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BCMoore Prediction Game: week 4

bcmoore87

All District
Oct 30, 2001
8,004
29
48
1. Guess the game margin for the top 10 matchups in Class 3A. Beat the computer - earn iapreps fame - prove to everyone that your team is underrated.


2. Notation: +2 --> Home wins by 2 points. -7 --> Visitor wins by 7 points.


3. Game is open to all, and all are encouraged to play. The greater the number of participants, the more accurate the overall predictions should be (central limit theorem).


3.1 Reply to this post in this form:


username, -2, -4, +3, +5, -3, +10, -20, +3, +3, -1


where: username --> your rivals.com username,

-2, -4, +3, +5, -3, +10, -20, +3, +3, -1 --> your predictions for the 10 games this week


3.2 Notes:


3.2.1 Use one line only.

3.2.2 Use a comma and space as separators


3.2 The following are example of bad replies:


name


-13, +3, +14, +12, +4, +26, +10, -8, +21, +43 (entry uses two lines, comma after name missing)


name,-13,+3,+14,+12,+4,+26,+10,-8,+21,+43 (spaces missing)


name: -13,+3,+14,+12,+4,+26,+10,-8,+21,+43 (don't use colon, spaces missing)


name -13, +3, +14, +12, +4, +26, +10, -8, +21, +43 (commas after name missing)


3.3 Motivation of format rules is to minimize mistakes in reading your entry and minimize the amount of my time in working on this contest.


4. Rankings: Official rankings of the contest are the BCMoore Rankings, http://bcmoorerankings.com.


5. Scoring: Entry with most correct answers wins. Ties will be broken by sum of (absolute values of predictions - actual scores).


6. Deadline: All entries must be submitted by Friday, 5PM. Entries can be changed up to deadline. To change your entry, submit a new entry. Do not edit a previous entry; I may not see the change you want to make.


7. Duration: Contest will run for the length of the regular season. Updates on season long standings will be given weekly in addition to each individual weeks winner.


8. Game selection: Games are generally selected based on two criteria:

8.1 Each district has at least one team in the weekly game.

8.2 Remaining games are selected based on state-wide merit.




This week's games:



N Conf Rk (W-L) Visitor Conf Rk (W-L) Home Matchup
31 3A-2 5 (3-0) Humboldt 3A-2 4 (3-0) Carroll 199.22
32 3A-6 2 (3-0) Gilbert 3A-6 7 (3-0) Huxley Ballard 191.58
33 3A-8 20 (2-1) Creston COM 3A-2 25 (1-2) Greene County 173.04
34 3A-8 23 (1-2) Harlan 3A-8 14 (2-1) Dallas Center-Grimes 171.91
35 3A-1 22 (1-2) Spencer 3A-1 12 (2-1) Sioux City Heelan 171.88
36 3A-2 24 (0-3) Boone 3A-2 30 (1-2) Perry 170.23
37 3A-3 28 (2-1) Decorah 3A-4 13 (2-1) Western Dubuque 168.24
38 3A-4 37 (0-3) Maquoketa 3A-4 39 (1-2) Dubuque Wahlert 160.17
39 3A-2 16 (0-3) Webster City 3A-2 34 (0-3) Algona 159.41
40 3A-7 46 (3-0) Chariton 3A-5 49 (1-2) Mount Pleasant 143.68

Composite Computer, -1, -4, -25, 26, 22, 17, 9, 13, -15, -27
Modified Computer, 5, -12, -3, 9, 10, -5, 14, 1, -14, -2
Standard Computer, 5, -12, -3, 8, 8, -3, 12, -1, -14, -3
Momentum Computer, 5, -12, -3, 8, 8, -3, 12, -1, -14, -3
 
Conf Rk (W-L) Visitor Conf Rk (W-L) Home Open Curr
3A-2 5 (3-0) Humboldt 3A-2 4 (3-0) Carroll 5.0 5.0
3A-6 2 (3-0) Gilbert 3A-6 7 (3-0) Huxley Ballard -12.0 -10.0
3A-8 20 (2-1) Creston COM 3A-2 25 (1-2) Greene County -3.0 -6.0
3A-8 23 (1-2) Harlan 3A-8 14 (2-1) Dallas Center-Grimes 8.5 9.0
3A-1 22 (1-2) Spencer 3A-1 12 (2-1) Sioux City Heelan 9.0 14.0
3A-2 24 (0-3) Boone 3A-2 30 (1-2) Perry -3.0 -3.0
3A-3 28 (2-1) Decorah 3A-4 13 (2-1) Western Dubuque 12.0 12.0
3A-4 37 (0-3) Maquoketa 3A-4 39 (1-2) Dubuque Wahlert 0.0 7.0
3A-2 16 (0-3) Webster City 3A-2 34 (0-3) Algona -14.0 -14.0
3A-7 46 (3-0) Chariton 3A-5 49 (1-2) Mount Pleasant -3.0 -7.0
 
Conf Rk (W-L) Visitor Conf Rk (W-L) Home Open Curr
3A-2 5 (3-0) Humboldt 3A-2 4 (3-0) Carroll 5.0 5.0
3A-6 2 (3-0) Gilbert 3A-6 7 (3-0) Huxley Ballard -12.0 -10.0
3A-8 20 (2-1) Creston COM 3A-2 25 (1-2) Greene County -3.0 -7.0
3A-8 23 (1-2) Harlan 3A-8 14 (2-1) Dallas Center-Grimes 8.5 10.0
3A-1 22 (1-2) Spencer 3A-1 12 (2-1) Sioux City Heelan 9.0 14.0
3A-2 24 (0-3) Boone 3A-2 30 (1-2) Perry -3.0 -3.0
3A-3 28 (2-1) Decorah 3A-4 13 (2-1) Western Dubuque 12.0 9.0
3A-4 37 (0-3) Maquoketa 3A-4 39 (1-2) Dubuque Wahlert 0.0 13.0
3A-2 16 (0-3) Webster City 3A-2 34 (0-3) Algona -14.0 -14.0
3A-7 46 (3-0) Chariton 3A-5 49 (1-2) Mount Pleasant -3.0 -7.0
 
Conf Rk (W-L) Visitor Conf Rk (W-L) Home Open Curr
3A-2 5 (3-0) Humboldt 3A-2 4 (3-0) Carroll 5.0 5.0
3A-6 2 (3-0) Gilbert 3A-6 7 (3-0) Huxley Ballard -12.0 -8.5
3A-8 20 (2-1) Creston COM 3A-2 25 (1-2) Greene County -3.0 -7.0
3A-8 23 (1-2) Harlan 3A-8 14 (2-1) Dallas Center-Grimes 8.5 9.5
3A-1 22 (1-2) Spencer 3A-1 12 (2-1) Sioux City Heelan 9.0 14.0
3A-2 24 (0-3) Boone 3A-2 30 (1-2) Perry -3.0 -3.0
3A-3 28 (2-1) Decorah 3A-4 13 (2-1) Western Dubuque 12.0 6.5
3A-4 37 (0-3) Maquoketa 3A-4 39 (1-2) Dubuque Wahlert 0.0 11.0
3A-2 16 (0-3) Webster City 3A-2 34 (0-3) Algona -14.0 -14.0
3A-7 46 (3-0) Chariton 3A-5 49 (1-2) Mount Pleasant -3.0 -7.0
 
Conf Rk (W-L) Visitor Conf Rk (W-L) Home Open Curr Act
3A-2 5 (3-0) Humboldt 3A-2 4 (3-0) Carroll 5.0 5.0 24
3A-6 2 (3-0) Gilbert 3A-6 7 (3-0) Huxley Ballard -12.0 -8.5 5
3A-8 20 (2-1) Creston COM 3A-2 25 (1-2) Greene County -3.0 -7.0 -16
3A-8 23 (1-2) Harlan 3A-8 14 (2-1) Dallas Center-Grimes 8.5 9.5 34
3A-1 22 (1-2) Spencer 3A-1 12 (2-1) Sioux City Heelan 9.0 14.0 22
3A-2 24 (0-3) Boone 3A-2 30 (1-2) Perry -3.0 -3.0 7
3A-3 28 (2-1) Decorah 3A-4 13 (2-1) Western Dubuque 12.0 6.5 -6
3A-4 37 (0-3) Maquoketa 3A-4 39 (1-2) Dubuque Wahlert 0.0 11.0 20
3A-2 16 (0-3) Webster City 3A-2 34 (0-3) Algona -14.0 -14.0 -56
3A-7 46 (3-0) Chariton 3A-5 49 (1-2) Mount Pleasant -3.0 -7.0 24
 
Name Cor Att % Dev
PNation 8 10 0.800 144
Wild Man 4510 7 10 0.700 131
EastIowaHawk 7 10 0.700 171
Mize19 7 10 0.700 182
Composite Computer 6 10 0.600 175
fmclonefan 6 10 0.600 175
NorseHorse 6 10 0.600 177
Vroom_C14 6 10 0.600 179
bcmoore87 6 10 0.600 197
Modified Computer 6 10 0.600 205
Standard Computer 5 10 0.500 207
Momentum Computer 5 10 0.500 207


Name Cor Att % Dev
fmclonefan 28 40 0.700 613
PNation 28 40 0.700 724
Wild Man 4510 26 40 0.650 701
Mize19 25 40 0.625 745
bcmoore87 24 38 0.632 734
NorseHorse 23 40 0.575 669
EastIowaHawk 23 40 0.575 675
Standard Computer 22 40 0.550 759
Momentum Computer 22 40 0.550 759
Vroom_C14 22 40 0.550 774
Modified Computer 22 40 0.550 776
Composite Computer 18 40 0.450 1077
theiceman44 6 10 0.600 697
KidKinnick 6 10 0.600 754
redagentradar 6 10 0.600 760


Name ATS Att % p-val Fame
fmclonefan 25 34 0.735 0.002 16
PNation 26 38 0.684 0.011 14
Wild Man 4510 23 37 0.622 0.071 9
NorseHorse 21 36 0.583 0.162 6
Vroom_C14 22 38 0.579 0.169 6
redagentradar 5 8 0.625 0.258 2
EastIowaHawk 16 31 0.516 0.430 1
theiceman44 4 8 0.500 0.500 0
KidKinnick 4 9 0.444 0.380 -1
Composite Computer 18 38 0.474 0.375 -2
Mize19 14 35 0.400 0.121 -7
bcmoore87 11 30 0.367 0.074 -8
Standard Computer 9 27 0.333 0.042 -9
Momentum Computer 9 27 0.333 0.042 -9
Modified Computer 11 33 0.333 0.027 -11
 
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