Playoffs Round 2 Matchup Predictions

[high90school]

Just like we did for round one...doing it again for round 2. I am going off my pics on my predictions thread as well as the pick em game on who will be moving on. It will be a little tougher this week since there is uncertainty on who will be moving on as its win and go home time of the year but we can go ahead and take a stap at looking ahead. I am going off the states predetermined criteria for this round too as much as possible.

Here are my predicted winners for the first round and their district seedings:
Glidden Ralston (1)
Turkey Valley (2)
Melcher Dallas (2)
Fremont Mills (1)
Exira-EHK (3)
Graettinger-Terril/Ruthven-Ayrshire (3)
Newell Fonda (2)
Boyer Valley (1)
Janesville (1)
Coon Rapids Bayard (2)
Central Elkader (1)
West Bend Mallard (1)
Lamoni (1)
Don Bosco(1)
HLV (2)
Northwood Kensett (2)

Here are my round 2 predictions and mileage between the two schools:

(3) Graettinger Terril/Ruthven-Ayrshire @ (1) Glidden Ralston (92 Miles)
(2) Newell Fonda @ (1) West Bend Mallard (55 Miles)
(2) Coon Rapids-Bayard @ (1) Boyer Valley (53 Miles)
(3) Exira-EHK @ (1) Fremont Mills (88 Miles)
(2) Melcher Dallas @ (1) Lamoni (70 Miles)
(2) HLV @ (1) Janesville (71 Miles)
(2) Turkey Valley @ (1) Central Elkader (46 Miles)
(2) Northwood Kensett @ (1) Don Bosco (105 Miles)

Here is how I set my stuff up. With my predictions from round 1, all 8 #1 seeds advanced so they have an automatic second game at home against a lower seed. There will not be a 2 vs 3 matchup anywhere. With all the home teams automatically set then I matched up based on mileage. Western side of the state was fairly easy in my eyes. Eastern side of the state though..not so much. With the the teams very spread out I was really unable to avoid not one but two district rematches. Melcher and Lamoni were kind of matched by defauly since nobody with a two or three seed other than Melcher would fit here without causing some major problems with other games and finding suitable pairings. My next outlier was Northwood Kensett. With them being somewhat isolated they really had only two options to go to in my eyes, Janesville or Don Bosco. If I sent them to Janesville then that would leave me with an HLV rematch and a Turkey Valley-Elkader rematch. I didnt want to have 3 district rematch games this early so I sent them to Don Bosco and HLV to Janesville only leaving Turkey Valley and Central Elkader with a rematch. I tried to avoid the rematches as much as possible but I also have to say at this stage in the playoffs with only 16 teams left, I am actually OK with them happening. Mileage fits, seedings fit, logically it makes sense to get them done with now rather than the quarterfinal round.

A TON of predicted matchups I like though. Particularly on the western of the state. Exira and Fremont should be a barn burner if Peppers is back by that game. If he is those are two state championship caliber teams going at it there. I also like the Newell Fonda and West Bend rematch. It has been a long time since they played back in week 1 and Newell might be the most improved team in the state since that week. Hidden gem might be the Graettinger and Glidden game. I doubt many poeple will talk about that game if it happens but I really like that matchup. On the eastern side I LOVE the possible HLV @ Janesville matchup. Janesville people have questioned all year long with the competition they have played, HLV would give them a real test. That would be a good game to see if Janesville is for real heading into the quarterfinals or if HLV is ready to take the next step in hopes to reach the dome.

 

[hawkeyepower100]

I just see coon and Newell being flipped. So this way they avoid the rematch. Even though it would be a good one why not give both teams and opportunity to move on. I to have looked at projections have same teams winning except GTRA. If that were to happen I see Glidden vs MMC, Coon vs WBM, and Newell vs BV.

 

[high90school]

I agree the winner of the MMC/GTRA game will probably go to Glidden. I still think the Newell @ West Bend game would make more sense only because Newell @ BV is a district rematch. Both games would be really good rematch games but I think they would send them to West Bend for a rematch compared to BV for a district rematch.

 

[hawkeyepower100]

Then go Newell vs glidden BV vs MMC and coon vs WBM I like those

 

[high90school]

I looked at those matchups as well. I really dont know where those teams will go honestly. Between those 6 schools they could be matched up with any of each other really. I would hate being those coaches not being able to go ahead and scout a game or have any idea where to have someone go watch them at. What I had is what I thought made sense for mileage if the state looks at that even though their is no mileage restrictions this week.

 

[HawkFanForLife25]

Mileage wise, for Lamoni, Melcher is about the only match up possible.

 

[gonorse92]

I like the match up's listed and obviously these teams have to take care of business and not get caught looking ahead. It seems like everyone has Turkey Valley beating Clarksville. I think that will be a close physical game. IF Turkey wins I could see them go with Bosco or Janesville, then you could see Bosco-N-K, Turkey-Janesville, Central-HLV. That would keep anyone playing a district mate in the second round. Just my thoughts. Good luck to all.

 

[zay_go_rams]

I'd like to think that the state would give the winner of the MMC/GTRA game a little bit of a break by sending them to Boyer Valley rather than Glidden. They gave Exira a break Rd. 1 trying to give Peppers time to come back by sending them to Sidney rather than MMC. I'd like to think that the state would give a 'break' to the winner of this tough Round 1 match up. But it's just a thought and I could understand if the state didn't see it the same way.

 

[DawgPoundGreat]

To be the best you have to beat the best. What does it matter when you play them. I doubt the state gives a break to a team perceived to have the toughest match up.

 

[hawkeyepower100]

Originally posted by DawgPoundGreat:
To be the best you have to beat the best. What does it matter when you play them. I doubt the state gives a break to a team perceived to have the toughest match up.

So you're saying getting 5 days which includes a weekend and playing monday than friday is the same? Get real it can always matter when you play them in football more than anything. Have you seen NFL thursday night games? The players hate them for a reason and the scores show it.

 

[high90school]

I see your point of giving them a break and Boyer Valley would be the mroe "ideal" matchup verse going to the bigger more physical Glidden team BUT its hard telling what the state is thinking right now. With Glidden and Boyer Valley being fairly centrally located and West Bend not being too far away either, they really have 3 options they could go to. Sure West Bend is a district opponent but come round 2 I dont feel that is as big of a deal playing a district rematch as it is in round 1. A lot of options for those teams on where they might end up after tonights games.

 

[PNation]

You could send NK to Elkader and Turkey Valley to Don Bosco both of those are within the 125 rule, NK to Elkader is 123 miles.

 

[zay_go_rams]

I would agree that it matters. The 5 days between games (and 4 days for 2nd rd-quarters) does not leave much time for teams to heal up. So playing a less physical team in between two physical teams helps a lot, assuming that the team wins of course. No doubt that the best beat the best, but timing does play a factor.

 

[knights_1246]

From what I've heard out of the MMC or GT/RA camp, they could really use a break. Both teams could have been #1 seeds in D2. My question would be what would they do if GT/RA, WBM, and Newell- Fonda all win. That will definitely show whether the state is trying their hardest to avoid inter district matchups.

Only reason I'm doing D2 is because that's the area I've been involved with.

Wish I could be at the GT/RA game though, both teams might be too beat up for round 2.

 

[DawgPoundGreat]

So to get them a normal rest the state should give them a break until the semifinals? Get real, after the first round you could make an argument that the remaining 16 teams are virtually equal. So play them second round instead of 3rd. My point is, any team that wants to win a state championship doesn't care who they play or when they play. They just want to win and plan to beat whomever is on the other side of the field.

 

[high90school]

Newell isnt in D2 with them anymore. They are in D1 with Exira, Boyer, Arweva. They just so happened to get matched up with a lot of the teams from D2 like WBM because of geography. I still feel you will see more in round 2 then you might think. Its to the point that rematches really wont be that big of a deal, especially if they were close hard fought games the first time around.

 

[Trip2011]

There is no 125 mile rule for the second round, that is only for the first round. They can send you where ever they want.

This post was edited on 10/29 1:29 PM by Trip2011

 

[zay_go_rams]

Yes, come second round most teams left are of pretty decent quality, but yet some are still better than others. MMC/GTRA got the worst draw out of any 8 Man teams as far as a first round playoff game IMO, so all I'm wondering is if the state (1) knows and understands the matchup and/or (2) would 'make it right' for lack of better words in the second round for the winner of the game. Was only looking for other opinions, not trying to make a case for either team to then have an easier road to the dome. Boyer Valley or even NF still aren't slouch teams, but they probably aren't as good or physical as Glidden, CRB, or WBM. Just doesn't seem right that any seed other than a 4th seed should have to play a top 10 ranked opponent throughout the entire playoffs.

 

[Hawkeye2010]

Again, "Reasonable attempts will be made to find non-district playoff opponents for 2nd round games, but district match ups could reoccur if an opponent cannot be found within a reasonable distance" ....*within a reasonable distance* ....my guess is 150 miles max.

 

[DawgPoundGreat]

How late will it be tonight before pairings are released. I'd have to think a little earlier than last Friday.

 

[Class A Fan 06]

I would guess around 1:00.

 

[hawkeyepower100]

With BV losing the state is going to have a lot of choices to make with the west side now.