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BCMoore Prediction Game: week 5

bcmoore87

All District
Oct 30, 2001
8,004
29
48
1. Guess the game margin for the top 10 matchups in Class 4A. Beat the computer - earn iapreps fame - prove to everyone that your team is underrated.


2. Notation: +2 --> Home wins by 2 points. -7 --> Visitor wins by 7 points.


3. Game is open to all, and all are encouraged to play. The greater the number of participants, the more accurate the overall predictions should be (central limit theorem).


3.1 Reply to this post in this form:


username, -2, -4, +3, +5, -3, +10, -20, +3, +3, -1


where: username --> your rivals.com username,

-2, -4, +3, +5, -3, +10, -20, +3, +3, -1 --> your predictions for the 10 games this week


3.2 Notes:


3.2.1 Use one line only.

3.2.2 Use a comma and space as separators


3.2 The following are example of bad replies:


name


-13, +3, +14, +12, +4, +26, +10, -8, +21, +43 (entry uses two lines, comma after name missing)


name,-13,+3,+14,+12,+4,+26,+10,-8,+21,+43 (spaces missing)


name: -13,+3,+14,+12,+4,+26,+10,-8,+21,+43 (don't use colon, spaces missing)


name -13, +3, +14, +12, +4, +26, +10, -8, +21, +43 (commas after name missing)


3.3 Motivation of format rules is to minimize mistakes in reading your entry and minimize the amount of my time in working on this contest.


4. Rankings: Official rankings of the contest are the BCMoore Rankings, http://bcmoorerankings.com.


5. Scoring: Entry with most correct answers wins. Ties will be broken by sum of (absolute values of predictions - actual scores).


6. Deadline: All entries must be submitted by Friday, 5PM. Entries can be changed up to deadline. To change your entry, submit a new entry. Do not edit a previous entry; I may not see the change you want to make.


7. Duration: Contest will run for the length of the regular season. Updates on season long standings will be given weekly in addition to each individual weeks winner.


8. Game selection: Games are generally selected based on two criteria:

8.1 Each district has at least one team in the weekly game.

8.2 Remaining games are selected based on state-wide merit.





This week's games:



N Conf Rk (W-L) Visitor Conf Rk (W-L) Home Matchup
41 4A-1 10 (3-1) Ames 4A-1 7 (2-2) Ankeny 172.95
42 4A-5 23 (0-4) CR Kennedy 4A-5 18 (2-2) CR Jefferson 153.79
43 4A-8 22 (3-1) Dubuque Senior 4A-8 12 (3-1) Eldridge North Scott 151.29
44 4A-4 25 (3-1) Indianola 4A-4 24 (1-3) Urbandale 151.06
45 4A-6 30 (0-4) Iowa City High 4A-6 28 (3-1) Ottumwa 147.67
46 4A-6 17 (3-1) Muscatine 4A-6 2 (4-0) CR Washington 144.31
47 4A-7 15 (2-2) Iowa City West 4A-7 31 (2-2) Davenport Central 141.98
48 4A-2 16 (4-0) CB Lewis Central 4A-2 1 (3-1) WDM Dowling 139.02
49 4A-5 20 (3-1) Cedar Falls 4A-5 32 (1-3) Waterloo West 136.30
50 4A-3 3 (3-1) WDM Valley 4A-3 27 (3-1) Des Moines Hoover 125.28

Composite Computer, -9, 23, 9, -13, 48, 42, -15, 8, -29, -47
Modified Computer, 3, 5, 14, 2, 2, 42, -19, 44, -16, -45
Standard Computer, -1, 9, 14, 3, -1, 35, -18, 46, -16, -45
Momentum Computer, -1, 9, 14, 3, -1, 35, -18, 46, -16, -45
 
Conf Rk (W-L) Visitor Conf Rk (W-L) Home Open Curr
4A-1 10 (3-1) Ames 4A-1 7 (2-2) Ankeny -1.0 1.0
4A-5 23 (0-4) CR Kennedy 4A-5 18 (2-2) CR Jefferson 9.0 8.0
4A-8 22 (3-1) Dubuque Senior 4A-8 12 (3-1) Eldridge North Scott 14.0 14.0
4A-4 25 (3-1) Indianola 4A-4 24 (1-3) Urbandale 2.5 -2.5
4A-6 30 (0-4) Iowa City High 4A-6 28 (3-1) Ottumwa 0.5 -1.0
4A-6 17 (3-1) Muscatine 4A-6 2 (4-0) CR Washington 38.5 38.0
4A-7 15 (2-2) Iowa City West 4A-7 31 (2-2) Davenport Central -18.0 -17.5
4A-2 16 (4-0) CB Lewis Central 4A-2 1 (3-1) WDM Dowling 45.0 43.0
4A-5 20 (3-1) Cedar Falls 4A-5 32 (1-3) Waterloo West -16.0 -16.0
4A-3 3 (3-1) WDM Valley 4A-3 27 (3-1) Des Moines Hoover -45.0 -45.0
 
Conf Rk (W-L) Visitor Conf Rk (W-L) Home Open Curr
4A-1 10 (3-1) Ames 4A-1 7 (2-2) Ankeny -1.0 -1.0
4A-5 23 (0-4) CR Kennedy 4A-5 18 (2-2) CR Jefferson 9.0 7.0
4A-8 22 (3-1) Dubuque Senior 4A-8 12 (3-1) Eldridge North Scott 14.0 14.0
4A-4 25 (3-1) Indianola 4A-4 24 (1-3) Urbandale 2.5 -7.0
4A-6 30 (0-4) Iowa City High 4A-6 28 (3-1) Ottumwa 0.5 -1.0
4A-6 17 (3-1) Muscatine 4A-6 2 (4-0) CR Washington 38.5 27.0
4A-7 15 (2-2) Iowa City West 4A-7 31 (2-2) Davenport Central -18.0 -16.0
4A-2 16 (4-0) CB Lewis Central 4A-2 1 (3-1) WDM Dowling 45.0 38.0
4A-5 20 (3-1) Cedar Falls 4A-5 32 (1-3) Waterloo West -16.0 -16.0
4A-3 3 (3-1) WDM Valley 4A-3 27 (3-1) Des Moines Hoover -45.0 -42.0
 
Conf Rk (W-L) Visitor Conf Rk (W-L) Home Open Curr
4A-1 10 (3-1) Ames 4A-1 7 (2-2) Ankeny -1.0 0.5
4A-5 23 (0-4) CR Kennedy 4A-5 18 (2-2) CR Jefferson 9.0 9.0
4A-8 22 (3-1) Dubuque Senior 4A-8 12 (3-1) Eldridge North Scott 14.0 13.5
4A-4 25 (3-1) Indianola 4A-4 24 (1-3) Urbandale 2.5 -7.0
4A-6 30 (0-4) Iowa City High 4A-6 28 (3-1) Ottumwa 0.5 0.0
4A-6 17 (3-1) Muscatine 4A-6 2 (4-0) CR Washington 38.5 21.0
4A-7 15 (2-2) Iowa City West 4A-7 31 (2-2) Davenport Central -18.0 -14.5
4A-2 16 (4-0) CB Lewis Central 4A-2 1 (3-1) WDM Dowling 45.0 35.0
4A-5 20 (3-1) Cedar Falls 4A-5 32 (1-3) Waterloo West -16.0 -16.5
4A-3 3 (3-1) WDM Valley 4A-3 27 (3-1) Des Moines Hoover -45.0 -38.5
 
Conf Rk (W-L) Visitor Conf Rk (W-L) Home Open Curr Act
4A-1 10 (3-1) Ames 4A-1 7 (2-2) Ankeny -1.0 -1.0 6
4A-5 23 (0-4) CR Kennedy 4A-5 18 (2-2) CR Jefferson 9.0 9.0 3
4A-8 22 (3-1) Dubuque Senior 4A-8 12 (3-1) Eldridge North Scott 14.0 14.0 8
4A-4 25 (3-1) Indianola 4A-4 24 (1-3) Urbandale 2.5 -7.0 18
4A-6 30 (0-4) Iowa City High 4A-6 28 (3-1) Ottumwa 0.5 1.0 34
4A-6 17 (3-1) Muscatine 4A-6 2 (4-0) CR Washington 38.5 21.0 21
4A-7 15 (2-2) Iowa City West 4A-7 31 (2-2) Davenport Central -18.0 -14.0 -4
4A-2 16 (4-0) CB Lewis Central 4A-2 1 (3-1) WDM Dowling 45.0 35.0 41
4A-5 20 (3-1) Cedar Falls 4A-5 32 (1-3) Waterloo West -16.0 -16.0 -32
4A-3 3 (3-1) WDM Valley 4A-3 27 (3-1) Des Moines Hoover -45.0 -35.0 -42
 
Name Cor Att % Dev
Modified Computer 10 10 1.000 117
Straw1397 9 10 0.900 104
SEPRamFan 9 10 0.900 105
orsky1 9 10 0.900 129
Mize19 8 10 0.800 109
Standard Computer 8 10 0.800 121
Momentum Computer 8 10 0.800 121
EHS1505 8 10 0.800 121
zmac328 8 10 0.800 134
maxstabs13 8 10 0.800 152
Composite Computer 8 10 0.800 154
RedAgentRadar 7 10 0.700 128
MarionHawk 7 10 0.700 129
Dragon7678 7 10 0.700 142
PNation 7 10 0.700 164
Screwloose Ranking 7 10 0.700 193
bcmoore87 7 10 0.700 196


Name Cor Att % Dev
RedAgentRadar 39 50 0.780 658
Mize19 37 50 0.740 697
orsky1 37 50 0.740 766
SEPRamFan 36 50 0.720 681
MarionHawk 36 50 0.720 756
EHS1505 35 50 0.700 713
PNation 35 50 0.700 748
Modified Computer 35 50 0.700 847
Straw1397 34 50 0.680 686
maxstabs13 34 50 0.680 783
Composite Computer 34 50 0.680 1417
Dragon7678 33 49 0.673 717
bcmoore87 33 48 0.688 783
Standard Computer 33 50 0.660 869
Momentum Computer 33 50 0.660 869
EastIowaHawk 27 40 0.675 824
screwloose 26 40 0.650 882
zmac328 8 10 0.800 846
Screwloose Ranking 7 10 0.700 905


Name ATS Att % p-val Fame
Straw1397 26 39 0.667 0.018 13
Dragon7678 26 41 0.634 0.043 11
SEPRamFan 23 37 0.622 0.071 9
EastIowaHawk 20 31 0.645 0.053 9
RedAgentRadar 20 33 0.606 0.114 7
screwloose 18 33 0.545 0.305 3
EHS1505 19 37 0.514 0.436 1
PNation 18 35 0.514 0.434 1
MarionHawk 18 36 0.500 0.500 0
zmac328 3 7 0.429 0.368 -1
Screwloose Ranking 4 9 0.444 0.380 -1
maxstabs13 19 40 0.475 0.378 -2
bcmoore87 13 28 0.464 0.356 -2
Mize19 13 30 0.433 0.237 -4
Composite Computer 20 45 0.444 0.231 -5
orsky1 16 38 0.421 0.169 -6
Modified Computer 15 37 0.405 0.128 -7
Standard Computer 9 34 0.265 0.002 -16
Momentum Computer 9 34 0.265 0.002 -16
 
I was wondering why you didn't count in Screwloose for guessing this week. He has a live above the Screwloose Ranking post.
 
Doesn't matter...I nor my ranking can accurately predict anything right now. I'm losing credibility with myself...everyone is surely soon to follow.

flush.r191677.gif
 
sorry I missed screewloose!


Name Cor Att % Dev
Modified Computer 10 10 1.000 117
Straw1397 9 10 0.900 104
SEPRamFan 9 10 0.900 105
orsky1 9 10 0.900 129
Mize19 8 10 0.800 109
Standard Computer 8 10 0.800 121
Momentum Computer 8 10 0.800 121
EHS1505 8 10 0.800 121
zmac328 8 10 0.800 134
maxstabs13 8 10 0.800 152
Composite Computer 8 10 0.800 154
screwloose 7 10 0.700 113
RedAgentRadar 7 10 0.700 128
MarionHawk 7 10 0.700 129
Dragon7678 7 10 0.700 142
PNation 7 10 0.700 164
Screwloose Ranking 7 10 0.700 193
bcmoore87 7 10 0.700 196


Name Cor Att % Dev
RedAgentRadar 39 50 0.780 658
Mize19 37 50 0.740 697
orsky1 37 50 0.740 766
SEPRamFan 36 50 0.720 681
MarionHawk 36 50 0.720 756
EHS1505 35 50 0.700 713
PNation 35 50 0.700 748
Modified Computer 35 50 0.700 847
Straw1397 34 50 0.680 686
maxstabs13 34 50 0.680 783
Composite Computer 34 50 0.680 1417
Dragon7678 33 49 0.673 717
bcmoore87 33 48 0.688 783
screwloose 33 50 0.660 786
Standard Computer 33 50 0.660 869
Momentum Computer 33 50 0.660 869
EastIowaHawk 27 40 0.675 824
zmac328 8 10 0.800 846
Screwloose Ranking 7 10 0.700 905


Name ATS Att % p-val Fame
Straw1397 26 39 0.667 0.018 13
Dragon7678 26 41 0.634 0.043 11
SEPRamFan 23 37 0.622 0.071 9
EastIowaHawk 20 31 0.645 0.053 9
RedAgentRadar 20 33 0.606 0.114 7
screwloose 23 40 0.575 0.175 6
PNation 18 35 0.514 0.434 1
EHS1505 19 38 0.500 0.500 0
MarionHawk 18 36 0.500 0.500 0
zmac328 3 7 0.429 0.368 -1
Screwloose Ranking 4 9 0.444 0.380 -1
maxstabs13 19 40 0.475 0.378 -2
bcmoore87 13 28 0.464 0.356 -2
Mize19 13 31 0.419 0.189 -5
Composite Computer 20 45 0.444 0.231 -5
orsky1 16 38 0.421 0.169 -6
Modified Computer 15 38 0.395 0.099 -8
Standard Computer 9 35 0.257 0.001 -17
Momentum Computer 9 35 0.257 0.001 -17
 
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