Possible Class 1A Districts with competitive balance

[Scott Ervin]

Dist. 1
West Sioux 11-2
Hinton 6-4
Lawton-Bronson 4-5
Ridgeview 4-5
MVAOCOU 2-7
Sioux Central 2-7

Dist. 2
OABCIG 10-2
Emmetsburg 4-5
Poky 4-4
Eagle Grove 3-6
East Sac 2-7
Manson-NWW 1-7

Dist. 3
MFL-Mar-Mac 9-2
A-P 8-2
Wat. Col 6-4
Denver 6-3
Sum-Fred 4-5
Central Springs 2-7

Dist. 4
Grundy Center 13-0
Alburnett 8-2
D-NH 7-3
Hudson 4-5
South Hardin 3-6
East Marshall 0-9

Dist. 5
West Branch 11-1
Cascade 5-4
Durant 5-4
IC Regina 5-4
Dyersville, Beckman 4-4
Wilton 4-4

Dist. 6
Pella Christian 9-2
S-K 8-3
Pleasantville 4-5
Colfax-Mingo 2-7
Cardinal 0-9
E-B-F 0-8

Dist. 7
South Hamilton 8-2
W-G 6-4
Ogden 6-3
WCV 5-4
GVC 4-4
Nodaway Valley 0-8

Dist. 8
Underwood 11-1
AHSTW 10-1
Red Oak 5-4
Treynor 5-4
Shen. 2-6
MO Valley 0-9

Just throwing this out there as an alternative to what has already been predicted.
I guess we will find out next week what the real districts are.

 

[IGo42]

This looks really good. I think this could be the districts the state goes with. Uses both competitive balance and geography.

 

[Prancing Ponies]

I would have to agree - this is the best way to divide them based on competative districts along with geographic area. A few districts are better or worse than each other, but overall it is a good mix. It is hard to say but it seems like every cycle or 2 the state really mixes up the districts based on going east or west. But this looks fair and competative based on last year.

 

[Scott Ervin]

I did the best I could based on geography and trying to have 3 or 4 teams with winning records from last season in each district. There is definitely a few districts that are stronger than others but for the most part I tried to keep them even. I did like the other prediction but I don't think the IAHSAA is going to put three teams that didn't win a game last season in the same district and move S-K to the district with Regina, West Branch, Wilton and Durant. East Marshall was the toughest one to figure because they could go several ways.

 

[Prancing Ponies]

I tried to sit down and figure it out, but this is better than anything I came up with.

 

[Scott Ervin]

I only missed two in my prediction. I was wrong on OABCIG and Waterloo Columbus. Otherwise not too bad.

 

[Prancing Ponies]

That was a very good guess. I think District 3 is still the toughest from 1-4. Quite a few districts have a good 1-2 punch, Not sure if AHSTW will be competative in #8 but if they are that will have 2 also. Otherwise District 2 & 7 are the weakest. District 7 does have South Hamilton but drops after that. District 2 has no one with a good team from last year. Hopefully a couple of those teams have some young kids that step up to make it competative.

 

[IGo42]

You nailed it, Scott E. I'm surprised the state didn't separate OABCIG and West Sioux, that's two really good teams in district 1, and then District 2 doesn't have a single team with a winning record.

They separated DNH, GC and South Hamilton, why not separate OABCIG and WS??

Top to bottom District 3 is the toughest, IMO.

 

[Prancing Ponies]

Not sure about AP but MFL is still going to be very good this year in #3. Denver also usually is pretty competative. District #4 is set up for GC.

 

[PNation]

District 3 everyone is good expect Central Springs.

 

[gdkid2010]

Thanks for putting this together -- you were darn close! Nice work.

The thing about high school sports though, is that past success is certainly not an indication of future results. Lots of turnover year-after-year.

 

[Scott Ervin]

That is very true. Although it appears that the strong programs continue to win, I believe, because they have a good system in place and good coaching. I really like the district format because schools play others that are generally the same size. I am glad that the Athletic Association is listening to the Coaches/Officials Associations on changes they think will make their sports better because I think it was a huge success in wrestling this year.