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BCMoore Prediction Game: Week 8

bcmoore87

All District
Oct 30, 2001
8,004
29
48
1. Guess the game margin for the top 10 matchups in Class 4A. Beat the computer - earn iapreps fame - prove to everyone that your team is underrated.
<p>
2. Notation: +2 --> Home wins by 2 points. -7 --> Visitor wins by 7 points.
<p>
3. Game is open to all, and all are encouraged to play. The greater the number of participants, the more accurate the overall predictions should be (central limit theorem).
<p>
3.1 Reply to this post in this form:
<p>
username, -2, -4, +3, +5, -3, +10, -20, +3, +3, -1
<p>
where: username --> your rivals.com username,<br>
-2, -4, +3, +5, -3, +10, -20, +3, +3, -1 --> your predictions for the 10 games this week
<p>
3.2 Notes:
<p>
3.2.1 Use one line only.<br>
3.2.2 Use a comma and space as separators
<p>
3.2 The following are example of bad replies:
<p>
name
<p>
-13, +3, +14, +12, +4, +26, +10, -8, +21, +43 (entry uses two lines, comma after name missing)
<p>
name,-13,+3,+14,+12,+4,+26,+10,-8,+21,+43 (spaces missing)
<p>
name: -13,+3,+14,+12,+4,+26,+10,-8,+21,+43 (don't use colon, spaces missing)
<p>
name -13, +3, +14, +12, +4, +26, +10, -8, +21, +43 (commas after name missing)
<p>
3.3 Motivation of format rules is to minimize mistakes in reading your entry and minimize the amount of my time in working on this contest.
<p>
4. Rankings: Official rankings of the contest are the BCMoore Rankings, <a href="http://bcmoorerankings.com">http://bcmoorerankings.com</a>.
<p>
5. Scoring: Entry with most correct answers wins. Ties will be broken by sum of (absolute values of predictions - actual scores).
<p>
6. Deadline: All entries must be submitted by <b>Thursday, 5PM</b>. Entries can be changed up to deadline. To change your entry, submit a new entry. Do not edit a previous entry; I may not see the change you want to make.
<p>
7. Duration: Contest will run for the length of the regular season. Updates on season long standings will be given weekly in addition to each individual weeks winner.
<p>
8. Game selection: Games are generally selected based on two criteria:<br>
8.1 Each district has at least one team in the weekly game.<br>
8.2 Remaining games are selected based on state-wide merit.<br>


<p>
This week's games:


Code:
 N Conf Rk (W-L) Visitor              Conf Rk (W-L) Home                Matchup
70 4A-2  2 (6-1) WDM Dowling          4A-2  3 (7-0) Ankeny Centennial    190.49
71 4A-7  6 (5-2) Bettendorf           4A-7 13 (6-1) Iowa City High       158.87
72 4A-1  8 (5-2) Waukee               4A-1 11 (4-3) Johnston             158.63
73 4A-4 24 (3-4) Indianola            4A-4 25 (4-3) Fort Dodge           147.18
74 4A-6 28 (3-4) Dubuque Senior       4A-6 29 (3-4) Eldridge North Scott 143.23
75 4A-2 21 (4-3) Ames                 4A-2 26 (4-3) Des Moines Lincoln   139.58
76 4A-1 18 (4-3) Des Moines East      4A-1 31 (2-4) Sioux City East      134.60
77 4A-5 33 (3-4) Mason City           4A-5 15 (7-0) Waterloo West        133.96
78 4A-8 12 (5-2) Iowa City West       4A-8 27 (2-5) Marion Linn-Mar      132.61
79 4A-3 30 (3-4) CB Jefferson         4A-3  5 (5-1) CB Lewis Central     125.80

Composite Computer, 10, 1, -12, 4, 1, -8, -24, 47, -36, 41
Modified Computer, -16, -13, -4, -2, 1, -9, -17, 23, -22, 37
Standard Computer, 1, -10, -9, -1, 1, -7, -14, 17, -23, 37
Momentum Computer, 5, -4, -12, -5, -2, -6, -14, 20, -20, 36
 
Reminder:

Thursday deadline: Des Moines East @ Sioux City East is a Thursday night game
 
1. Guess the game margin for the top 10 matchups in Class 4A. Beat the computer - earn iapreps fame - prove to everyone that your team is underrated.
<p>
2. Notation: +2 --> Home wins by 2 points. -7 --> Visitor wins by 7 points.
<p>
3. Game is open to all, and all are encouraged to play. The greater the number of participants, the more accurate the overall predictions should be (central limit theorem).
<p>
3.1 Reply to this post in this form:
<p>
username, -2, -4, +3, +5, -3, +10, -20, +3, +3, -1
<p>
where: username --> your rivals.com username,<br>
-2, -4, +3, +5, -3, +10, -20, +3, +3, -1 --> your predictions for the 10 games this week
<p>
3.2 Notes:
<p>
3.2.1 Use one line only.<br>
3.2.2 Use a comma and space as separators
<p>
3.2 The following are example of bad replies:
<p>
name
<p>
-13, +3, +14, +12, +4, +26, +10, -8, +21, +43 (entry uses two lines, comma after name missing)
<p>
name,-13,+3,+14,+12,+4,+26,+10,-8,+21,+43 (spaces missing)
<p>
name: -13,+3,+14,+12,+4,+26,+10,-8,+21,+43 (don't use colon, spaces missing)
<p>
name -13, +3, +14, +12, +4, +26, +10, -8, +21, +43 (commas after name missing)
<p>
3.3 Motivation of format rules is to minimize mistakes in reading your entry and minimize the amount of my time in working on this contest.
<p>
4. Rankings: Official rankings of the contest are the BCMoore Rankings, <a href="http://bcmoorerankings.com">http://bcmoorerankings.com</a>.
<p>
5. Scoring: Entry with most correct answers wins. Ties will be broken by sum of (absolute values of predictions - actual scores).
<p>
6. Deadline: All entries must be submitted by <b>Thursday, 5PM</b>. Entries can be changed up to deadline. To change your entry, submit a new entry. Do not edit a previous entry; I may not see the change you want to make.
<p>
7. Duration: Contest will run for the length of the regular season. Updates on season long standings will be given weekly in addition to each individual weeks winner.
<p>
8. Game selection: Games are generally selected based on two criteria:<br>
8.1 Each district has at least one team in the weekly game.<br>
8.2 Remaining games are selected based on state-wide merit.<br>


<p>
This week's games:


Code:
N Conf Rk (W-L) Visitor              Conf Rk (W-L) Home                Matchup
70 4A-2  2 (6-1) WDM Dowling          4A-2  3 (7-0) Ankeny Centennial    190.49
71 4A-7  6 (5-2) Bettendorf           4A-7 13 (6-1) Iowa City High       158.87
72 4A-1  8 (5-2) Waukee               4A-1 11 (4-3) Johnston             158.63
73 4A-4 24 (3-4) Indianola            4A-4 25 (4-3) Fort Dodge           147.18
74 4A-6 28 (3-4) Dubuque Senior       4A-6 29 (3-4) Eldridge North Scott 143.23
75 4A-2 21 (4-3) Ames                 4A-2 26 (4-3) Des Moines Lincoln   139.58
76 4A-1 18 (4-3) Des Moines East      4A-1 31 (2-4) Sioux City East      134.60
77 4A-5 33 (3-4) Mason City           4A-5 15 (7-0) Waterloo West        133.96
78 4A-8 12 (5-2) Iowa City West       4A-8 27 (2-5) Marion Linn-Mar      132.61
79 4A-3 30 (3-4) CB Jefferson         4A-3  5 (5-1) CB Lewis Central     125.80

Composite Computer, 10, 1, -12, 4, 1, -8, -24, 47, -36, 41
Modified Computer, -16, -13, -4, -2, 1, -9, -17, 23, -22, 37
Standard Computer, 1, -10, -9, -1, 1, -7, -14, 17, -23, 37
Momentum Computer, 5, -4, -12, -5, -2, -6, -14, 20, -20, 36



Straw1397, -1, -3, -4, -5, 7, -10, -14, 17, -21, 42
 
Code:
Conf Rk (W-L) Visitor              Conf Rk (W-L) Home                  Open  Curr
4A-2  2 (6-1) WDM Dowling          4A-2  3 (7-0) Ankeny Centennial      3.0  -1.0
4A-7  6 (5-2) Bettendorf           4A-7 13 (6-1) Iowa City High        -7.0  -7.0
4A-1  8 (5-2) Waukee               4A-1 11 (4-3) Johnston             -10.5  -7.0
4A-4 24 (3-4) Indianola            4A-4 25 (4-3) Fort Dodge            -1.5  -2.0
4A-6 28 (3-4) Dubuque Senior       4A-6 29 (3-4) Eldridge North Scott   1.0   1.0
4A-2 21 (4-3) Ames                 4A-2 26 (4-3) Des Moines Lincoln    -7.5  -7.0
4A-1 18 (4-3) Des Moines East      4A-1 31 (2-4) Sioux City East      -15.5 -14.0
4A-5 33 (3-4) Mason City           4A-5 15 (7-0) Waterloo West         21.5  20.0
4A-8 12 (5-2) Iowa City West       4A-8 27 (2-5) Marion Linn-Mar      -22.5 -23.0
4A-3 30 (3-4) CB Jefferson         4A-3  5 (5-1) CB Lewis Central      37.0  37.0
 
Code:
Conf Rk (W-L) Visitor              Conf Rk (W-L) Home                  Open  Curr
4A-2  2 (6-1) WDM Dowling          4A-2  3 (7-0) Ankeny Centennial      3.0  -6.0
4A-7  6 (5-2) Bettendorf           4A-7 13 (6-1) Iowa City High        -7.0  -7.0
4A-1  8 (5-2) Waukee               4A-1 11 (4-3) Johnston             -10.5  -7.0
4A-4 24 (3-4) Indianola            4A-4 25 (4-3) Fort Dodge            -1.5  -1.0
4A-6 28 (3-4) Dubuque Senior       4A-6 29 (3-4) Eldridge North Scott   1.0   3.0
4A-2 21 (4-3) Ames                 4A-2 26 (4-3) Des Moines Lincoln    -7.5  -7.0
4A-1 18 (4-3) Des Moines East      4A-1 31 (2-4) Sioux City East      -15.5 -14.0
4A-5 33 (3-4) Mason City           4A-5 15 (7-0) Waterloo West         21.5  20.0
4A-8 12 (5-2) Iowa City West       4A-8 27 (2-5) Marion Linn-Mar      -22.5 -24.0
4A-3 30 (3-4) CB Jefferson         4A-3  5 (5-1) CB Lewis Central      37.0  36.0
 
Code:
Conf Rk (W-L) Visitor              Conf Rk (W-L) Home                  Open  Curr
4A-2  2 (6-1) WDM Dowling          4A-2  3 (7-0) Ankeny Centennial      3.0  -6.5
4A-7  6 (5-2) Bettendorf           4A-7 13 (6-1) Iowa City High        -7.0  -7.0
4A-1  8 (5-2) Waukee               4A-1 11 (4-3) Johnston             -10.5  -8.0
4A-4 24 (3-4) Indianola            4A-4 25 (4-3) Fort Dodge            -1.5  -1.5
4A-6 28 (3-4) Dubuque Senior       4A-6 29 (3-4) Eldridge North Scott   1.0   3.0
4A-2 21 (4-3) Ames                 4A-2 26 (4-3) Des Moines Lincoln    -7.5  -7.0
4A-1 18 (4-3) Des Moines East      4A-1 31 (2-4) Sioux City East      -15.5 -14.0
4A-5 33 (3-4) Mason City           4A-5 15 (7-0) Waterloo West         21.5  21.5
4A-8 12 (5-2) Iowa City West       4A-8 27 (2-5) Marion Linn-Mar      -22.5 -24.0
4A-3 30 (3-4) CB Jefferson         4A-3  5 (5-1) CB Lewis Central      37.0  36.5
 
Code:
Conf Rk (W-L) Visitor              Conf Rk (W-L) Home                  Open  Curr
4A-2  2 (6-1) WDM Dowling          4A-2  3 (7-0) Ankeny Centennial      3.0  -6.0
4A-7  6 (5-2) Bettendorf           4A-7 13 (6-1) Iowa City High        -7.0  -7.0
4A-1  8 (5-2) Waukee               4A-1 11 (4-3) Johnston             -10.5  -7.0
4A-4 24 (3-4) Indianola            4A-4 25 (4-3) Fort Dodge            -1.5  -2.0
4A-6 28 (3-4) Dubuque Senior       4A-6 29 (3-4) Eldridge North Scott   1.0   3.0
4A-2 21 (4-3) Ames                 4A-2 26 (4-3) Des Moines Lincoln    -7.5  -7.0
4A-1 18 (4-3) Des Moines East      4A-1 31 (2-4) Sioux City East      -15.5 -14.0
4A-5 33 (3-4) Mason City           4A-5 15 (7-0) Waterloo West         21.5  23.0
4A-8 12 (5-2) Iowa City West       4A-8 27 (2-5) Marion Linn-Mar      -22.5 -24.0
4A-3 30 (3-4) CB Jefferson         4A-3  5 (5-1) CB Lewis Central      37.0  36.0
 
Code:
Conf Rk (W-L) Visitor              Conf Rk (W-L) Home                  Open  Curr
4A-2  2 (6-1) WDM Dowling          4A-2  3 (7-0) Ankeny Centennial      3.0  -6.5
4A-7  6 (5-2) Bettendorf           4A-7 13 (6-1) Iowa City High        -7.0  -7.0
4A-1  8 (5-2) Waukee               4A-1 11 (4-3) Johnston             -10.5  -8.0
4A-4 24 (3-4) Indianola            4A-4 25 (4-3) Fort Dodge            -1.5  -1.5
4A-6 28 (3-4) Dubuque Senior       4A-6 29 (3-4) Eldridge North Scott   1.0   3.0
4A-2 21 (4-3) Ames                 4A-2 26 (4-3) Des Moines Lincoln    -7.5  -7.0
4A-1 18 (4-3) Des Moines East      4A-1 31 (2-4) Sioux City East      -15.5 -14.0
4A-5 33 (3-4) Mason City           4A-5 15 (7-0) Waterloo West         21.5  23.5
4A-8 12 (5-2) Iowa City West       4A-8 27 (2-5) Marion Linn-Mar      -22.5 -23.5
4A-3 30 (3-4) CB Jefferson         4A-3  5 (5-1) CB Lewis Central      37.0  36.5
 
Code:
Conf Rk (W-L) Visitor              Conf Rk (W-L) Home                  Open  Curr Act
4A-2  2 (6-1) WDM Dowling          4A-2  3 (7-0) Ankeny Centennial      3.0  -6.5 -14
4A-7  6 (5-2) Bettendorf           4A-7 13 (6-1) Iowa City High        -7.0  -7.0 -37
4A-1  8 (5-2) Waukee               4A-1 11 (4-3) Johnston             -10.5  -8.0 -10
4A-4 24 (3-4) Indianola            4A-4 25 (4-3) Fort Dodge            -1.5  -1.5  -7
4A-6 28 (3-4) Dubuque Senior       4A-6 29 (3-4) Eldridge North Scott   1.0   3.0  22
4A-2 21 (4-3) Ames                 4A-2 26 (4-3) Des Moines Lincoln    -7.5  -7.0  -5
4A-1 18 (4-3) Des Moines East      4A-1 31 (2-4) Sioux City East      -15.5 -14.0   3
4A-5 33 (3-4) Mason City           4A-5 15 (7-0) Waterloo West         21.5  23.5  35
4A-8 12 (5-2) Iowa City West       4A-8 27 (2-5) Marion Linn-Mar      -22.5 -23.5 -43
4A-3 30 (3-4) CB Jefferson         4A-3  5 (5-1) CB Lewis Central      37.0  36.5  -9
 
Code:
GoBigD6788 and MarionHawk win!

Name                 Cor Att   %    Dev
GoBigD6788             8  10 0.800  148
MarionHawk             8  10 0.800  148
Modified Computer      8  10 0.800  161
Dragon7678             8  10 0.800  164
Straw1397              8  10 0.800  183
Kraftwerk              7  10 0.700  151
bcmoore87              7  10 0.700  162
Standard Computer      7  10 0.700  173
makelovenotwar         6  10 0.600  164
Momentum Computer      6  10 0.600  181
screwloose             6  10 0.600  182
Composite Computer     5  10 0.500  195


Dragon7678 leads!

Name                 Cor Att   %    Dev
Dragon7678            60  79 0.759 1165
GoBigD6788            59  79 0.747 1218
Straw1397             59  79 0.747 1222
MarionHawk            57  79 0.722 1144
Modified Computer     56  79 0.709 1297
bcmoore87             55  79 0.696 1252
Composite Computer    53  79 0.671 1510
screwloose            52  69 0.754 1134
Standard Computer     52  79 0.658 1286
Momentum Computer     51  79 0.646 1295
makelovenotwar        46  79 0.582 1443
Kraftwerk             21  30 0.700 1414
iowaqb                21  40 0.525 1546
Iafootballfan         19  30 0.633 1527
zmac328                9  10 0.900 1474
DSMan                  8  10 0.800 1506
Simpson Storm          6  10 0.600 1520


Dragon7678 leads!

Name                 ATS Att   %    p-val Fame
Dragon7678            49  76 0.645  0.005   22
MarionHawk            45  70 0.643  0.008   20
screwloose            37  62 0.597  0.064   12
Kraftwerk             18  29 0.621  0.099    7
GoBigD6788            33  60 0.550  0.222    6
zmac328                5   7 0.714  0.145    3
iowaqb                20  37 0.541  0.314    3
Straw1397             33  64 0.516  0.402    2
DSMan                  5   9 0.556  0.380    1
Simpson Storm          2   7 0.286  0.145   -3
bcmoore87             27  58 0.466  0.302   -4
Composite Computer    36  76 0.474  0.325   -4
Iafootballfan          9  23 0.391  0.154   -5
makelovenotwar        30  66 0.455  0.232   -6
Momentum Computer     25  60 0.417  0.100  -10
Modified Computer     29  70 0.414  0.076  -12
Standard Computer     23  59 0.390  0.045  -13
 
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