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BCMoore Prediction Game: week 7

bcmoore87

All District
Oct 30, 2001
8,004
29
48
1. Guess the game margin for the top 10 matchups in Class 3A. Beat the computer - earn iapreps fame - prove to everyone that your team is underrated.


2. Notation: +2 --> Home wins by 2 points. -7 --> Visitor wins by 7 points.


3. Game is open to all, and all are encouraged to play. The greater the number of participants, the more accurate the overall predictions should be (central limit theorem).


3.1 Reply to this post in this form:


username, -2, -4, +3, +5, -3, +10, -20, +3, +3, -1


where: username --> your rivals.com username,

-2, -4, +3, +5, -3, +10, -20, +3, +3, -1 --> your predictions for the 10 games this week


3.2 Notes:


3.2.1 Use one line only.

3.2.2 Use a comma and space as separators


3.2 The following are example of bad replies:


name


-13, +3, +14, +12, +4, +26, +10, -8, +21, +43 (entry uses two lines, comma after name missing)


name,-13,+3,+14,+12,+4,+26,+10,-8,+21,+43 (spaces missing)


name: -13,+3,+14,+12,+4,+26,+10,-8,+21,+43 (don't use colon, spaces missing)


name -13, +3, +14, +12, +4, +26, +10, -8, +21, +43 (commas after name missing)


3.3 Motivation of format rules is to minimize mistakes in reading your entry and minimize the amount of my time in working on this contest.


4. Rankings: Official rankings of the contest are the BCMoore Rankings, http://bcmoorerankings.com.


5. Scoring: Entry with most correct answers wins. Ties will be broken by sum of (absolute values of predictions - actual scores).


6. Deadline: All entries must be submitted by Friday, 5PM. Entries can be changed up to deadline. To change your entry, submit a new entry. Do not edit a previous entry; I may not see the change you want to make.


7. Duration: Contest will run for the length of the regular season. Updates on season long standings will be given weekly in addition to each individual weeks winner.


8. Game selection: Games are generally selected based on two criteria:

8.1 Each district has at least one team in the weekly game.

8.2 Remaining games are selected based on state-wide merit.




This week's games:



N Conf Rk (W-L) Visitor Conf Rk (W-L) Home Matchup
61 3A-6 17 (4-2) Huxley Ballard 3A-6 10 (4-2) Bondurant-Farrar 167.61
62 3A-2 3 (6-0) Carroll 3A-1 9 (5-1) Sioux City Heelan 167.59
63 3A-5 20 (4-2) Davenport Assumption 3A-5 18 (5-1) Clear Creek-Amana 164.97
64 3A-7 1 (6-0) Pella 3A-6 8 (5-1) Newton 164.71
65 3A-2 25 (2-4) Webster City 3A-2 14 (5-1) Humboldt 162.12
66 3A-3 21 (4-2) Charles City 3A-3 28 (3-3) Independence 149.56
67 3A-2 26 (2-4) Greene County 3A-2 32 (3-3) Perry 146.20
68 3A-8 29 (4-2) Winterset 3A-8 16 (5-1) Dallas Center-Grimes 142.84
69 3A-4 15 (4-2) Western Dubuque 3A-4 34 (1-5) Marion 140.67
70 3A-1 35 (3-3) LeMars 3A-1 12 (4-2) Sergeant Bluff-Luton 137.15

Composite Computer, -1, -14, 7, -33, 30, -16, 4, 23, -39, 25
Modified Computer, 4, -12, 3, -22, 13, -10, -6, 17, -18, 24
Standard Computer, 1, -11, 2, -18, 5, -10, -7, 18, -18, 22
Momentum Computer, -4, -9, -1, -19, 1, -14, -6, 13, -25, 21
 
Originally posted by bcmoore87:
1. Guess the game margin for the top 10 matchups in Class 3A. Beat the computer - earn iapreps fame - prove to everyone that your team is underrated.



2. Notation: +2 --> Home wins by 2 points. -7 --> Visitor wins by 7 points.



3. Game is open to all, and all are encouraged to play. The greater the number of participants, the more accurate the overall predictions should be (central limit theorem).



3.1 Reply to this post in this form:



username, -2, -4, +3, +5, -3, +10, -20, +3, +3, -1



where: username --> your rivals.com username,

-2, -4, +3, +5, -3, +10, -20, +3, +3, -1 --> your predictions for the 10 games this week



3.2 Notes:



3.2.1 Use one line only.

3.2.2 Use a comma and space as separators



3.2 The following are example of bad replies:



name



-13, +3, +14, +12, +4, +26, +10, -8, +21, +43 (entry uses two lines, comma after name missing)



name,-13,+3,+14,+12,+4,+26,+10,-8,+21,+43 (spaces missing)



name: -13,+3,+14,+12,+4,+26,+10,-8,+21,+43 (don't use colon, spaces missing)



name -13, +3, +14, +12, +4, +26, +10, -8, +21, +43 (commas after name missing)



3.3 Motivation of format rules is to minimize mistakes in reading your entry and minimize the amount of my time in working on this contest.



4. Rankings: Official rankings of the contest are the BCMoore Rankings, http://bcmoorerankings.com.



5. Scoring: Entry with most correct answers wins. Ties will be broken by sum of (absolute values of predictions - actual scores).



6. Deadline: All entries must be submitted by Friday, 5PM. Entries can be changed up to deadline. To change your entry, submit a new entry. Do not edit a previous entry; I may not see the change you want to make.



7. Duration: Contest will run for the length of the regular season. Updates on season long standings will be given weekly in addition to each individual weeks winner.



8. Game selection: Games are generally selected based on two criteria:

8.1 Each district has at least one team in the weekly game.

8.2 Remaining games are selected based on state-wide merit.





This week's games:



N Conf Rk (W-L) Visitor Conf Rk (W-L) Home Matchup
61 3A-6 17 (4-2) Huxley Ballard 3A-6 10 (4-2) Bondurant-Farrar 167.61
62 3A-2 3 (6-0) Carroll 3A-1 9 (5-1) Sioux City Heelan 167.59
63 3A-5 20 (4-2) Davenport Assumption 3A-5 18 (5-1) Clear Creek-Amana 164.97
64 3A-7 1 (6-0) Pella 3A-6 8 (5-1) Newton 164.71
65 3A-2 25 (2-4) Webster City 3A-2 14 (5-1) Humboldt 162.12
66 3A-3 21 (4-2) Charles City 3A-3 28 (3-3) Independence 149.56
67 3A-2 26 (2-4) Greene County 3A-2 32 (3-3) Perry 146.20
68 3A-8 29 (4-2) Winterset 3A-8 16 (5-1) Dallas Center-Grimes 142.84
69 3A-4 15 (4-2) Western Dubuque 3A-4 34 (1-5) Marion 140.67
70 3A-1 35 (3-3) LeMars 3A-1 12 (4-2) Sergeant Bluff-Luton 137.15

Composite Computer, -1, -14, 7, -33, 30, -16, 4, 23, -39, 25
Modified Computer, 4, -12, 3, -22, 13, -10, -6, 17, -18, 24
Standard Computer, 1, -11, 2, -18, 5, -10, -7, 18, -18, 22
Momentum Computer, -4, -9, -1, -19, 1, -14, -6, 13, -25, 21
-7, +7, -14, -21, +14, -14, +7, +14, -21, +7
 
Conf Rk (W-L) Visitor Conf Rk (W-L) Home Open Curr
3A-6 17 (4-2) Huxley Ballard 3A-6 10 (4-2) Bondurant-Farrar 0.0 0.0
3A-2 3 (6-0) Carroll 3A-1 9 (5-1) Sioux City Heelan -11.5 -10.0
3A-5 20 (4-2) Davenport Assumption 3A-5 18 (5-1) Clear Creek-Amana 2.5 0.5
3A-7 1 (6-0) Pella 3A-6 8 (5-1) Newton -20.5 -20.0
3A-2 25 (2-4) Webster City 3A-2 14 (5-1) Humboldt 9.0 13.0
3A-3 21 (4-2) Charles City 3A-3 28 (3-3) Independence -12.0 -12.0
3A-2 26 (2-4) Greene County 3A-2 32 (3-3) Perry -6.0 -1.5
3A-8 29 (4-2) Winterset 3A-8 16 (5-1) Dallas Center-Grimes 17.5 15.5
3A-4 15 (4-2) Western Dubuque 3A-4 34 (1-5) Marion -21.5 -20.5
3A-1 35 (3-3) LeMars 3A-1 12 (4-2) Sergeant Bluff-Luton 23.0 21.5
 
Conf Rk (W-L) Visitor Conf Rk (W-L) Home Open Curr
3A-6 17 (4-2) Huxley Ballard 3A-6 10 (4-2) Bondurant-Farrar 0.0 0.0
3A-2 3 (6-0) Carroll 3A-1 9 (5-1) Sioux City Heelan -11.5 -8.0
3A-5 20 (4-2) Davenport Assumption 3A-5 18 (5-1) Clear Creek-Amana 2.5 -7.5
3A-7 1 (6-0) Pella 3A-6 8 (5-1) Newton -20.5 -20.5
3A-2 25 (2-4) Webster City 3A-2 14 (5-1) Humboldt 9.0 13.5
3A-3 21 (4-2) Charles City 3A-3 28 (3-3) Independence -12.0 -12.0
3A-2 26 (2-4) Greene County 3A-2 32 (3-3) Perry -6.0 3.0
3A-8 29 (4-2) Winterset 3A-8 16 (5-1) Dallas Center-Grimes 17.5 14.5
3A-4 15 (4-2) Western Dubuque 3A-4 34 (1-5) Marion -21.5 -21.0
3A-1 35 (3-3) LeMars 3A-1 12 (4-2) Sergeant Bluff-Luton 23.0 19.5
 
Conf Rk (W-L) Visitor Conf Rk (W-L) Home Open Curr
3A-6 17 (4-2) Huxley Ballard 3A-6 10 (4-2) Bondurant-Farrar 0.0 -1.0
3A-2 3 (6-0) Carroll 3A-1 9 (5-1) Sioux City Heelan -11.5 -7.0
3A-5 20 (4-2) Davenport Assumption 3A-5 18 (5-1) Clear Creek-Amana 2.5 -14.0
3A-7 1 (6-0) Pella 3A-6 8 (5-1) Newton -20.5 -20.0
3A-2 25 (2-4) Webster City 3A-2 14 (5-1) Humboldt 9.0 13.0
3A-3 21 (4-2) Charles City 3A-3 28 (3-3) Independence -12.0 -10.0
3A-2 26 (2-4) Greene County 3A-2 32 (3-3) Perry -6.0 3.0
3A-8 29 (4-2) Winterset 3A-8 16 (5-1) Dallas Center-Grimes 17.5 15.0
3A-4 15 (4-2) Western Dubuque 3A-4 34 (1-5) Marion -21.5 -21.0
3A-1 35 (3-3) LeMars 3A-1 12 (4-2) Sergeant Bluff-Luton 23.0 18.0
 
Conf Rk (W-L) Visitor Conf Rk (W-L) Home Open Curr Act
3A-6 17 (4-2) Huxley Ballard 3A-6 10 (4-2) Bondurant-Farrar 0.0 1.0 -3
3A-2 3 (6-0) Carroll 3A-1 9 (5-1) Sioux City Heelan -11.5 -7.0 27
3A-5 20 (4-2) Davenport Assumption 3A-5 18 (5-1) Clear Creek-Amana 2.5 -7.0 27
3A-7 1 (6-0) Pella 3A-6 8 (5-1) Newton -20.5 -21.0 -55
3A-2 25 (2-4) Webster City 3A-2 14 (5-1) Humboldt 9.0 13.0 28
3A-3 21 (4-2) Charles City 3A-3 28 (3-3) Independence -12.0 -10.0 2
3A-2 26 (2-4) Greene County 3A-2 32 (3-3) Perry -6.0 2.0 -3
3A-8 29 (4-2) Winterset 3A-8 16 (5-1) Dallas Center-Grimes 17.5 14.0 3
3A-4 15 (4-2) Western Dubuque 3A-4 34 (1-5) Marion -21.5 -21.0 -22
3A-1 35 (3-3) LeMars 3A-1 12 (4-2) Sergeant Bluff-Luton 23.0 18.0 12
 
Name Cor Att % Dev
Wild Man 4510 8 10 0.800 152
Vroom_C14 7 10 0.700 156
fmclonefan 7 10 0.700 156
Composite Computer 7 10 0.700 162
Modified Computer 7 10 0.700 163
bcmoore87 7 10 0.700 166
Momentum Computer 7 10 0.700 169
Standard Computer 7 10 0.700 172
PNation 6 10 0.600 173
Mize19 5 10 0.500 163
EastIowaHawk 5 10 0.500 165
NorseHorse 5 10 0.500 169
KidKinnick 4 10 0.400 165


Name Cor Att % Dev
fmclonefan 48 70 0.686 1028
Wild Man 4510 47 70 0.671 1118
Modified Computer 46 70 0.657 1212
bcmoore87 45 68 0.662 1155
Momentum Computer 45 70 0.643 1198
Standard Computer 45 70 0.643 1201
PNation 45 70 0.643 1230
NorseHorse 43 70 0.614 1118
Mize19 42 70 0.600 1286
Vroom_C14 41 70 0.586 1243
Composite Computer 39 70 0.557 1598
EastIowaHawk 34 60 0.567 1124
KidKinnick 25 40 0.625 1231
theiceman44 6 10 0.600 1143
redagentradar 6 10 0.600 1206


Name ATS Att % p-val Fame
fmclonefan 36 55 0.655 0.010 17
PNation 39 64 0.609 0.040 14
Wild Man 4510 37 62 0.597 0.064 12
Vroom_C14 33 59 0.559 0.183 7
NorseHorse 31 58 0.534 0.302 4
redagentradar 5 8 0.625 0.258 2
EastIowaHawk 25 49 0.510 0.444 1
theiceman44 4 8 0.500 0.500 0
KidKinnick 14 34 0.412 0.155 -6
Composite Computer 29 66 0.439 0.164 -8
Momentum Computer 22 53 0.415 0.110 -9
bcmoore87 19 49 0.388 0.059 -11
Mize19 24 59 0.407 0.077 -11
Standard Computer 19 51 0.373 0.034 -13
Modified Computer 20 57 0.351 0.011 -17
 
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