Playoff LOCKS through Week 8

[GoEagles23]

New website: www.dosomeactualhomeworkbeforeposting.com/steadyscout

BOLD defines an already determined district champion

West Sioux
SCC
Osage
Bellevue
Wilton
Dike (changed to non-bold. People were offended I didn't give Regina a chance next week)
Van Meter
I35 Truro
Pella Christian (opponents record is best in the entire state all classes)
Treynor
West Branch

Win or lose in week 9, all of the above teams teams are IN.
The last 4 spots are 'more than likely' going to come from the following list:

West Lyon
Mt Ayr
South Hamilton
Mepo
Underwood
Sum-Fred

District Champs will (more than likely) be:

1 West Sioux
2 SCC
3 Osage
4 Bellevue
5 Wilton
6 Dike
7 Pella
8 Van Meter
9 Treynor

**More than likely** At Large Teams (locks after week 8 italicized):

West Branch
I-35
West Lyon
South Hamilton
Mt Ayr
Mepo
Sumner-Fred

Underwood will be close. Their opponents record is a big RPI booster for them.

OK, I am done for now. Was bored and this is fun.

Thanks for reading.

 

[nlregalhawk]

New website: www.dosomeactualhomeworkbeforeposting.com/steadyscout

BOLD defines an already determined district champion

West Sioux
SCC
Osage
Bellevue
Wilton
Dike
Van Meter
I35 Truro
Pella Christian (opponents record is best in the entire state all classes)
Treynor
West Branch

Win or lose in week 9, all of the above teams teams are IN.
The last 4 spots are 'more than likely' going to come from the following list:

West Lyon
Mt Ayr
South Hamilton
Mepo
Underwood
Sum-Fred

District Champs will (more than likely) be:

1 West Sioux
2 SCC
3 Osage
4 Bellevue
5 Wilton
6 Dike
7 Pella
8 Van Meter
9 Treynor

**More than likely** At Large Teams (locks after week 8 italicized):

West Branch
I-35
West Lyon
South Hamilton
Mt Ayr
Mepo
Sumner-Fred

Underwood will be close. Their opponents record is a big RPI booster for them.

OK, I am done for now. Was bored and this is fun.

Thanks for reading.

I find it interesting that the website you posted at the top is “do some homework before posting”, because I thought that DNH and Regina were both 4-0 in the district and the winner of the game next Friday (agreed, most likely DNH), would be the District champion. I do agree that Dike gets in, win or lose, but I don’t understand the “bold” winner status.

 

[Charles86]

Underwood will be very close as they play Missouri Valley in week 9. Sum-Freds loss to AP last night has opened the door a little bit.

 

[Iabeastmode]

After I have looked a lot at this, I’m done guessing until I can see what the RPI is on Monday. Too many variables and I hate math.

 

[Charles86]

After I have looked a lot at this, I’m done guessing until I can see what the RPI is on Monday. Too many variables and I hate math.

I was thinking the exact same thing. Once the new batch comes out I can put together who I think will qualify and potential first round games.

 

[Charles86]

Did Clausen play last night for Bellevue?

 

[GoEagles23]

I find it interesting that the website you posted at the top is “do some homework before posting”, because I thought that DNH and Regina were both 4-0 in the district and the winner of the game next Friday (agreed, most likely DNH), would be the District champion. I do agree that Dike gets in, win or lose, but I don’t understand the “bold” winner status.

Apologize for offending you. If I take down the bold from DNH, would you approve ??
Dike is still a lock after Week 8.

 

[ScoutPrep4]

That is some very nice research and a nice website name lol! Seriously those teams I would definitely agree with. Will be interesting to see the new RPI. My last predictions were obviously picked apart and that is fine and apparently frustrated a few, which I am sorry to do but can’t please them all. I knew going in I would miss some and could be way off as well. However got people to read them. The second predictions will come out Wednesday, feel free to look and pick apart again! Would love some insight before hand if you would want. Definitely a little weaker on the east side of the state teams. Thanks!

 

[atomic87]

Just for fun, I calculated what things would look like for at-large contenders under the old 17-point tiebreaker system. (Assigned 17 points for forfeits because that's how I think it was in the past). Included I-35 and Regina in at-large consideration since Pella Christian and DikeNH currently each have the maximum 17 points in their districts so would likely be locks even if they lose.

Assuming E-burg, Cascade and Poky are knocked out by Week 9 losses to current undefeated district foes (and assuming the remaining six 3-1 teams win as projected) takes this list down to 8 teams competing for 7 at large spots. Mt. Ayr could raise its points to 8.4 with a 17 point win. That means Regina would have to lose by 12 or less (and I-35 would have to lose by 13 or less) to at least tie for the last spot. I realize this isn't perfect because teams might have gone for another score instead of running out the clock if they were winning by less than 17 points at some point, but just thought it was interesting to see how things stack up vs. the RPI.

Basically, it puts Mount Ayr on the bubble instead of Underwood.

I-35* 4-0 13.75
Regina* 4-0 13.5
Underwood 3-1 11.75
South Hamilton 3-1 11.25
West Branch 3-1 10.75
West Lyon 3-1 8.5
Mediapolis 3-1 8
Mt. Ayr 3-1 6.25
Emmetsburg 3-1 5.75
Cascade 3-1 4.5
Pocahontas 3-1 4.5

 

[cidhawkeye]

Apologize for offending you. If I take down the bold from DNH, would you approve ??
Dike is still a lock after Week 8.

I don't think anyone was offended. You were just wrong. Glad you fixed it.