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BCMoore Prediction Game: Week 7

bcmoore87

All District
Oct 30, 2001
8,004
29
48
1. Guess the game margin for the top 10 matchups in Class 4A. Beat the computer - earn iapreps fame - prove to everyone that your team is underrated.
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2. Notation: +2 --> Home wins by 2 points. -7 --> Visitor wins by 7 points.
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3. Game is open to all, and all are encouraged to play. The greater the number of participants, the more accurate the overall predictions should be (central limit theorem).
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3.1 Reply to this post in this form:
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username, -2, -4, +3, +5, -3, +10, -20, +3, +3, -1
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where: username --> your rivals.com username,<br>
-2, -4, +3, +5, -3, +10, -20, +3, +3, -1 --> your predictions for the 10 games this week
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3.2 Notes:
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3.2.1 Use one line only.<br>
3.2.2 Use a comma and space as separators
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3.2 The following are example of bad replies:
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name
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-13, +3, +14, +12, +4, +26, +10, -8, +21, +43 (entry uses two lines, comma after name missing)
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name,-13,+3,+14,+12,+4,+26,+10,-8,+21,+43 (spaces missing)
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name: -13,+3,+14,+12,+4,+26,+10,-8,+21,+43 (don't use colon, spaces missing)
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name -13, +3, +14, +12, +4, +26, +10, -8, +21, +43 (commas after name missing)
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3.3 Motivation of format rules is to minimize mistakes in reading your entry and minimize the amount of my time in working on this contest.
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4. Rankings: Official rankings of the contest are the BCMoore Rankings, <a href="http://bcmoorerankings.com">http://bcmoorerankings.com</a>.
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5. Scoring: Entry with most correct answers wins. Ties will be broken by sum of (absolute values of predictions - actual scores).
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6. Deadline: All entries must be submitted by <b>Friday, 5PM</b>. Entries can be changed up to deadline. To change your entry, submit a new entry. Do not edit a previous entry; I may not see the change you want to make.
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7. Duration: Contest will run for the length of the regular season. Updates on season long standings will be given weekly in addition to each individual weeks winner.
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8. Game selection: Games are generally selected based on two criteria:<br>
8.1 Each district has at least one team in the weekly game.<br>
8.2 Remaining games are selected based on state-wide merit.<br>


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This week's games:


Code:
 N Conf Rk (W-L) Visitor              Conf Rk (W-L) Home                Matchup
60 4A-3  3 (5-0) CB Lewis Central     4A-3  8 (3-3) Ankeny               155.79
61 4A-8 13 (4-2) Iowa City West       4A-8 16 (4-2) CR Kennedy           149.44
62 4A-7 14 (4-2) Muscatine            4A-7 12 (5-1) Iowa City High       147.84
63 4A-5 17 (6-0) Waterloo West        4A-5 11 (4-2) Cedar Falls          139.27
64 4A-4 21 (2-4) Southeast Polk       4A-4 29 (5-1) Newton               130.13
65 4A-6 23 (4-2) Western Dubuque      4A-6 34 (3-3) Dubuque Senior       128.18
66 4A-2  5 (6-0) Ankeny Centennial    4A-2 22 (4-2) Ames                 127.21
67 4A-1 24 (4-2) Des Moines East      4A-1  6 (4-2) Waukee               126.49
68 4A-8 26 (2-4) Marion Linn-Mar      4A-8  9 (5-1) CR Prairie           123.95
69 4A-3 10 (3-3) Urbandale            4A-3 28 (3-3) CB Jefferson         122.58

Composite Computer, -34, -3, 11, -14, 5, -18, -38, 22, 37, -18
Modified Computer, -16, -3, 3, 8, -11, -13, -22, 26, 24, -25
Standard Computer, -11, 5, 3, 11, -7, -8, -30, 25, 21, -22
Momentum Computer, -11, 11, 5, 13, -10, -2, -34, 24, 21, -25
 
Code:
Conf Rk (W-L) Visitor              Conf Rk (W-L) Home                  Open  Curr
4A-3  3 (5-0) CB Lewis Central     4A-3  8 (3-3) Ankeny               -13.5 -11.0
4A-8 13 (4-2) Iowa City West       4A-8 16 (4-2) CR Kennedy             1.0  -3.0
4A-7 14 (4-2) Muscatine            4A-7 12 (5-1) Iowa City High         4.0   5.0
4A-5 17 (6-0) Waterloo West        4A-5 11 (4-2) Cedar Falls            9.5   7.0
4A-4 21 (2-4) Southeast Polk       4A-4 29 (5-1) Newton                -8.5  -7.0
4A-6 23 (4-2) Western Dubuque      4A-6 34 (3-3) Dubuque Senior       -10.5  -8.0
4A-2  5 (6-0) Ankeny Centennial    4A-2 22 (4-2) Ames                 -32.0 -24.0
4A-1 24 (4-2) Des Moines East      4A-1  6 (4-2) Waukee                24.5  25.0
4A-8 26 (2-4) Marion Linn-Mar      4A-8  9 (5-1) CR Prairie            22.5  24.0
4A-3 10 (3-3) Urbandale            4A-3 28 (3-3) CB Jefferson         -23.5 -22.0
 
Code:
Conf Rk (W-L) Visitor              Conf Rk (W-L) Home                  Open  Curr
4A-3  3 (5-0) CB Lewis Central     4A-3  8 (3-3) Ankeny               -13.5 -10.5
4A-8 13 (4-2) Iowa City West       4A-8 16 (4-2) CR Kennedy             1.0  -3.0
4A-7 14 (4-2) Muscatine            4A-7 12 (5-1) Iowa City High         4.0   6.0
4A-5 17 (6-0) Waterloo West        4A-5 11 (4-2) Cedar Falls            9.5   7.0
4A-4 21 (2-4) Southeast Polk       4A-4 29 (5-1) Newton                -8.5  -7.0
4A-6 23 (4-2) Western Dubuque      4A-6 34 (3-3) Dubuque Senior       -10.5  -7.5
4A-2  5 (6-0) Ankeny Centennial    4A-2 22 (4-2) Ames                 -32.0 -23.0
4A-1 24 (4-2) Des Moines East      4A-1  6 (4-2) Waukee                24.5  24.5
4A-8 26 (2-4) Marion Linn-Mar      4A-8  9 (5-1) CR Prairie            22.5  23.5
4A-3 10 (3-3) Urbandale            4A-3 28 (3-3) CB Jefferson         -23.5 -23.5
 
Code:
Conf Rk (W-L) Visitor              Conf Rk (W-L) Home                  Open  Curr
4A-3  3 (5-0) CB Lewis Central     4A-3  8 (3-3) Ankeny               -13.5 -10.5
4A-8 13 (4-2) Iowa City West       4A-8 16 (4-2) CR Kennedy             1.0  -3.0
4A-7 14 (4-2) Muscatine            4A-7 12 (5-1) Iowa City High         4.0   7.0
4A-5 17 (6-0) Waterloo West        4A-5 11 (4-2) Cedar Falls            9.5   7.0
4A-4 21 (2-4) Southeast Polk       4A-4 29 (5-1) Newton                -8.5  -8.5
4A-6 23 (4-2) Western Dubuque      4A-6 34 (3-3) Dubuque Senior       -10.5  -7.5
4A-2  5 (6-0) Ankeny Centennial    4A-2 22 (4-2) Ames                 -32.0 -23.0
4A-1 24 (4-2) Des Moines East      4A-1  6 (4-2) Waukee                24.5  24.0
4A-8 26 (2-4) Marion Linn-Mar      4A-8  9 (5-1) CR Prairie            22.5  23.5
4A-3 10 (3-3) Urbandale            4A-3 28 (3-3) CB Jefferson         -23.5 -23.5
 
Code:
Conf Rk (W-L) Visitor              Conf Rk (W-L) Home                  Open  Curr
4A-3  3 (5-0) CB Lewis Central     4A-3  8 (3-3) Ankeny               -13.5 -11.0
4A-8 13 (4-2) Iowa City West       4A-8 16 (4-2) CR Kennedy             1.0  -3.0
4A-7 14 (4-2) Muscatine            4A-7 12 (5-1) Iowa City High         4.0   7.0
4A-5 17 (6-0) Waterloo West        4A-5 11 (4-2) Cedar Falls            9.5   7.0
4A-4 21 (2-4) Southeast Polk       4A-4 29 (5-1) Newton                -8.5  -7.0
4A-6 23 (4-2) Western Dubuque      4A-6 34 (3-3) Dubuque Senior       -10.5  -8.0
4A-2  5 (6-0) Ankeny Centennial    4A-2 22 (4-2) Ames                 -32.0 -22.0
4A-1 24 (4-2) Des Moines East      4A-1  6 (4-2) Waukee                24.5  24.0
4A-8 26 (2-4) Marion Linn-Mar      4A-8  9 (5-1) CR Prairie            22.5  23.0
4A-3 10 (3-3) Urbandale            4A-3 28 (3-3) CB Jefferson         -23.5 -22.0
 
Code:
Conf Rk (W-L) Visitor              Conf Rk (W-L) Home                  Open  Curr
4A-3  3 (5-0) CB Lewis Central     4A-3  8 (3-3) Ankeny               -13.5 -10.5
4A-8 13 (4-2) Iowa City West       4A-8 16 (4-2) CR Kennedy             1.0  -3.0
4A-7 14 (4-2) Muscatine            4A-7 12 (5-1) Iowa City High         4.0   7.0
4A-5 17 (6-0) Waterloo West        4A-5 11 (4-2) Cedar Falls            9.5   7.0
4A-4 21 (2-4) Southeast Polk       4A-4 29 (5-1) Newton                -8.5  -7.0
4A-6 23 (4-2) Western Dubuque      4A-6 34 (3-3) Dubuque Senior       -10.5  -7.5
4A-2  5 (6-0) Ankeny Centennial    4A-2 22 (4-2) Ames                 -32.0 -23.0
4A-1 24 (4-2) Des Moines East      4A-1  6 (4-2) Waukee                24.5  24.0
4A-8 26 (2-4) Marion Linn-Mar      4A-8  9 (5-1) CR Prairie            22.5  23.5
4A-3 10 (3-3) Urbandale            4A-3 28 (3-3) CB Jefferson         -23.5 -21.5
 
LC @ Ankeny - very much looking forward to this game result - considered changing my prediction, but ultimately made no change
 
Code:
Conf Rk (W-L) Visitor              Conf Rk (W-L) Home                  Open  Curr Act
4A-3  3 (5-0) CB Lewis Central     4A-3  8 (3-3) Ankeny               -13.5 -10.5  14
4A-8 13 (4-2) Iowa City West       4A-8 16 (4-2) CR Kennedy             1.0  -3.0 -14
4A-7 14 (4-2) Muscatine            4A-7 12 (5-1) Iowa City High         4.0   7.0   8
4A-5 17 (6-0) Waterloo West        4A-5 11 (4-2) Cedar Falls            9.5   7.0  -7
4A-4 21 (2-4) Southeast Polk       4A-4 29 (5-1) Newton                -8.5  -7.0 -34
4A-6 23 (4-2) Western Dubuque      4A-6 34 (3-3) Dubuque Senior       -10.5  -7.5 -14
4A-2  5 (6-0) Ankeny Centennial    4A-2 22 (4-2) Ames                 -32.0 -23.0 -55
4A-1 24 (4-2) Des Moines East      4A-1  6 (4-2) Waukee                24.5  24.0   2
4A-8 26 (2-4) Marion Linn-Mar      4A-8  9 (5-1) CR Prairie            22.5  23.5  35
4A-3 10 (3-3) Urbandale            4A-3 28 (3-3) CB Jefferson         -23.5 -21.5 -27
 
Code:
Straw1397 wins!

Name                 Cor Att   %    Dev
Straw1397              9  10 0.900  120
Dragon7678             8  10 0.800  127
GoBigD6788             8  10 0.800  148
bcmoore87              8  10 0.800  151
Modified Computer      8  10 0.800  155
screwloose             8  10 0.800  157
Composite Computer     8  10 0.800  160
makelovenotwar         8  10 0.800  189
MarionHawk             7  10 0.700  157
Standard Computer      7  10 0.700  167
Momentum Computer      7  10 0.700  168
Kraftwerk              6  10 0.600  203


Dragon7678 leads

Name                 Cor Att   %    Dev
Dragon7678            52  69 0.754 1001
Straw1397             51  69 0.739 1039
GoBigD6788            51  69 0.739 1070
MarionHawk            49  69 0.710  996
bcmoore87             48  69 0.696 1090
Modified Computer     48  69 0.696 1136
Composite Computer    48  69 0.696 1315
screwloose            46  59 0.780  952
Standard Computer     45  69 0.652 1113
Momentum Computer     45  69 0.652 1114
makelovenotwar        40  69 0.580 1279
iowaqb                21  40 0.525 1361
Iafootballfan         19  30 0.633 1342
Kraftwerk             14  20 0.700 1263
zmac328                9  10 0.900 1289
DSMan                  8  10 0.800 1321
Simpson Storm          6  10 0.600 1335


Dragon7678 leads

Name                 ATS Att   %    p-val Fame
Dragon7678            42  66 0.636  0.013   18
MarionHawk            39  61 0.639  0.014   17
screwloose            31  52 0.596  0.084   10
Straw1397             31  55 0.564  0.175    7
Kraftwerk             13  19 0.684  0.055    7
GoBigD6788            29  54 0.537  0.295    4
zmac328                5   7 0.714  0.145    3
iowaqb                20  37 0.541  0.314    3
DSMan                  5   9 0.556  0.380    1
Composite Computer    33  66 0.500  0.500    0
Simpson Storm          2   7 0.286  0.145   -3
Iafootballfan          9  23 0.391  0.154   -5
bcmoore87             23  52 0.442  0.205   -6
makelovenotwar        25  57 0.439  0.179   -7
Modified Computer     26  60 0.433  0.153   -8
Standard Computer     21  51 0.412  0.105   -9
Momentum Computer     21  51 0.412  0.105   -9
 
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