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BCMoore Prediction Game: week 3

bcmoore87

All District
Oct 30, 2001
8,004
29
48
1. Guess the game margin for the top 10 matchups in Class 3A. Beat the computer - earn iapreps fame - prove to everyone that your team is underrated.


2. Notation: +2 --> Home wins by 2 points. -7 --> Visitor wins by 7 points.


3. Game is open to all, and all are encouraged to play. The greater the number of participants, the more accurate the overall predictions should be (central limit theorem).


3.1 Reply to this post in this form:


username, -2, -4, +3, +5, -3, +10, -20, +3, +3, -1


where: username --> your rivals.com username,

-2, -4, +3, +5, -3, +10, -20, +3, +3, -1 --> your predictions for the 10 games this week


3.2 Notes:


3.2.1 Use one line only.

3.2.2 Use a comma and space as separators


3.2 The following are example of bad replies:


name


-13, +3, +14, +12, +4, +26, +10, -8, +21, +43 (entry uses two lines, comma after name missing)


name,-13,+3,+14,+12,+4,+26,+10,-8,+21,+43 (spaces missing)


name: -13,+3,+14,+12,+4,+26,+10,-8,+21,+43 (don't use colon, spaces missing)


name -13, +3, +14, +12, +4, +26, +10, -8, +21, +43 (commas after name missing)


3.3 Motivation of format rules is to minimize mistakes in reading your entry and minimize the amount of my time in working on this contest.


4. Rankings: Official rankings of the contest are the BCMoore Rankings, http://bcmoorerankings.com.


5. Scoring: Entry with most correct answers wins. Ties will be broken by sum of (absolute values of predictions - actual scores).


6. Deadline: All entries must be submitted by Friday, 5PM. Entries can be changed up to deadline. To change your entry, submit a new entry. Do not edit a previous entry; I may not see the change you want to make.


7. Duration: Contest will run for the length of the regular season. Updates on season long standings will be given weekly in addition to each individual weeks winner.


8. Game selection: Games are generally selected based on two criteria:

8.1 Each district has at least one team in the weekly game.

8.2 Remaining games are selected based on state-wide merit.




This week's games:



N Conf Rk (W-L) Visitor Conf Rk (W-L) Home Matchup
21 3A-3 8 (2-0) West Delaware 3A-3 10 (2-0) Waverly-Shell Rock 171.98
22 3A-4 7 (2-0) Solon 3A-4 6 (1-1) CR Xavier 171.76
23 4A-2 9 (2-0) CB Lewis Central 3A-8 16 (1-1) Harlan 163.19
24 3A-1 24 (1-1) Spencer 3A-1 23 (1-1) Boyden-Hull-R Valley 161.84
25 3A-6 13 (2-0) Newton 3A-6 31 (0-2) Grinnell 154.83
26 3A-5 19 (1-1) Washington 3A-5 18 (1-1) Clear Creek-Amana 150.65
27 3A-7 26 (1-1) Norwalk 3A-7 9 (1-1) Carlisle 148.02
28 3A-3 33 (1-1) Charles City 3A-3 30 (1-1) Vinton-Shellsburg 143.29
29 3A-8 14 (1-1) Dallas Center-Grimes 3A-8 35 (1-1) Adel ADM 141.57
30 3A-2 2 (2-0) Carroll 3A-2 27 (0-2) Webster City 139.30

Composite Computer, -6, -28, -49, -20, -55, -14, 8, 1, -20, -65
Modified Computer, -3, 3, -14, 1, -21, 1, 22, 2, -22, -41
Standard Computer, -1, 6, -8, 2, -5, -13, 14, -4, -18, -36
Momentum Computer, -1, 6, -8, 2, -5, -13, 14, -4, -18, -36
 
Conf Rk (W-L) Visitor Conf Rk (W-L) Home Open Curr
3A-3 8 (2-0) West Delaware 3A-3 10 (2-0) Waverly-Shell Rock -2.0 -3.0
3A-4 7 (2-0) Solon 3A-4 6 (1-1) CR Xavier 4.5 6.0
4A-2 9 (2-0) CB Lewis Central 3A-8 16 (1-1) Harlan -11.0 -14.0
3A-1 24 (1-1) Spencer 3A-1 23 (1-1) Boyden-Hull-R Valley 1.5 2.0
3A-6 13 (2-0) Newton 3A-6 31 (0-2) Grinnell -13.0 -14.0
3A-5 19 (1-1) Washington 3A-5 18 (1-1) Clear Creek-Amana -13.0 -14.0
3A-7 26 (1-1) Norwalk 3A-7 9 (1-1) Carlisle 14.0 10.0
3A-3 33 (1-1) Charles City 3A-3 30 (1-1) Vinton-Shellsburg -1.5 1.0
3A-8 14 (1-1) Dallas Center-Grimes 3A-8 35 (1-1) Adel ADM -19.0 -18.0
3A-2 2 (2-0) Carroll 3A-2 27 (0-2) Webster City -38.5 -35.0
 
Conf Rk (W-L) Visitor Conf Rk (W-L) Home Open Curr
3A-3 8 (2-0) West Delaware 3A-3 10 (2-0) Waverly-Shell Rock -2.0 -1.0
3A-4 7 (2-0) Solon 3A-4 6 (1-1) CR Xavier 4.5 6.0
4A-2 9 (2-0) CB Lewis Central 3A-8 16 (1-1) Harlan -11.0 -14.0
3A-1 24 (1-1) Spencer 3A-1 23 (1-1) Boyden-Hull-R Valley 1.5 2.0
3A-6 13 (2-0) Newton 3A-6 31 (0-2) Grinnell -13.0 -14.0
3A-5 19 (1-1) Washington 3A-5 18 (1-1) Clear Creek-Amana -13.0 -13.0
3A-7 26 (1-1) Norwalk 3A-7 9 (1-1) Carlisle 14.0 10.0
3A-3 33 (1-1) Charles City 3A-3 30 (1-1) Vinton-Shellsburg -1.5 1.0
3A-8 14 (1-1) Dallas Center-Grimes 3A-8 35 (1-1) Adel ADM -19.0 -17.0
3A-2 2 (2-0) Carroll 3A-2 27 (0-2) Webster City -38.5 -35.0
 
Conf Rk (W-L) Visitor Conf Rk (W-L) Home Open Curr
3A-3 8 (2-0) West Delaware 3A-3 10 (2-0) Waverly-Shell Rock -2.0 -1.0
3A-4 7 (2-0) Solon 3A-4 6 (1-1) CR Xavier 4.5 6.0
4A-2 9 (2-0) CB Lewis Central 3A-8 16 (1-1) Harlan -11.0 -14.0
3A-1 24 (1-1) Spencer 3A-1 23 (1-1) Boyden-Hull-R Valley 1.5 2.0
3A-6 13 (2-0) Newton 3A-6 31 (0-2) Grinnell -13.0 -14.0
3A-5 19 (1-1) Washington 3A-5 18 (1-1) Clear Creek-Amana -13.0 -13.0
3A-7 26 (1-1) Norwalk 3A-7 9 (1-1) Carlisle 14.0 14.0
3A-3 33 (1-1) Charles City 3A-3 30 (1-1) Vinton-Shellsburg -1.5 1.0
3A-8 14 (1-1) Dallas Center-Grimes 3A-8 35 (1-1) Adel ADM -19.0 -17.0
3A-2 2 (2-0) Carroll 3A-2 27 (0-2) Webster City -38.5 -35.0
 
3dsmile.r191677.gif
 
Conf Rk (W-L) Visitor Conf Rk (W-L) Home Open Curr
3A-3 8 (2-0) West Delaware 3A-3 10 (2-0) Waverly-Shell Rock -2.0 -1.0
3A-4 7 (2-0) Solon 3A-4 6 (1-1) CR Xavier 4.5 6.0
4A-2 9 (2-0) CB Lewis Central 3A-8 16 (1-1) Harlan -11.0 -12.0
3A-1 24 (1-1) Spencer 3A-1 23 (1-1) Boyden-Hull-R Valley 1.5 2.5
3A-6 13 (2-0) Newton 3A-6 31 (0-2) Grinnell -13.0 -15.5
3A-5 19 (1-1) Washington 3A-5 18 (1-1) Clear Creek-Amana -13.0 -13.0
3A-7 26 (1-1) Norwalk 3A-7 9 (1-1) Carlisle 14.0 12.0
3A-3 33 (1-1) Charles City 3A-3 30 (1-1) Vinton-Shellsburg -1.5 1.0
3A-8 14 (1-1) Dallas Center-Grimes 3A-8 35 (1-1) Adel ADM -19.0 -16.0
3A-2 2 (2-0) Carroll 3A-2 27 (0-2) Webster City -38.5 -35.0


Edit: fixed formatting
This post was edited on 9/12 6:05 PM by bcmoore87
 
Conf Rk (W-L) Visitor Conf Rk (W-L) Home Open Curr Act
3A-3 8 (2-0) West Delaware 3A-3 10 (2-0) Waverly-Shell Rock -2.0 -1.0 -11
3A-4 7 (2-0) Solon 3A-4 6 (1-1) CR Xavier 4.5 6.0 28
4A-2 9 (2-0) CB Lewis Central 3A-8 16 (1-1) Harlan -11.0 -12.0 -17
3A-1 24 (1-1) Spencer 3A-1 23 (1-1) Boyden-Hull-R Valley 1.5 2.5 3
3A-6 13 (2-0) Newton 3A-6 31 (0-2) Grinnell -13.0 -15.5 -7
3A-5 19 (1-1) Washington 3A-5 18 (1-1) Clear Creek-Amana -13.0 -13.0 3
3A-7 26 (1-1) Norwalk 3A-7 9 (1-1) Carlisle 14.0 12.0 7
3A-3 33 (1-1) Charles City 3A-3 30 (1-1) Vinton-Shellsburg -1.5 1.0 -26
3A-8 14 (1-1) Dallas Center-Grimes 3A-8 35 (1-1) Adel ADM -19.0 -16.0 -1
3A-2 2 (2-0) Carroll 3A-2 27 (0-2) Webster City -38.5 -35.0 -14
 
Name Cor Att % Dev
Standard Computer 9 10 0.900 128
Momentum Computer 9 10 0.900 128
Modified Computer 9 10 0.900 145
bcmoore87 9 10 0.900 145
Vroom_C14 8 10 0.800 109
Mize19 8 10 0.800 147
Wild Man 4510 8 10 0.800 149
fmclonefan 7 10 0.700 101
NorseHorse 7 10 0.700 111
PNation 7 10 0.700 152
EastIowaHawk 6 10 0.600 115
KidKinnick 6 10 0.600 150
redagentradar 6 10 0.600 156
Composite Computer 6 10 0.600 279


Name Cor Att % Dev
fmclonefan 22 30 0.733 438
PNation 20 30 0.667 580
Wild Man 4510 19 30 0.633 570
bcmoore87 18 28 0.643 537
Mize19 18 30 0.600 563
NorseHorse 17 30 0.567 492
Standard Computer 17 30 0.567 552
Momentum Computer 17 30 0.567 552
EastIowaHawk 16 30 0.533 504
Modified Computer 16 30 0.533 571
Vroom_C14 16 30 0.533 595
Composite Computer 12 30 0.400 902
theiceman44 6 10 0.600 483
KidKinnick 6 10 0.600 540
redagentradar 6 10 0.600 546


Name ATS Att % p-val Fame
fmclonefan 21 28 0.750 0.003 14
PNation 17 28 0.607 0.132 6
NorseHorse 16 28 0.571 0.230 4
Vroom_C14 16 28 0.571 0.230 4
Wild Man 4510 15 27 0.556 0.287 3
redagentradar 5 8 0.625 0.258 2
theiceman44 4 8 0.500 0.500 0
EastIowaHawk 11 23 0.478 0.420 -1
KidKinnick 4 9 0.444 0.380 -1
bcmoore87 10 23 0.435 0.272 -3
Standard Computer 8 20 0.400 0.192 -4
Momentum Computer 8 20 0.400 0.192 -4
Mize19 12 28 0.429 0.230 -4
Modified Computer 10 25 0.400 0.164 -5
Composite Computer 11 28 0.393 0.132 -6
 
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