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BCMoore Prediction Game: week6

bcmoore87

All District
Oct 30, 2001
8,004
29
48
1. Guess the game margin for the top 10 matchups in Class 4A. Beat the computer - earn iapreps fame - prove to everyone that your team is underrated.


2. Notation: +2 --> Home wins by 2 points. -7 --> Visitor wins by 7 points.


3. Game is open to all, and all are encouraged to play. The greater the number of participants, the more accurate the overall predictions should be (central limit theorem).


3.1 Reply to this post in this form:


username, -2, -4, +3, +5, -3, +10, -20, +3, +3, -1


where: username --> your rivals.com username,

-2, -4, +3, +5, -3, +10, -20, +3, +3, -1 --> your predictions for the 10 games this week


3.2 Notes:


3.2.1 Use one line only.

3.2.2 Use a comma and space as separators


3.2 The following are example of bad replies:


name


-13, +3, +14, +12, +4, +26, +10, -8, +21, +43 (entry uses two lines, comma after name missing)


name,-13,+3,+14,+12,+4,+26,+10,-8,+21,+43 (spaces missing)


name: -13,+3,+14,+12,+4,+26,+10,-8,+21,+43 (don't use colon, spaces missing)


name -13, +3, +14, +12, +4, +26, +10, -8, +21, +43 (commas after name missing)


3.3 Motivation of format rules is to minimize mistakes in reading your entry and minimize the amount of my time in working on this contest.


4. Rankings: Official rankings of the contest are the BCMoore Rankings, http://bcmoorerankings.com.


5. Scoring: Entry with most correct answers wins. Ties will be broken by sum of (absolute values of predictions - actual scores).


6. Deadline: All entries must be submitted by Thursday, 5PM. Entries can be changed up to deadline. To change your entry, submit a new entry. Do not edit a previous entry; I may not see the change you want to make.


7. Duration: Contest will run for the length of the regular season. Updates on season long standings will be given weekly in addition to each individual weeks winner.


8. Game selection: Games are generally selected based on two criteria:

8.1 Each district has at least one team in the weekly game.

8.2 Remaining games are selected based on state-wide merit.





This week's games:



N Conf Rk (W-L) Visitor Conf Rk (W-L) Home Matchup
51 4A-5 22 (3-2) CR Jefferson 4A-5 15 (4-1) Cedar Falls 170.81
52 4A-8 5 (5-0) Bettendorf 4A-7 21 (3-2) Iowa City West 165.10
53 4A-5 12 (4-1) Marion Linn-Mar 4A-5 24 (0-5) CR Kennedy 162.51
54 4A-4 26 (3-2) Indianola 4A-4 28 (4-1) Fort Dodge 161.04
55 4A-7 14 (2-3) Pleasant Valley 4A-7 29 (2-3) Davenport Central 152.64
56 4A-3 25 (3-2) Des Moines Hoover 4A-3 7 (4-1) Ankeny Centennial 149.59
57 4A-4 23 (2-3) Urbandale 4A-4 4 (4-1) Waukee 148.62
58 4A-2 18 (5-0) Sioux City East 4A-2 1 (4-1) WDM Dowling 146.45
59 4A-6 27 (4-1) Ottumwa 4A-6 2 (5-0) CR Washington 142.87
60 4A-1 9 (3-2) Ames 4A-1 32 (3-2) Sioux City North 139.75

Composite Computer, 16, -33, -50, 6, -8, 27, 47, 13, 45, -11
Modified Computer, 7, -31, -11, -3, -14, 22, 37, 45, 49, -28
Standard Computer, 2, -17, -10, -1, -15, 25, 36, 46, 39, -29
Momentum Computer, 2, -17, -10, -1, -15, 25, 36, 46, 39, -29
 
Conf Rk (W-L) Visitor Conf Rk (W-L) Home Open Curr
4A-5 22 (3-2) CR Jefferson 4A-5 15 (4-1) Cedar Falls 4.5 7.0
4A-8 5 (5-0) Bettendorf 4A-7 21 (3-2) Iowa City West -24.0 -17.0
4A-5 12 (4-1) Marion Linn-Mar 4A-5 24 (0-5) CR Kennedy -10.5 -14.0
4A-4 26 (3-2) Indianola 4A-4 28 (4-1) Fort Dodge -1.0 -3.0
4A-7 14 (2-3) Pleasant Valley 4A-7 29 (2-3) Davenport Central -14.5 -8.0
4A-3 25 (3-2) Des Moines Hoover 4A-3 7 (4-1) Ankeny Centennial 25.0 22.0
4A-4 23 (2-3) Urbandale 4A-4 4 (4-1) Waukee 36.5 28.0
4A-2 18 (5-0) Sioux City East 4A-2 1 (4-1) WDM Dowling 45.5 35.0
4A-6 27 (4-1) Ottumwa 4A-6 2 (5-0) CR Washington 42.0 26.0
4A-1 9 (3-2) Ames 4A-1 32 (3-2) Sioux City North -28.5 -16.0
 
Conf Rk (W-L) Visitor Conf Rk (W-L) Home Open Curr
4A-5 22 (3-2) CR Jefferson 4A-5 15 (4-1) Cedar Falls 4.5 7.0
4A-8 5 (5-0) Bettendorf 4A-7 21 (3-2) Iowa City West -24.0 -21.0
4A-5 12 (4-1) Marion Linn-Mar 4A-5 24 (0-5) CR Kennedy -10.5 -14.0
4A-4 26 (3-2) Indianola 4A-4 28 (4-1) Fort Dodge -1.0 -4.0
4A-7 14 (2-3) Pleasant Valley 4A-7 29 (2-3) Davenport Central -14.5 -10.0
4A-3 25 (3-2) Des Moines Hoover 4A-3 7 (4-1) Ankeny Centennial 25.0 22.0
4A-4 23 (2-3) Urbandale 4A-4 4 (4-1) Waukee 36.5 28.0
4A-2 18 (5-0) Sioux City East 4A-2 1 (4-1) WDM Dowling 45.5 31.0
4A-6 27 (4-1) Ottumwa 4A-6 2 (5-0) CR Washington 42.0 26.0
4A-1 9 (3-2) Ames 4A-1 32 (3-2) Sioux City North -28.5 -21.0
 
Conf Rk (W-L) Visitor Conf Rk (W-L) Home Open Curr
4A-5 22 (3-2) CR Jefferson 4A-5 15 (4-1) Cedar Falls 4.5 7.0
4A-8 5 (5-0) Bettendorf 4A-7 21 (3-2) Iowa City West -24.0 -21.0
4A-5 12 (4-1) Marion Linn-Mar 4A-5 24 (0-5) CR Kennedy -10.5 -14.0
4A-4 26 (3-2) Indianola 4A-4 28 (4-1) Fort Dodge -1.0 -4.0
4A-7 14 (2-3) Pleasant Valley 4A-7 29 (2-3) Davenport Central -14.5 -10.0
4A-3 25 (3-2) Des Moines Hoover 4A-3 7 (4-1) Ankeny Centennial 25.0 22.0
4A-4 23 (2-3) Urbandale 4A-4 4 (4-1) Waukee 36.5 28.0
4A-2 18 (5-0) Sioux City East 4A-2 1 (4-1) WDM Dowling 45.5 28.0
4A-6 27 (4-1) Ottumwa 4A-6 2 (5-0) CR Washington 42.0 26.0
4A-1 9 (3-2) Ames 4A-1 32 (3-2) Sioux City North -28.5 -17.0
 
Conf Rk (W-L) Visitor Conf Rk (W-L) Home Open Curr
4A-5 22 (3-2) CR Jefferson 4A-5 15 (4-1) Cedar Falls 4.5 7.0
4A-8 5 (5-0) Bettendorf 4A-7 21 (3-2) Iowa City West -24.0 -21.0
4A-5 12 (4-1) Marion Linn-Mar 4A-5 24 (0-5) CR Kennedy -10.5 -14.0
4A-4 26 (3-2) Indianola 4A-4 28 (4-1) Fort Dodge -1.0 -3.5
4A-7 14 (2-3) Pleasant Valley 4A-7 29 (2-3) Davenport Central -14.5 -10.0
4A-3 25 (3-2) Des Moines Hoover 4A-3 7 (4-1) Ankeny Centennial 25.0 22.0
4A-4 23 (2-3) Urbandale 4A-4 4 (4-1) Waukee 36.5 28.0
4A-2 18 (5-0) Sioux City East 4A-2 1 (4-1) WDM Dowling 45.5 28.0
4A-6 27 (4-1) Ottumwa 4A-6 2 (5-0) CR Washington 42.0 25.0
4A-1 9 (3-2) Ames 4A-1 32 (3-2) Sioux City North -28.5 -15.0
 
Conf Rk (W-L) Visitor Conf Rk (W-L) Home Open Curr Act
4A-5 22 (3-2) CR Jefferson 4A-5 15 (4-1) Cedar Falls 4.5 7.0 18
4A-8 5 (5-0) Bettendorf 4A-7 21 (3-2) Iowa City West -24.0 -21.0 -1
4A-5 12 (4-1) Marion Linn-Mar 4A-5 24 (0-5) CR Kennedy -10.5 -14.0 -15
4A-4 26 (3-2) Indianola 4A-4 28 (4-1) Fort Dodge -1.0 -3.5 18
4A-7 14 (2-3) Pleasant Valley 4A-7 29 (2-3) Davenport Central -14.5 -10.0 -21
4A-3 25 (3-2) Des Moines Hoover 4A-3 7 (4-1) Ankeny Centennial 25.0 22.0 31
4A-4 23 (2-3) Urbandale 4A-4 4 (4-1) Waukee 36.5 28.0 41
4A-2 18 (5-0) Sioux City East 4A-2 1 (4-1) WDM Dowling 45.5 28.0 49
4A-6 27 (4-1) Ottumwa 4A-6 2 (5-0) CR Washington 42.0 25.0 38
4A-1 9 (3-2) Ames 4A-1 32 (3-2) Sioux City North -28.5 -15.0 -20
 
Name Cor Att % Dev
Mize19 10 10 1.000 142
Composite Computer 10 10 1.000 156
Straw1397 10 10 1.000 156
Standard Computer 9 10 0.900 86
Momentum Computer 9 10 0.900 86
Dragon7678 9 10 0.900 93
Modified Computer 9 10 0.900 109
bcmoore87 9 10 0.900 122
MarionHawk 9 10 0.900 124
RedAgentRadar 9 10 0.900 131
orsky1 9 10 0.900 135
zmac328 9 10 0.900 136
SEPRamFan 9 10 0.900 139
maxstabs13 9 10 0.900 144
PNation 9 10 0.900 149
EHS1505 8 10 0.800 143
screwloose 8 10 0.800 151
Screwloose Ranking 8 10 0.800 187


Name Cor Att % Dev
RedAgentRadar 48 60 0.800 789
Mize19 47 60 0.783 839
orsky1 46 60 0.767 901
SEPRamFan 45 60 0.750 820
MarionHawk 45 60 0.750 880
Straw1397 44 60 0.733 842
PNation 44 60 0.733 897
Modified Computer 44 60 0.733 956
Composite Computer 44 60 0.733 1573
EHS1505 43 60 0.717 856
maxstabs13 43 60 0.717 927
Dragon7678 42 59 0.712 810
bcmoore87 42 58 0.724 905
Standard Computer 42 60 0.700 955
Momentum Computer 42 60 0.700 955
screwloose 41 60 0.683 937
EastIowaHawk 27 40 0.675 1076
zmac328 17 20 0.850 982
Screwloose Ranking 15 20 0.750 1092


Name ATS Att % p-val Fame
Dragon7678 32 50 0.640 0.023 14
Straw1397 30 49 0.612 0.059 11
SEPRamFan 28 46 0.609 0.071 10
EastIowaHawk 20 31 0.645 0.053 9
RedAgentRadar 22 40 0.550 0.267 4
screwloose 26 48 0.542 0.285 4
MarionHawk 24 45 0.533 0.330 3
EHS1505 23 46 0.500 0.500 0
bcmoore87 17 34 0.500 0.500 0
PNation 21 44 0.477 0.383 -2
zmac328 7 16 0.438 0.316 -2
Composite Computer 26 55 0.473 0.345 -3
Modified Computer 21 46 0.457 0.281 -4
Screwloose Ranking 7 18 0.389 0.180 -4
maxstabs13 22 49 0.449 0.240 -5
Mize19 16 38 0.421 0.169 -6
orsky1 20 47 0.426 0.156 -7
Standard Computer 17 45 0.378 0.051 -11
Momentum Computer 17 45 0.378 0.051 -11
 
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