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BCMoore Prediction Game: week 9

bcmoore87

All District
Oct 30, 2001
8,004
29
48
1. Guess the game margin for the top 10 matchups in Class 3A. Beat the computer - earn iapreps fame - prove to everyone that your team is underrated.


2. Notation: +2 --> Home wins by 2 points. -7 --> Visitor wins by 7 points.


3. Game is open to all, and all are encouraged to play. The greater the number of participants, the more accurate the overall predictions should be (central limit theorem).


3.1 Reply to this post in this form:


username, -2, -4, +3, +5, -3, +10, -20, +3, +3, -1


where: username --> your rivals.com username,

-2, -4, +3, +5, -3, +10, -20, +3, +3, -1 --> your predictions for the 10 games this week


3.2 Notes:


3.2.1 Use one line only.

3.2.2 Use a comma and space as separators


3.2 The following are example of bad replies:


name


-13, +3, +14, +12, +4, +26, +10, -8, +21, +43 (entry uses two lines, comma after name missing)


name,-13,+3,+14,+12,+4,+26,+10,-8,+21,+43 (spaces missing)


name: -13,+3,+14,+12,+4,+26,+10,-8,+21,+43 (don't use colon, spaces missing)


name -13, +3, +14, +12, +4, +26, +10, -8, +21, +43 (commas after name missing)


3.3 Motivation of format rules is to minimize mistakes in reading your entry and minimize the amount of my time in working on this contest.


4. Rankings: Official rankings of the contest are the BCMoore Rankings, http://bcmoorerankings.com.


5. Scoring: Entry with most correct answers wins. Ties will be broken by sum of (absolute values of predictions - actual scores).


6. Deadline: All entries must be submitted by Friday, 5PM. Entries can be changed up to deadline. To change your entry, submit a new entry. Do not edit a previous entry; I may not see the change you want to make.


7. Duration: Contest will run for the length of the regular season. Updates on season long standings will be given weekly in addition to each individual weeks winner.


8. Game selection: Games are generally selected based on two criteria:

8.1 Each district has at least one team in the weekly game.

8.2 Remaining games are selected based on state-wide merit.




This week's games:



N Conf Rk (W-L) Visitor Conf Rk (W-L) Home Matchup
81 3A-3 20 (5-3) Charles City 3A-3 10 (6-2) Waverly-Shell Rock 150.27
82 3A-5 22 (5-3) Davenport Assumption 3A-5 19 (5-3) Washington 149.68
83 3A-6 15 (6-2) Huxley Ballard 3A-6 27 (4-4) Grinnell 147.77
84 3A-3 23 (5-3) Decorah 3A-3 8 (7-1) West Delaware 144.74
85 3A-8 29 (5-3) Winterset 3A-6 11 (5-3) Bondurant-Farrar 144.36
86 3A-1 30 (3-5) Spencer 3A-1 13 (6-2) Sergeant Bluff-Luton 142.54
87 3A-2 4 (7-1) Carroll 3A-2 28 (4-4) Greene County 142.08
88 3A-7 33 (4-4) Knoxville 3A-7 16 (4-4) Norwalk 141.97
89 3A-8 35 (3-5) Harlan 3A-8 31 (4-4) Adel ADM 139.18
90 3A-4 34 (4-4) Central Clinton 3A-4 21 (5-3) Western Dubuque 130.34

Composite Computer, 15, 4, -17, 24, 5, 31, -32, 10, 12, 16
Modified Computer, 11, 6, -8, 14, 15, 16, -20, 13, 8, 14
Standard Computer, 11, 8, -10, 18, 13, 15, -21, 14, 8, 18
Momentum Computer, 10, 8, -3, 16, 11, 12, -15, 4, 12, 17
 
Conf Rk (W-L) Visitor Conf Rk (W-L) Home Open Curr
3A-3 20 (5-3) Charles City 3A-3 10 (6-2) Waverly-Shell Rock 11.0 11.0
3A-5 22 (5-3) Davenport Assumption 3A-5 19 (5-3) Washington 7.0 6.0
3A-6 15 (6-2) Huxley Ballard 3A-6 27 (4-4) Grinnell -9.0 -10.0
3A-3 23 (5-3) Decorah 3A-3 8 (7-1) West Delaware 17.0 16.0
3A-8 29 (5-3) Winterset 3A-6 11 (5-3) Bondurant-Farrar 12.0 12.0
3A-1 30 (3-5) Spencer 3A-1 13 (6-2) Sergeant Bluff-Luton 15.5 15.0
3A-2 4 (7-1) Carroll 3A-2 28 (4-4) Greene County -20.5 -20.0
3A-7 33 (4-4) Knoxville 3A-7 16 (4-4) Norwalk 11.5 13.0
3A-8 35 (3-5) Harlan 3A-8 31 (4-4) Adel ADM 10.0 12.0
3A-4 34 (4-4) Central Clinton 3A-4 21 (5-3) Western Dubuque 16.5 16.0
 
Conf Rk (W-L) Visitor Conf Rk (W-L) Home Open Curr
3A-3 20 (5-3) Charles City 3A-3 10 (6-2) Waverly-Shell Rock 11.0 11.0
3A-5 22 (5-3) Davenport Assumption 3A-5 19 (5-3) Washington 7.0 6.0
3A-6 15 (6-2) Huxley Ballard 3A-6 27 (4-4) Grinnell -9.0 -10.0
3A-3 23 (5-3) Decorah 3A-3 8 (7-1) West Delaware 17.0 16.0
3A-8 29 (5-3) Winterset 3A-6 11 (5-3) Bondurant-Farrar 12.0 11.0
3A-1 30 (3-5) Spencer 3A-1 13 (6-2) Sergeant Bluff-Luton 15.5 14.0
3A-2 4 (7-1) Carroll 3A-2 28 (4-4) Greene County -20.5 -21.0
3A-7 33 (4-4) Knoxville 3A-7 16 (4-4) Norwalk 11.5 13.0
3A-8 35 (3-5) Harlan 3A-8 31 (4-4) Adel ADM 10.0 8.0
3A-4 34 (4-4) Central Clinton 3A-4 21 (5-3) Western Dubuque 16.5 17.0
 
Conf Rk (W-L) Visitor Conf Rk (W-L) Home Open Curr Act
3A-3 20 (5-3) Charles City 3A-3 10 (6-2) Waverly-Shell Rock 11.0 11.0 2
3A-5 22 (5-3) Davenport Assumption 3A-5 19 (5-3) Washington 7.0 6.5 18
3A-6 15 (6-2) Huxley Ballard 3A-6 27 (4-4) Grinnell -9.0 -10.0 -3
3A-3 23 (5-3) Decorah 3A-3 8 (7-1) West Delaware 17.0 14.0 1
3A-8 29 (5-3) Winterset 3A-6 11 (5-3) Bondurant-Farrar 12.0 10.5 17
3A-1 30 (3-5) Spencer 3A-1 13 (6-2) Sergeant Bluff-Luton 15.5 14.0 -1
3A-2 4 (7-1) Carroll 3A-2 28 (4-4) Greene County -20.5 -20.5 -14
3A-7 33 (4-4) Knoxville 3A-7 16 (4-4) Norwalk 11.5 13.5 16
3A-8 35 (3-5) Harlan 3A-8 31 (4-4) Adel ADM 10.0 7.5 5
3A-4 34 (4-4) Central Clinton 3A-4 21 (5-3) Western Dubuque 16.5 15.0 35
 
Name Cor Att % Dev
Momentum Computer 9 10 0.900 90
bcmoore87 9 10 0.900 90
Modified Computer 9 10 0.900 91
Standard Computer 9 10 0.900 92
Composite Computer 9 10 0.900 158
Wild Man 4510 8 10 0.800 105
fmclonefan 8 10 0.800 108
KidKinnick 7 10 0.700 100
NorseHorse 7 10 0.700 119
Vroom_C14 6 10 0.600 128


fmclonefan wins the season-long contest
by tiebreaker.

Name Cor Att % Dev
fmclonefan 62 90 0.689 1284
Wild Man 4510 62 90 0.689 1351
Standard Computer 61 90 0.678 1443
Modified Computer 61 90 0.678 1445
bcmoore87 60 88 0.682 1410
Momentum Computer 60 90 0.667 1445
NorseHorse 57 90 0.633 1367
Composite Computer 54 90 0.600 1915
Vroom_C14 52 90 0.578 1505
PNation 45 70 0.643 1479
Mize19 42 70 0.600 1535
KidKinnick 39 60 0.650 1465
EastIowaHawk 34 60 0.567 1373
theiceman44 6 10 0.600 1392
redagentradar 6 10 0.600 1455


Wild Man 4510 wins the Against-the-Spread game.

Name ATS Att % p-val Fame
Wild Man 4510 48 80 0.600 0.037 16
fmclonefan 44 74 0.595 0.052 14
PNation 39 64 0.609 0.040 14
Vroom_C14 45 78 0.577 0.088 12
NorseHorse 42 77 0.545 0.214 7
KidKinnick 28 53 0.528 0.342 3
redagentradar 5 8 0.625 0.258 2
EastIowaHawk 25 49 0.510 0.444 1
theiceman44 4 8 0.500 0.500 0
Momentum Computer 34 73 0.466 0.281 -5
Mize19 24 59 0.407 0.077 -11
Composite Computer 35 86 0.407 0.042 -16
bcmoore87 25 67 0.373 0.018 -17
Standard Computer 25 68 0.368 0.014 -18
Modified Computer 26 73 0.356 0.006 -21
 
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