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BCMoore Prediction Game: week 2

bcmoore87

All District
Oct 30, 2001
8,004
29
48
1. Guess the game margin for the top 10 matchups in Class 3A. Beat the computer - earn iapreps fame - prove to everyone that your team is underrated.


2. Notation: +2 --> Home wins by 2 points. -7 --> Visitor wins by 7 points.

3. Game is open to all, and all are encouraged to play. The greater the number of participants, the more accurate the overall predictions should be (central limit theorem).

3.1 Reply to this post in this form:

username, -2, -4, +3, +5, -3, +10, -20, +3, +3, -1

where: username --> your rivals.com username,

-2, -4, +3, +5, -3, +10, -20, +3, +3, -1 --> your predictions for the 10 games this week

3.2 Notes:

3.2.1 Use one line only.

3.2.2 Use a comma and space as separators

3.2 The following are example of bad replies:

name

-13, +3, +14, +12, +4, +26, +10, -8, +21, +43 (entry uses two lines, comma after name missing)

name,-13,+3,+14,+12,+4,+26,+10,-8,+21,+43 (spaces missing)

name: -13,+3,+14,+12,+4,+26,+10,-8,+21,+43 (don't use colon, spaces missing)

name -13, +3, +14, +12, +4, +26, +10, -8, +21, +43 (commas after name missing)

3.3 Motivation of format rules is to minimize mistakes in reading your entry and minimize the amount of my time in working on this contest.

4. Rankings: Official rankings of the contest are the BCMoore Rankings, http://bcmoorerankings.com.

5. Scoring: Entry with most correct answers wins. Ties will be broken by sum of (absolute values of predictions - actual scores).

6. Deadline: All entries must be submitted by Friday, 5PM. Entries can be changed up to deadline. To change your entry, submit a new entry. Do not edit a previous entry; I may not see the change you want to make.

7. Duration: Contest will run for the length of the regular season. Updates on season long standings will be given weekly in addition to each individual weeks winner.

8. Game selection: Games are generally selected based on two criteria:

8.1 Each district has at least one team in the weekly game.

8.2 Remaining games are selected based on state-wide merit.


This week's games:


N Conf Rk (W-L) Visitor Conf Rk (W-L) Home Matchup
11 2A-1 1 (1-0) Central Lyon CL-G-LR 3A-1 3 (0-1) Sioux City Heelan 195.44
12 3A-2 1 (1-0) Carroll 3A-8 8 (1-0) Harlan 180.25
13 2A-3 11 (0-1) Waukon 3A-3 15 (0-1) Decorah 178.92
14 3A-1 11 (1-0) Boyden-Hull-R Valley 2A-1 12 (1-0) Sioux Center 176.98
15 3A-8 14 (1-0) Dallas Center-Grimes 3A-7 2 (1-0) Pella 168.01
16 3A-1 26 (0-1) LeMars 1A-2 12 (0-1) Western Christian 166.90
17 3A-8 16 (1-0) Creston COM 2A-8 18 (1-0) Clarinda 166.60
18 3A-8 22 (1-0) Adel ADM 3A-6 10 (1-0) Huxley Ballard 165.85
19 3A-6 9 (1-0) Bondurant-Farrar 3A-7 18 (0-1) Carlisle 164.92
20 3A-5 17 (0-1) Washington 3A-4 20 (1-0) Marion 162.89

Composite Computer, -77, -11, -2, -2, 15, 3, -3, 4, -85, 75
Modified Computer, -8, -25, -2, -2, 32, 6, -6, 11, -11, -2
Standard Computer, 8, -18, -5, -4, 23, 1, -5, 7, -13, -13
Momentum Computer, 8, -18, -5, -4, 23, 1, -5, 7, -13, -13

This post was edited on 9/1 4:34 PM by bcmoore87
 
Hey, BC, they play 3A in the East, too....(smiley face)

EastIowaHawk, +3, -6, +3, -7, +20, -7, -3, +6, -7, +3.
 
rankings still have a lot of western bias from last year (Dowling, Heelan, Kuemper)

week 3 should be unbiased
 
Conf Rk (W-L) Visitor Conf Rk (W-L) Home Open Curr
2A-1 1 (1-0) Central Lyon CL-G-LR 3A-1 3 (0-1) Sioux City Heelan 0.0 3.0
3A-2 1 (1-0) Carroll 3A-8 8 (1-0) Harlan -18.0 -14.0
2A-3 11 (0-1) Waukon 3A-3 15 (0-1) Decorah -3.5 -2.0
3A-1 11 (1-0) Boyden-Hull-R Valley 2A-1 12 (1-0) Sioux Center -3.0 -4.0
3A-8 14 (1-0) Dallas Center-Grimes 3A-7 2 (1-0) Pella 23.0 21.0
3A-1 26 (0-1) LeMars 1A-2 12 (0-1) Western Christian 2.0 1.0
3A-8 16 (1-0) Creston COM 2A-8 18 (1-0) Clarinda -5.0 -5.0
3A-8 22 (1-0) Adel ADM 3A-6 10 (1-0) Huxley Ballard 7.0 7.0
3A-6 9 (1-0) Bondurant-Farrar 3A-7 18 (0-1) Carlisle -13.0 -13.0
3A-5 17 (0-1) Washington 3A-4 20 (1-0) Marion -7.5 -13.0
 
NorseHorse, +10, +14, +10, -3, +10, +3, -14, +14, -6

This post was edited on 9/2 9:18 AM by NorseHorse
 
Conf Rk (W-L) Visitor Conf Rk (W-L) Home Open Curr
2A-1 1 (1-0) Central Lyon CL-G-LR 3A-1 3 (0-1) Sioux City Heelan 0.0 3.0
3A-2 1 (1-0) Carroll 3A-8 8 (1-0) Harlan -18.0 -14.0
2A-3 11 (0-1) Waukon 3A-3 15 (0-1) Decorah -3.5 -2.0
3A-1 11 (1-0) Boyden-Hull-R Valley 2A-1 12 (1-0) Sioux Center -3.0 -4.0
3A-8 14 (1-0) Dallas Center-Grimes 3A-7 2 (1-0) Pella 23.0 21.0
3A-1 26 (0-1) LeMars 1A-2 12 (0-1) Western Christian 2.0 1.0
3A-8 16 (1-0) Creston COM 2A-8 18 (1-0) Clarinda -5.0 -5.0
3A-8 22 (1-0) Adel ADM 3A-6 10 (1-0) Huxley Ballard 7.0 7.0
3A-6 9 (1-0) Bondurant-Farrar 3A-7 18 (0-1) Carlisle -13.0 -13.0
3A-5 17 (0-1) Washington 3A-4 20 (1-0) Marion -7.5 -13.0
 
> NorseHorse, +10, +14, +10, -3, +10, +3, -14, +14, -6

9 games only, please re-submit
 
NorseHorse, +10, +14, +10, -3, +10, +3, -14, +14, -6, -6
NorseHorse, +10, +14, +10, -3, +10, +3, -14, +14, -6, -6


This post was edited on 9/4 8:50 AM by NorseHorse
 
Conf Rk (W-L) Visitor Conf Rk (W-L) Home Open Curr
2A-1 1 (1-0) Central Lyon CL-G-LR 3A-1 3 (0-1) Sioux City Heelan 0.0 8.0
3A-2 1 (1-0) Carroll 3A-8 8 (1-0) Harlan -18.0 -8.5
2A-3 11 (0-1) Waukon 3A-3 15 (0-1) Decorah -3.5 3.0
3A-1 11 (1-0) Boyden-Hull-R Valley 2A-1 12 (1-0) Sioux Center -3.0 -4.0
3A-8 14 (1-0) Dallas Center-Grimes 3A-7 2 (1-0) Pella 23.0 17.5
3A-1 26 (0-1) LeMars 1A-2 12 (0-1) Western Christian 2.0 1.0
3A-8 16 (1-0) Creston COM 2A-8 18 (1-0) Clarinda -5.0 -6.5
3A-8 22 (1-0) Adel ADM 3A-6 10 (1-0) Huxley Ballard 7.0 7.0
3A-6 9 (1-0) Bondurant-Farrar 3A-7 18 (0-1) Carlisle -13.0 -10.5
3A-5 17 (0-1) Washington 3A-4 20 (1-0) Marion -7.5 -4.0
 
Conf Rk (W-L) Visitor Conf Rk (W-L) Home Open Curr Act
2A-1 1 (1-0) Central Lyon CL-G-LR 3A-1 3 (0-1) Sioux City Heelan 0.0 8.0 12
3A-2 1 (1-0) Carroll 3A-8 8 (1-0) Harlan -18.0 -7.0 -35
2A-3 11 (0-1) Waukon 3A-3 15 (0-1) Decorah -3.5 3.0 1
3A-1 11 (1-0) Boyden-Hull-R Valley 2A-1 12 (1-0) Sioux Center -3.0 -4.0 16
3A-8 14 (1-0) Dallas Center-Grimes 3A-7 2 (1-0) Pella 23.0 20.0 31
3A-1 26 (0-1) LeMars 1A-2 12 (0-1) Western Christian 2.0 1.0 -6
3A-8 16 (1-0) Creston COM 2A-8 18 (1-0) Clarinda -5.0 -7.0 9
3A-8 22 (1-0) Adel ADM 3A-6 10 (1-0) Huxley Ballard 7.0 7.0 28
3A-6 9 (1-0) Bondurant-Farrar 3A-7 18 (0-1) Carlisle -13.0 -11.0 25
3A-5 17 (0-1) Washington 3A-4 20 (1-0) Marion -7.5 -2.0 -10
 
Name Cor Att % Dev
fmclonefan 8 10 0.800 134
PNation 7 10 0.700 203
theiceman44 6 10 0.600 149
EastIowaHawk 6 10 0.600 154
Mize19 6 10 0.600 164
Standard Computer 5 10 0.500 138
Momentum Computer 5 10 0.500 138
bcmoore87 5 10 0.500 180
NorseHorse 5 10 0.500 181
Wild Man 4510 5 10 0.500 185
Modified Computer 4 10 0.400 140
Vroom_C14 3 10 0.300 241
Composite Computer 3 10 0.300 390


Name Cor Att % Dev
fmclonefan 15 20 0.750 337
PNation 13 20 0.650 428
Wild Man 4510 11 20 0.550 421
NorseHorse 10 20 0.500 381
EastIowaHawk 10 20 0.500 389
Mize19 10 20 0.500 416
bcmoore87 9 18 0.500 392
Standard Computer 8 20 0.400 424
Momentum Computer 8 20 0.400 424
Vroom_C14 8 20 0.400 486
Modified Computer 7 20 0.350 426
theiceman44 6 10 0.600 366
Composite Computer 6 20 0.300 623


Name ATS Att % p-val Fame
fmclonefan 14 18 0.778 0.007 10
PNation 11 18 0.611 0.180 4
NorseHorse 10 18 0.556 0.325 2
Wild Man 4510 10 19 0.526 0.413 1
theiceman44 4 8 0.500 0.500 0
Vroom_C14 9 18 0.500 0.500 0
Standard Computer 6 13 0.462 0.397 -1
Momentum Computer 6 13 0.462 0.397 -1
Modified Computer 7 15 0.467 0.403 -1
bcmoore87 6 14 0.429 0.306 -2
EastIowaHawk 6 15 0.400 0.229 -3
Mize19 8 19 0.421 0.253 -3
Composite Computer 8 19 0.421 0.253 -3
 
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