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District Standings/Playoff Predictions

usfhawk

All District
Jul 13, 2006
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With two regular season games left on the schedule, we have a slight idea of who will be the top four in each district and what order they will be in.

Current Standings (District records)

D1:

1.) Underwood - 4-0
2.) Avoca - 3-1
3.) IKM Manning - 3-1
4.) Missouri Valley - 3-2

Week 8 game between IKM and MV will help determine 3/4 seed.

D2:

1.) Western Christian - 3-1
2.) Hinton - 4-1
3.) Ridge View - 3-1
4.) West Lyon - 3-1

Ridge View's last two games will be tough ones. Upset alert?

D3:

1.) St. Ansgar - 4-0
2.) Pocahontas Area - 4-0
3.) Emmetsburg - 3-1
4.) Manly Central Spring - 2-3

Week 9 game between Poky and St. Ansgar should decide the district.

D4:

1.) Dike New Hartford - 4-0
2.) South Winn - 3-1
3.) Hudson - 3-1
4.) Jesup - 3-2

Week 9 game between Hudson and South Winn will be big in the D4 race.

D5:

1.) West Branch - 4-0
2.) Wilton - 4-0
3.) Alburnett - 3-1
4.) Bellevue - 1-3

Big games in week 8 and 9. Both include West Branch.

D6:

1.) Regina - 5-0
2.) Sigourney Keota - 3-1
3.) Pella Christian - 3-1
4.) Everyone else

Can Pella Christian give Regina a game a week after Regina takes on fellow private school Xavier?

D7:

1.) South Central Calhoun - 4-0
2.) Ogden - 3-1
3.) Manson NW Webster - 3-1
4.) Madrid - 2-2

Big games in both week 8 and 9!

D8:

1.) Van Meter - 4-0
2.) Panorama - 4-1
3.) Interstate 35 - 2-2
4.) Woodward Granger - 2-2

The 3/4 seeds will be interesting.

Playoff Seeding Predictions

D1:

1.) Underwood
2.) Avoca
3.) IKM Manning
4.) Missouri Valley

D2:

1.) Western Christian
2.) Hinton
3.) West Lyon
4.) Ridge View

D3:

1.) St. Ansgar
2.) Pocahontas Area
3.) Emmetsburg
4.) Manly Central Springs

D4:

1.) Dike New Hartford
2.) South Winn
3.) Hudson
4.) Jesup

D5:

1.) West Branch
2.) Wilton
3.) Alburnett
4.) Bellevue

D6:

1.) Regina
2.) Sigourney Keota
3.) Pella Christian
4.) Columbus Junction

D7:

1.) South Central Calhoun
2.) Madrid
3.) Ogden
4.) Manson NW Webster

D8:

1.) Van Meter
2.) Panorama
3.) Des Moines Christian
4.) Interstate 35
 
Possible opening round matchups........(for conversational purposes only)

With the mileage rule pairings could go in many different directions.

Underwood vs. Ridge View - 99 miles
Western Christian vs. Manson NW Webster - 125 miles
St. Ansgar vs. Jesup - 101 miles
DNH vs. Manly CS - 101 miles
West Branch vs. Columbus Junction - 31 miles
Regina vs. Bellevue - 110 miles
South Central Calhoun vs. Missouri Valley - 90 miles
Van Meter vs. Interstate 35 - 35 miles

Madrid vs. Panorama - 40 miles
Pella Christian vs. Alburnett - 89
Wilton vs. Sigourney Keota - 88 miles
South Winn vs. Hudson - 70
Pocahontas Area vs. Ogden - 80 miles
Avoca vs. Des Moines Christian - 93 miles
West Lyon vs. Emmetsburg - 110 miles
IKM Manning vs. Hinton - 99 miles
 
These look pretty good the only change I would make is I would send Hudson to Pella Christian and Alburnett to South Winn.
 
These look pretty good the only change I would make is I would send Hudson to Pella Christian and Alburnett to South Winn.


There are quiet a few options that fit the 125 mile rule.

I tried to stay with the shortest travel distance.

This is all subject to change depending on how the teams finish up the last two weeks and how the good ole boys in Boone decide to map it out.
 
The only reason I did that is to avoid a district matchup in the 1st round with Hudson and South Winn, plus I think they play week 9 possibly. I think avoiding district rematches is the first criteria for the Boone boys.
 
Which I think those district rematches can be avoided almost all together if you send Ridge View to South Central Calhoun...Missouri Valley to Van Meter....and I-35 to Underwood...based on who you have projected as 1s, 2s, 3s and 4s.
 
Which I think those district rematches can be avoided almost all together if you send Ridge View to South Central Calhoun...Missouri Valley to Van Meter....and I-35 to Underwood...based on who you have projected as 1s, 2s, 3s and 4s.

Depending on the mileage. 1-35 to Underwood was over 125 when I looked, but just looked on google maps and has an alternate route at 120. So, your changes would work.
 
I'd say the 125 mile rule is more of a guideline than a strict limit. There were a few 1st and 2nd rd matches last year that exceeded the "limit", if I recall.
 
125 limit is a rule for the 1st Round only, so shouldn't have been any 1st Round games over 125 miles last year.

From the IHSAA Post-Season Manual:
1st Round:
    • A 125-mile limitation for 1st round games is in place for classes 3A, 2A, 1A, A, and 8 player.
    • District Champions and District Runner-Ups have the opportunity to host.
    • No preset brackets will be made for the playoffs.
    • Pairings will be determined after each round of the playoffs.
    • Reasonable attempts will be made to find non-district playoff opponents for 1st round games, but district match ups could reoccur if an opponent cannot be found within the 125 mile distance.

Now, all bets are off for the 2nd Round and QtrFinal Rounds...certainly could see opponents that have to travel farther than 125 miles.
 
District 5 is really weak this year besides the norm of WB, no other team will win their 1st rd game
 
District 5 is really weak this year besides the norm of WB, no other team will win their 1st rd game

i could not agree more. The Bears seem to be hitting a stride. D5 is pretty weak but I think D8 is probably more weak.
 
i could not agree more. The Bears seem to be hitting a stride. D5 is pretty weak but I think D8 is probably more weak.
I wish the Bears would have tested themselves with better non-districts schedule. I realize that schedules are set in advance & there is a certain unknown of how a team on your non-district schedule will be.
 
who would've guessed that WBND was going to tank after the Bears beat them in week 3. Injuries to key players i what I hear. Most of which happened after the Bears beat them. As for WB's other OOD 2 games I just looked at the schedule. West Liberty is just terrible but they are probably a rivalry game. Lisbon is 6-2 and playing pretty well. But you are right it may come back to bite the Bears.

District schedules are a crap shoot. You never know what a team is going to do 24 months in advance of year 2 of the cycle. You just become a product of your environment. Look at my Eagles, we won all 3 non district games but are struggling in a very tough district 4. Thems the breaks I guess
 
I knew that West Branchs' district was garbage go back and look. I had a number of people tell me I was crazy, but guess what their schedule sucked and I called it. I'm known as a West Branch hater, but they need to look at what I said after the season is over and rethink their non district schedule. I still think West Branch will make it to the quarters this year, but they will be shell shocked by ICR or DNH by 30 or 40 at that point. Here's a prediction, no body in District 5 except West Branch will win a play off game.
 
I knew that West Branchs' district was garbage go back and look. I had a number of people tell me I was crazy, but guess what their schedule sucked and I called it. I'm known as a West Branch hater, but they need to look at what I said after the season is over and rethink their non district schedule. I still think West Branch will make it to the quarters this year, but they will be shell shocked by ICR or DNH by 30 or 40 at that point. Here's a prediction, no body in District 5 except West Branch will win a play off game.

No kidding on the D5 analysis.
 
Can anyone give me their opinion on Van Meter? They are a solid team with a good amount of experience. I know that some of the seniors this year started for the 2013 semifinal team. What are their chances against Underwood given they meet in the quarterfinal game? Underwood looks good on paper and so does Van Meter but have either of them had a very tough schedule?
 
Last-second playoff predictions:

West-
Missouri Valley at Underwood
West Lyon at Western Christian
Interstate-35 at South Central Calhoun
Manson Northwest Webster at Van Meter

Ridge View at AHSTW
IKM-Manning at Hinton
Des Moines Christian at Madrid
Ogden at Panorama

East-
Bellevue at Iowa City Regina
Columbus Community at West Branch
Central Springs at Dike-New Hartford
Jesup at Saint Ansgar

Emmetsburg at Pocahontas Area
Alburnett at South Winn
Pella Christian at Wilton
Hudson at Sigourney-Keota
 
Gonna depend on which district the State decides to send east between D3 (Saint Ansgar) and D8 (Van Meter).

Last year they sent D8 east. Only issue with that this year is that if they do that, it looks like at least all 1v4 matchups in the west would then be re-matches of district foes. If they sent D3 east, then they could avoid a few more of those. There would just be some longer travels for a couple teams in the next round depending on who wins.
 
I knew that West Branchs' district was garbage go back and look. I had a number of people tell me I was crazy, but guess what their schedule sucked and I called it. I'm known as a West Branch hater, but they need to look at what I said after the season is over and rethink their non district schedule. I still think West Branch will make it to the quarters this year, but they will be shell shocked by ICR or DNH by 30 or 40 at that point. Here's a prediction, no body in District 5 except West Branch will win a play off game.
Why are you a WB hater?
 
I said, I was known as one, but I am not. I just brought up a few points in the past that Bears fans disagreed with. Mostly about scheduling and its association with deep runs in the playoffs.
 
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I'd like to see Butch get one more. We had a 4 year run of special players that set the tone for what WB football is today but for whatever reason, since that run, they haven't been able to break through for another title.

That should tell you how hard it is to win one because a few of those years since the last title, they've had the talent.
 
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I'd like to see Butch get one more. We had a 4 year run of special players that set the tone for what WB football is today but for whatever reason, since that run, they haven't been able to break through for another title.

That should tell you how hard it is to win one because a few of those years since the last title, they've had the talent.

Looking at the record board at the Lil Rose Bowl 1994 was a pretty good year statistically.
Who knows. Maybe 2015 is the year.
 
Well lets talk about someone else then....

Anyone like South Winn's chances?.....jen?

How about Underwood going undefeated?



Hey it's that or more West Branch title talk............:eek:
 
Well lets talk about someone else then....

Anyone like South Winn's chances?.....jen?

How about Underwood going undefeated?



Hey it's that or more West Branch title talk............:eek:

Did South Winn all of a sudden become the underdog in their 1st rd game? Did I miss something?
 
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