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BCMoore Prediction Game: week 2

bcmoore87

All District
Oct 30, 2001
8,004
29
48
1. Guess the game margin for the top 10 matchups in Class 4A. Beat the computer - earn iapreps fame - prove to everyone that your team is underrated.


2. Notation: +2 --> Home wins by 2 points. -7 --> Visitor wins by 7 points.


3. Game is open to all, and all are encouraged to play. The greater the number of participants, the more accurate the overall predictions should be (central limit theorem).


3.1 Reply to this post in this form:


username, -2, -4, +3, +5, -3, +10, -20, +3, +3, -1


where: username --> your rivals.com username,

-2, -4, +3, +5, -3, +10, -20, +3, +3, -1 --> your predictions for the 10 games this week


3.2 Notes:


3.2.1 Use one line only.

3.2.2 Use a comma and space as separators


3.2 The following are example of bad replies:


name


-13, +3, +14, +12, +4, +26, +10, -8, +21, +43 (entry uses two lines, comma after name missing)


name,-13,+3,+14,+12,+4,+26,+10,-8,+21,+43 (spaces missing)


name: -13,+3,+14,+12,+4,+26,+10,-8,+21,+43 (don't use colon, spaces missing)


name -13, +3, +14, +12, +4, +26, +10, -8, +21, +43 (commas after name missing)


3.3 Motivation of format rules is to minimize mistakes in reading your entry and minimize the amount of my time in working on this contest.


4. Rankings: Official rankings of the contest are the BCMoore Rankings, http://bcmoorerankings.com.


5. Scoring: Entry with most correct answers wins. Ties will be broken by sum of (absolute values of predictions - actual scores).


6. Deadline: All entries must be submitted by Friday, 5PM. Entries can be changed up to deadline. To change your entry, submit a new entry. Do not edit a previous entry; I may not see the change you want to make.


7. Duration: Contest will run for the length of the regular season. Updates on season long standings will be given weekly in addition to each individual weeks winner.


8. Game selection: Games are generally selected based on two criteria:

8.1 Each district has at least one team in the weekly game.

8.2 Remaining games are selected based on state-wide merit.




This week's games:



N Conf Rk (W-L) Visitor Conf Rk (W-L) Home Matchup
11 4A-1 8 (1-0) Ankeny 4A-2 4 (1-0) Johnston 182.65
12 4A-2 2 (1-0) WDM Dowling 4A-4 11 (1-0) Urbandale 177.96
13 4A-3 9 (1-0) CB Lincoln 4A-2 15 (1-0) CB Lewis Central 175.43
14 4A-4 1 (1-0) Waukee 4A-1 12 (0-1) Southeast Polk 174.52
15 4A-4 19 (1-0) Fort Dodge 4A-1 20 (0-1) Sioux City North 170.86
16 4A-7 13 (1-0) Iowa City West 4A-3 5 (0-1) WDM Valley 166.53
17 4A-7 25 (0-1) Pleasant Valley 4A-5 18 (1-0) Marion Linn-Mar 165.76
18 4A-1 7 (0-1) Ames 4A-5 17 (1-0) Cedar Falls 160.82
19 4A-6 26 (1-0) CR Washington 4A-5 16 (0-1) CR Kennedy 159.21
20 4A-5 28 (0-1) Waterloo West 4A-8 33 (1-0) Dubuque Senior 157.60

Composite Computer, 7, -14, -3, -96, -79, -64, 79, 69, -74, 79
Modified Computer, 15, -34, -7, -42, -1, 25, 8, -21, 11, -3
Standard Computer, 12, -27, -6, -31, 1, 29, -3, -26, 11, -3
Momentum Computer, 12, -27, -6, -31, 1, 29, -3, -26, 11, -3
 
Correction to the head liner post:

Thursday 5PM deadline

games 15 and 19 are Thursday night games
 
Conf Rk (W-L) Visitor Conf Rk (W-L) Home Open Curr
4A-1 8 (1-0) Ankeny 4A-2 4 (1-0) Johnston 12.0 7.0
4A-2 2 (1-0) WDM Dowling 4A-4 11 (1-0) Urbandale -27.0 -21.0
4A-3 9 (1-0) CB Lincoln 4A-2 15 (1-0) CB Lewis Central -6.0 -6.0
4A-4 1 (1-0) Waukee 4A-1 12 (0-1) Southeast Polk -36.5 -24.0
4A-4 19 (1-0) Fort Dodge 4A-1 20 (0-1) Sioux City North 0.0 -1.0
4A-7 13 (1-0) Iowa City West 4A-3 5 (0-1) WDM Valley 27.0 14.0
4A-7 25 (0-1) Pleasant Valley 4A-5 18 (1-0) Marion Linn-Mar 2.5 6.0
4A-1 7 (0-1) Ames 4A-5 17 (1-0) Cedar Falls -23.5 7.0
4A-6 26 (1-0) CR Washington 4A-5 16 (0-1) CR Kennedy 11.0 3.0
4A-5 28 (0-1) Waterloo West 4A-8 33 (1-0) Dubuque Senior -3.0 6.0
 
Conf Rk (W-L) Visitor Conf Rk (W-L) Home Open Curr
4A-1 8 (1-0) Ankeny 4A-2 4 (1-0) Johnston 12.0 8.5
4A-2 2 (1-0) WDM Dowling 4A-4 11 (1-0) Urbandale -27.0 -25.5
4A-3 9 (1-0) CB Lincoln 4A-2 15 (1-0) CB Lewis Central -6.0 -6.0
4A-4 1 (1-0) Waukee 4A-1 12 (0-1) Southeast Polk -36.5 -28.0
4A-4 19 (1-0) Fort Dodge 4A-1 20 (0-1) Sioux City North 0.0 -2.0
4A-7 13 (1-0) Iowa City West 4A-3 5 (0-1) WDM Valley 27.0 13.0
4A-7 25 (0-1) Pleasant Valley 4A-5 18 (1-0) Marion Linn-Mar 2.5 6.5
4A-1 7 (0-1) Ames 4A-5 17 (1-0) Cedar Falls -23.5 7.0
4A-6 26 (1-0) CR Washington 4A-5 16 (0-1) CR Kennedy 11.0 3.0
4A-5 28 (0-1) Waterloo West 4A-8 33 (1-0) Dubuque Senior -3.0 9.0
 
Conf Rk (W-L) Visitor Conf Rk (W-L) Home Open Curr
4A-1 8 (1-0) Ankeny 4A-2 4 (1-0) Johnston 12.0 7.0
4A-2 2 (1-0) WDM Dowling 4A-4 11 (1-0) Urbandale -27.0 -22.5
4A-3 9 (1-0) CB Lincoln 4A-2 15 (1-0) CB Lewis Central -6.0 -6.0
4A-4 1 (1-0) Waukee 4A-1 12 (0-1) Southeast Polk -36.5 -26.0
4A-4 19 (1-0) Fort Dodge 4A-1 20 (0-1) Sioux City North 0.0 -2.0
4A-7 13 (1-0) Iowa City West 4A-3 5 (0-1) WDM Valley 27.0 11.0
4A-7 25 (0-1) Pleasant Valley 4A-5 18 (1-0) Marion Linn-Mar 2.5 5.0
4A-1 7 (0-1) Ames 4A-5 17 (1-0) Cedar Falls -23.5 7.0
4A-6 26 (1-0) CR Washington 4A-5 16 (0-1) CR Kennedy 11.0 3.5
4A-5 28 (0-1) Waterloo West 4A-8 33 (1-0) Dubuque Senior -3.0 8.5
 
Conf Rk (W-L) Visitor Conf Rk (W-L) Home Open Curr
4A-1 8 (1-0) Ankeny 4A-2 4 (1-0) Johnston 12.0 7.0
4A-2 2 (1-0) WDM Dowling 4A-4 11 (1-0) Urbandale -27.0 -24.0
4A-3 9 (1-0) CB Lincoln 4A-2 15 (1-0) CB Lewis Central -6.0 -6.0
4A-4 1 (1-0) Waukee 4A-1 12 (0-1) Southeast Polk -36.5 -24.0
4A-4 19 (1-0) Fort Dodge 4A-1 20 (0-1) Sioux City North 0.0 -4.0
4A-7 13 (1-0) Iowa City West 4A-3 5 (0-1) WDM Valley 27.0 10.0
4A-7 25 (0-1) Pleasant Valley 4A-5 18 (1-0) Marion Linn-Mar 2.5 7.0
4A-1 7 (0-1) Ames 4A-5 17 (1-0) Cedar Falls -23.5 7.0
4A-6 26 (1-0) CR Washington 4A-5 16 (0-1) CR Kennedy 11.0 3.0
4A-5 28 (0-1) Waterloo West 4A-8 33 (1-0) Dubuque Senior -3.0 11.0
 
Conf Rk (W-L) Visitor Conf Rk (W-L) Home Open Curr Act
4A-1 8 (1-0) Ankeny 4A-2 4 (1-0) Johnston 12.0 7.0 1
4A-2 2 (1-0) WDM Dowling 4A-4 11 (1-0) Urbandale -27.0 -24.0 -49
4A-3 9 (1-0) CB Lincoln 4A-2 15 (1-0) CB Lewis Central -6.0 -6.0 21
4A-4 1 (1-0) Waukee 4A-1 12 (0-1) Southeast Polk -36.5 -24.0 -7
4A-4 19 (1-0) Fort Dodge 4A-1 20 (0-1) Sioux City North 0.0 -4.0 7
4A-7 13 (1-0) Iowa City West 4A-3 5 (0-1) WDM Valley 27.0 10.0 21
4A-7 25 (0-1) Pleasant Valley 4A-5 18 (1-0) Marion Linn-Mar 2.5 7.0 7
4A-1 7 (0-1) Ames 4A-5 17 (1-0) Cedar Falls -23.5 7.0 -14
4A-6 26 (1-0) CR Washington 4A-5 16 (0-1) CR Kennedy 11.0 3.0 -34
4A-5 28 (0-1) Waterloo West 4A-8 33 (1-0) Dubuque Senior -3.0 11.0 14
 
Name Cor Att % Dev
RedAgentRadar 9 10 0.900 126
PNation 8 10 0.800 125
Mize19 8 10 0.800 132
bcmoore87 8 10 0.800 141
EastIowaHawk 8 10 0.800 144
SEPRamFan 7 10 0.700 137
orsky1 7 10 0.700 152
MarionHawk 7 10 0.700 165
EHS1505 6 10 0.600 171
Modified Computer 6 10 0.600 174
Dragon7678 6 10 0.600 175
Standard Computer 6 10 0.600 182
Momentum Computer 6 10 0.600 182
Composite Computer 6 10 0.600 585
Straw1397 5 10 0.500 128
maxstabs13 5 10 0.500 196
screwloose 5 10 0.500 217


Name Cor Att % Dev
RedAgentRadar 16 20 0.800 281
EastIowaHawk 14 20 0.700 292
PNation 14 20 0.700 294
Mize19 14 20 0.700 297
SEPRamFan 13 20 0.650 291
bcmoore87 13 18 0.722 294
EHS1505 13 20 0.650 325
Dragon7678 13 20 0.650 327
MarionHawk 13 20 0.650 343
orsky1 13 20 0.650 351
screwloose 12 20 0.600 355
Modified Computer 12 20 0.600 383
Standard Computer 12 20 0.600 391
Momentum Computer 12 20 0.600 391
Composite Computer 12 20 0.600 754
maxstabs13 11 20 0.550 362
Straw1397 10 20 0.500 302


Name ATS Att % p-val Fame
Straw1397 12 16 0.750 0.020 8
SEPRamFan 11 16 0.688 0.069 6
EastIowaHawk 10 15 0.667 0.104 5
RedAgentRadar 9 14 0.643 0.151 4
PNation 7 12 0.583 0.293 2
screwloose 9 16 0.562 0.316 2
bcmoore87 5 9 0.556 0.380 1
Mize19 7 14 0.500 0.500 0
Dragon7678 8 17 0.471 0.408 -1
MarionHawk 7 15 0.467 0.403 -1
maxstabs13 8 17 0.471 0.408 -1
EHS1505 7 16 0.438 0.316 -2
Composite Computer 7 18 0.389 0.180 -4
Standard Computer 5 15 0.333 0.104 -5
Momentum Computer 5 15 0.333 0.104 -5
Modified Computer 5 16 0.312 0.069 -6
orsky1 4 15 0.267 0.034 -7
 
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