BCMoore Rankings: 08/28

[bcmoore87]

BCMoore Rankings

Comments are welcome.

Notes:
1. Rankings are biased: 31% the year's scores, 69% 2014 power scores.
2. Comments are welcome.

    R  Team                  Conf ( W- L)    Mod Str  Sched  Rank     Off Ave      Def Ave
    1  CR Xavier             3A-4 ( 0- 0) 238.01  0    0.00 ( 55)   0.00 ( 55)   0.00 (  2)
    2  Dallas Center-Grimes  3A-8 ( 1- 0) 230.55  1W 197.55 (  5)  39.00 (  6)   6.00 ( 15)
    3  Carroll               3A-2 ( 1- 0) 220.43  1W 203.43 (  4)  24.00 ( 17)   7.00 ( 16)
    4  Pella                 3A-7 ( 1- 0) 207.30  1W 189.30 (  9)  42.00 (  4)  24.00 ( 40)
    5  Washington            3A-5 ( 0- 1) 193.97  1L 211.97 (  2)  24.00 ( 15)  42.00 ( 53)
    6  Carlisle              3A-7 ( 0- 1) 192.88  1L 225.88 (  1)   6.00 ( 45)  39.00 ( 50)
    7  Webster City          3A-2 ( 1- 0) 191.10  1W 168.10 ( 20)  42.00 (  3)  19.00 ( 33)
    8  Sioux City Heelan     3A-1 ( 1- 0) 189.88  1W 182.88 ( 11)  21.00 ( 19)  14.00 ( 29)
    9  Boone                 3A-2 ( 0- 0) 189.43  0    0.00 ( 56)   0.00 ( 56)   0.00 (  1)
   10  West Delaware         3A-3 ( 0- 0) 187.30  0    0.00 ( 49)   0.00 ( 48)   0.00 ( 10)
   11  Norwalk               3A-7 ( 1- 0) 186.99  1W 167.99 ( 21)  26.00 ( 13)   7.00 ( 19)
   12  Solon                 3A-4 ( 0- 0) 185.27  0    0.00 ( 47)   0.00 ( 46)   0.00 ( 14)
   13  Harlan                3A-8 ( 1- 0) 182.39  1W 145.39 ( 39)  44.00 (  2)   7.00 ( 17)
   14  Western Dubuque       3A-4 ( 0- 0) 181.58  0    0.00 ( 54)   0.00 ( 54)   0.00 (  4)
   15  Decorah               3A-3 ( 0- 1) 179.26  1L 194.26 (  7)   7.00 ( 41)  22.00 ( 37)
   16  Spencer               3A-1 ( 1- 0) 178.89  1W 167.89 ( 22)  24.00 ( 16)  13.00 ( 23)

 

[moneyman83]

I'll comment on the computer model you have with Harlan they sure jumped fast. Going into the game 35th and Denison was 48 out of 56 teams. They beat the 48th ranked team and they moved from 35th to 13th. 22 spots? Now thinking that seeing as Harlan was 30 point underdogs against Carroll you would of thought it went down right. No it went up they are now 37 point underdogs to Carroll and Lewis Central jumped from 30 point favorites to 45 point favorites against Harlan.
Harlans record jumped from a projected 3-6 to 6-3 because of a win against Denison that has won one game each of the previous two seasons? Seems like an awfully high jump. Juhl was at best maybe 3-10 the first half which the computer probably doesn't take into account individual players performance. Tarney played good but you new he would that's what teams have to do against Harlan is stop the run. Seems like a high jump and the projection changes going up instead of down when a team moves up 22 spots doesn't make sense.

 

[bcmoore87]

You have very good insights.

I resync'd with iahsaa.org data at 12:00:

================


BCMoore Rankings

Comments are welcome.

Notes:
1. Rankings are biased: 31% the year's scores, 69% 2014 power scores.
2. Comments are welcome.

    R  Team                  Conf ( W- L)    Mod Str  Sched  Rank     Off Ave      Def Ave
    1  Dallas Center-Grimes  3A-8 ( 1- 0) 201.25  1W 168.25 ( 13)  39.00 (  6)   6.00 ( 15)
    2  CR Xavier             3A-4 ( 0- 0) 200.17  0    0.00 ( 55)   0.00 ( 55)   0.00 (  2)
    3  Pella                 3A-7 ( 1- 0) 195.34  1W 177.34 (  7)  42.00 (  4)  24.00 ( 40)
    4  Carroll               3A-2 ( 1- 0) 190.06  1W 173.06 ( 10)  24.00 ( 17)   7.00 ( 16)
    5  Washington            3A-5 ( 0- 1) 181.79  1L 199.79 (  2)  24.00 ( 15)  42.00 ( 53)
    6  Sioux City Heelan     3A-1 ( 1- 0) 181.07  1W 174.07 (  9)  21.00 ( 19)  14.00 ( 29)
    7  West Delaware         3A-3 ( 0- 0) 179.16  0    0.00 ( 49)   0.00 ( 48)   0.00 ( 10)
    8  Maquoketa             3A-4 ( 1- 0) 178.55  1W 125.55 ( 40)  53.00 (  1)   0.00 ( 11)
    9  Solon                 3A-4 ( 0- 0) 177.13  0    0.00 ( 47)   0.00 ( 46)   0.00 ( 14)
   10  Norwalk               3A-7 ( 1- 0) 176.74  1W 157.74 ( 20)  26.00 ( 13)   7.00 ( 19)
   11  Webster City          3A-2 ( 1- 0) 176.01  1W 153.01 ( 29)  42.00 (  3)  19.00 ( 33)
   12  Greene County         3A-2 ( 0- 0) 175.28  0    0.00 ( 50)   0.00 ( 50)   0.00 (  9)
   13  Decorah               3A-3 ( 0- 1) 174.80  1L 189.80 (  4)   7.00 ( 41)  22.00 ( 37)
   14  Sergeant Bluff-Luton  3A-1 ( 0- 1) 171.18  1L 206.18 (  1)  14.00 ( 28)  49.00 ( 56)
   15  Boyden-Hull-R Valley  3A-1 ( 1- 0) 169.48  1W 154.48 ( 26)  34.00 (  9)  19.00 ( 32)
   16  Western Dubuque       3A-4 ( 0- 0) 167.69  0    0.00 ( 54)   0.00 ( 54)   0.00 (  4)

 

[ronsss]

demoines register sure likes harlan, they have the cyclones ranked 6th....anyone go to the denison game, how did harlan look.

 

[ronsss]

harlan held dension to a total of 31 yds offense, so far the defense is doing great...denison had a huge offensive line, all averaging 250 or bigger.......harlan had 330yds offense, started subbing in the 3rd quarter...the cylones will be tested in the next 3 weeks, carroll (return most of there lineman), lewis central and dallas central grimes.