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BCMoore Prediction Game: week 6

bcmoore87

All District
Oct 30, 2001
8,004
29
48
1. Guess the game margin for the top 10 matchups in Class 4A. Beat the computer - earn iapreps fame - prove to everyone that your team is underrated.
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2. Notation: +2 --> Home wins by 2 points. -7 --> Visitor wins by 7 points.
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3. Game is open to all, and all are encouraged to play. The greater the number of participants, the more accurate the overall predictions should be (central limit theorem).
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3.1 Reply to this post in this form:
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username, -2, -4, +3, +5, -3, +10, -20, +3, +3, -1
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where: username --> your rivals.com username,<br>
-2, -4, +3, +5, -3, +10, -20, +3, +3, -1 --> your predictions for the 10 games this week
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3.2 Notes:
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3.2.1 Use one line only.<br>
3.2.2 Use a comma and space as separators
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3.2 The following are example of bad replies:
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name
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-13, +3, +14, +12, +4, +26, +10, -8, +21, +43 (entry uses two lines, comma after name missing)
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name,-13,+3,+14,+12,+4,+26,+10,-8,+21,+43 (spaces missing)
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name: -13,+3,+14,+12,+4,+26,+10,-8,+21,+43 (don't use colon, spaces missing)
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name -13, +3, +14, +12, +4, +26, +10, -8, +21, +43 (commas after name missing)
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3.3 Motivation of format rules is to minimize mistakes in reading your entry and minimize the amount of my time in working on this contest.
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4. Rankings: Official rankings of the contest are the BCMoore Rankings, <a href="http://bcmoorerankings.com">http://bcmoorerankings.com</a>.
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5. Scoring: Entry with most correct answers wins. Ties will be broken by sum of (absolute values of predictions - actual scores).
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6. Deadline: All entries must be submitted by <b>Friday, 5PM</b>. Entries can be changed up to deadline. To change your entry, submit a new entry. Do not edit a previous entry; I may not see the change you want to make.
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7. Duration: Contest will run for the length of the regular season. Updates on season long standings will be given weekly in addition to each individual weeks winner.
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8. Game selection: Games are generally selected based on two criteria:<br>
8.1 Each district has at least one team in the weekly game.<br>
8.2 Remaining games are selected based on state-wide merit.<br>


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This week's games:


Code:
 N Conf Rk (W-L) Visitor              Conf Rk (W-L) Home                Matchup
51 4A-4  9 (3-2) Waukee               4A-4  8 (3-2) Urbandale            184.48
52 4A-5 15 (4-1) Cedar Falls          4A-5 10 (3-2) CR Jefferson         178.76
53 4A-6 20 (3-2) Iowa City High       4A-6 24 (2-3) CR Prairie           174.48
54 4A-7 16 (1-4) Iowa City West       4A-8  3 (5-0) Bettendorf           172.87
55 4A-5  5 (5-0) CR Kennedy           4A-5 19 (2-3) Marion Linn-Mar      169.86
56 4A-8 25 (2-3) Clinton              4A-8 17 (2-3) Eldridge North Scott 165.26
57 4A-2  4 (4-0) WDM Dowling          4A-2 27 (4-1) Sioux City East      157.81
58 4A-4 33 (1-4) Mason City           4A-4 35 (2-3) Marshalltown         154.42
59 4A-3 36 (1-4) Sioux City West      4A-3 40 (3-2) Des Moines Lincoln   141.62
60 4A-1 32 (3-2) Des Moines East      4A-1 18 (4-1) Ankeny               140.14

Composite Computer, -2, -9, -13, 45, -53, 16, -51, -5, 8, 28
Modified Computer, 2, 6, -5, 25, -25, 14, -36, -3, -7, 25
Standard Computer, 7, 7, -1, 21, -25, 11, -32, -1, -1, 27
Momentum Computer, 7, 7, -1, 21, -25, 11, -32, -1, -1, 27
 
Code:
Conf Rk (W-L) Visitor              Conf Rk (W-L) Home                  Open  Curr
4A-4  9 (3-2) Waukee               4A-4  8 (3-2) Urbandale              4.5  -2.0
4A-5 15 (4-1) Cedar Falls          4A-5 10 (3-2) CR Jefferson           6.5  -6.0
4A-6 20 (3-2) Iowa City High       4A-6 24 (2-3) CR Prairie            -3.0  -1.0
4A-7 16 (1-4) Iowa City West       4A-8  3 (5-0) Bettendorf            23.0  24.0
4A-5  5 (5-0) CR Kennedy           4A-5 19 (2-3) Marion Linn-Mar      -25.0 -25.0
4A-8 25 (2-3) Clinton              4A-8 17 (2-3) Eldridge North Scott  12.5  16.0
4A-2  4 (4-0) WDM Dowling          4A-2 27 (4-1) Sioux City East      -34.0 -32.0
4A-4 33 (1-4) Mason City           4A-4 35 (2-3) Marshalltown          -2.0  -1.0
4A-3 36 (1-4) Sioux City West      4A-3 40 (3-2) Des Moines Lincoln    -1.0   8.0
4A-1 32 (3-2) Des Moines East      4A-1 18 (4-1) Ankeny                27.0  27.0
 
Code:
Conf Rk (W-L) Visitor              Conf Rk (W-L) Home                  Open  Curr
4A-4  9 (3-2) Waukee               4A-4  8 (3-2) Urbandale              4.5   2.0
4A-5 15 (4-1) Cedar Falls          4A-5 10 (3-2) CR Jefferson           6.5  -6.0
4A-6 20 (3-2) Iowa City High       4A-6 24 (2-3) CR Prairie            -3.0  -3.0
4A-7 16 (1-4) Iowa City West       4A-8  3 (5-0) Bettendorf            23.0  25.0
4A-5  5 (5-0) CR Kennedy           4A-5 19 (2-3) Marion Linn-Mar      -25.0 -25.0
4A-8 25 (2-3) Clinton              4A-8 17 (2-3) Eldridge North Scott  12.5  14.0
4A-2  4 (4-0) WDM Dowling          4A-2 27 (4-1) Sioux City East      -34.0 -32.0
4A-4 33 (1-4) Mason City           4A-4 35 (2-3) Marshalltown          -2.0   3.0
4A-3 36 (1-4) Sioux City West      4A-3 40 (3-2) Des Moines Lincoln    -1.0   7.0
4A-1 32 (3-2) Des Moines East      4A-1 18 (4-1) Ankeny                27.0  28.0
 
Code:
Conf Rk (W-L) Visitor              Conf Rk (W-L) Home                  Open  Curr
4A-4  9 (3-2) Waukee               4A-4  8 (3-2) Urbandale              4.5   2.5
4A-5 15 (4-1) Cedar Falls          4A-5 10 (3-2) CR Jefferson           6.5  -6.5
4A-6 20 (3-2) Iowa City High       4A-6 24 (2-3) CR Prairie            -3.0  -3.0
4A-7 16 (1-4) Iowa City West       4A-8  3 (5-0) Bettendorf            23.0  26.0
4A-5  5 (5-0) CR Kennedy           4A-5 19 (2-3) Marion Linn-Mar      -25.0 -25.0
4A-8 25 (2-3) Clinton              4A-8 17 (2-3) Eldridge North Scott  12.5  14.0
4A-2  4 (4-0) WDM Dowling          4A-2 27 (4-1) Sioux City East      -34.0 -32.0
4A-4 33 (1-4) Mason City           4A-4 35 (2-3) Marshalltown          -2.0   3.0
4A-3 36 (1-4) Sioux City West      4A-3 40 (3-2) Des Moines Lincoln    -1.0   7.5
4A-1 32 (3-2) Des Moines East      4A-1 18 (4-1) Ankeny                27.0  28.0
 
Code:
Conf Rk (W-L) Visitor              Conf Rk (W-L) Home                  Open  Curr
4A-4  9 (3-2) Waukee               4A-4  8 (3-2) Urbandale              4.5   2.0
4A-5 15 (4-1) Cedar Falls          4A-5 10 (3-2) CR Jefferson           6.5  -7.0
4A-6 20 (3-2) Iowa City High       4A-6 24 (2-3) CR Prairie            -3.0  -3.0
4A-7 16 (1-4) Iowa City West       4A-8  3 (5-0) Bettendorf            23.0  25.0
4A-5  5 (5-0) CR Kennedy           4A-5 19 (2-3) Marion Linn-Mar      -25.0 -25.0
4A-8 25 (2-3) Clinton              4A-8 17 (2-3) Eldridge North Scott  12.5  14.0
4A-2  4 (4-0) WDM Dowling          4A-2 27 (4-1) Sioux City East      -34.0 -32.0
4A-4 33 (1-4) Mason City           4A-4 35 (2-3) Marshalltown          -2.0   3.0
4A-3 36 (1-4) Sioux City West      4A-3 40 (3-2) Des Moines Lincoln    -1.0   7.0
4A-1 32 (3-2) Des Moines East      4A-1 18 (4-1) Ankeny                27.0  28.0
 
Code:
Conf Rk (W-L) Visitor              Conf Rk (W-L) Home                  Open  Curr Act
4A-4  9 (3-2) Waukee               4A-4  8 (3-2) Urbandale              4.5   2.0 -14
4A-5 15 (4-1) Cedar Falls          4A-5 10 (3-2) CR Jefferson           6.5  -7.0  -3
4A-6 20 (3-2) Iowa City High       4A-6 24 (2-3) CR Prairie            -3.0  -3.0  -7
4A-7 16 (1-4) Iowa City West       4A-8  3 (5-0) Bettendorf            23.0  25.0  28
4A-5  5 (5-0) CR Kennedy           4A-5 19 (2-3) Marion Linn-Mar      -25.0 -25.0 -25
4A-8 25 (2-3) Clinton              4A-8 17 (2-3) Eldridge North Scott  12.5  14.0  -1
4A-2  4 (4-0) WDM Dowling          4A-2 27 (4-1) Sioux City East      -34.0 -32.0 -38
4A-4 33 (1-4) Mason City           4A-4 35 (2-3) Marshalltown          -2.0   3.0  13
4A-3 36 (1-4) Sioux City West      4A-3 40 (3-2) Des Moines Lincoln    -1.0   7.0   1
4A-1 32 (3-2) Des Moines East      4A-1 18 (4-1) Ankeny                27.0  28.0  42
 
Code:
Name                 Cor Att   %    Dev
straw1397              9  10 0.900   64
screwloose             9  10 0.900  107
GoBigD6788             8  10 0.800   73
Orsky1                 8  10 0.800   83
SimpsonStorm           8  10 0.800   84
MarionHawk             8  10 0.800  106
Composite Computer     8  10 0.800  138
makelovenotwar         8  10 0.800  140
bcmoore87              7  10 0.700   82
Dragon7678             7  10 0.700  120
Modified Computer      5  10 0.500   88
Standard Computer      5  10 0.500   93
Momentum Computer      5  10 0.500   93


Name                 Cor Att   %    Dev
screwloose            44  60 0.733  795
Dragon7678            44  60 0.733  829
GoBigD6788            42  60 0.700  790
straw1397             40  60 0.667  798
makelovenotwar        40  60 0.667  883
Composite Computer    40  60 0.667 1143
SimpsonStorm          39  60 0.650  849
Standard Computer     38  60 0.633  839
Momentum Computer     38  60 0.633  839
Modified Computer     38  60 0.633  855
bcmoore87             37  60 0.617  835
MarionHawk            35  50 0.700  836
Orsky1                34  50 0.680  837
PNation               17  30 0.567 1080
SEPRamFan             16  30 0.533 1039
Dodge59               13  20 0.650 1071
RedAgentRadar         12  20 0.600 1118
ZMac328               10  20 0.500 1081
DSMan                  8  20 0.400 1151


Name                 ATS Att   %    p-val Fame
screwloose            30  51 0.588  0.105    9
ZMac328               14  20 0.700  0.036    8
Dodge59               12  18 0.667  0.082    6
MarionHawk            24  44 0.545  0.276    4
straw1397             24  46 0.522  0.386    2
Modified Computer     25  48 0.521  0.388    2
GoBigD6788            21  41 0.512  0.439    1
Dragon7678            24  47 0.511  0.443    1
SimpsonStorm          23  45 0.511  0.442    1
SEPRamFan             12  23 0.522  0.420    1
RedAgentRadar          7  13 0.538  0.397    1
Orsky1                17  34 0.500  0.500    0
Standard Computer     23  46 0.500  0.500    0
Momentum Computer     23  46 0.500  0.500    0
Composite Computer    26  54 0.481  0.394   -2
makelovenotwar        22  48 0.458  0.285   -4
DSMan                  7  18 0.389  0.180   -4
bcmoore87             15  36 0.417  0.162   -6
PNation               10  26 0.385  0.123   -6
 
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