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Polls and stuff...

The final survey from Atlas Intel shows Trump is ahead in all swing states by 1 point to 6.5 points, with the pollster saying he has “significant margins” over Harris in Nevada and Arizona.

A model produced by poll analyst Nate Silver, who used to operate the FiveThirtyEight website, has given Trump a 53.8 percent chance of winning over Harris’s 45.8 percent.

Silver, at the same time, has accused some pollsters of putting their “finger on the scale” and lying to keep the presidential race close in polls, according to a podcast interview last week.

While Georgia, Wisconsin, and Michigan don’t report by party affiliation, four other battleground states do.

In Arizona, registered Republicans are ahead of registered Democrats by about 180,000 votes, while unaffiliated voters make up about 26.7 percent of the total votes cast, the tracker shows. The state only has mail-in ballots, not early in-person voting.

In Nevada, Republicans have a 40,000-vote lead in the early-vote total, buoyed by a strong in-person vote showing, the data show.

Days after early voting opened in North Carolina, registered Republicans took a slight lead over Democrats and have maintained the advantage as of Sunday, according to the tracker. GOP voters currently have a 42,000-vote lead over Democrats in that state.

While only 1.7 million people have voted early in Pennsylvania, Democrats have a 400,000-ballot lead over Republicans, the tracker shows. Pennsylvania, which has about 9 million registered voters, only reports mail-in ballots.

Polls

Let me have a shitfit for one post only (long so fck you if you have ADHD like me)

If any of my dear loved ones here are flying American Airlines anytime soon (@dhetiger specifically since he’s in Charlotte), DO NOT.

Long story short, I left for a wedding in Puerto Vallarta yesterday from Huntsville, connecting at DFW, to arrive by 11:30am local time.

Left at 6:50am and was in the air before the pilot told us he had to take a long route because of weather. Typical hour and fifteen flight to DFW took 3+ because he drove the bitch 50 miles out in the gulf and around Dallas before going back.

Missed flight to PV, which was frustrating but not the end of the world. As we began our quest for rebooking, we were told there were no other flights available yesterday OR today. So we wanted to get somewhere that COULD get us there. I shit all of you not, I tried every fcking airport in North America (the continent) to connect and get to my destination. ZERO…. except for one that connected in Mexico City tonight.

So here I sit at the Mexico City Aeropuerto, excited to finally get to Puerto Vallarta after paying a shitload not only for this damn resort, but for first class seats I didn’t get to sit in (💁‍♂️), and my motherfcking baggage (my formal wear and her formal wear, I don’t check bags for this very reason) is currently in Salt Lake City, Utah. A place I never intended to go.

I have defeated several American Airlines workers and finally got to the big boss who was an absolute battle axe but I prevailed.

Anywho, I’m off to my best friend’s wedding tonight and will arrive almost two days overdue at midnight and hope, HOPE to the good Lord, my bags are there at the 9:57am expected time.

I’m 6 margs deep and have absolutely no clue what the conversion rate is here, but Godspeed everyone.

TLDR- I’m still an apex predator.

Also TLDR- yes I voted, and I did it 7 times for myself and 2 for my Mema and Granddaddy who died in 2009 and 2016 respectively.
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