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BCMoore Prediction Game: week5

bcmoore87

All District
Oct 30, 2001
8,004
29
48
1. Guess the game margin for the top 10 matchups in Class 3A. Beat the computer - earn iapreps fame - prove to everyone that your team is underrated.


2. Notation: +2 --> Home wins by 2 points. -7 --> Visitor wins by 7 points.


3. Game is open to all, and all are encouraged to play. The greater the number of participants, the more accurate the overall predictions should be (central limit theorem).


3.1 Reply to this post in this form:


username, -2, -4, +3, +5, -3, +10, -20, +3, +3, -1


where: username --> your rivals.com username,

-2, -4, +3, +5, -3, +10, -20, +3, +3, -1 --> your predictions for the 10 games this week


3.2 Notes:


3.2.1 Use one line only.

3.2.2 Use a comma and space as separators


3.2 The following are example of bad replies:


name


-13, +3, +14, +12, +4, +26, +10, -8, +21, +43 (entry uses two lines, comma after name missing)


name,-13,+3,+14,+12,+4,+26,+10,-8,+21,+43 (spaces missing)


name: -13,+3,+14,+12,+4,+26,+10,-8,+21,+43 (don't use colon, spaces missing)


name -13, +3, +14, +12, +4, +26, +10, -8, +21, +43 (commas after name missing)


3.3 Motivation of format rules is to minimize mistakes in reading your entry and minimize the amount of my time in working on this contest.


4. Rankings: Official rankings of the contest are the BCMoore Rankings, http://bcmoorerankings.com.


5. Scoring: Entry with most correct answers wins. Ties will be broken by sum of (absolute values of predictions - actual scores).


6. Deadline: All entries must be submitted by Friday, 5PM. Entries can be changed up to deadline. To change your entry, submit a new entry. Do not edit a previous entry; I may not see the change you want to make.


7. Duration: Contest will run for the length of the regular season. Updates on season long standings will be given weekly in addition to each individual weeks winner.


8. Game selection: Games are generally selected based on two criteria:

8.1 Each district has at least one team in the weekly game.

8.2 Remaining games are selected based on state-wide merit.




This week's games:



N Conf Rk (W-L) Visitor Conf Rk (W-L) Home Matchup
41 3A-1 14 (3-1) Sergeant Bluff-Luton 3A-1 9 (3-1) Sioux City Heelan 161.34
42 3A-6 6 (4-0) Huxley Ballard 3A-7 10 (3-1) Carlisle 154.68
43 3A-6 12 (4-0) Newton 3A-6 5 (3-1) Gilbert 150.15
44 3A-3 7 (3-1) Waverly-Shell Rock 3A-3 21 (3-1) Decorah 148.29
45 3A-5 19 (2-2) Washington 3A-4 13 (3-1) Solon 145.54
46 3A-3 32 (1-3) Independence 3A-3 37 (1-3) Vinton-Shellsburg 138.60
47 3A-4 25 (2-2) Central Clinton 3A-4 27 (1-3) Marion 138.57
48 3A-4 28 (2-2) Dubuque Wahlert 3A-4 16 (2-2) Western Dubuque 134.05
49 3A-8 11 (3-1) Dallas Center-Grimes 3A-2 38 (0-4) Boone 131.72
50 3A-1 26 (2-2) Boyden-Hull-R Valley 2A-1 8 (2-2) Central Lyon CL-G-LR 130.62

Composite Computer, 5, -18, -8, -1, 15, 1, -4, 16, -58, 14
Modified Computer, 8, -13, 22, -10, 6, -1, -1, 15, -23, 17
Standard Computer, 1, -9, 19, -10, 9, -1, 3, 15, -17, 22
Momentum Computer, 1, -9, 19, -10, 9, -1, 3, 15, -17, 22
 
Conf Rk (W-L) Visitor Conf Rk (W-L) Home Open Curr
3A-1 14 (3-1) Sergeant Bluff-Luton 3A-1 9 (3-1) Sioux City Heelan 3.0 6.5
3A-6 6 (4-0) Huxley Ballard 3A-7 10 (3-1) Carlisle -11.0 -9.0
3A-6 12 (4-0) Newton 3A-6 5 (3-1) Gilbert 19.0 6.0
3A-3 7 (3-1) Waverly-Shell Rock 3A-3 21 (3-1) Decorah -10.0 -10.0
3A-5 19 (2-2) Washington 3A-4 13 (3-1) Solon 9.0 9.0
3A-3 32 (1-3) Independence 3A-3 37 (1-3) Vinton-Shellsburg -1.0 0.0
3A-4 25 (2-2) Central Clinton 3A-4 27 (1-3) Marion 1.0 -2.5
3A-4 28 (2-2) Dubuque Wahlert 3A-4 16 (2-2) Western Dubuque 15.0 15.0
3A-8 11 (3-1) Dallas Center-Grimes 3A-2 38 (0-4) Boone -20.0 -22.0
3A-1 26 (2-2) Boyden-Hull-R Valley 2A-1 8 (2-2) Central Lyon CL-G-LR 19.5 15.5
 
Conf Rk (W-L) Visitor Conf Rk (W-L) Home Open Curr
3A-1 14 (3-1) Sergeant Bluff-Luton 3A-1 9 (3-1) Sioux City Heelan 3.0 11.0
3A-6 6 (4-0) Huxley Ballard 3A-7 10 (3-1) Carlisle -11.0 -8.0
3A-6 12 (4-0) Newton 3A-6 5 (3-1) Gilbert 19.0 0.5
3A-3 7 (3-1) Waverly-Shell Rock 3A-3 21 (3-1) Decorah -10.0 -10.0
3A-5 19 (2-2) Washington 3A-4 13 (3-1) Solon 9.0 9.0
3A-3 32 (1-3) Independence 3A-3 37 (1-3) Vinton-Shellsburg -1.0 0.0
3A-4 25 (2-2) Central Clinton 3A-4 27 (1-3) Marion 1.0 -4.5
3A-4 28 (2-2) Dubuque Wahlert 3A-4 16 (2-2) Western Dubuque 15.0 11.0
3A-8 11 (3-1) Dallas Center-Grimes 3A-2 38 (0-4) Boone -20.0 -22.0
3A-1 26 (2-2) Boyden-Hull-R Valley 2A-1 8 (2-2) Central Lyon CL-G-LR 19.5 10.5
 
Conf Rk (W-L) Visitor Conf Rk (W-L) Home Open Curr
3A-1 14 (3-1) Sergeant Bluff-Luton 3A-1 9 (3-1) Sioux City Heelan 3.0 8.0
3A-6 6 (4-0) Huxley Ballard 3A-7 10 (3-1) Carlisle -11.0 -9.0
3A-6 12 (4-0) Newton 3A-6 5 (3-1) Gilbert 19.0 7.0
3A-3 7 (3-1) Waverly-Shell Rock 3A-3 21 (3-1) Decorah -10.0 -10.0
3A-5 19 (2-2) Washington 3A-4 13 (3-1) Solon 9.0 9.0
3A-3 32 (1-3) Independence 3A-3 37 (1-3) Vinton-Shellsburg -1.0 1.0
3A-4 25 (2-2) Central Clinton 3A-4 27 (1-3) Marion 1.0 -5.0
3A-4 28 (2-2) Dubuque Wahlert 3A-4 16 (2-2) Western Dubuque 15.0 7.0
3A-8 11 (3-1) Dallas Center-Grimes 3A-2 38 (0-4) Boone -20.0 -21.0
3A-1 26 (2-2) Boyden-Hull-R Valley 2A-1 8 (2-2) Central Lyon CL-G-LR 19.5 14.0
 
Conf Rk (W-L) Visitor Conf Rk (W-L) Home Open Curr
3A-1 14 (3-1) Sergeant Bluff-Luton 3A-1 9 (3-1) Sioux City Heelan 3.0 7.0
3A-6 6 (4-0) Huxley Ballard 3A-7 10 (3-1) Carlisle -11.0 -7.0
3A-6 12 (4-0) Newton 3A-6 5 (3-1) Gilbert 19.0 -1.0
3A-3 7 (3-1) Waverly-Shell Rock 3A-3 21 (3-1) Decorah -10.0 -10.0
3A-5 19 (2-2) Washington 3A-4 13 (3-1) Solon 9.0 9.5
3A-3 32 (1-3) Independence 3A-3 37 (1-3) Vinton-Shellsburg -1.0 2.0
3A-4 25 (2-2) Central Clinton 3A-4 27 (1-3) Marion 1.0 -2.5
3A-4 28 (2-2) Dubuque Wahlert 3A-4 16 (2-2) Western Dubuque 15.0 7.0
3A-8 11 (3-1) Dallas Center-Grimes 3A-2 38 (0-4) Boone -20.0 -21.0
3A-1 26 (2-2) Boyden-Hull-R Valley 2A-1 8 (2-2) Central Lyon CL-G-LR 19.5 10.5
 
Conf Rk (W-L) Visitor Conf Rk (W-L) Home Open Curr Act
3A-1 14 (3-1) Sergeant Bluff-Luton 3A-1 9 (3-1) Sioux City Heelan 3.0 7.0 6
3A-6 6 (4-0) Huxley Ballard 3A-7 10 (3-1) Carlisle -11.0 -7.0 35
3A-6 12 (4-0) Newton 3A-6 5 (3-1) Gilbert 19.0 -1.0 13
3A-3 7 (3-1) Waverly-Shell Rock 3A-3 21 (3-1) Decorah -10.0 -10.0 -21
3A-5 19 (2-2) Washington 3A-4 13 (3-1) Solon 9.0 9.5 11
3A-3 32 (1-3) Independence 3A-3 37 (1-3) Vinton-Shellsburg -1.0 2.0 -17
3A-4 25 (2-2) Central Clinton 3A-4 27 (1-3) Marion 1.0 -2.5 -6
3A-4 28 (2-2) Dubuque Wahlert 3A-4 16 (2-2) Western Dubuque 15.0 7.0 6
3A-8 11 (3-1) Dallas Center-Grimes 3A-2 38 (0-4) Boone -20.0 -21.0 -18
3A-1 26 (2-2) Boyden-Hull-R Valley 2A-1 8 (2-2) Central Lyon CL-G-LR 19.5 10.5 7
 
Name Cor Att % Dev
Modified Computer 9 10 0.900 120
NorseHorse 8 10 0.800 109
Wild Man 4510 8 10 0.800 112
Standard Computer 8 10 0.800 118
Momentum Computer 8 10 0.800 118
fmclonefan 7 10 0.700 100
KidKinnick 7 10 0.700 147
Composite Computer 7 10 0.700 176
bcmoore87 6 10 0.600 111
Mize19 6 10 0.600 167
Vroom_C14 5 10 0.500 158
PNation 5 10 0.500 172


Name Cor Att % Dev
fmclonefan 35 50 0.700 713
Wild Man 4510 34 50 0.680 813
PNation 33 50 0.660 896
NorseHorse 31 50 0.620 778
Modified Computer 31 50 0.620 896
Mize19 31 50 0.620 912
bcmoore87 30 48 0.625 845
Standard Computer 30 50 0.600 877
Momentum Computer 30 50 0.600 877
Vroom_C14 27 50 0.540 932
Composite Computer 25 50 0.500 1253
EastIowaHawk 23 40 0.575 815
KidKinnick 13 20 0.650 901
theiceman44 6 10 0.600 837
redagentradar 6 10 0.600 900


Name ATS Att % p-val Fame
fmclonefan 29 41 0.707 0.003 17
PNation 31 47 0.660 0.014 15
NorseHorse 28 45 0.622 0.051 11
Wild Man 4510 28 46 0.609 0.071 10
Vroom_C14 25 45 0.556 0.231 5
redagentradar 5 8 0.625 0.258 2
EastIowaHawk 16 31 0.516 0.430 1
theiceman44 4 8 0.500 0.500 0
KidKinnick 8 18 0.444 0.325 -2
Composite Computer 22 48 0.458 0.285 -4
Mize19 19 44 0.432 0.186 -6
Standard Computer 13 36 0.361 0.048 -10
Momentum Computer 13 36 0.361 0.048 -10
bcmoore87 12 35 0.343 0.031 -11
Modified Computer 13 42 0.310 0.006 -16
 
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