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BCMoore Prediction Game: week6

bcmoore87

All District
Oct 30, 2001
8,004
29
48
1. Guess the game margin for the top 10 matchups in Class 3A. Beat the computer - earn iapreps fame - prove to everyone that your team is underrated.


2. Notation: +2 --> Home wins by 2 points. -7 --> Visitor wins by 7 points.


3. Game is open to all, and all are encouraged to play. The greater the number of participants, the more accurate the overall predictions should be (central limit theorem).


3.1 Reply to this post in this form:


username, -2, -4, +3, +5, -3, +10, -20, +3, +3, -1


where: username --> your rivals.com username,

-2, -4, +3, +5, -3, +10, -20, +3, +3, -1 --> your predictions for the 10 games this week


3.2 Notes:


3.2.1 Use one line only.

3.2.2 Use a comma and space as separators


3.2 The following are example of bad replies:


name


-13, +3, +14, +12, +4, +26, +10, -8, +21, +43 (entry uses two lines, comma after name missing)


name,-13,+3,+14,+12,+4,+26,+10,-8,+21,+43 (spaces missing)


name: -13,+3,+14,+12,+4,+26,+10,-8,+21,+43 (don't use colon, spaces missing)


name -13, +3, +14, +12, +4, +26, +10, -8, +21, +43 (commas after name missing)


3.3 Motivation of format rules is to minimize mistakes in reading your entry and minimize the amount of my time in working on this contest.


4. Rankings: Official rankings of the contest are the BCMoore Rankings, http://bcmoorerankings.com.


5. Scoring: Entry with most correct answers wins. Ties will be broken by sum of (absolute values of predictions - actual scores).


6. Deadline: All entries must be submitted by Friday, 5PM. Entries can be changed up to deadline. To change your entry, submit a new entry. Do not edit a previous entry; I may not see the change you want to make.


7. Duration: Contest will run for the length of the regular season. Updates on season long standings will be given weekly in addition to each individual weeks winner.


8. Game selection: Games are generally selected based on two criteria:

8.1 Each district has at least one team in the weekly game.

8.2 Remaining games are selected based on state-wide merit.




This week's games:



N Conf Rk (W-L) Visitor Conf Rk (W-L) Home Matchup
51 3A-7 2 (5-0) Pella 3A-7 6 (4-1) Carlisle 175.13
52 2A-2 1 (5-0) Clear Lake 3A-3 7 (4-1) Waverly-Shell Rock 174.04
53 3A-6 8 (4-1) Newton 3A-6 11 (4-1) Huxley Ballard 166.47
54 3A-6 5 (4-1) Gilbert 3A-6 23 (3-2) Bondurant-Farrar 153.66
55 3A-5 20 (3-2) Davenport Assumption 3A-4 25 (2-3) Dubuque Wahlert 153.14
56 3A-3 3 (5-0) West Delaware 3A-3 19 (4-1) Charles City 151.52
57 3A-4 14 (3-2) Western Dubuque 3A-4 1 (4-1) CR Xavier 150.05
58 3A-1 9 (4-1) Sioux City Heelan 3A-1 28 (2-3) Boyden-Hull-R Valley 146.03
59 3A-2 10 (4-1) Humboldt 3A-2 30 (2-3) Greene County 144.31
60 3A-8 36 (2-3) Harlan 3A-8 35 (3-2) Winterset 145.06

Composite Computer, -26, -20, 1, -21, -14, -30, 30, -30, -28, 5
Modified Computer, -11, -16, -5, -20, -4, -26, 29, -17, -17, 2
Standard Computer, -9, -7, -4, -18, -9, -23, 30, -16, -16, 2
Momentum Computer, -9, -7, -4, -18, -9, -23, 30, -16, -16, 2
 
Conf Rk (W-L) Visitor Conf Rk (W-L) Home Open Curr
3A-7 2 (5-0) Pella 3A-7 6 (4-1) Carlisle -10.0 -11.0
2A-2 1 (5-0) Clear Lake 3A-3 7 (4-1) Waverly-Shell Rock -11.5 -7.0
3A-6 8 (4-1) Newton 3A-6 11 (4-1) Huxley Ballard -4.0 -4.0
3A-6 5 (4-1) Gilbert 3A-6 23 (3-2) Bondurant-Farrar -19.0 -18.0
3A-5 20 (3-2) Davenport Assumption 3A-4 25 (2-3) Dubuque Wahlert -9.0 -9.0
3A-3 3 (5-0) West Delaware 3A-3 19 (4-1) Charles City -24.5 -23.0
3A-4 14 (3-2) Western Dubuque 3A-4 1 (4-1) CR Xavier 30.0 30.0
3A-1 9 (4-1) Sioux City Heelan 3A-1 28 (2-3) Boyden-Hull-R Valley -16.5 -17.0
3A-2 10 (4-1) Humboldt 3A-2 30 (2-3) Greene County -16.5 -16.0
3A-8 36 (2-3) Harlan 3A-8 35 (3-2) Winterset 2.0 2.0
 
Conf Rk (W-L) Visitor Conf Rk (W-L) Home Open Curr
3A-7 2 (5-0) Pella 3A-7 6 (4-1) Carlisle -10.0 -16.0
2A-2 1 (5-0) Clear Lake 3A-3 7 (4-1) Waverly-Shell Rock -11.5 -7.0
3A-6 8 (4-1) Newton 3A-6 11 (4-1) Huxley Ballard -4.0 -4.0
3A-6 5 (4-1) Gilbert 3A-6 23 (3-2) Bondurant-Farrar -19.0 -18.0
3A-5 20 (3-2) Davenport Assumption 3A-4 25 (2-3) Dubuque Wahlert -9.0 -14.0
3A-3 3 (5-0) West Delaware 3A-3 19 (4-1) Charles City -24.5 -23.0
3A-4 14 (3-2) Western Dubuque 3A-4 1 (4-1) CR Xavier 30.0 30.0
3A-1 9 (4-1) Sioux City Heelan 3A-1 28 (2-3) Boyden-Hull-R Valley -16.5 -19.0
3A-2 10 (4-1) Humboldt 3A-2 30 (2-3) Greene County -16.5 -18.5
3A-8 36 (2-3) Harlan 3A-8 35 (3-2) Winterset 2.0 2.0
 
Conf Rk (W-L) Visitor Conf Rk (W-L) Home Open Curr
3A-7 2 (5-0) Pella 3A-7 6 (4-1) Carlisle -10.0 -14.0
2A-2 1 (5-0) Clear Lake 3A-3 7 (4-1) Waverly-Shell Rock -11.5 -7.0
3A-6 8 (4-1) Newton 3A-6 11 (4-1) Huxley Ballard -4.0 -3.0
3A-6 5 (4-1) Gilbert 3A-6 23 (3-2) Bondurant-Farrar -19.0 -14.0
3A-5 20 (3-2) Davenport Assumption 3A-4 25 (2-3) Dubuque Wahlert -9.0 -14.0
3A-3 3 (5-0) West Delaware 3A-3 19 (4-1) Charles City -24.5 -22.5
3A-4 14 (3-2) Western Dubuque 3A-4 1 (4-1) CR Xavier 30.0 30.0
3A-1 9 (4-1) Sioux City Heelan 3A-1 28 (2-3) Boyden-Hull-R Valley -16.5 -17.0
3A-2 10 (4-1) Humboldt 3A-2 30 (2-3) Greene County -16.5 -17.0
3A-8 36 (2-3) Harlan 3A-8 35 (3-2) Winterset 2.0 2.0
 
Conf Rk (W-L) Visitor Conf Rk (W-L) Home Open Curr Act
3A-7 2 (5-0) Pella 3A-7 6 (4-1) Carlisle -10.0 -14.0 -11
2A-2 1 (5-0) Clear Lake 3A-3 7 (4-1) Waverly-Shell Rock -11.5 -7.0 -21
3A-6 8 (4-1) Newton 3A-6 11 (4-1) Huxley Ballard -4.0 -2.0 -3
3A-6 5 (4-1) Gilbert 3A-6 23 (3-2) Bondurant-Farrar -19.0 -14.0 8
3A-5 20 (3-2) Davenport Assumption 3A-4 25 (2-3) Dubuque Wahlert -9.0 -14.0 -34
3A-3 3 (5-0) West Delaware 3A-3 19 (4-1) Charles City -24.5 -22.0 -6
3A-4 14 (3-2) Western Dubuque 3A-4 1 (4-1) CR Xavier 30.0 30.0 -1
3A-1 9 (4-1) Sioux City Heelan 3A-1 28 (2-3) Boyden-Hull-R Valley -16.5 -17.0 -16
3A-2 10 (4-1) Humboldt 3A-2 30 (2-3) Greene County -16.5 -17.0 -1
3A-8 36 (2-3) Harlan 3A-8 35 (3-2) Winterset 2.0 2.0 23
 
Name Cor Att % Dev
bcmoore87 8 10 0.800 144
Standard Computer 8 10 0.800 152
Momentum Computer 8 10 0.800 152
Modified Computer 8 10 0.800 153
KidKinnick 8 10 0.800 165
Vroom_C14 7 10 0.700 155
NorseHorse 7 10 0.700 171
Composite Computer 7 10 0.700 183
EastIowaHawk 6 10 0.600 144
fmclonefan 6 10 0.600 159
PNation 6 10 0.600 161
Mize19 6 10 0.600 211
Wild Man 4510 5 10 0.500 153


Name Cor Att % Dev
fmclonefan 41 60 0.683 872
Wild Man 4510 39 60 0.650 966
Modified Computer 39 60 0.650 1049
PNation 39 60 0.650 1057
NorseHorse 38 60 0.633 949
bcmoore87 38 58 0.655 989
Standard Computer 38 60 0.633 1029
Momentum Computer 38 60 0.633 1029
Mize19 37 60 0.617 1123
Vroom_C14 34 60 0.567 1087
Composite Computer 32 60 0.533 1436
EastIowaHawk 29 50 0.580 959
KidKinnick 21 30 0.700 1066
theiceman44 6 10 0.600 961
redagentradar 6 10 0.600 1024


Name ATS Att % p-val Fame
PNation 36 56 0.643 0.016 16
fmclonefan 32 49 0.653 0.015 15
Wild Man 4510 33 54 0.611 0.051 12
Vroom_C14 29 52 0.558 0.205 6
NorseHorse 29 53 0.547 0.249 5
EastIowaHawk 21 40 0.525 0.378 2
redagentradar 5 8 0.625 0.258 2
theiceman44 4 8 0.500 0.500 0
KidKinnick 10 26 0.385 0.123 -6
bcmoore87 17 41 0.415 0.140 -7
Composite Computer 24 56 0.429 0.145 -8
Standard Computer 17 43 0.395 0.086 -9
Momentum Computer 17 43 0.395 0.086 -9
Mize19 21 53 0.396 0.066 -11
Modified Computer 17 49 0.347 0.015 -15
 
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