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BCMoore Prediction Game: week 8

bcmoore87

All District
Oct 30, 2001
8,004
29
48
1. Guess the game margin for the top 10 matchups in Class 4A. Beat the computer - earn iapreps fame - prove to everyone that your team is underrated.
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2. Notation: +2 --> Home wins by 2 points. -7 --> Visitor wins by 7 points.
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3. Game is open to all, and all are encouraged to play. The greater the number of participants, the more accurate the overall predictions should be (central limit theorem).
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3.1 Reply to this post in this form:
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username, -2, -4, +3, +5, -3, +10, -20, +3, +3, -1
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where: username --> your rivals.com username,<br>
-2, -4, +3, +5, -3, +10, -20, +3, +3, -1 --> your predictions for the 10 games this week
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3.2 Notes:
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3.2.1 Use one line only.<br>
3.2.2 Use a comma and space as separators
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3.2 The following are example of bad replies:
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name
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-13, +3, +14, +12, +4, +26, +10, -8, +21, +43 (entry uses two lines, comma after name missing)
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name,-13,+3,+14,+12,+4,+26,+10,-8,+21,+43 (spaces missing)
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name: -13,+3,+14,+12,+4,+26,+10,-8,+21,+43 (don't use colon, spaces missing)
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name -13, +3, +14, +12, +4, +26, +10, -8, +21, +43 (commas after name missing)
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3.3 Motivation of format rules is to minimize mistakes in reading your entry and minimize the amount of my time in working on this contest.
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4. Rankings: Official rankings of the contest are the BCMoore Rankings, <a href="http://bcmoorerankings.com">http://bcmoorerankings.com</a>.
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5. Scoring: Entry with most correct answers wins. Ties will be broken by sum of (absolute values of predictions - actual scores).
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6. Deadline: All entries must be submitted by <b>Friday, 5PM</b>. Entries can be changed up to deadline. To change your entry, submit a new entry. Do not edit a previous entry; I may not see the change you want to make.
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7. Duration: Contest will run for the length of the regular season. Updates on season long standings will be given weekly in addition to each individual weeks winner.
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8. Game selection: Games are generally selected based on two criteria:<br>
8.1 Each district has at least one team in the weekly game.<br>
8.2 Remaining games are selected based on state-wide merit.<br>


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This week's games:


Code:
 N Conf Rk (W-L) Visitor              Conf Rk (W-L) Home                Matchup
71 4A-4  6 (7-0) Fort Dodge           4A-4  7 (5-2) Waukee               190.13
72 4A-2 12 (5-2) CB Lewis Central     4A-2 10 (5-2) Johnston             184.48
73 4A-6 13 (6-1) Muscatine            4A-6 24 (2-5) CR Prairie           173.64
74 4A-5 17 (5-2) Cedar Falls          4A-5  2 (7-0) CR Kennedy           170.63
75 4A-3 26 (5-2) Ankeny Centennial    4A-3  1 (6-1) WDM Valley           168.54
76 4A-6  3 (6-1) CR Washington        4A-6 20 (5-2) Iowa City High       166.72
77 4A-5 25 (3-4) Waterloo West        4A-5 18 (3-4) Marion Linn-Mar      164.97
78 4A-7 11 (5-2) Pleasant Valley      4A-7 29 (5-2) Dubuque Hempstead    160.86
79 4A-8 28 (3-4) Dubuque Senior       4A-8  5 (7-0) Bettendorf           151.33
80 4A-1 32 (4-3) Des Moines East      4A-1 22 (2-5) Ames                 144.08

Composite Computer, -13, 5, -29, 36, 35, -21, 10, -14, 52, -1
Modified Computer, -4, 2, -13, 26, 44, -27, 11, -17, 37, 15
Standard Computer, -5, 1, -7, 24, 25, -26, 13, -17, 35, 20
Momentum Computer, -3, 3, -6, 27, 21, -23, 22, -19, 31, 22
 
Don't know enough about Eastern Iowa teams to post knowledgable list of predictions, but if these games were listed in Las Vegas I'd love to bet that Ft. Dodge/Waukee game. I understand you can only play the teams on your schedule, but Ft. Dodge's schedule ranks 45th out of 46 4A teams. They've got a few good players, but they're not a top 10 team.
 
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Don't know enough about Eastern Iowa teams to post knowledgable list of predictions, but if these games were listed in Las Vegas I'd love to bet that Ft. Dodge/Waukee game. I understand you can only play the teams on your schedule, but Ft. Dodge's schedule ranks 45th out of 46 4A teams. They've got a few good players, but they're not a top 10 team.
What's your top 10 and what's your justification for the other 4-6 teams you'd have in there over Fort Dodge?

Strike that. Answer that on the other thread I'll post for the games.
 
hawkod - you should really put those thoughts to work and play the prediction game -- looking forward to your predictions
 
Code:
Conf Rk (W-L) Visitor              Conf Rk (W-L) Home                  Open  Curr
4A-4  6 (7-0) Fort Dodge           4A-4  7 (5-2) Waukee                -4.5  -3.0
4A-2 12 (5-2) CB Lewis Central     4A-2 10 (5-2) Johnston               2.5   5.0
4A-6 13 (6-1) Muscatine            4A-6 24 (2-5) CR Prairie           -10.0  -7.0
4A-5 17 (5-2) Cedar Falls          4A-5  2 (7-0) CR Kennedy            26.5  24.0
4A-3 26 (5-2) Ankeny Centennial    4A-3  1 (6-1) WDM Valley            30.0  25.0
4A-6  3 (6-1) CR Washington        4A-6 20 (5-2) Iowa City High       -24.5 -21.0
4A-5 25 (3-4) Waterloo West        4A-5 18 (3-4) Marion Linn-Mar       12.0  13.0
4A-7 11 (5-2) Pleasant Valley      4A-7 29 (5-2) Dubuque Hempstead    -17.0 -17.0
4A-8 28 (3-4) Dubuque Senior       4A-8  5 (7-0) Bettendorf            36.0  35.0
4A-1 32 (4-3) Des Moines East      4A-1 22 (2-5) Ames                  17.5  17.0
 
Code:
Conf Rk (W-L) Visitor              Conf Rk (W-L) Home                  Open  Curr
4A-4  6 (7-0) Fort Dodge           4A-4  7 (5-2) Waukee                -4.5  -3.0
4A-2 12 (5-2) CB Lewis Central     4A-2 10 (5-2) Johnston               2.5   5.0
4A-6 13 (6-1) Muscatine            4A-6 24 (2-5) CR Prairie           -10.0  -7.0
4A-5 17 (5-2) Cedar Falls          4A-5  2 (7-0) CR Kennedy            26.5  24.0
4A-3 26 (5-2) Ankeny Centennial    4A-3  1 (6-1) WDM Valley            30.0  25.0
4A-6  3 (6-1) CR Washington        4A-6 20 (5-2) Iowa City High       -24.5 -21.0
4A-5 25 (3-4) Waterloo West        4A-5 18 (3-4) Marion Linn-Mar       12.0  13.0
4A-7 11 (5-2) Pleasant Valley      4A-7 29 (5-2) Dubuque Hempstead    -17.0 -17.0
4A-8 28 (3-4) Dubuque Senior       4A-8  5 (7-0) Bettendorf            36.0  35.0
4A-1 32 (4-3) Des Moines East      4A-1 22 (2-5) Ames                  17.5  17.0

Straw1397, 7, 3, -13, 14, 31, -17, 10, -12, 40, 28
 
Code:
Conf Rk (W-L) Visitor              Conf Rk (W-L) Home                  Open  Curr
4A-4  6 (7-0) Fort Dodge           4A-4  7 (5-2) Waukee                -4.5  -3.5
4A-2 12 (5-2) CB Lewis Central     4A-2 10 (5-2) Johnston               2.5   5.5
4A-6 13 (6-1) Muscatine            4A-6 24 (2-5) CR Prairie           -10.0  -9.5
4A-5 17 (5-2) Cedar Falls          4A-5  2 (7-0) CR Kennedy            26.5  22.5
4A-3 26 (5-2) Ankeny Centennial    4A-3  1 (6-1) WDM Valley            30.0  26.5
4A-6  3 (6-1) CR Washington        4A-6 20 (5-2) Iowa City High       -24.5 -21.0
4A-5 25 (3-4) Waterloo West        4A-5 18 (3-4) Marion Linn-Mar       12.0  12.0
4A-7 11 (5-2) Pleasant Valley      4A-7 29 (5-2) Dubuque Hempstead    -17.0 -15.5
4A-8 28 (3-4) Dubuque Senior       4A-8  5 (7-0) Bettendorf            36.0  35.0
4A-1 32 (4-3) Des Moines East      4A-1 22 (2-5) Ames                  17.5  16.0
 
Code:
Conf Rk (W-L) Visitor              Conf Rk (W-L) Home                  Open  Curr Act
4A-4  6 (7-0) Fort Dodge           4A-4  7 (5-2) Waukee                -4.5  -3.0   3
4A-2 12 (5-2) CB Lewis Central     4A-2 10 (5-2) Johnston               2.5   6.0   7
4A-6 13 (6-1) Muscatine            4A-6 24 (2-5) CR Prairie           -10.0 -10.0  15
4A-5 17 (5-2) Cedar Falls          4A-5  2 (7-0) CR Kennedy            26.5  24.0  14
4A-3 26 (5-2) Ankeny Centennial    4A-3  1 (6-1) WDM Valley            30.0  28.0  -2
4A-6  3 (6-1) CR Washington        4A-6 20 (5-2) Iowa City High       -24.5 -21.0 -19
4A-5 25 (3-4) Waterloo West        4A-5 18 (3-4) Marion Linn-Mar       12.0  11.0  13
4A-7 11 (5-2) Pleasant Valley      4A-7 29 (5-2) Dubuque Hempstead    -17.0 -14.0 -42
4A-8 28 (3-4) Dubuque Senior       4A-8  5 (7-0) Bettendorf            36.0  35.0  37
4A-1 32 (4-3) Des Moines East      4A-1 22 (2-5) Ames                  17.5  15.0  14
 
Code:
Name                 Cor Att   %    Dev
screwloose             8  10 0.800  103
Orsky1                 8  10 0.800  108
makelovenotwar         8  10 0.800  117
GoBigD6788             8  10 0.800  120
straw1397              8  10 0.800  121
SimpsonStorm           8  10 0.800  127
Dragon7678             8  10 0.800  137
Standard Computer      7  10 0.700  113
Momentum Computer      7  10 0.700  117
bcmoore87              7  10 0.700  118
MarionHawk             7  10 0.700  131
Modified Computer      7  10 0.700  134
Composite Computer     6  10 0.600  184


Name                 Cor Att   %    Dev
Dragon7678            60  79 0.759 1119
screwloose            59  80 0.738 1021
GoBigD6788            57  79 0.722 1044
makelovenotwar        56  80 0.700 1151
straw1397             55  80 0.688 1049
Momentum Computer     55  80 0.688 1053
SimpsonStorm          55  80 0.688 1098
Standard Computer     54  80 0.675 1045
Modified Computer     54  80 0.675 1097
Composite Computer    54  80 0.675 1547
bcmoore87             53  80 0.662 1051
Orsky1                51  70 0.729 1043
MarionHawk            51  70 0.729 1097
PNation               17  30 0.567 1446
SEPRamFan             16  30 0.533 1405
Dodge59               13  20 0.650 1437
RedAgentRadar         12  20 0.600 1484
ZMac328               10  20 0.500 1447
DSMan                  8  20 0.400 1517


Name                 ATS Att   %    p-val Fame
screwloose            42  69 0.609  0.035   15
ZMac328               14  20 0.700  0.036    8
Dodge59               12  18 0.667  0.082    6
SimpsonStorm          33  61 0.541  0.263    5
Orsky1                26  48 0.542  0.285    4
Standard Computer     33  62 0.532  0.308    4
Momentum Computer     33  63 0.524  0.354    3
MarionHawk            33  63 0.524  0.354    3
GoBigD6788            28  54 0.519  0.394    2
Dragon7678            33  64 0.516  0.402    2
SEPRamFan             12  23 0.522  0.420    1
RedAgentRadar          7  13 0.538  0.397    1
straw1397             32  64 0.500  0.500    0
Modified Computer     31  63 0.492  0.450   -1
DSMan                  7  18 0.389  0.180   -4
makelovenotwar        30  66 0.455  0.232   -6
PNation               10  26 0.385  0.123   -6
bcmoore87             22  51 0.431  0.166   -7
Composite Computer    30  71 0.423  0.097  -11
 
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