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BCMoore Prediction Game: week 9

bcmoore87

All District
Oct 30, 2001
8,004
29
48
1. Guess the game margin for the top 10 matchups in Class 4A. Beat the computer - earn iapreps fame - prove to everyone that your team is underrated.


2. Notation: +2 --> Home wins by 2 points. -7 --> Visitor wins by 7 points.


3. Game is open to all, and all are encouraged to play. The greater the number of participants, the more accurate the overall predictions should be (central limit theorem).


3.1 Reply to this post in this form:


username, -2, -4, +3, +5, -3, +10, -20, +3, +3, -1


where: username --> your rivals.com username,

-2, -4, +3, +5, -3, +10, -20, +3, +3, -1 --> your predictions for the 10 games this week


3.2 Notes:


3.2.1 Use one line only.

3.2.2 Use a comma and space as separators


3.2 The following are example of bad replies:


name


-13, +3, +14, +12, +4, +26, +10, -8, +21, +43 (entry uses two lines, comma after name missing)


name,-13,+3,+14,+12,+4,+26,+10,-8,+21,+43 (spaces missing)


name: -13,+3,+14,+12,+4,+26,+10,-8,+21,+43 (don't use colon, spaces missing)


name -13, +3, +14, +12, +4, +26, +10, -8, +21, +43 (commas after name missing)


3.3 Motivation of format rules is to minimize mistakes in reading your entry and minimize the amount of my time in working on this contest.


4. Rankings: Official rankings of the contest are the BCMoore Rankings, http://bcmoorerankings.com.


5. Scoring: Entry with most correct answers wins. Ties will be broken by sum of (absolute values of predictions - actual scores).


6. Deadline: All entries must be submitted by Friday, 5PM. Entries can be changed up to deadline. To change your entry, submit a new entry. Do not edit a previous entry; I may not see the change you want to make.


7. Duration: Contest will run for the length of the regular season. Updates on season long standings will be given weekly in addition to each individual weeks winner.


8. Game selection: Games are generally selected based on two criteria:

8.1 Each district has at least one team in the weekly game.

8.2 Remaining games are selected based on state-wide merit.





This week's games:



N Conf Rk (W-L) Visitor Conf Rk (W-L) Home Matchup
81 4A-1 8 (5-3) Southeast Polk 4A-1 7 (6-2) Ankeny 173.90
82 4A-7 13 (5-3) Pleasant Valley 4A-7 16 (5-3) Iowa City West 163.19
83 4A-2 15 (6-2) Sioux City East 4A-2 6 (5-3) Johnston 159.55
84 4A-4 20 (6-2) Fort Dodge 4A-4 19 (4-4) Urbandale 155.23
85 4A-6 24 (5-3) Ottumwa 4A-6 22 (3-5) CR Prairie 151.46
86 4A-7 30 (4-4) Davenport Central 4A-7 26 (5-3) Dubuque Hempstead 149.23
87 4A-5 28 (4-4) CR Jefferson 4A-5 11 (7-1) Marion Linn-Mar 146.31
88 4A-6 18 (6-2) Muscatine 4A-6 34 (2-6) Iowa City High 142.18
89 4A-2 12 (7-1) CB Lewis Central 4A-2 32 (3-5) Des Moines Roosevelt 141.10
90 4A-3 9 (6-2) Ankeny Centennial 4A-3 27 (4-4) CB Lincoln 136.05
91 4A-8 21 (4-4) Dubuque Senior 4A-8 42 (2-6) Clinton 104.45

Composite Computer, 1, 2, 1, -4, -10, 8, 38, -31, -42, -28, -33
Modified Computer, 3, -2, 13, 6, 3, 5, 24, -18, -24, -23, -36
Standard Computer, -3, -4, 11, 4, 4, 5, 16, -13, -18, -28, -35
Momentum Computer, -10, -10, 7, 8, 1, 1, 14, -14, -15, -28, -33
 
Max - I'll take the 105.

screwloose, -7, -10, +4, +3, -6, +13, +19, -16, -20, -28, -24

Screwloose Ranking, +3, -3, +1, -1, -1, +5, +18, -17, -18, -12, -10
 
RedAgent will you please hurry up and pick your games? I have to have 7 guesses different than yours, no matter how asinine mine will end up being.

I firmly believe Dowling could easily cover the 105, but I'd put $10 on the Polar Bears just because I think Dowling would start kneeling before it got to that...
 
RedAgentRadar, -7, +7, +10, -7, +7, +7, +14,+7, -28, -35, -17

Alright EHS...cant' wait to see your wild upsets!
 
Conf Rk (W-L) Visitor Conf Rk (W-L) Home Open Curr
4A-1 8 (5-3) Southeast Polk 4A-1 7 (6-2) Ankeny -1.0 -5.0
4A-7 13 (5-3) Pleasant Valley 4A-7 16 (5-3) Iowa City West -3.0 -2.5
4A-2 15 (6-2) Sioux City East 4A-2 6 (5-3) Johnston 9.0 8.5
4A-4 20 (6-2) Fort Dodge 4A-4 19 (4-4) Urbandale 5.0 3.5
4A-6 24 (5-3) Ottumwa 4A-6 22 (3-5) CR Prairie 2.0 2.0
4A-7 30 (4-4) Davenport Central 4A-7 26 (5-3) Dubuque Hempstead 5.0 5.0
4A-5 28 (4-4) CR Jefferson 4A-5 11 (7-1) Marion Linn-Mar 20.0 17.0
4A-6 18 (6-2) Muscatine 4A-6 34 (2-6) Iowa City High -16.0 -15.0
4A-2 12 (7-1) CB Lewis Central 4A-2 32 (3-5) Des Moines Roosevelt -21.0 -20.5
4A-3 9 (6-2) Ankeny Centennial 4A-3 27 (4-4) CB Lincoln -28.0 -28.0
4A-8 21 (4-4) Dubuque Senior 4A-8 42 (2-6) Clinton -34.0 -30.5
 
EHS1505, +3, -4, -2, +14, -3, -3, -4, -10, -7, -35, -35

Whelp, here goes nothing
nerd.r191677.gif
 
Conf Rk (W-L) Visitor Conf Rk (W-L) Home Open Curr
4A-1 8 (5-3) Southeast Polk 4A-1 7 (6-2) Ankeny -1.0 -3.0
4A-7 13 (5-3) Pleasant Valley 4A-7 16 (5-3) Iowa City West -3.0 -3.0
4A-2 15 (6-2) Sioux City East 4A-2 6 (5-3) Johnston 9.0 7.0
4A-4 20 (6-2) Fort Dodge 4A-4 19 (4-4) Urbandale 5.0 4.0
4A-6 24 (5-3) Ottumwa 4A-6 22 (3-5) CR Prairie 2.0 1.0
4A-7 30 (4-4) Davenport Central 4A-7 26 (5-3) Dubuque Hempstead 5.0 5.0
4A-5 28 (4-4) CR Jefferson 4A-5 11 (7-1) Marion Linn-Mar 20.0 16.0
4A-6 18 (6-2) Muscatine 4A-6 34 (2-6) Iowa City High -16.0 -14.0
4A-2 12 (7-1) CB Lewis Central 4A-2 32 (3-5) Des Moines Roosevelt -21.0 -20.0
4A-3 9 (6-2) Ankeny Centennial 4A-3 27 (4-4) CB Lincoln -28.0 -28.0
4A-8 21 (4-4) Dubuque Senior 4A-8 42 (2-6) Clinton -34.0 -33.0
 
Straw1397, -10, -8, 3, -5, -7, 7, 13, -17, -38, -23, -21
This post was edited on 10/23 7:44 PM by straw1397
 
> MarionHawk, -7, +4, +3, +3, -7, +10, +21, -10, -28, -35, -42

11 guesses - please resubmit
 
> SEPRamFan, -7, +4, +17, +3, -7, +10, +21, -14, -28, -35, -35

11 guesses - please resubmit
 
> Straw1397, -10, -8, 3, -5, -7, 7, 13, -17, -23, -21


Straw1397: you have 10 guess, please submit 11 (the contest administrator clearly can't count)
 
> Straw1397, -10, -8, 3, -5, -7, 7, 13, -17, -23, -21

recorded as:

Straw1397, -10, -8, 3, -5, -7, 7, 13, -14, -17, -23, -21

(until you submit a corrected entry)
 
Conf Rk (W-L) Visitor Conf Rk (W-L) Home Open Curr
4A-1 8 (5-3) Southeast Polk 4A-1 7 (6-2) Ankeny -1.0 -7.0
4A-7 13 (5-3) Pleasant Valley 4A-7 16 (5-3) Iowa City West -3.0 -2.5
4A-2 15 (6-2) Sioux City East 4A-2 6 (5-3) Johnston 9.0 5.5
4A-4 20 (6-2) Fort Dodge 4A-4 19 (4-4) Urbandale 5.0 3.0
4A-6 24 (5-3) Ottumwa 4A-6 22 (3-5) CR Prairie 2.0 -2.0
4A-7 30 (4-4) Davenport Central 4A-7 26 (5-3) Dubuque Hempstead 5.0 6.0
4A-5 28 (4-4) CR Jefferson 4A-5 11 (7-1) Marion Linn-Mar 20.0 17.0
4A-6 18 (6-2) Muscatine 4A-6 34 (2-6) Iowa City High -16.0 -14.0
4A-2 12 (7-1) CB Lewis Central 4A-2 32 (3-5) Des Moines Roosevelt -21.0 -20.5
4A-3 9 (6-2) Ankeny Centennial 4A-3 27 (4-4) CB Lincoln -28.0 -28.0
4A-8 21 (4-4) Dubuque Senior 4A-8 42 (2-6) Clinton -34.0 -33.0
 
Conf Rk (W-L) Visitor Conf Rk (W-L) Home Open Curr
4A-1 8 (5-3) Southeast Polk 4A-1 7 (6-2) Ankeny -1.0 -7.0
4A-7 13 (5-3) Pleasant Valley 4A-7 16 (5-3) Iowa City West -3.0 -2.0
4A-2 15 (6-2) Sioux City East 4A-2 6 (5-3) Johnston 9.0 7.0
4A-4 20 (6-2) Fort Dodge 4A-4 19 (4-4) Urbandale 5.0 3.0
4A-6 24 (5-3) Ottumwa 4A-6 22 (3-5) CR Prairie 2.0 -1.0
4A-7 30 (4-4) Davenport Central 4A-7 26 (5-3) Dubuque Hempstead 5.0 7.0
4A-5 28 (4-4) CR Jefferson 4A-5 11 (7-1) Marion Linn-Mar 20.0 18.0
4A-6 18 (6-2) Muscatine 4A-6 34 (2-6) Iowa City High -16.0 -14.0
4A-2 12 (7-1) CB Lewis Central 4A-2 32 (3-5) Des Moines Roosevelt -21.0 -24.0
4A-3 9 (6-2) Ankeny Centennial 4A-3 27 (4-4) CB Lincoln -28.0 -28.0
4A-8 21 (4-4) Dubuque Senior 4A-8 42 (2-6) Clinton -34.0 -33.0
 
Conf Rk (W-L) Visitor Conf Rk (W-L) Home Open Curr Act
4A-1 8 (5-3) Southeast Polk 4A-1 7 (6-2) Ankeny -1.0 -7.0 6
4A-7 13 (5-3) Pleasant Valley 4A-7 16 (5-3) Iowa City West -3.0 -2.0 -14
4A-2 15 (6-2) Sioux City East 4A-2 6 (5-3) Johnston 9.0 7.0 30
4A-4 20 (6-2) Fort Dodge 4A-4 19 (4-4) Urbandale 5.0 3.0 5
4A-6 24 (5-3) Ottumwa 4A-6 22 (3-5) CR Prairie 2.0 -1.0 48
4A-7 30 (4-4) Davenport Central 4A-7 26 (5-3) Dubuque Hempstead 5.0 7.0 18
4A-5 28 (4-4) CR Jefferson 4A-5 11 (7-1) Marion Linn-Mar 20.0 18.0 21
4A-6 18 (6-2) Muscatine 4A-6 34 (2-6) Iowa City High -16.0 -14.0 -7
4A-2 12 (7-1) CB Lewis Central 4A-2 32 (3-5) Des Moines Roosevelt -21.0 -24.0 -38
4A-3 9 (6-2) Ankeny Centennial 4A-3 27 (4-4) CB Lincoln -28.0 -28.0 -46
4A-8 21 (4-4) Dubuque Senior 4A-8 42 (2-6) Clinton -34.0 -33.0 -41
 
Modified Computer wins!
Name Cor Att % Dev
Modified Computer 11 11 1.000 147
bcmoore87 10 11 0.909 149
Standard Computer 10 11 0.909 151
Momentum Computer 10 11 0.909 173
screwloose 9 11 0.818 168
Screwloose Ranking 9 11 0.818 209
SEPRamFan 8 11 0.727 143
MarionHawk 8 11 0.727 148
orsky1 8 11 0.727 178
Straw1397 8 11 0.727 186
Composite Computer 8 11 0.727 198
maxstabs13 8 11 0.727 204
RedAgentRadar 7 11 0.636 184
Dragon7678 7 11 0.636 186
EHS1505 7 11 0.636 202

RedAgentRagar wins the season-long contest by tie-breaker.
Name Cor Att % Dev
RedAgentRadar 72 91 0.791 1183
Modified Computer 72 91 0.791 1309
Straw1397 71 91 0.780 1237
orsky1 71 91 0.780 1300
SEPRamFan 70 91 0.769 1161
bcmoore87 69 89 0.775 1268
Standard Computer 69 91 0.758 1311
Momentum Computer 69 91 0.758 1338
MarionHawk 68 91 0.747 1227
maxstabs13 68 91 0.747 1381
screwloose 67 91 0.736 1312
EHS1505 66 91 0.725 1283
Composite Computer 66 91 0.725 2021
Dragon7678 65 90 0.722 1173
Mize19 53 70 0.757 1460
PNation 51 70 0.729 1538
Screwloose Ranking 40 51 0.784 1591
EastIowaHawk 32 50 0.640 1708
zmac328 25 30 0.833 1598


Dragon7678 wins the Against-the-spread competition.

Name ATS Att % p-val Fame
Dragon7678 50 77 0.649 0.004 23
SEPRamFan 47 73 0.644 0.006 21
MarionHawk 41 72 0.569 0.121 10
Straw1397 41 74 0.554 0.178 8
EastIowaHawk 23 40 0.575 0.175 6
screwloose 40 76 0.526 0.325 4
EHS1505 39 75 0.520 0.366 3
RedAgentRadar 34 66 0.515 0.404 2
bcmoore87 29 56 0.518 0.396 2
Modified Computer 35 71 0.493 0.453 -1
Composite Computer 41 83 0.494 0.457 -1
Mize19 22 47 0.468 0.333 -3
zmac328 10 24 0.417 0.213 -4
PNation 23 53 0.434 0.171 -7
Standard Computer 30 71 0.423 0.097 -11
orsky1 29 71 0.408 0.062 -13
Screwloose Ranking 17 47 0.362 0.029 -13
maxstabs13 30 77 0.390 0.026 -17
Momentum Computer 26 70 0.371 0.015 -18
 
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