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Class A Season Outlook

P
Here is what I see for 1st round predictions and then matchups

4th Place at 1st Place​

  • Wayne at ACGC- ACGC
  • St. Albert, Council Bluffs vs. Gehlen Catholic, LeMars, at Akron-Westfield- Gehlen
  • Starmont at Lisbon -Lisbon
  • North Tama at Madrid- Madrid
  • Columbus Community at Maquoketa Valley- Maquoketa Valley
  • South Central Calhoun at Tri-Center- Tri Center
  • Lake Mills at Wapsie Valley- Wapsie
  • Hartley-Melvin-Sanborn at West Hancock- West Hancock

3rd Place at 2nd Place​

  • Danville at Bellevue- Bellevue
  • Logan-Magnolia at MMCRU- MMCRU
  • Earlham at Mount Ayr- Earlham
  • Newman Catholic, Mason City at Nashua-Plainfield- Nashua Plainfield
  • North Linn at Pekin- Pekin
  • Lynnville-Sully at Riverside, Oakland- Riverside
  • South Winneshiek at Saint Ansgar- Saint Ansgar
  • Sibley-Ocheyedan at Woodbury Central- Woodbury Central

Then these are how I would rank the remaining teams, the top 10 are the states, then that's how I have the remaining 6, I know that Earlham beat Madrid, but they also have a loss since then. I also think the bottom 3 are essentially the same.

1. West Hancock
2. ACGC
3. Saint Ansgar
4. Lisbon
5. Tri-Center
6. Gehlen
7. Maquoketa Valley
8. Pekin
9. Riverside
10. Woodbury Central
11. Madrid
12. Wapsie
13. Earlham
14. MMCRU
15. Nashua Plainfield
16. Bellevue

So taking into both rankings and geography these would be my pods.

West Hancock vs Nashua Plainfield
Gehlen vs Woodbury Central

ACGC vs MMCRU
Tri Center vs Riverside

Saint Ansgar vs Wapsie Valley
Madrid vs Pekin

Lisbon vs Bellevue
Maquoketa Valley vs Earlham

Here is my thought process
1. Top 4 seeds separated, I believe that is a rule they will follow
2. 2 district champs in each pod
3. The top 2 non district champs (Saint Ansgar and Pekin) get the lowest two non top 10 district champs, because district champs get to host second round
4. Put 2 from the top 8 in each pod, with some geography included
5. Tried to put 1 with the lowest team possible, then 2 with the next lowest possible and so on, remembering that district champs wouldn't play each other.
6. I separated 1 and 2 seed from the same district from playing, I don't think that is a rule this year as in years past, but I still did it.
7. The two I struggled with were where to send Earlham and Nashua Plainfield, especially Earlham. I think that they are a clearly better team so I sent them to Maquoketa Valley which is a longer trip, Sending them to West Hancock and NP to MV makes more sense travel wise, but I went with the seeds.
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Dems raising money……

B
HONKifUvCOACHED4BAMA said:
From where I’m sittin nothing good can come from it. If all the law abiding citizens vote early the democrats then know how many fake ballots they’re gonna need.
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I don't think early voting impacts the Dems ability to cheat. At least not here in Georgia.

When you vote in Georgia - it's not all electronic the way you would think. You do have to present your ID, where they check you in and give you a smart card. You plug that in when you get to the voting machine, where you vote using the touch screen.

What is interesting is this machine prints a paper ballot, which you feed into the actual counting device and turn in your smart card.

So they know who has voted the moment they vote, and the system reflects it. If someone wants to cheat, all they have to do is look at who hasn't voted after the polls close and print ballots with straight Dem ticket votes. Register them as voting in the system and feed those paper ballots into the system to be counted. Done.

That's likely what happened with the Fulton county swing that everyone focuses on. They were able to print ballots for people who had not voted by 7pm in a different location and had to smuggle them into the facility to be counted. They would have to implement a process to lock the voter rolls when the polls close - if you aren't checked in you aren't voting. If they did this, it would require them to lock the rolls at each polling location since the law says you can vote if you are in line when the polls close at 7pm.

To your original question - early voting encourages better voter turnout. That's about it.
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The One Loss Lounge for an early breakfast seems….better

Reasoned
HONKifUvCOACHED4BAMA said:
Seriously?
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I was being sarcastic
HONKifUvCOACHED4BAMA said:
First of all, the 4 & 5 star players represent a helluva lot more than 2% of the NFL.
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No doubt, that statistic (if accurate) is the collegiate division 1 population at large.
HONKifUvCOACHED4BAMA said:
Secondly, they’re getting paid to play.
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Sadly true…but that was supposed to be the purpose of the “full-ride” scholarship. So much for the value of a college education…until you blow out your ACL.
HONKifUvCOACHED4BAMA said:
And finally, it doesn’t matter who they play for - the education is there (if they want it.)
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And there’s the rub, “if they want it”.
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Class A Season Outlook

B
bcmoorerankings:

step 1: regression analysis (based on game margin)
step 2: apply analysis to reduce the effect of non-competitive games

I fixed a mistake in the program that was inhibiting step 2.
* This mistake was programmed in the off-season and through a very subtle set of circumstances only showed up now.
* Reports on 10/19 and 10/20 displayed the effects of this error.

(for what its worth)

Thanks to all of the players and coaches for another super season.
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The One Loss Lounge for an early breakfast seems….better

HONKifUvCOACHED4BAMA
Reasoned said:
You mean…they’re not going to college for an education…since fewer than 2% make it to the NFL?
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Seriously?
First of all, the 4 & 5 star players represent a helluva lot more than 2% of the NFL.
Secondly, they’re getting paid to play.
And finally, it doesn’t matter who they play for - the education is there (if they want it.)
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Class A Season Outlook

T
PNation said:
I really think we need to see the rankings that they put out today before we make any guesses, especially who they see as better between Madrid and Wapsie, both might be unranked, but if one is ranked or one is ranked higher, my guess is that the lower one plays Saint Ansgar in the second round.
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I honestly think that if Madrid is sent east which based on the teams in the playoffs is likely they are the second best team on the east side behind St Ansgar, but someone has to play SA in the second rd and no matter what #1 it is they dont want that matchup same as West Hancock last year as a #2. I am just not sold on Lisbon as that district is not very good and Yes I know Pekin is ranked also from that district but again they and Lisbon beat the crap out of the other teams in that district and the two teams that Lisbon and Pekin played in non district Cardinal and Durant were a combined 1 - 15 so you see my skepticism on Lisbon and this district. Maq Valley and Wapsie Valley I think are very similar Wapsie playing a little tougher sched but not by much. If they split up Madrid and SA on the east side I think those are the two teams if Not then its SA and a draw out of the hat.
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The One Loss Lounge for an early breakfast seems….better

HONKifUvCOACHED4BAMA
Reasoned said:
Perhaps, I also think discipline is a significant challenge for teams loaded with 5 & 4 star talent who have been coddled for years, maybe had some family dysfunction and with NIL money in the mix, it’s a recipe for behavior volatility. One can see why Saban would want out, I’ll be interested to see how long Ferentz will stay at Iowa. Although we don’t have the 4 & 5 star recruits issue, the other two would apply…probably to a lesser extent.
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4 and 5 stars aren’t near the problem the transfer portal is. You have to re-recruit your top players every year or they’ll go elsewhere. It used to be cost prohibitive to leave a team (sit out one season) so the top players had to work hard and behave to please the coaches. Not anymore. The coaches have lost that leverage. THAT was the deal killer for Saban.
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Class A Season Outlook

T
My rd of 16 Pods
PNation said:
Current Rankings

1. West Hancock
2. AC/GC
3. Saint Ansgar
4. Lisbon
5. Tri Center
6. Gehlen
7. Maquoketa Valley
8. Pekin
9. Riverside
10. North Linn

So if all of these teams won out, taking rankings and geography into account. I think we would get pairings like this for the second round.

West Hancock vs MMC-RU
Gehlen vs Riverside

AC/GC vs Woodbury Central
Tri Center vs Earlham

Saint Ansgar vs Wapsie Valley
Madrid vs Pekin

Lisbon vs North Linn
Maquoketa Valley vs Nashua Plainfield
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I think on the Eastern side of the state based on 1st rd pairings the pods will be.

St Ansgar vs Madrid
Pekin vs Maq Valley

Bellevue vs Wapsie Valley
Nashua vs Lisbon


PNation said:
This is of course assuming that these are the teams. Gehlen is kind of an island and being #6 I think that the state would send them to the #1 if it is the closest. AC/GC vs Tri Center would be 2 vs 5 and again geographically it makes sense. Saint Ansgar is probably going to have to go to Wapsie in the second round, I see Wapsie as the weakest district champ in the area, and then get the winner of Madrid Pekin where Pekin is #8 and Madrid is currently unranked. It is a long haul, but Maq Valley is ranked ahead of Pekin and Madrid so I think they would get paired with Lisbon, and Madrid and Maq Valley essentially would have the same travel time to get to Saint Ansgar, Pekin would be a haul.
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Dems raising money……

HONKifUvCOACHED4BAMA
Reasoned said:
I thought that at first but now take advantage of it myself (never know if something may happen Election Day). I would add that 1) it shouldn’t start more than a couple of weeks before ED and 2) there still needs to be a robust voter verification process (which thankfully a well run state like Iowa has). It’s the mail-in voting system which requires the most scrutiny…and of course voter registration verification.
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From where I’m sittin nothing good can come from it. If all the law abiding citizens vote early the democrats then know how many fake ballots they’re gonna need.
Click to expand...
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Reactions: IrishPokerDog and hokiemokie

Dems raising money……

Reasoned
HONKifUvCOACHED4BAMA said:
Help me understand why early voting is a good thing?
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I thought that at first but now take advantage of it myself (never know if something may happen Election Day). I would add that 1) it shouldn’t start more than a couple of weeks before ED and 2) there still needs to be a robust voter verification process (which thankfully a well run state like Iowa has). It’s the mail-in voting system which requires the most scrutiny…and of course voter registration verification.
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