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Husky what’s the Milton path looking like?

B
dhetiger said:
The ERC is what concerns me. We prepositioned assets east of Sarasota to respond quickly. Disaster response resources are already stretched thin.
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Latest says it’s going to weaken but coming down from a cat 5 it will be a larger storm.

This is what Helene did as well and part of why that bitch was so damn big.
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Class A Season Outlook

P
Realistically the games remaining that have an impact on the rankings are.

AC/GC vs Mount Ayr: I would pick AC/GC but is possible for Mount Ayr to win
North Linn vs Maq Valley: If North Linn wins they take the district title, Maq Valley after a puzzling loss to Cascade has looked very good.
Riverside vs Earlham: Everyone loves Earlham, but I think Riverside could get them.
Tri Center vs Woodbury Central: Tri Center has looked better than Woodbury but Woodbury has the big game experience.
Starmont vs Bellevue: I think Starmont is the better team, but did not look good against Postville, so it could be a toss up.

Next Week
Maq Valley vs Starmont: I think the top 3 in this district are pretty close.
North Linn vs. Bellevue: Again I think that Bellevue is a little behind, but who knows.

So I think West Hancock is safe at 1, if AC/GC takes care of business I think they are a safe #2, Saint probably wants North Linn to lose, just so they don't jump two undefeated district champs above them. A team like Maq Valley who isn't ranked could make a big jump if they take care of business the next two weeks against two ranked teams.

If I had to make second round playoff predictions I think I would go with this

Pod 1
West Hancock vs Nashua Plainfield
Gehlen vs Woodbury Central
Pod 2
AC/GC vs Mount Ayr
Tri Center vs MMC-RU
Pod 3
Lisbon vs. Maq Valley
Earlham vs. Madrid
Pod 4
North Linn vs Pekin
Saint Ansgar vs Wapsie Valley

I don't like that there are 3 rematches, but I could see something like this
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Husky what’s the Milton path looking like?

D
BKHusky said:
911 and still falling now. Lowest pressure observed in the Gulf of Mexico since Rita in 2005. May make a run at lowest pressure recorded on a gulf storm.

Models try to have it pull some dry air in from the approaching front and increase the shear before landfall. That should decrease intensity some before coming ashore.

One other concern is if he goes through an eyewall replacement cycle. This will cause temporary weakening, but can cause the eye to become much larger once the cycle is complete which can cause a larger wind field.

Best case scenario would be a combo of shear/dry air getting pulled in right as it starts an ERC.
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The ERC is what concerns me. We prepositioned assets east of Sarasota to respond quickly. Disaster response resources are already stretched thin.
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Class A Season Outlook

T
The states rankings to witch they use are currently
1 West Hancock
2 ACGC
3 ST Ansgar
4 Lisbon.
5 North Linn
6 Earlham

I don't see the top 4 teams losing again in the regular season and I see the top 3 teams as # 1 in the pods of 4. I m not completely sold on Lisbon getting by a 2 seed in the second round if they happen to matchup with someone like a Maq Valley or North Linn or even possibly a Wapsie valley. Earlham has a huge game this week with Riverside and if they win that and as I predict Maq Valley will beat North Linn this week I think they move up right along side Lisbon.

Quarterfinals:

If the two teams played in the regular season, head-to-head competition between the two teams will determine the home school with the winner of the head-to-head competition being the home team.

If the two teams did not play in the regular season, the highest ranked team in the IHSAA rankings will be the home team.

If two teams did not play in the regular season and both are unranked, the team with the higher finish in their respective district according to district qualification procedure will be the home team.

If the two teams paired have the same district finish, did not play in the regular season and are both unranked, the team with the fewest number of district losses will be the home team.

If the two teams paired have the same district finish, did not play in the regular season, are unranked and have the same number of district losses, the home school will be determined by the alphabetical system and the school listed LAST alphabetically will be the home team in 20
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Husky what’s the Milton path looking like?

BKHusky
ZosoDawg said:
As of a few hours it was up to a cat5, pressure @925 mb. Maybe wind sheer knocks it down a bit before landfall?
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911 and still falling now. Lowest pressure observed in the Gulf of Mexico since Rita in 2005. May make a run at lowest pressure recorded on a gulf storm.

Models try to have it pull some dry air in from the approaching front and increase the shear before landfall. That should decrease intensity some before coming ashore.

One other concern is if he goes through an eyewall replacement cycle. This will cause temporary weakening, but can cause the eye to become much larger once the cycle is complete which can cause a larger wind field.

Best case scenario would be a combo of shear/dry air getting pulled in right as it starts an ERC.
Click to expand...
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Husky what’s the Milton path looking like?

Z
BKHusky said:
Everything is pretty much pointing right at Tampa at the moment. But Milton is a smaller more compact storm and that can make their path a little more erratic. Charlie in 2004 made a big surprise turn early partially because he was a small hurricane.

Going to be a massive evacuation it looks like though. He’s already a cat 5, so headlines and news will be insane. Being a small compact storm both allows him to strengthen super fast like he has, but also makes him vulnerable to being disrupted more quickly if environmental conditions become less favorable closer to land.

My best guess is he comes in as a mid Cat 3 near or just north of Tampa.
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As of a few hours it was up to a cat5, pressure @925 mb. Maybe wind sheer knocks it down a bit before landfall?
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Class A Season Outlook

P
Those are who I think will be ranked in the top 4 by the state after the regular season if they keep winning. I think they will split up West Hancock and St. Ansgar just like they did last year, but would give the undefeated district champ the home game in the quarters (which is now determined by rankings).

I truly don't know who I like for the dome, as I have said before I think class A is very open this year, and if a team has a off night or a very good night there are a bunch of teams that I think can win in the round of 16 or quarterfinals.
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Class A Season Outlook

T
PNation said:
Updated for this week

District 1
1. Gehlen
2. MMC-RU
3. Sibley-Ocheyedan
4. HMS

The top two are set, S-O vs HMS for 3/4 BC Moore like S-O

District 2
1. West Hancock
2. Saint Ansgar
3. Newman
4. Lake Mills

This is pretty much set in stone, I did hear that Newman was or is without some kids so that might change something if there were some major upsets?

District 3
1. Wapsie
2. Nashua Plainfield
3. North Tama
4. South Winn

This could come down to a 3 way tie, if that is the case Wapsie or North Tama are probably in the best spot, South Winn vs North Tama is also very important this week. I'm just going with my gut, but it easily could be NP at #1

District 4
1. North Linn
2. Maquoketa Valley
3. Starmont
4. Bellevue

North Linn and Maq Valley is a big game this week and both teams have been playing very well, Starmont vs Bellevue might determine 3/4. You still have Starmont vs Maq Valley and Belleve vs North Linn next week.

District 5
1. Lisbon
2. Pekin
3. Columbus
4. Danville

The top are set, Columbus vs Danville for 3/4 I'll take Columbus is that one

District 6
1. Madrid
2. Mount Ayr
3. Lynnville Sully
4. Wayne

I believe that this is set in stone, unless there are some serious upsets.

District 7
1. AC/CG
2. Earlham
3. Riverside
4. SCC

Earlham vs Riverside for 2/3 this week, I think the rest is set

District 8
1. Woodbury Central
2. Tri Center
3. St. Albert
4. Kingsley Pierson

Woodbury Central vs Tri Center for the title, I like St. Albert to control their own destiny and get the 3 spot, then Kingsley Pierson is in the best spot to get the 4 spot.


Predicted Matchups

Gehlen vs Kingsley Pierson
West Hancock vs HMS
Wapsie vs Bellevue
North Linn vs Danville
Lisbon vs South Winn
Madrid vs Lake Mills
AC/GC vs Wayne
Woodbury Central vs SCC

MMC-RU vs St. Albert
Saint Ansgar vs Sibley Ocheyedan
Nashua Plainfield vs Newman
Maquoketa Valley vs. Columbus
Pekin vs Starmont
Mount Ayr vs North Tama
Earlham vs Lynnville Sully
Tri Center vs Riverside

Predicted Top 4 (at the end) and if they win out

West Hancock
AC/GC
Lisbon
North Liinn
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These are your 4 Dome teams or 4 #1 seeds for pods? People are not giving St Ansgar enough credit as they are top 3 in just about every poll but Iowa Preps and the Gazzett. They will be in the Dome as they are one of my locks. I have Maq Valley beating North Linn this week and it would not be an upset as they have more than enough skill players to match NL but are more physical up front on both sides. I think whoever is the 3rd team in this district either MV, NL or Starmont is going to be a very tough out for another districts runner up.

My four pod seeds West Hancock, ACGC, ST Ansger and Lisbon but I think Earlham is better than Lisbon and I also think NL is better than Lisbon
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And the face of the tahd weighs in…

B
HONKifUvCOACHED4BAMA said:
He’s got some other things going on in addition to drinking. The cross eyes, walking around barefooted, etc…
You must always remember, it’s only that 99% of tide fans making the rest of them look so bad.
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I’m guessing he’s a “special needs” guy that has people prompting him to do that shit.

With friends like that who needs enemies, right?

Hopefully if those social media accts are making $ Willie is seeing some of it and not just getting fooked by his handlers.
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