One game left, and we know a lot more than we did.
4A-1
Spencer v Storm Lake
Webster City v Denison-Schleswig
Le Mars v Fort Dodge
SPENCER wins the district with a win, or with losses by both Webster City and Le Mars; a loss plus a Webster City win and a Le Mars loss gets them second; a loss plus a Webster City loss and a Le Mars win means a four-way tie. A loss plus wins by both Webster City and Le Mars knocks them out of the district race.
WEBSTER CITY is in with a win, and wins the district if Spencer also loses; a loss means the best they can do is a tie, and they miss the playoffs if Spencer and Le Mars both win.
DENISON-SCHLESWIG can finish second with a win plus wins by Spencer and Le Mars. A win in any other case gets them in a tie. They are out with a loss.
FORT DODGE can get in a tie with a win plus a Webster City loss; their RPI compared to Denison-Schleswig would determine second place.
LE MARS is in with a win plus wins by Webster City and Storm Lake. They are in a four-way tie with wins plus wins by Denison-Schleswig and Storm Lake.
STORM LAKE has been eliminated.
4A-2
Waverly-Shell Rock v Decorah
Western Dubuque v Mason City
Marion v Waterloo East
WAVERLY-SHELL ROCK has won the district.
WESTERN DUBUQUE is in with a win. A loss plus a Marion win creates a tie, which still looks good for the Bobcats. A loss and a Marion loss means they're out for an automatic berth.
MASON CITY is in with a win plus a Marion loss. A win plus a Marion win means a tie, but that probably would go to Western Dubuque (I can never predict how much RPI can move from week to week, though).
MARION can get in a tie for second with a win plus a Mason City win, but it looks impossible for RPI to get them in.
WATERLOO EAST and DECORAH have been eliminated.
4A-3
Iowa City Liberty v Clinton
North Scott v Mount Pleasant
Burlington v Fort Madison
LIBERTY has won the district.
NORTH SCOTT is second.
BURLINGTON, FORT MADISON, CLINTON and MOUNT PLEASANT have been eliminated.
4A-4
Xavier v Oskaloosa
Pella v Cedar Rapids Washington
Clear Creek Amana v Newton
XAVIER has won the district.
CR WASHINGTON gets second with a win; despite media reports, they haven't locked down second place yet. A loss plus a Newton win creates a tie, and Newton should get the RPI nod there. They'd be out with a loss and a Newton loss.
NEWTON can only reach a tie with a win plus a Pella win, but that might be enough for second place.
PELLA takes second with a win plus a Newton loss; a win and a Newton win creates a tie, but Pella's RPI is not good.
CLEAR CREEK AMANA and OSKALOOSA have been eliminated.
4A-5
Carlisle idle
Bondurant-Farrar v Norwalk
Indianola v Boone
CARLISLE has won the district.
The winner of BONDURANT-FARRAR vs NORWALK takes second place.
(Indianola [with a win] and Bondurant-Farrar [with a loss] are in pretty good RPI position for at-large spots; probably not Norwalk, though.)
BOONE, INDIANOLA, and (of course) PERRY have been eliminated.
4A-6
Lewis Central v Winterset
Glenwood v Dallas Center-Grimes
DM Hoover v CB Thomas Jefferson
LEWIS CENTRAL wins the district with a win. A loss and a Glenwood loss gets them second; a loss and a Glenwood win forces a three-way tie, but Lewis Central is in excellent RPI position to get them the title in that case.
WINTERSET can win the district with a win plus a Glenwood loss. A win and a Glenwood win means a three-way tie, but Winterset probably gets left out in that situation. A loss and a Glenwood loss creates a three-way tie for second, but that's still not a good situation for Winterset.
GLENWOOD is in with a win plus a Lewis Central win. A win plus a Winterset win means a tie, and likely the playoff spots go to Lewis Central and Glenwood. A loss and a Lewis Central win means a tie for second, and again that looks good for Glenwood. A loss and a Lewis Central loss means Glenwood is out for an automatic berth.
DALLAS CENTER-GRIMES can force a tie for second with a win plus a Lewis Central win, but their RPI chances are very low.
DES MOINES HOOVER and COUNCIL BLUFFS THOMAS JEFFERSON have been eliminated.