Got Yer Latest RPI Right Here, Step Right Up

[KidSilverhair]

At least my unofficial RPI, but I was exactly aligned with the state last week, so fingers crossed my calculations stay right:

(* indicates likely district champion)

1. *Solon .6929
2. *Western Dubuque .6792
3. *Lewis Central .6720
4. *Sergeant Bluff-Luton .6671
5. Glenwood .6653
6. *Norwalk .6627
7. Xavier .6519
8. *Independence .6380
9. *North Scott .6347
10. *Dallas Center-Grimes .6305
11. Harlan .6281
12. *Pella .6261
13. Davenport Assumption .6126
14. Carlisle .6091
15. Washington .6038
16. Storm Lake .5935

(Next: Mount Pleasant .5802)

These are definitely going to change a bit over the next two weeks - I think Pella is going to go up, for example, and Storm Lake will likely drop out - but it’s interesting. When I get a chance I’ll try to project the final two weeks and see what it might look like.

 

[ronsss]

i quess i like the old system, were top 4 teams from each district played....only because it extended the season, more games to watch....in reality, the top 2 from each district is probably best

 

[ghost80]

i quess i like the old system, were top 4 teams from each district played....only because it extended the season, more games to watch....in reality, the top 2 from each district is probably best

Here is how I'd set up our playoffs.

Go back to 8 districts and eliminate a ND game and make the "regular" season 8 games. Top four from each district match the top four in their sister district in the "regular" playoff format. By eliminating a weekly game the playoffs can remain spaced as they currently are instead of the old condensed playoffs.

Before anyone complains about only 8 games for the teams not making the playoffs here is what else I'd do. Week 9 while some teams are playing playoff games those not would also matchup against the bottom 3 in their sister district. Those teams are given a week 9 game against their peers (a weaker team 7-7, 6-6, 5-5) plus half of them are going to end the season on an uptick.....a W. Year one homefield for those teams is determined by coin toss. Years 2 it goes to the team who did not host a week 9 game the year before (or if they both did or didn't another coin toss).

 

[PNation]

I have a sneaky suspension that in the end your top 15 will be the top 15 and the 16th team will be Oskaloosa.

So that would make the standings like this

District Champions
1. Solon
2. Western Dubuque
3. Lewis Central (if they lose to Glenwood then they are the district champ)
4. SBL
5. Norwalk
6. Independence
7. North Scott
8. DCG
9. Pella

At Large
1. Glenwood
2. Xavier
3. Harlan
4. Assumption
5. Carlisle
6. Washington
7. Osky

Overall

1. *Solon
   
2. *Western Dubuque
   
3. *Lewis Central
   
4. *Sergeant Bluff-Luton
   
5. Glenwood
   
6. *Norwalk
   
7. Xavier
   
8. *Independence
   
9. *North Scott
   
10. *Dallas Center-Grimes
    
11. Harlan
    
12. *Pella
    
13. Davenport Assumption
    
14. Carlisle
    
15. Washington
    
16. Oskaloosa

Pairings

1. Solon vs. 16. Oskaloosa
7/9 North Scott vs. 7/11 Xavier

4. SBL vs. 11/12 Harlan
5/6 Norwalk vs. 5/10 Glenwood

2. Western Dubuque vs. 15. Washington
6/8 Independence vs. 13. Assumption

3. Lewis Central vs. 14. Carlisle
8/10 DCG vs. 9/12 Pella

It'll be interesting if the state pairs up more by overall RPI (with the district champs being hosting) or making the district champs being 1-9 then the at large being 10-16, geographically with their being fewer teams out west makes it hard for a few matchps. Finally will the state look to avoid rematches.

 

[KidSilverhair]

It'll be interesting if the state pairs up more by overall RPI (with the district champs being hosting) or making the district champs being 1-9 then the at large being 10-16, geographically with their being fewer teams out west makes it hard for a few matchps. Finally will the state look to avoid rematches.

Well, I can answer those questions. According to the postseason manual (at least last year’s, the IHSAA just redesigned their website and this year’s version has disappeared, although I know it is the same as last year in this regard), and I quote: “All attempts will be made to create as close to a “true” bracketing format using the RPI to seed to the first two rounds. Geography will be the final factor when creating brackets.”

They go by RPI in seeding, not district finish. But, the top 8 district champions by RPI get to host in the first round; the district champion with the lowest RPI has to travel. Those factors are going to be a big reason why they can’t build a true 16-1 seeded bracket. They go by pure RPI for home-field in the second round; district finish does not come into play.

The only rematches they work to avoid are district champions vs the runner-up from that same district in the first round; although they could match a district champ against a third-place team from that district.

 

[KidSilverhair]

You can look here for my projected RPI finish/possible bracket here:

https://iowapreps.forums.rivals.com/threads/guessing-after-week-7.23316/

 

[PNation]

So looking a little deeper here is what I came up with

-Storm Lake should fall with their remaining schedule
-The winner of Mount Pleasant vs. Washington is in the loser is out
-The winner of Assumption vs. Liberty is probably in, Assumption could be out with a loss to NS then a win over Liberty though
-Winterset will fall with remaining schedule
-Keokuk will fall with remaining schedule
-Grinnell is in with a win over Pella, but I am taking Pella in that one
-Webster City could be in with 2 wins, but a 3 way tie would probably go to DCG, and I don't know if 2 wins would bump them, I also think DCG should be favored
-Knoxville will fall, nice record but no quality wins
-I see Osky winning the last 2 and sneaking in at #16

So with that I see this

District Champions
1. Solon
2. Western Dubuque
3. Lewis Central (if they lose to Glenwood then they are the district champ)
4. SBL
5. Norwalk
6. Independence
7. North Scott
8. DCG
9. Pella

At Large
1. Glenwood
2. Xavier (Xavier is probably ahead of Glenwood if the Rams lose to LC)
3. Harlan
4. Carlisle
5. Washington
6. Liberty
7. Osky

Solon vs. Oskaloosa
DCG vs. Pella

SBL vs. Harlan
Norwalk vs Glenwood

Western Dubuque vs Liberty
Independence vs. Washington

Lewis Central vs. Carlisle
North Scott vs. Xavier

There is going to be one very long quarterfinal trip just about anyway you pair things up.