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BCMoore Prediction Game: week 4

bcmoore87

All District
Oct 30, 2001
8,004
29
48
1. Guess the game margin for the top 10 matchups in Class 4A. Beat the computer - earn iapreps fame - prove to everyone that your team is underrated.



2. Notation: +2 --> Home wins by 2 points. -7 --> Visitor wins by 7 points.



3. Game is open to all, and all are encouraged to play. The greater the number of participants, the more accurate the overall predictions should be (central limit theorem).



3.1 Reply to this post in this form:



username, -2, -4, +3, +5, -3, +10, -20, +3, +3, -1



where: username --> your rivals.com username,

-2, -4, +3, +5, -3, +10, -20, +3, +3, -1 --> your predictions for the 10 games this week



3.2 Notes:



3.2.1 Use one line only.

3.2.2 Use a comma and space as separators



3.2 The following are example of bad replies:



name



-13, +3, +14, +12, +4, +26, +10, -8, +21, +43 (entry uses two lines, comma after name missing)



name,-13,+3,+14,+12,+4,+26,+10,-8,+21,+43 (spaces missing)



name: -13,+3,+14,+12,+4,+26,+10,-8,+21,+43 (don't use colon, spaces missing)



name -13, +3, +14, +12, +4, +26, +10, -8, +21, +43 (commas after name missing)



3.3 Motivation of format rules is to minimize mistakes in reading your entry and minimize the amount of my time in working on this contest.



4. Rankings: Official rankings of the contest are the BCMoore Rankings, http://bcmoorerankings.com.



5. Scoring: Entry with most correct answers wins. Ties will be broken by sum of (absolute values of predictions - actual scores).



6. Deadline: All entries must be submitted by Friday, 5PM. Entries can be changed up to deadline. To change your entry, submit a new entry. Do not edit a previous entry; I may not see the change you want to make.



7. Duration: Contest will run for the length of the regular season. Updates on season long standings will be given weekly in addition to each individual weeks winner.



8. Game selection: Games are generally selected based on two criteria:

8.1 Each district has at least one team in the weekly game.

8.2 Remaining games are selected based on state-wide merit.






This week's games:



N Conf Rk (W-L) Visitor Conf Rk (W-L) Home Matchup
31 4A-2 7 (3-0) Johnston 4A-4 4 (2-1) Waukee 194.05
32 4A-6 10 (3-0) CR Washington 4A-5 12 (3-0) Marion Linn-Mar 191.25
33 4A-2 11 (3-0) Sioux City East 4A-3 16 (2-1) CB Lincoln 172.86
34 4A-2 1 (3-0) WDM Dowling 4A-3 13 (2-1) WDM Valley 172.37
35 4A-8 19 (3-0) Dubuque Senior 4A-7 24 (2-1) Dubuque Hempstead 169.59
36 4A-6 20 (0-3) Iowa City High 4A-7 27 (1-2) Iowa City West 164.67
37 4A-4 25 (1-2) Urbandale 4A-5 14 (2-1) Cedar Falls 161.60
38 4A-8 9 (3-0) Eldridge North Scott 4A-6 23 (1-2) CR Prairie 161.03
39 4A-3 32 (2-1) Des Moines Hoover 4A-2 31 (2-1) Des Moines Roosevelt 160.54
40 4A-1 28 (0-3) Southeast Polk 4A-3 3 (3-0) Ankeny Centennial 160.33

Composite Computer, -16, -6, -19, -45, -25, 29, 6, -46, 2, 62
Modified Computer, 3, -1, -9, -33, -4, -6, 19, -21, 1, 38
Standard Computer, -3, -2, -12, -33, -6, -7, 18, -20, 3, 30
Momentum Computer, -3, -2, -12, -33, -6, -7, 18, -20, 3, 30


This post was edited on 9/15 10:02 PM by bcmoore87
 
Re: BCMoore Prediction Game: week 3

screwloose, -7, +4, -14, -17, +20, +3, +8, -24, -3, -1
This post was edited on 9/16 1:15 AM by screwloose
 
Re: BCMoore Prediction Game: week 3


orsky1, +7, -14, -10, -16, -7, +3, +7, -21, -4, +28
 
Conf Rk (W-L) Visitor Conf Rk (W-L) Home Open Curr
4A-2 7 (3-0) Johnston 4A-4 4 (2-1) Waukee -3.0 -3.0
4A-6 10 (3-0) CR Washington 4A-5 12 (3-0) Marion Linn-Mar -2.0 -3.0
4A-2 11 (3-0) Sioux City East 4A-3 16 (2-1) CB Lincoln -12.0 -10.0
4A-2 1 (3-0) WDM Dowling 4A-3 13 (2-1) WDM Valley -33.0 -21.0
4A-8 19 (3-0) Dubuque Senior 4A-7 24 (2-1) Dubuque Hempstead -6.0 -4.0
4A-6 20 (0-3) Iowa City High 4A-7 27 (1-2) Iowa City West -6.5 3.0
4A-4 25 (1-2) Urbandale 4A-5 14 (2-1) Cedar Falls 18.0 17.0
4A-8 9 (3-0) Eldridge North Scott 4A-6 23 (1-2) CR Prairie -20.5 -20.0
4A-3 32 (2-1) Des Moines Hoover 4A-2 31 (2-1) Des Moines Roosevelt 2.5 1.0
4A-1 28 (0-3) Southeast Polk 4A-3 3 (3-0) Ankeny Centennial 34.0 28.0
 
Re: BCMoore Prediction Game: week 3


Just in case your computer didn't see it...

screwloose, -7, +4, -14, -17, +20, +3, +8, -24, -3, -1
 
Conf Rk (W-L) Visitor Conf Rk (W-L) Home Open Curr
4A-2 7 (3-0) Johnston 4A-4 4 (2-1) Waukee -3.0 -3.0
4A-6 10 (3-0) CR Washington 4A-5 12 (3-0) Marion Linn-Mar -2.0 -10.0
4A-2 11 (3-0) Sioux City East 4A-3 16 (2-1) CB Lincoln -12.0 -12.0
4A-2 1 (3-0) WDM Dowling 4A-3 13 (2-1) WDM Valley -33.0 -26.0
4A-8 19 (3-0) Dubuque Senior 4A-7 24 (2-1) Dubuque Hempstead -6.0 -3.5
4A-6 20 (0-3) Iowa City High 4A-7 27 (1-2) Iowa City West -6.5 3.0
4A-4 25 (1-2) Urbandale 4A-5 14 (2-1) Cedar Falls 18.0 12.0
4A-8 9 (3-0) Eldridge North Scott 4A-6 23 (1-2) CR Prairie -20.5 -20.5
4A-3 32 (2-1) Des Moines Hoover 4A-2 31 (2-1) Des Moines Roosevelt 2.5 1.5
4A-1 28 (0-3) Southeast Polk 4A-3 3 (3-0) Ankeny Centennial 34.0 24.5
 
> Dragon7678, +14, -14, -14, -10, -7, -6, +13, -12, -6

9 guesses only, please resubmit.

Currently recorded as


Dragon7678, +14, -14, -14, -10, -7, -6, +13, -12, -6, 0
 
Conf Rk (W-L) Visitor Conf Rk (W-L) Home Open Curr
4A-2 7 (3-0) Johnston 4A-4 4 (2-1) Waukee -3.0 3.0
4A-6 10 (3-0) CR Washington 4A-5 12 (3-0) Marion Linn-Mar -2.0 -12.0
4A-2 11 (3-0) Sioux City East 4A-3 16 (2-1) CB Lincoln -12.0 -12.0
4A-2 1 (3-0) WDM Dowling 4A-3 13 (2-1) WDM Valley -33.0 -21.0
4A-8 19 (3-0) Dubuque Senior 4A-7 24 (2-1) Dubuque Hempstead -6.0 -3.0
4A-6 20 (0-3) Iowa City High 4A-7 27 (1-2) Iowa City West -6.5 3.0
4A-4 25 (1-2) Urbandale 4A-5 14 (2-1) Cedar Falls 18.0 14.0
4A-8 9 (3-0) Eldridge North Scott 4A-6 23 (1-2) CR Prairie -20.5 -21.0
4A-3 32 (2-1) Des Moines Hoover 4A-2 31 (2-1) Des Moines Roosevelt 2.5 1.0
4A-1 28 (0-3) Southeast Polk 4A-3 3 (3-0) Ankeny Centennial 34.0 15.5
 
Conf Rk (W-L) Visitor Conf Rk (W-L) Home Open Curr Act
4A-2 7 (3-0) Johnston 4A-4 4 (2-1) Waukee -3.0 3.0 30
4A-6 10 (3-0) CR Washington 4A-5 12 (3-0) Marion Linn-Mar -2.0 -12.0 -40
4A-2 11 (3-0) Sioux City East 4A-3 16 (2-1) CB Lincoln -12.0 -12.0 -17
4A-2 1 (3-0) WDM Dowling 4A-3 13 (2-1) WDM Valley -33.0 -21.0 3
4A-8 19 (3-0) Dubuque Senior 4A-7 24 (2-1) Dubuque Hempstead -6.0 -3.0 11
4A-6 20 (0-3) Iowa City High 4A-7 27 (1-2) Iowa City West -6.5 3.0 24
4A-4 25 (1-2) Urbandale 4A-5 14 (2-1) Cedar Falls 18.0 14.0 7
4A-8 9 (3-0) Eldridge North Scott 4A-6 23 (1-2) CR Prairie -20.5 -21.0 6
4A-3 32 (2-1) Des Moines Hoover 4A-2 31 (2-1) Des Moines Roosevelt 2.5 1.0 -14
4A-1 28 (0-3) Southeast Polk 4A-3 3 (3-0) Ankeny Centennial 34.0 15.5 -7
 
Name Cor Att % Dev
RedAgentRadar 7 10 0.700 146
Straw1397 7 10 0.700 157
maxstabs13 6 10 0.600 148
PNation 6 10 0.600 156
EHS1505 6 10 0.600 156
EastIowaHawk 6 10 0.600 165
screwloose 6 10 0.600 182
orsky1 6 10 0.600 186
MarionHawk 6 10 0.600 196
Dragon7678 5 10 0.500 145
SEPRamFan 5 10 0.500 184
bcmoore87 5 10 0.500 190
Mize19 5 10 0.500 204
Modified Computer 4 10 0.400 254
Composite Computer 4 10 0.400 309
Standard Computer 3 10 0.300 251
Momentum Computer 3 10 0.300 251


Name Cor Att % Dev
RedAgentRadar 32 40 0.800 530
Mize19 29 40 0.725 588
MarionHawk 29 40 0.725 627
PNation 28 40 0.700 584
orsky1 28 40 0.700 637
SEPRamFan 27 40 0.675 576
EHS1505 27 40 0.675 592
EastIowaHawk 27 40 0.675 615
Dragon7678 26 39 0.667 575
bcmoore87 26 38 0.684 587
maxstabs13 26 40 0.650 631
screwloose 26 40 0.650 673
Composite Computer 26 40 0.650 1263
Straw1397 25 40 0.625 582
Modified Computer 25 40 0.625 730
Standard Computer 25 40 0.625 748
Momentum Computer 25 40 0.625 748


Name ATS Att % p-val Fame
EastIowaHawk 20 31 0.645 0.053 9
RedAgentRadar 17 26 0.654 0.059 8
Straw1397 19 30 0.633 0.074 8
SEPRamFan 18 29 0.621 0.099 7
Dragon7678 19 32 0.594 0.148 6
PNation 15 27 0.556 0.287 3
EHS1505 17 31 0.548 0.299 3
screwloose 18 33 0.545 0.305 3
bcmoore87 12 22 0.545 0.340 2
maxstabs13 17 33 0.515 0.432 1
MarionHawk 14 28 0.500 0.500 0
Mize19 11 26 0.423 0.222 -4
Composite Computer 16 36 0.444 0.256 -4
orsky1 12 30 0.400 0.140 -6
Modified Computer 9 30 0.300 0.013 -12
Standard Computer 6 29 0.207 0.000 -17
Momentum Computer 6 29 0.207 0.000 -17
 
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