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BCMoore Prediction Game: week 3

bcmoore87

All District
Oct 30, 2001
8,004
29
48
1. Guess the game margin for the top 10 matchups in Class 4A. Beat the computer - earn iapreps fame - prove to everyone that your team is underrated.
<p>
2. Notation: +2 --> Home wins by 2 points. -7 --> Visitor wins by 7 points.
<p>
3. Game is open to all, and all are encouraged to play. The greater the number of participants, the more accurate the overall predictions should be (central limit theorem).
<p>
3.1 Reply to this post in this form:
<p>
username, -2, -4, +3, +5, -3, +10, -20, +3, +3, -1
<p>
where: username --> your rivals.com username,<br>
-2, -4, +3, +5, -3, +10, -20, +3, +3, -1 --> your predictions for the 10 games this week
<p>
3.2 Notes:
<p>
3.2.1 Use one line only.<br>
3.2.2 Use a comma and space as separators
<p>
3.2 The following are example of bad replies:
<p>
name
<p>
-13, +3, +14, +12, +4, +26, +10, -8, +21, +43 (entry uses two lines, comma after name missing)
<p>
name,-13,+3,+14,+12,+4,+26,+10,-8,+21,+43 (spaces missing)
<p>
name: -13,+3,+14,+12,+4,+26,+10,-8,+21,+43 (don't use colon, spaces missing)
<p>
name -13, +3, +14, +12, +4, +26, +10, -8, +21, +43 (commas after name missing)
<p>
3.3 Motivation of format rules is to minimize mistakes in reading your entry and minimize the amount of my time in working on this contest.
<p>
4. Rankings: Official rankings of the contest are the BCMoore Rankings, <a href="http://bcmoorerankings.com">http://bcmoorerankings.com</a>.
<p>
5. Scoring: Entry with most correct answers wins. Ties will be broken by sum of (absolute values of predictions - actual scores).
<p>
6. Deadline: All entries must be submitted by <b>Friday, 5PM</b>. Entries can be changed up to deadline. To change your entry, submit a new entry. Do not edit a previous entry; I may not see the change you want to make.
<p>
7. Duration: Contest will run for the length of the regular season. Updates on season long standings will be given weekly in addition to each individual weeks winner.
<p>
8. Game selection: Games are generally selected based on two criteria:<br>
8.1 Each district has at least one team in the weekly game.<br>
8.2 Remaining games are selected based on state-wide merit.<br>


<p>
This week's games:


Code:
 N Conf Rk (W-L) Visitor              Conf Rk (W-L) Home                Matchup
21 4A-4  2 (1-1) Urbandale            4A-2  6 (2-0) Johnston             199.14
22 4A-2  3 (1-0) WDM Dowling          4A-4  9 (1-1) Waukee               197.34
23 4A-1 11 (1-1) Ankeny               4A-3  7 (2-0) Ankeny Centennial    191.42
24 4A-1  5 (0-2) Southeast Polk       4A-3  1 (2-0) WDM Valley           183.89
25 4A-6 14 (1-1) CR Washington        4A-7 18 (0-2) Iowa City West       183.40
26 4A-7 16 (2-0) Pleasant Valley      4A-8 13 (2-0) Bettendorf           181.17
27 3A-8  3 (2-0) Harlan               4A-2  4 (2-0) CB Lewis Central     179.98
28 4A-8 26 (0-2) Eldridge North Scott 4A-5 10 (2-0) CR Kennedy           169.92
29 4A-4 12 (2-0) Fort Dodge           4A-5 21 (1-1) Waterloo West        167.90
30 4A-8 30 (1-1) Dubuque Senior       4A-6 24 (1-1) CR Prairie           163.00

Composite Computer, 18, -26, 12, 58, -28, 6, 10, 58, -28, 4
Modified Computer, -10, -13, 5, 30, -3, 7, 8, 24, -11, 14
Standard Computer, -2, -13, 5, 27, -7, 11, 14, 12, -17, 10
Momentum Computer, -2, -13, 5, 27, -7, 11, 14, 12, -17, 10
 
Code:
Conf Rk (W-L) Visitor              Conf Rk (W-L) Home                  Open  Curr
4A-4  2 (1-1) Urbandale            4A-2  6 (2-0) Johnston              -2.0  -4.0
4A-2  3 (1-0) WDM Dowling          4A-4  9 (1-1) Waukee               -13.0 -13.0
4A-1 11 (1-1) Ankeny               4A-3  7 (2-0) Ankeny Centennial      5.0   5.0
4A-1  5 (0-2) Southeast Polk       4A-3  1 (2-0) WDM Valley            28.5  27.0
4A-6 14 (1-1) CR Washington        4A-7 18 (0-2) Iowa City West        -7.0 -10.0
4A-7 16 (2-0) Pleasant Valley      4A-8 13 (2-0) Bettendorf             9.0  11.0
3A-8  3 (2-0) Harlan               4A-2  4 (2-0) CB Lewis Central      12.0  10.0
4A-8 26 (0-2) Eldridge North Scott 4A-5 10 (2-0) CR Kennedy            18.0  17.0
4A-4 12 (2-0) Fort Dodge           4A-5 21 (1-1) Waterloo West        -17.0 -17.0
4A-8 30 (1-1) Dubuque Senior       4A-6 24 (1-1) CR Prairie            10.0  10.0
 
1. Guess the game margin for the top 10 matchups in Class 4A. Beat the computer - earn iapreps fame - prove to everyone that your team is underrated.
<p>
2. Notation: +2 --> Home wins by 2 points. -7 --> Visitor wins by 7 points.
<p>
3. Game is open to all, and all are encouraged to play. The greater the number of participants, the more accurate the overall predictions should be (central limit theorem).
<p>
3.1 Reply to this post in this form:
<p>
username, -2, -4, +3, +5, -3, +10, -20, +3, +3, -1
<p>
where: username --> your rivals.com username,<br>
-2, -4, +3, +5, -3, +10, -20, +3, +3, -1 --> your predictions for the 10 games this week
<p>
3.2 Notes:
<p>
3.2.1 Use one line only.<br>
3.2.2 Use a comma and space as separators
<p>
3.2 The following are example of bad replies:
<p>
name
<p>
-13, +3, +14, +12, +4, +26, +10, -8, +21, +43 (entry uses two lines, comma after name missing)
<p>
name,-13,+3,+14,+12,+4,+26,+10,-8,+21,+43 (spaces missing)
<p>
name: -13,+3,+14,+12,+4,+26,+10,-8,+21,+43 (don't use colon, spaces missing)
<p>
name -13, +3, +14, +12, +4, +26, +10, -8, +21, +43 (commas after name missing)
<p>
3.3 Motivation of format rules is to minimize mistakes in reading your entry and minimize the amount of my time in working on this contest.
<p>
4. Rankings: Official rankings of the contest are the BCMoore Rankings, <a href="http://bcmoorerankings.com">http://bcmoorerankings.com</a>.
<p>
5. Scoring: Entry with most correct answers wins. Ties will be broken by sum of (absolute values of predictions - actual scores).
<p>
6. Deadline: All entries must be submitted by <b>Friday, 5PM</b>. Entries can be changed up to deadline. To change your entry, submit a new entry. Do not edit a previous entry; I may not see the change you want to make.
<p>
7. Duration: Contest will run for the length of the regular season. Updates on season long standings will be given weekly in addition to each individual weeks winner.
<p>
8. Game selection: Games are generally selected based on two criteria:<br>
8.1 Each district has at least one team in the weekly game.<br>
8.2 Remaining games are selected based on state-wide merit.<br>


<p>
This week's games:


Code:
N Conf Rk (W-L) Visitor              Conf Rk (W-L) Home                Matchup
21 4A-4  2 (1-1) Urbandale            4A-2  6 (2-0) Johnston             199.14
22 4A-2  3 (1-0) WDM Dowling          4A-4  9 (1-1) Waukee               197.34
23 4A-1 11 (1-1) Ankeny               4A-3  7 (2-0) Ankeny Centennial    191.42
24 4A-1  5 (0-2) Southeast Polk       4A-3  1 (2-0) WDM Valley           183.89
25 4A-6 14 (1-1) CR Washington        4A-7 18 (0-2) Iowa City West       183.40
26 4A-7 16 (2-0) Pleasant Valley      4A-8 13 (2-0) Bettendorf           181.17
27 3A-8  3 (2-0) Harlan               4A-2  4 (2-0) CB Lewis Central     179.98
28 4A-8 26 (0-2) Eldridge North Scott 4A-5 10 (2-0) CR Kennedy           169.92
29 4A-4 12 (2-0) Fort Dodge           4A-5 21 (1-1) Waterloo West        167.90
30 4A-8 30 (1-1) Dubuque Senior       4A-6 24 (1-1) CR Prairie           163.00

Composite Computer, 18, -26, 12, 58, -28, 6, 10, 58, -28, 4
Modified Computer, -10, -13, 5, 30, -3, 7, 8, 24, -11, 14
Standard Computer, -2, -13, 5, 27, -7, 11, 14, 12, -17, 10
Momentum Computer, -2, -13, 5, 27, -7, 11, 14, 12, -17, 10


Straw1397, -7, -3, 6, -1, -12, 8, 10, 16, -28, 5
 
Code:
Conf Rk (W-L) Visitor              Conf Rk (W-L) Home                  Open  Curr
4A-4  2 (1-1) Urbandale            4A-2  6 (2-0) Johnston              -2.0  -4.0
4A-2  3 (1-0) WDM Dowling          4A-4  9 (1-1) Waukee               -13.0 -13.0
4A-1 11 (1-1) Ankeny               4A-3  7 (2-0) Ankeny Centennial      5.0   6.0
4A-1  5 (0-2) Southeast Polk       4A-3  1 (2-0) WDM Valley            28.5  24.0
4A-6 14 (1-1) CR Washington        4A-7 18 (0-2) Iowa City West        -7.0  -7.0
4A-7 16 (2-0) Pleasant Valley      4A-8 13 (2-0) Bettendorf             9.0  10.0
3A-8  3 (2-0) Harlan               4A-2  4 (2-0) CB Lewis Central      12.0  10.0
4A-8 26 (0-2) Eldridge North Scott 4A-5 10 (2-0) CR Kennedy            18.0  16.0
4A-4 12 (2-0) Fort Dodge           4A-5 21 (1-1) Waterloo West        -17.0 -17.0
4A-8 30 (1-1) Dubuque Senior       4A-6 24 (1-1) CR Prairie            10.0   8.0
 
Code:
Conf Rk (W-L) Visitor              Conf Rk (W-L) Home                  Open  Curr Act
4A-4  2 (1-1) Urbandale            4A-2  6 (2-0) Johnston              -2.0  -5.0   7
4A-2  3 (1-0) WDM Dowling          4A-4  9 (1-1) Waukee               -13.0 -13.0  -7
4A-1 11 (1-1) Ankeny               4A-3  7 (2-0) Ankeny Centennial      5.0   6.0  -8
4A-1  5 (0-2) Southeast Polk       4A-3  1 (2-0) WDM Valley            28.5  24.0  38
4A-6 14 (1-1) CR Washington        4A-7 18 (0-2) Iowa City West        -7.0  -7.0 -29
4A-7 16 (2-0) Pleasant Valley      4A-8 13 (2-0) Bettendorf             9.0  10.0  24
3A-8  3 (2-0) Harlan               4A-2  4 (2-0) CB Lewis Central      12.0  10.0 -17
4A-8 26 (0-2) Eldridge North Scott 4A-5 10 (2-0) CR Kennedy            18.0  15.5  42
4A-4 12 (2-0) Fort Dodge           4A-5 21 (1-1) Waterloo West        -17.0 -17.0 -40
4A-8 30 (1-1) Dubuque Senior       4A-6 24 (1-1) CR Prairie            10.0   9.0 -14
 
Code:
Name                 Cor Att   %    Dev
MarionHawk             8  10 0.800  145
Makelovenotwar         8  10 0.800  171
SimpsonStorm           7  10 0.700  161
Composite Computer     7  10 0.700  162
GoBigD6788             6  10 0.600  157
screwloose             6  10 0.600  167
Dragon7678             6  10 0.600  176
Standard Computer      6  10 0.600  182
Momentum Computer      6  10 0.600  182
SEPRamFan              6  10 0.600  184
Modified Computer      6  10 0.600  187
PNation                6  10 0.600  191
Orsky1                 6  10 0.600  194
bcmoore87              6  10 0.600  198
ZMac328                5  10 0.500  176
Straw1397              5  10 0.500  188


Name                 Cor Att   %    Dev
Composite Computer    21  30 0.700  538
GoBigD6788            19  30 0.633  419
screwloose            19  30 0.633  433
Dragon7678            19  30 0.633  476
Standard Computer     18  30 0.600  492
Momentum Computer     18  30 0.600  492
bcmoore87             17  30 0.567  476
SimpsonStorm          17  30 0.567  489
PNation               17  30 0.567  496
Modified Computer     17  30 0.567  508
Makelovenotwar        15  20 0.750  425
MarionHawk            15  20 0.750  441
Straw1397             15  30 0.500  469
SEPRamFan             11  20 0.550  452
Orsky1                11  20 0.550  491
ZMac328               10  20 0.500  497
Dodge59                7  10 0.700  491
RedAgentRadar          7  10 0.700  507
makelovenotwar         6  10 0.600  476
SEPRamsFan             5  10 0.500  504
Redagentradar          5  10 0.500  528
DSMan                  4  10 0.400  533


Name                 ATS Att   %    p-val Fame
ZMac328               14  20 0.700  0.036    8
screwloose            15  24 0.625  0.114    6
MarionHawk            12  18 0.667  0.082    6
GoBigD6788            13  21 0.619  0.143    5
Makelovenotwar        11  17 0.647  0.118    5
Composite Computer    16  27 0.593  0.173    5
SEPRamsFan             5   7 0.714  0.145    3
Dodge59                6  10 0.600  0.278    2
RedAgentRadar          4   6 0.667  0.233    2
makelovenotwar         3   5 0.600  0.352    1
Standard Computer     11  22 0.500  0.500    0
Momentum Computer     11  22 0.500  0.500    0
Straw1397             12  25 0.480  0.423   -1
Modified Computer     12  25 0.480  0.423   -1
Redagentradar          3   7 0.429  0.368   -1
SEPRamFan              7  16 0.438  0.316   -2
SimpsonStorm          12  26 0.462  0.351   -2
DSMan                  3   8 0.375  0.258   -2
Orsky1                 8  19 0.421  0.253   -3
Dragon7678             9  24 0.375  0.114   -6
bcmoore87              7  20 0.350  0.093   -6
PNation               10  26 0.385  0.123   -6
 
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