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BCMoore Prediction Game: week 8

bcmoore87

All District
Oct 30, 2001
8,004
29
48
1. Guess the game margin for the top 10 matchups in Class 3A. Beat the computer - earn iapreps fame - prove to everyone that your team is underrated.


2. Notation: +2 --> Home wins by 2 points. -7 --> Visitor wins by 7 points.


3. Game is open to all, and all are encouraged to play. The greater the number of participants, the more accurate the overall predictions should be (central limit theorem).


3.1 Reply to this post in this form:


username, -2, -4, +3, +5, -3, +10, -20, +3, +3, -1


where: username --> your rivals.com username,

-2, -4, +3, +5, -3, +10, -20, +3, +3, -1 --> your predictions for the 10 games this week


3.2 Notes:


3.2.1 Use one line only.

3.2.2 Use a comma and space as separators


3.2 The following are example of bad replies:


name


-13, +3, +14, +12, +4, +26, +10, -8, +21, +43 (entry uses two lines, comma after name missing)


name,-13,+3,+14,+12,+4,+26,+10,-8,+21,+43 (spaces missing)


name: -13,+3,+14,+12,+4,+26,+10,-8,+21,+43 (don't use colon, spaces missing)


name -13, +3, +14, +12, +4, +26, +10, -8, +21, +43 (commas after name missing)


3.3 Motivation of format rules is to minimize mistakes in reading your entry and minimize the amount of my time in working on this contest.


4. Rankings: Official rankings of the contest are the BCMoore Rankings, http://bcmoorerankings.com.


5. Scoring: Entry with most correct answers wins. Ties will be broken by sum of (absolute values of predictions - actual scores).


6. Deadline: All entries must be submitted by Friday, 5PM. Entries can be changed up to deadline. To change your entry, submit a new entry. Do not edit a previous entry; I may not see the change you want to make.


7. Duration: Contest will run for the length of the regular season. Updates on season long standings will be given weekly in addition to each individual weeks winner.


8. Game selection: Games are generally selected based on two criteria:

8.1 Each district has at least one team in the weekly game.

8.2 Remaining games are selected based on state-wide merit.




This week's games:



N Conf Rk (W-L) Visitor Conf Rk (W-L) Home Matchup
71 3A-4 14 (6-1) Solon 3A-4 16 (5-2) Western Dubuque 165.18
72 3A-8 15 (6-1) Dallas Center-Grimes 3A-8 18 (6-1) Creston COM 164.49
73 3A-6 20 (4-3) Bondurant-Farrar 3A-6 10 (5-2) Newton 161.63
74 3A-3 21 (5-2) Decorah 3A-3 22 (4-3) Charles City 157.87
75 1A-6 3 (6-1) Iowa City Regina 3A-4 2 (5-2) CR Xavier 151.24
76 3A-1 26 (3-4) Boyden-Hull-R Valley 3A-1 32 (3-4) LeMars 149.11
77 3A-6 25 (4-3) Grinnell 3A-6 9 (5-2) Gilbert 146.44
78 3A-7 12 (4-3) Norwalk 3A-8 31 (3-4) Adel ADM 142.20
79 3A-2 33 (3-4) Perry 3A-2 24 (2-5) Webster City 138.01
80 3A-5 37 (5-2) Fairfield 3A-5 23 (4-3) Davenport Assumption 133.76

Composite Computer, -6, -4, 14, -7, 11, -5, 12, -17, 2, 6
Modified Computer, -1, 1, 8, 1, 8, -5, 16, -17, 12, 14
Standard Computer, -2, -2, 3, 1, 23, -5, 19, -17, 13, 18
Momentum Computer, -4, 1, 1, 6, 26, -3, 9, -16, 18, 16
 
Conf Rk (W-L) Visitor Conf Rk (W-L) Home Open Curr
3A-4 14 (6-1) Solon 3A-4 16 (5-2) Western Dubuque -3.0 -5.0
3A-8 15 (6-1) Dallas Center-Grimes 3A-8 18 (6-1) Creston COM -0.5 -3.0
3A-6 20 (4-3) Bondurant-Farrar 3A-6 10 (5-2) Newton 5.5 6.5
3A-3 21 (5-2) Decorah 3A-3 22 (4-3) Charles City 1.0 1.0
1A-6 3 (6-1) Iowa City Regina 3A-4 2 (5-2) CR Xavier 17.0 9.5
3A-1 26 (3-4) Boyden-Hull-R Valley 3A-1 32 (3-4) LeMars -5.0 -5.0
3A-6 25 (4-3) Grinnell 3A-6 9 (5-2) Gilbert 14.0 13.0
3A-7 12 (4-3) Norwalk 3A-8 31 (3-4) Adel ADM -17.0 -16.5
3A-2 33 (3-4) Perry 3A-2 24 (2-5) Webster City 12.5 10.0
3A-5 37 (5-2) Fairfield 3A-5 23 (4-3) Davenport Assumption 15.0 15.0
 
Conf Rk (W-L) Visitor Conf Rk (W-L) Home Open Curr
3A-4 14 (6-1) Solon 3A-4 16 (5-2) Western Dubuque -3.0 -5.0
3A-8 15 (6-1) Dallas Center-Grimes 3A-8 18 (6-1) Creston COM -0.5 -0.5
3A-6 20 (4-3) Bondurant-Farrar 3A-6 10 (5-2) Newton 5.5 6.5
3A-3 21 (5-2) Decorah 3A-3 22 (4-3) Charles City 1.0 1.0
1A-6 3 (6-1) Iowa City Regina 3A-4 2 (5-2) CR Xavier 17.0 9.5
3A-1 26 (3-4) Boyden-Hull-R Valley 3A-1 32 (3-4) LeMars -5.0 -5.0
3A-6 25 (4-3) Grinnell 3A-6 9 (5-2) Gilbert 14.0 11.0
3A-7 12 (4-3) Norwalk 3A-8 31 (3-4) Adel ADM -17.0 -17.0
3A-2 33 (3-4) Perry 3A-2 24 (2-5) Webster City 12.5 10.0
3A-5 37 (5-2) Fairfield 3A-5 23 (4-3) Davenport Assumption 15.0 16.5
 
Conf Rk (W-L) Visitor Conf Rk (W-L) Home Open Curr Act
3A-4 14 (6-1) Solon 3A-4 16 (5-2) Western Dubuque -3.0 -5.0 -29
3A-8 15 (6-1) Dallas Center-Grimes 3A-8 18 (6-1) Creston COM -0.5 -2.5 -21
3A-6 20 (4-3) Bondurant-Farrar 3A-6 10 (5-2) Newton 5.5 6.5 -16
3A-3 21 (5-2) Decorah 3A-3 22 (4-3) Charles City 1.0 1.0 12
1A-6 3 (6-1) Iowa City Regina 3A-4 2 (5-2) CR Xavier 17.0 9.0 -14
3A-1 26 (3-4) Boyden-Hull-R Valley 3A-1 32 (3-4) LeMars -5.0 -4.5 -1
3A-6 25 (4-3) Grinnell 3A-6 9 (5-2) Gilbert 14.0 11.0 20
3A-7 12 (4-3) Norwalk 3A-8 31 (3-4) Adel ADM -17.0 -16.5 4
3A-2 33 (3-4) Perry 3A-2 24 (2-5) Webster City 12.5 12.0 7
3A-5 37 (5-2) Fairfield 3A-5 23 (4-3) Davenport Assumption 15.0 16.5 13
 
Name Cor Att % Dev
Wild Man 4510 7 10 0.700 128
NorseHorse 7 10 0.700 130
KidKinnick 7 10 0.700 134
Standard Computer 7 10 0.700 150
Modified Computer 6 10 0.600 142
fmclonefan 6 10 0.600 148
Momentum Computer 6 10 0.600 157
Composite Computer 6 10 0.600 159
bcmoore87 6 10 0.600 165
Vroom_C14 5 10 0.500 134


Name Cor Att % Dev
fmclonefan 54 80 0.675 1176
Wild Man 4510 54 80 0.675 1246
Standard Computer 52 80 0.650 1351
Modified Computer 52 80 0.650 1354
bcmoore87 51 78 0.654 1320
Momentum Computer 51 80 0.637 1355
NorseHorse 50 80 0.625 1248
Vroom_C14 46 80 0.575 1377
PNation 45 70 0.643 1367
Composite Computer 45 80 0.562 1757
Mize19 42 70 0.600 1423
EastIowaHawk 34 60 0.567 1261
KidKinnick 32 50 0.640 1365
theiceman44 6 10 0.600 1280
redagentradar 6 10 0.600 1343


Name ATS Att % p-val Fame
fmclonefan 41 65 0.631 0.017 17
Wild Man 4510 43 71 0.606 0.037 15
PNation 39 64 0.609 0.040 14
Vroom_C14 41 69 0.594 0.059 13
NorseHorse 36 68 0.529 0.316 4
redagentradar 5 8 0.625 0.258 2
EastIowaHawk 25 49 0.510 0.444 1
theiceman44 4 8 0.500 0.500 0
KidKinnick 21 43 0.488 0.440 -1
Composite Computer 34 76 0.447 0.181 -8
Momentum Computer 27 63 0.429 0.130 -9
Mize19 24 59 0.407 0.077 -11
Standard Computer 21 60 0.350 0.009 -18
bcmoore87 20 59 0.339 0.006 -19
Modified Computer 23 65 0.354 0.009 -19
 
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