Playoff Projections

[PNation]

It seems like every other board is trying to do this so I figured get one for 2A, still a lot of guessing here on seeds especially in a few of the districts, here is what I have

Spirt Lake v. ELC
Clear Lake vs. Sheldon (barely breaks the 125 rule)
New Hampton vs. Iowa Falls
Cascade vs. Beckman
Williamsburg vs. Tipton
Union vs. Southeast Valley
Albia vs. West Burlington
Clarinda vs. North Polk (there isn't any team within the 125 radius, even with in the same district that I see being a 3 or 4 seed, North Polk is the closest)
Sioux Center vs. CL-GLR
Hampton Dumont vs. AP
NFV vs. Clarion Goldfield
Mount Vernon vs. CPU
Mediapolis vs. Anamosa
STC vs. PCM
CMB vs. Mid Prairie
East Sac vs. Kuemper

 

[Makeweight35]

If there are no upsets the rest of the season in D8, Kuemper would get the 4 seed and they would probably travel to Clarinda if they are the 1 seed.

 

[Y2KG21]

Have they changed playoff seeding? You have Sioux Center vs Central Lyon. Same district. Also Hampton Dumont vs AP? Who is AP?

 

[Y2KG21]

Never mind it just read the new format. Forgot about this. So let's say MOC beats Sheldon next Friday. Good chance District 1 and 2 don't have any cross matches. MOC is 150 miles from CL. Prolly be MOC vs SL and C Lyon vs S Center and Clear Lake vs Eville.

 

[SSG T]

BTW, AP is Aplington-Parkersburg. They moved to 2A this year, in D6.

 

[brain2biceps]

That was a big win for Anamosa against Mount Vernon ... after a 26-game losing streak heading into this season ... this year they get to host a playoff game.

So that would likely send Mount Vernon down to Mediapolis and Anamosa gets to host ...

 

[UnionFootballFan]

Originally posted by brain2biceps:
That was a big win for Anamosa against Mount Vernon ... after a 26-game losing streak heading into this season ... this year they get to host a playoff game.

So that would likely send Mount Vernon down to Mediapolis and Anamosa gets to host ...

Definitely a great turnaround for Anamosa. They finish the season with two tough games though, one of which will decide the district. Week 8 vs. Union (ND, 6-1) and Week 9 vs. Cascade (4-0, 6-1). Should be an exciting finish to the regular season for D4.

 

[brain2biceps]

Updating projections...

*I couldn't get away from rematches for District 1 ... if I have Estherville play Spirit Lake ... then I have Clear Lake against MOC-Floyd Valley, which is 146 miles.

D1 rematches:
Central Lyon at Sioux Center (rematch of a 7 to 6 final score)

MOC-Floyd Valley at Spirit Lake

*I also had to match up Estherville with Clear Lake ... because there's no other district champion within 125 miles.
Estherville at Clear Lake

*And this D8 matchup because Clarinda has no 4th-place team closer.
Carroll Kuemper at Clarinda

*A D5 rematch because WBND has no district champion to face within the mileage limit:
West Burlington - Notre Dame at Williamsburg


The biggest shuffle now will be with how D3 ends up ... I will project North Fayette Valley defeating New Hampton and Beckman defeating CP-U. Even if other results happen, shouldn't be too hard to move the teams around.

Cross-district games:

Monticello at North Fayette Valley

Center Point - Urbana at Cascade

Aplington - Parkersburg at Dyersville Beckman

New Hampton at Anamosa (wow, tough for first round ... and if Anamosa beats Cascade, NH may have to travel there)

Mount Vernon at Mediapolis

Mid-Prairie at Albia

Clarion - Goldfield at East Sac

Southeast Valley at Hampton-Dumont

PCM at La Porte City - Union

South Hardin at CMB

North Polk at South Tama (this is if North Polk beats PCM ... )

 

[warriors dad]

d-8 could be a 3 way tie if and I say if Southeast Valley beats Clarinda on fri. night; East Sac, SEV, Clarinda would be co D-8 champs so what is critera for seeding then?

 

[Makeweight35]

I'm pretty sure Clarinda would get the 1 seed since they have beaten everyone by 13+. SV has to play like they did the first 3 qtrs. against SE if they want a chance to beat Clarinda. I predict the standings will go 1-Clarinda 2-East Sac 3-SV 4-Kuemper. Then it will be interesting as to what the playoff matchups would be.

 

[PNation]

Here is what I have heading into week 9

MOC FV @ Spirit Lake
ELC @ Clear Lake
Monticello @ NFV
CPU @ Cascade
West Burlington @ Williamsburg
PCM @ Union
South Hardin @ CMB
Kuemper @ Clarinda
CL - GLR @ Sioux Center
Southeast Valley @ Hampton Dumont
AP @ Beckman
New Hampton @ Anamosa
Mount Vernon @ Mediapolis
North Polk @ South Tama
Mid Prairie @ Albia
Clarion Goldfield @ East Sac

 

[Rooster51]

Originally posted by brain2biceps:
Updating projections...

*I couldn't get away from rematches for District 1 ... if I have Estherville play Spirit Lake ... then I have Clear Lake against MOC-Floyd Valley, which is 146 miles.

D1 rematches:
Central Lyon at Sioux Center (rematch of a 7 to 6 final score)

MOC-Floyd Valley at Spirit Lake

*I also had to match up Estherville with Clear Lake ... because there's no other district champion within 125 miles.
Estherville at Clear Lake

*And this D8 matchup because Clarinda has no 4th-place team closer.
Carroll Kuemper at Clarinda

*A D5 rematch because WBND has no district champion to face within the mileage limit:
West Burlington - Notre Dame at Williamsburg


The biggest shuffle now will be with how D3 ends up ... I will project North Fayette Valley defeating New Hampton and Beckman defeating CP-U. Even if other results happen, shouldn't be too hard to move the teams around.

Cross-district games:

Monticello at North Fayette Valley

Center Point - Urbana at Cascade

Aplington - Parkersburg at Dyersville Beckman

New Hampton at Anamosa (wow, tough for first round ... and if Anamosa beats Cascade, NH may have to travel there)

Mount Vernon at Mediapolis

Mid-Prairie at Albia

Clarion - Goldfield at East Sac

Southeast Valley at Hampton-Dumont

PCM at La Porte City - Union

South Hardin at CMB

North Polk at South Tama (this is if North Polk beats PCM ... )

B2B,

I think you need to re-check your mileage for WBND as Google maps shows them being 121 & 104 miles from Cascade & Anamosa, respectively. Unless Google Maps is incorrect or the IAHSAA requires teams drive interstate when possible, then you could just exchange CPU & WBND. Other than this oversight, I think your projections are spot on.

 

[brain2biceps]

Good catch! You're right, as long as you stay on 61 and 38 you're within the mileage limit ... but taking 218 (which would be about the same amount of time) it's 20 miles farther.

That's what I'll do ... swap CPU for WBND ...

Yeah, hopefully the state is reading this forum and the projections, ha. More than happy to help them, and maybe it won't take so long for the pairings to come out Friday night.