 4A-7 15 (0-0) Iowa City West       4A-5 22 (0-0) CR Kennedy           159.68
8 4A-7 24 (0-0) Dubuque Hempstead    4A-6 18 (0-0) Muscatine            154.73
9 4A-1  6 (0-0) Ankeny               4A-4 23 (0-0) Indianola            150.27
10 4A-3 30 (0-0) CB Lincoln           4A-1 34 (0-0) Sioux City North     148.88

Composite Computer, 1, -3, 1, 3, 6, 6, -3, 5, -10, -1
Modified Computer, 1, -6, 1, 5, 11, 11, -7, 8, -21, -1
Standard Computer, 1, -6, 1, 5, 11, 11, -7, 8, -21, -1
Momentum Computer, 1, -6, 1, 5, 11, 11, -7, 8, -21, -1



Straw1397, 27, 10, 5, -8, 32, 12, 8, -4, -3, -10
 
Code:
Conf Rk (W-L) Visitor              Conf Rk (W-L) Home                  Open  Curr
4A-4  2 (0-0) Waukee               4A-3  3 (0-0) WDM Valley             1.0  12.0
4A-2  5 (0-0) Johnston             4A-1  8 (0-0) Southeast Polk        -6.0   0.0
4A-7 12 (0-0) Pleasant Valley      4A-8 13 (0-0) Eldridge North Scott   1.0   2.0
4A-1 10 (0-0) Ames                 4A-3  7 (0-0) Ankeny Centennial      5.0  -7.5
3A-1 12 (0-0) Sergeant Bluff-Luton 4A-2  9 (0-0) CB Lewis Central      11.0  13.5
4A-6 19 (0-0) CR Prairie           4A-5 11 (0-0) Marion Linn-Mar       11.0  10.5
4A-7 15 (0-0) Iowa City West       4A-5 22 (0-0) CR Kennedy            -7.0   3.0
4A-7 24 (0-0) Dubuque Hempstead    4A-6 18 (0-0) Muscatine              8.0   7.5
4A-1  6 (0-0) Ankeny               4A-4 23 (0-0) Indianola            -21.0 -21.0
4A-3 30 (0-0) CB Lincoln           4A-1 34 (0-0) Sioux City North      -1.0  -7.0
 
Code:
Conf Rk (W-L) Visitor              Conf Rk (W-L) Home                  Open  Curr
4A-4  2 (0-0) Waukee               4A-3  3 (0-0) WDM Valley             1.0  12.0
4A-2  5 (0-0) Johnston             4A-1  8 (0-0) Southeast Polk        -6.0   3.0
4A-7 12 (0-0) Pleasant Valley      4A-8 13 (0-0) Eldridge North Scott   1.0   1.0
4A-1 10 (0-0) Ames                 4A-3  7 (0-0) Ankeny Centennial      5.0  -7.0
3A-1 12 (0-0) Sergeant Bluff-Luton 4A-2  9 (0-0) CB Lewis Central      11.0  13.0
4A-6 19 (0-0) CR Prairie           4A-5 11 (0-0) Marion Linn-Mar       11.0  10.0
4A-7 15 (0-0) Iowa City West       4A-5 22 (0-0) CR Kennedy            -7.0   3.0
4A-7 24 (0-0) Dubuque Hempstead    4A-6 18 (0-0) Muscatine              8.0   7.0
4A-1  6 (0-0) Ankeny               4A-4 23 (0-0) Indianola            -21.0 -21.0
4A-3 30 (0-0) CB Lincoln           4A-1 34 (0-0) Sioux City North      -1.0  -7.0
 
Code:
Conf Rk (W-L) Visitor              Conf Rk (W-L) Home                  Open  Curr Act
4A-4  2 (0-0) Waukee               4A-3  3 (0-0) WDM Valley             1.0  12.0  31
4A-2  5 (0-0) Johnston             4A-1  8 (0-0) Southeast Polk        -6.0   3.0  -1
4A-7 12 (0-0) Pleasant Valley      4A-8 13 (0-0) Eldridge North Scott   1.0   1.0  -7
4A-1 10 (0-0) Ames                 4A-3  7 (0-0) Ankeny Centennial      5.0  -7.0  12
3A-1 12 (0-0) Sergeant Bluff-Luton 4A-2  9 (0-0) CB Lewis Central      11.0  13.0  35
4A-6 19 (0-0) CR Prairie           4A-5 11 (0-0) Marion Linn-Mar       11.0  10.0
4A-7 15 (0-0) Iowa City West       4A-5 22 (0-0) CR Kennedy            -7.0   3.0   3
4A-7 24 (0-0) Dubuque Hempstead    4A-6 18 (0-0) Muscatine              8.0   7.0  12
4A-1  6 (0-0) Ankeny               4A-4 23 (0-0) Indianola            -21.0 -21.0 -14
4A-3 30 (0-0) CB Lincoln           4A-1 34 (0-0) Sioux City North      -1.0  -7.0  16
 
Code:
Conf Rk (W-L) Visitor              Conf Rk (W-L) Home                  Open  Curr Act
4A-4  2 (0-0) Waukee               4A-3  3 (0-0) WDM Valley             1.0  12.0  31
4A-2  5 (0-0) Johnston             4A-1  8 (0-0) Southeast Polk        -6.0   3.0  -1
4A-7 12 (0-0) Pleasant Valley      4A-8 13 (0-0) Eldridge North Scott   1.0   1.0  -7
4A-1 10 (0-0) Ames                 4A-3  7 (0-0) Ankeny Centennial      5.0  -7.0  12
3A-1 12 (0-0) Sergeant Bluff-Luton 4A-2  9 (0-0) CB Lewis Central      11.0  13.0  35
4A-6 19 (0-0) CR Prairie           4A-5 11 (0-0) Marion Linn-Mar       11.0  10.0 -14
4A-7 15 (0-0) Iowa City West       4A-5 22 (0-0) CR Kennedy            -7.0   3.0   3
4A-7 24 (0-0) Dubuque Hempstead    4A-6 18 (0-0) Muscatine              8.0   7.0  12
4A-1  6 (0-0) Ankeny               4A-4 23 (0-0) Indianola            -21.0 -21.0 -14
4A-3 30 (0-0) CB Lincoln           4A-1 34 (0-0) Sioux City North      -1.0  -7.0  16
 
Code:
Name                 Cor Att   %    Dev
GoBigD6788             7  10 0.700  106
makelovenotwar         6  10 0.600  120
screwloose             6  10 0.600  124
Dragon7678             6  10 0.600  126
Composite Computer     6  10 0.600  132
Modified Computer      6  10 0.600  137
Standard Computer      6  10 0.600  137
Momentum Computer      6  10 0.600  137
SEPRamFan              5  10 0.500  138
bcmoore87              5  10 0.500  138
SimpsonStorm           5  10 0.500  149
PNation                5  10 0.500  152
Redagentradar          5  10 0.500  172
Straw1397              4  10 0.400  134
DSMan                  4  10 0.400  177


Name                 ATS Att   %    p-val Fame
GoBigD6788             4   6 0.667  0.233    2
Composite Computer     5   8 0.625  0.258    2
makelovenotwar         3   5 0.600  0.352    1
screwloose             4   7 0.571  0.368    1
Modified Computer      4   7 0.571  0.368    1
Standard Computer      4   7 0.571  0.368    1
Momentum Computer      4   7 0.571  0.368    1
SEPRamFan              5   9 0.556  0.380    1
bcmoore87              2   4 0.500  0.500    0
Dragon7678             3   7 0.429  0.368   -1
PNation                4   9 0.444  0.380   -1
Redagentradar          3   7 0.429  0.368   -1
DSMan                  3   8 0.375  0.258   -2
Straw1397              3   9 0.333  0.173   -3
SimpsonStorm           2   7 0.286  0.145   -3
 
I was completely surprised by the number of participants with only one day's notice.

If I had predicted that we'd have so many players, I'm not clear that I would have said it.

We all love controversy right? (smile)
 
I was completely surprised by the number of participants with only one day's notice.

If I had predicted that we'd have so many players, I'm not clear that I would have said it.

We all love controversy right? (smile)
I do for sure...
 
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