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I also wonder on Xavier's Vinton SB game where they didn't get rolling until late in the 3rd, while their defense gave up some points.
Understand the analysis on the "both ways" concern, however it appears that Xavier also has quite a few going both ways, including QB and multiple lineman, so I am not sure if that will be a difference maker. I think Solon's advantage in the 3rd and 4th quarters was that Pella was already up by 4 scores, so definitely a little let down.Pella is a really good team obviously. Better than I thought they'd be. I think where Xavier will have the distinct advantage will be late in the game when Pella is worn down a bit. Solon could not do anything for two and a half quarters, but once the two-way players on defense (almost all of them go both ways) got tired, Solon moved the ball effectively through the air and on the ground. Most of it through the air as they were down by 28. Pella is not deep and do not have the numbers to rotate kids in and out.
also, something to maybe keep in mind...Pella's kicker has been eratic as of late. I could see him missing a couple which could play a role. He missed his first on friday, and hit his last two. Made something like his first 30 on the year and then missed quite a few late.
So while I think Pella will win the first half, I think Xavier should be able to pull away and win this in a close one. 27-19 or something like that.
As for next year, Pella loses a lot in their QB and their WR among others, but they will be strong again. It will be a step back for sure, but they should have enough to get back to the playoffs. As is the case for any team, it'll rest on if the QB is ready or not.
I've got nothing but respect for Pella - as I've said before, they're the kings until somebody can knock them off - but this is one of Xavier's best teams in quite a while. Pretty much the entire offensive line has played together on varsity for two years. Schulte is a three-year starter at QB who has 22 TDs to only 2 interceptions this year. Wilson is something special at tailback, and if you gang up to stop the ground game, Xavier can gouge you through the air.
Looking at the numbers, the Saints and the Dutch have almost identical offensive yardage; Pella with more through the air and Xavier with more on the ground. Pella has the advantage in yards allowed, but Xavier has been pretty solid on defense since mid-September.
The Saints have handled tall receivers before; while Pella's tall guys are going to be a challenge, it's not like Xavier hasn't seen that already. Quinn Schulte got roasted in the defensive backfield early in the year, but Coach O'Connell has adjusted and the D-backs have been a lot better.
Finney's going to be tough to handle, as a dual-threat QB. Assumption got some yards on the ground with their dual-threat quarterback, although he wasn't able to throw for much. Vinton-Shellsburg had nothing through the air either, but their deception-based rushing attack took a while for Xavier to figure out.
I see this as a toss-up, frankly. I think Xavier is much better suited to take on Pella than they were in 2014. Doesn't mean I think they'll win ... doesn't mean Pella couldn't win by a couple of scores. But I think Xavier is going to hang close and they should have a decent shot to pull out a win.
I've got nothing but respect for Pella - as I've said before, they're the kings until somebody can knock them off - but this is one of Xavier's best teams in quite a while. Pretty much the entire offensive line has played together on varsity for two years. Schulte is a three-year starter at QB who has 22 TDs to only 2 interceptions this year. Wilson is something special at tailback, and if you gang up to stop the ground game, Xavier can gouge you through the air.
Looking at the numbers, the Saints and the Dutch have almost identical offensive yardage; Pella with more through the air and Xavier with more on the ground. Pella has the advantage in yards allowed, but Xavier has been pretty solid on defense since mid-September.
The Saints have handled tall receivers before; while Pella's tall guys are going to be a challenge, it's not like Xavier hasn't seen that already. Quinn Schulte got roasted in the defensive backfield early in the year, but Coach O'Connell has adjusted and the D-backs have been a lot better.
Finney's going to be tough to handle, as a dual-threat QB. Assumption got some yards on the ground with their dual-threat quarterback, although he wasn't able to throw for much. Vinton-Shellsburg had nothing through the air either, but their deception-based rushing attack took a while for Xavier to figure out.
I see this as a toss-up, frankly. I think Xavier is much better suited to take on Pella than they were in 2014. Doesn't mean I think they'll win ... doesn't mean Pella couldn't win by a couple of scores. But I think Xavier is going to hang close and they should have a decent shot to pull out a win.
think so, coaches son. fairly way down on tackle chart for a corner. Thought it was interesting that their QB was also playing DIt has been awhile since the Xavier game I watched, do they still have a sophomore corner starting?
think so, coaches son. fairly way down on tackle chart for a corner. Thought it was interesting that their QB was also playing D
It's high school football. I'd say around half (maybe more) of all teams 3A or lower have their QBs playing defense. When he's one of your top 3 athletes you don't leave him off the field for half the game in HS.think so, coaches son. fairly way down on tackle chart for a corner. Thought it was interesting that their QB was also playing D
I was only countering talk that Pella, who had multiple players going both ways, would be at a disadvantage late in the game. Some are giving Xavier an edge due to numbers, but they have almost as many players playing on both sides as Pella. I fully agree that you want your best athletes on the field.It's high school football. I'd say around half (maybe more) of all teams 3A or lower have their QBs playing defense. When he's one of your top 3 athletes you don't leave him off the field for half the game in HS.
Heck, Jabrill Peppers is maybe showing everybody that you shouldn't leave your best players on the bench in college either
My bad, thanks for clarifyingI was only countering talk that Pella, who had multiple players going both ways, would be at a disadvantage late in the game. Some are giving Xavier an edge due to numbers, but they have almost as many players playing on both sides as Pella. I fully agree that you want your best athletes on the field.
Word on the street is that Pella's starting RB/CB is out for tonight and next week if they win. Injured in practice.
It hurts Pella more on the defensive side than offensively in my opinion. They will kind of piecemeal the RB position I would guess and you shouldnt see much of a dropoff in productivity there. On the other side of the ball, he is a very good cornerback. We'll see what happens...I had Xavier winning before this news so it doesnt change the outcome in my opinion.
Word on the street is that Pella's starting RB/CB is out for tonight and next week if they win. Injured in practice.
It hurts Pella more on the defensive side than offensively in my opinion. They will kind of piecemeal the RB position I would guess and you shouldnt see much of a dropoff in productivity there. On the other side of the ball, he is a very good cornerback. We'll see what happens...I had Xavier winning before this news so it doesnt change the outcome in my opinion.
Interesting, that may be an area where Pella can attack.
It was said earlier but Pella's receivers did create issues for X. The shorter defenders couldn't keep the taller receivers covered up. Xavier passing game was marginal but they were able to move the ball on the ground. Pella definitely had the better passing game. Great game. Lot's of respect for both school's programs. I agree that Webster City is likely in trouble in this one.
Not sure what game you were watching. In case you didn't see it, Xavier lost on the final play of the game.I think we may disagree on what constitutes "well coached". It is WAY more than wins and losses, it is the ability to adapt to the game being played in terms of both the era and specific game. This was a classic case of not adjusting to the specific game. Xavier was out manned on the perimeter, you can't do anything leading up to the game about that (unless you somehow can tell a kid to grow 6 inches and gain 40lbs), so you need to develop a strategy to combat that weakness. Xavier didn't, in fact they did the exact opposite. You can't line a 5'9 CB up on a 6'5 WR (that is a phenomenal basketball player, great vertical jumping ability and stellar hands) and expect him to stop him on man up coverage. So, there was no strategy pre-game, then you get into the game and Pella is exploiting YOUR weakness (little CB on big WR) and you still do NOTHING about it. That isn't adjusting, allowing the kid to succeed, or allowing your defense to perform at the highest level. So, no that isn't "well coached".
Interceptions: One was a tipped ball by a Pella WR and the other was a 30 yard flag that was under thrown (the route should have never even been called), Pella gave them those. I can't remember the 3rd one.
Another point, Xavier owned the TO category, 3-0, and still lost. How does that happen in high school football? It's because your coach didn't put you in position to make the most of those free opportunities.
Xavier outmatched everyone they played all year, this was a game where they were outmatched (size and athleticism on the permitter) and they didn't adjust. Kudos on a 12 win season, but when you faced comparable competition, you lost, and a lot had to do with no one making adjustments throughout the game.