BCMoore Prediction Game: week 3

[bcmoore87]

BCMoore Rankings

Comments are welcome.

Notes:
1. Rankings are unbiased.
2. Data source: iahsaa.org, 2015/09/12 06:00
3. Comments are welcome.

    R  Team                  Conf ( W- L)    Mod Str  Sched  Rank     Off Ave      Def Ave
    1  West Delaware         3A-3 ( 3- 0) 250.02  3W 217.57 (  4)  47.33 (  1)  15.67 ( 11)
    2  Pella                 3A-7 ( 3- 0) 231.89  3W 190.23 ( 25)  42.67 (  3)  12.33 (  6)
    3  Maquoketa             3A-4 ( 2- 1) 228.35  1W 213.49 (  6)  29.00 ( 19)  17.00 ( 16)
    4  Harlan                3A-8 ( 3- 0) 225.00  3W 189.04 ( 28)  39.33 (  6)   9.33 (  3)
    5  CR Xavier             3A-4 ( 2- 0) 223.42  2W 218.01 (  3)  18.00 ( 36)  13.00 (  8)
    6  Davenport Assumption  3A-5 ( 1- 2) 220.15  1W 201.87 (  8)  35.00 ( 10)  16.33 ( 12)
    7  Boyden-Hull-R Valley  3A-1 ( 3- 0) 218.76  3W 195.67 ( 16)  28.67 ( 21)  13.33 (  9)
    8  Solon                 3A-4 ( 1- 2) 215.87  1L 213.63 (  5)  22.33 ( 33)  19.00 ( 18)
    9  Webster City          3A-2 ( 3- 0) 215.68  3W 192.10 ( 19)  32.67 ( 13)  17.33 ( 17)
   10  Waverly-Shell Rock    3A-3 ( 2- 1) 213.01  1L 219.59 (  2)  22.33 ( 31)  20.00 ( 21)
   11  Western Dubuque       3A-4 ( 1- 2) 212.70  1L 227.13 (  1)  13.33 ( 48)  28.67 ( 44)
   12  Dallas Center-Grimes  3A-8 ( 2- 1) 210.11  1W 202.74 (  7)  27.00 ( 24)  16.67 ( 13)
   13  Norwalk               3A-7 ( 3- 0) 207.16  3W 189.13 ( 27)  30.33 ( 17)  12.00 (  5)
   14  Independence          3A-3 ( 3- 0) 207.00  3W 181.77 ( 39)  35.00 (  9)  16.67 ( 14)
   15  Sioux City Heelan     3A-1 ( 3- 0) 203.78  3W 184.42 ( 36)  30.33 ( 16)  12.67 (  7)
   16  Spencer               3A-1 ( 2- 1) 203.10  1L 200.02 ( 11)  19.33 ( 35)  13.33 ( 10)

 

[fmclonefan]

Some of the rankings seem very high, just number wise. West Delaware would be about a 10 point favorite over WDM Valley, according to the numbers. The top 3A school's numbers aren't usually higher then the top 4A schools; are they? Not disputing having WD at the top of the 3A rankings, just seems like their power number is skewed high for some reason which makes other school's numbers high (such as Maquoketa at #3). Just interesting, I guess.

 

[bcmoore87]

There are not a lot of 3A-4A matchups and apparently 3A has done well this.

So, this seems like a function of limited data.