ADVERTISEMENT

BCMoore Prediction Game: week 7

bcmoore87

All District
Oct 30, 2001
8,004
29
48
1. Guess the game margin for the top 10 matchups in Class 4A. Beat the computer - earn iapreps fame - prove to everyone that your team is underrated.


2. Notation: +2 --> Home wins by 2 points. -7 --> Visitor wins by 7 points.


3. Game is open to all, and all are encouraged to play. The greater the number of participants, the more accurate the overall predictions should be (central limit theorem).


3.1 Reply to this post in this form:


username, -2, -4, +3, +5, -3, +10, -20, +3, +3, -1


where: username --> your rivals.com username,

-2, -4, +3, +5, -3, +10, -20, +3, +3, -1 --> your predictions for the 10 games this week


3.2 Notes:


3.2.1 Use one line only.

3.2.2 Use a comma and space as separators


3.2 The following are example of bad replies:


name


-13, +3, +14, +12, +4, +26, +10, -8, +21, +43 (entry uses two lines, comma after name missing)


name,-13,+3,+14,+12,+4,+26,+10,-8,+21,+43 (spaces missing)


name: -13,+3,+14,+12,+4,+26,+10,-8,+21,+43 (don't use colon, spaces missing)


name -13, +3, +14, +12, +4, +26, +10, -8, +21, +43 (commas after name missing)


3.3 Motivation of format rules is to minimize mistakes in reading your entry and minimize the amount of my time in working on this contest.


4. Rankings: Official rankings of the contest are the BCMoore Rankings, http://bcmoorerankings.com.


5. Scoring: Entry with most correct answers wins. Ties will be broken by sum of (absolute values of predictions - actual scores).


6. Deadline: All entries must be submitted by Friday, 5PM. Entries can be changed up to deadline. To change your entry, submit a new entry. Do not edit a previous entry; I may not see the change you want to make.


7. Duration: Contest will run for the length of the regular season. Updates on season long standings will be given weekly in addition to each individual weeks winner.


8. Game selection: Games are generally selected based on two criteria:

8.1 Each district has at least one team in the weekly game.

8.2 Remaining games are selected based on state-wide merit.





This week's games:



N Conf Rk (W-L) Visitor Conf Rk (W-L) Home Matchup
61 4A-1 9 (3-3) Southeast Polk 4A-1 10 (4-2) Ames 181.91
62 4A-5 13 (5-1) Cedar Falls 4A-5 11 (5-1) Marion Linn-Mar 173.85
63 4A-8 12 (5-1) Eldridge North Scott 4A-8 5 (6-0) Bettendorf 171.65
64 4A-2 16 (5-1) CB Lewis Central 4A-2 14 (5-1) Sioux City East 168.60
65 4A-2 1 (5-1) WDM Dowling 4A-2 6 (5-1) Johnston 167.93
66 4A-7 17 (3-3) Iowa City West 4A-7 20 (5-1) Dubuque Hempstead 166.78
67 4A-8 19 (4-2) Dubuque Senior 4A-7 15 (3-3) Pleasant Valley 161.66
68 4A-6 18 (4-2) Muscatine 4A-6 26 (4-2) Ottumwa 158.20
69 4A-3 31 (3-3) CB Lincoln 4A-3 27 (3-3) Des Moines Hoover 147.61
70 4A-4 23 (5-1) Fort Dodge 4A-4 35 (1-5) Marshalltown 144.02

Composite Computer, 2, -2, 27, 2, -19, 5, -2, 1, 1, -38
Modified Computer, 1, 3, 17, 2, -25, -3, 5, -8, 7, -15
Standard Computer, 1, 1, 10, 1, -30, -4, 8, -7, 8, -13
Momentum Computer, -3, -4, 7, 1, -35, -2, 9, -3, 12, -13
 
* lots of coin-flip-type games this week.

Season-long contest may be won or lost this week.

I'm looking forward to a lot of good insights from our panel.
 
As a public service, I'll get my picks out of the way, so everybody else knows which way NOT to go...

screwloose, -10, -7, +3, +7, -31, -6, +13, -14, +10, -22
 
I had a thought earlier that maybe there is a 50-50 chance that someone goes 3-7 this week.
 
Conf Rk (W-L) Visitor Conf Rk (W-L) Home Open Curr
4A-1 9 (3-3) Southeast Polk 4A-1 10 (4-2) Ames 1.0 -1.0
4A-5 13 (5-1) Cedar Falls 4A-5 11 (5-1) Marion Linn-Mar -0.5 -0.5
4A-8 12 (5-1) Eldridge North Scott 4A-8 5 (6-0) Bettendorf 13.5 11.5
4A-2 16 (5-1) CB Lewis Central 4A-2 14 (5-1) Sioux City East 1.5 2.0
4A-2 1 (5-1) WDM Dowling 4A-2 6 (5-1) Johnston -27.5 -23.0
4A-7 17 (3-3) Iowa City West 4A-7 20 (5-1) Dubuque Hempstead -2.5 0.5
4A-8 19 (4-2) Dubuque Senior 4A-7 15 (3-3) Pleasant Valley 6.5 4.5
4A-6 18 (4-2) Muscatine 4A-6 26 (4-2) Ottumwa -5.0 -7.0
4A-3 31 (3-3) CB Lincoln 4A-3 27 (3-3) Des Moines Hoover 7.5 7.5
4A-4 23 (5-1) Fort Dodge 4A-4 35 (1-5) Marshalltown -14.0 -16.5
 
Originally posted by screwloose:
As a public service, I'll get my picks out of the way, so everybody else knows which way NOT to go...

screwloose, -10, -7, +3, +7, -31, -6, +13, -14, +10, -22
Well it looks like we will be separated by 4-5 wins because I have a lot more road wins than you. lol
 
Conf Rk (W-L) Visitor Conf Rk (W-L) Home Open Curr
4A-1 9 (3-3) Southeast Polk 4A-1 10 (4-2) Ames 1.0 -4.5
4A-5 13 (5-1) Cedar Falls 4A-5 11 (5-1) Marion Linn-Mar -0.5 -0.5
4A-8 12 (5-1) Eldridge North Scott 4A-8 5 (6-0) Bettendorf 13.5 10.0
4A-2 16 (5-1) CB Lewis Central 4A-2 14 (5-1) Sioux City East 1.5 2.0
4A-2 1 (5-1) WDM Dowling 4A-2 6 (5-1) Johnston -27.5 -22.5
4A-7 17 (3-3) Iowa City West 4A-7 20 (5-1) Dubuque Hempstead -2.5 -3.0
4A-8 19 (4-2) Dubuque Senior 4A-7 15 (3-3) Pleasant Valley 6.5 3.5
4A-6 18 (4-2) Muscatine 4A-6 26 (4-2) Ottumwa -5.0 -7.5
4A-3 31 (3-3) CB Lincoln 4A-3 27 (3-3) Des Moines Hoover 7.5 7.5
4A-4 23 (5-1) Fort Dodge 4A-4 35 (1-5) Marshalltown -14.0 -21.0
 
Conf Rk (W-L) Visitor Conf Rk (W-L) Home Open Curr
4A-1 9 (3-3) Southeast Polk 4A-1 10 (4-2) Ames 1.0 -7.0
4A-5 13 (5-1) Cedar Falls 4A-5 11 (5-1) Marion Linn-Mar -0.5 1.0
4A-8 12 (5-1) Eldridge North Scott 4A-8 5 (6-0) Bettendorf 13.5 10.0
4A-2 16 (5-1) CB Lewis Central 4A-2 14 (5-1) Sioux City East 1.5 2.0
4A-2 1 (5-1) WDM Dowling 4A-2 6 (5-1) Johnston -27.5 -24.0
4A-7 17 (3-3) Iowa City West 4A-7 20 (5-1) Dubuque Hempstead -2.5 -3.0
4A-8 19 (4-2) Dubuque Senior 4A-7 15 (3-3) Pleasant Valley 6.5 3.0
4A-6 18 (4-2) Muscatine 4A-6 26 (4-2) Ottumwa -5.0 -7.0
4A-3 31 (3-3) CB Lincoln 4A-3 27 (3-3) Des Moines Hoover 7.5 8.0
4A-4 23 (5-1) Fort Dodge 4A-4 35 (1-5) Marshalltown -14.0 -21.0
 
Conf Rk (W-L) Visitor Conf Rk (W-L) Home Open Curr Act
4A-1 9 (3-3) Southeast Polk 4A-1 10 (4-2) Ames 1.0 -6.0 -7
4A-5 13 (5-1) Cedar Falls 4A-5 11 (5-1) Marion Linn-Mar -0.5 3.0 8
4A-8 12 (5-1) Eldridge North Scott 4A-8 5 (6-0) Bettendorf 13.5 13.0 16
4A-2 16 (5-1) CB Lewis Central 4A-2 14 (5-1) Sioux City East 1.5 3.0 -7
4A-2 1 (5-1) WDM Dowling 4A-2 6 (5-1) Johnston -27.5 -24.0 -37
4A-7 17 (3-3) Iowa City West 4A-7 20 (5-1) Dubuque Hempstead -2.5 -3.0 -17
4A-8 19 (4-2) Dubuque Senior 4A-7 15 (3-3) Pleasant Valley 6.5 4.0 20
4A-6 18 (4-2) Muscatine 4A-6 26 (4-2) Ottumwa -5.0 -7.0 -3
4A-3 31 (3-3) CB Lincoln 4A-3 27 (3-3) Des Moines Hoover 7.5 7.0 1
4A-4 23 (5-1) Fort Dodge 4A-4 35 (1-5) Marshalltown -14.0 -21.0 -25
 
Name Cor Att % Dev
Straw1397 9 10 0.900 73
SEPRamFan 9 10 0.900 85
maxstabs13 9 10 0.900 98
orsky1 8 10 0.800 83
Standard Computer 8 10 0.800 84
Momentum Computer 8 10 0.800 84
Modified Computer 8 10 0.800 85
bcmoore87 8 10 0.800 88
screwloose 8 10 0.800 92
RedAgentRadar 8 10 0.800 97
zmac328 8 10 0.800 101
Dragon7678 7 10 0.700 80
MarionHawk 7 10 0.700 92
EHS1505 7 10 0.700 107
PNation 7 10 0.700 126
Mize19 6 10 0.600 106
Screwloose Ranking 6 10 0.600 114
EastIowaHawk 5 10 0.500 117
Composite Computer 4 10 0.400 118


Name Cor Att % Dev
RedAgentRadar 56 70 0.800 886
SEPRamFan 54 70 0.771 905
orsky1 54 70 0.771 984
Straw1397 53 70 0.757 915
Mize19 53 70 0.757 945
MarionHawk 52 70 0.743 972
maxstabs13 52 70 0.743 1025
Modified Computer 52 70 0.743 1041
PNation 51 70 0.729 1023
EHS1505 50 70 0.714 963
bcmoore87 50 68 0.735 993
Standard Computer 50 70 0.714 1039
Momentum Computer 50 70 0.714 1039
Dragon7678 49 69 0.710 890
screwloose 49 70 0.700 1029
Composite Computer 48 70 0.686 1691
EastIowaHawk 32 50 0.640 1193
zmac328 25 30 0.833 1083
Screwloose Ranking 21 30 0.700 1206


Name ATS Att % p-val Fame
Dragon7678 39 59 0.661 0.006 19
SEPRamFan 35 56 0.625 0.030 14
Straw1397 35 56 0.625 0.030 14
EastIowaHawk 23 40 0.575 0.175 6
MarionHawk 29 54 0.537 0.295 4
screwloose 31 58 0.534 0.302 4
RedAgentRadar 24 48 0.500 0.500 0
EHS1505 27 54 0.500 0.500 0
bcmoore87 19 38 0.500 0.500 0
Mize19 22 47 0.468 0.333 -3
Modified Computer 25 53 0.472 0.342 -3
Composite Computer 31 65 0.477 0.356 -3
zmac328 10 24 0.417 0.213 -4
Screwloose Ranking 12 28 0.429 0.230 -4
PNation 23 53 0.434 0.171 -7
orsky1 24 56 0.429 0.145 -8
maxstabs13 25 59 0.424 0.122 -9
Standard Computer 21 54 0.389 0.051 -12
Momentum Computer 21 55 0.382 0.040 -13
 
ADVERTISEMENT

Latest posts

ADVERTISEMENT