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BCMoore Prediction Game: week 2

bcmoore87

All District
Oct 30, 2001
8,004
29
48
1. Guess the game margin for the top 10 matchups in Class 4A. Beat the computer - earn iapreps fame - prove to everyone that your team is underrated.
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2. Notation: +2 --> Home wins by 2 points. -7 --> Visitor wins by 7 points.
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3. Game is open to all, and all are encouraged to play. The greater the number of participants, the more accurate the overall predictions should be (central limit theorem).
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3.1 Reply to this post in this form:
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username, -2, -4, +3, +5, -3, +10, -20, +3, +3, -1
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where: username --> your rivals.com username,<br>
-2, -4, +3, +5, -3, +10, -20, +3, +3, -1 --> your predictions for the 10 games this week
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3.2 Notes:
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3.2.1 Use one line only.<br>
3.2.2 Use a comma and space as separators
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3.2 The following are example of bad replies:
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name
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-13, +3, +14, +12, +4, +26, +10, -8, +21, +43 (entry uses two lines, comma after name missing)
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name,-13,+3,+14,+12,+4,+26,+10,-8,+21,+43 (spaces missing)
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name: -13,+3,+14,+12,+4,+26,+10,-8,+21,+43 (don't use colon, spaces missing)
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name -13, +3, +14, +12, +4, +26, +10, -8, +21, +43 (commas after name missing)
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3.3 Motivation of format rules is to minimize mistakes in reading your entry and minimize the amount of my time in working on this contest.
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4. Rankings: Official rankings of the contest are the BCMoore Rankings, <a href="http://bcmoorerankings.com">http://bcmoorerankings.com</a>.
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5. Scoring: Entry with most correct answers wins. Ties will be broken by sum of (absolute values of predictions - actual scores).
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6. Deadline: All entries must be submitted by <b>Friday, 5PM</b>. Entries can be changed up to deadline. To change your entry, submit a new entry. Do not edit a previous entry; I may not see the change you want to make.
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7. Duration: Contest will run for the length of the regular season. Updates on season long standings will be given weekly in addition to each individual weeks winner.
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8. Game selection: Games are generally selected based on two criteria:<br>
8.1 Each district has at least one team in the weekly game.<br>
8.2 Remaining games are selected based on state-wide merit.<br>


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This week's games:


Code:
 N Conf Rk (W-L) Visitor              Conf Rk (W-L) Home                Matchup
11 4A-2  5 (1-0) Johnston             4A-1 10 (1-0) Ankeny               190.70
12 4A-1  9 (0-1) Southeast Polk       4A-4  3 (0-1) Waukee               186.28
13 4A-8 16 (0-1) Eldridge North Scott 4A-6 17 (1-0) Muscatine            177.83
14 4A-4  7 (1-0) Urbandale            4A-2  1 (0-0) WDM Dowling          176.53
15 4A-5 20 (1-0) Cedar Falls          4A-1 14 (0-1) Ames                 175.04
16 4A-5 24 (0-1) Marion Linn-Mar      4A-7 11 (1-0) Pleasant Valley      172.06
17 4A-5 21 (0-1) CR Jefferson         4A-6 12 (1-0) CR Prairie           168.66
18 4A-5 19 (1-0) CR Kennedy           4A-6  8 (1-0) CR Washington        166.07
19 3A-3 16 (1-0) Waverly-Shell Rock   4A-4 22 (1-0) Mason City           164.60
20 4A-3  2 (1-0) WDM Valley           4A-7 18 (0-1) Iowa City West       158.38

Composite Computer, -2, 6, 40, 32, -37, 48, 48, 10, -1, -62
Modified Computer, -5, 8, -1, 36, 9, 18, 14, 17, 4, -50
Standard Computer, -5, 13, -3, 36, 8, 12, 12, 21, -7, -44
Momentum Computer, -5, 13, -3, 36, 8, 12, 12, 21, -7, -44
 
Code:
Conf Rk (W-L) Visitor              Conf Rk (W-L) Home                  Open  Curr
4A-2  5 (1-0) Johnston             4A-1 10 (1-0) Ankeny                -5.0  -2.0
4A-1  9 (0-1) Southeast Polk       4A-4  3 (0-1) Waukee                10.5   8.0
4A-8 16 (0-1) Eldridge North Scott 4A-6 17 (1-0) Muscatine             -2.0  -3.0
4A-4  7 (1-0) Urbandale            4A-2  1 (0-0) WDM Dowling           36.0  32.0
4A-5 20 (1-0) Cedar Falls          4A-1 14 (0-1) Ames                   8.0  -7.0
4A-5 24 (0-1) Marion Linn-Mar      4A-7 11 (1-0) Pleasant Valley       15.0  13.0
4A-5 21 (0-1) CR Jefferson         4A-6 12 (1-0) CR Prairie            13.0  14.0
4A-5 19 (1-0) CR Kennedy           4A-6  8 (1-0) CR Washington         19.0  14.0
3A-3 16 (1-0) Waverly-Shell Rock   4A-4 22 (1-0) Mason City            -4.0  -7.0
4A-3  2 (1-0) WDM Valley           4A-7 18 (0-1) Iowa City West       -47.0 -44.0
 
Code:
Conf Rk (W-L) Visitor              Conf Rk (W-L) Home                  Open  Curr
4A-2  5 (1-0) Johnston             4A-1 10 (1-0) Ankeny                -5.0  -2.0
4A-1  9 (0-1) Southeast Polk       4A-4  3 (0-1) Waukee                10.5   8.0
4A-8 16 (0-1) Eldridge North Scott 4A-6 17 (1-0) Muscatine             -2.0  -3.0
4A-4  7 (1-0) Urbandale            4A-2  1 (0-0) WDM Dowling           36.0  32.0
4A-5 20 (1-0) Cedar Falls          4A-1 14 (0-1) Ames                   8.0  -7.0
4A-5 24 (0-1) Marion Linn-Mar      4A-7 11 (1-0) Pleasant Valley       15.0  13.0
4A-5 21 (0-1) CR Jefferson         4A-6 12 (1-0) CR Prairie            13.0  14.0
4A-5 19 (1-0) CR Kennedy           4A-6  8 (1-0) CR Washington         19.0  14.0
3A-3 16 (1-0) Waverly-Shell Rock   4A-4 22 (1-0) Mason City            -4.0  -7.0
4A-3  2 (1-0) WDM Valley           4A-7 18 (0-1) Iowa City West       -47.0 -44.0

Straw1397, 3, -10, 3, 21, -12, 14, 16, 15, -7, -38
 
How can we not use last week? For the only time this season I got more than 50%! BC please view this as my OFFICIAL protest post as last week was my only hope of not getting last place.

Makelovenotwar, -4, +7, -1, +10, +4, +7, +5, -4, -7, -20
 
How can we not use last week? For the only time this season I got more than 50%! BC please view this as my OFFICIAL protest post as last week was my only hope of not getting last place.

Makelovenotwar, -4, +7, -1, +10, +4, +7, +5, -4, -7, -20
Hilarious.
 
> BCMoore

I long ago learned that a random number selector was more accurate than my Eastern Iowa biases. I am already using one. One can't be as bad at picking as I am without help.

Thanks for your work, I really do enjoy reading your rankings.
 
Code:
Conf Rk (W-L) Visitor              Conf Rk (W-L) Home                  Open  Curr
4A-2  5 (1-0) Johnston             4A-1 10 (1-0) Ankeny                -5.0  -4.0
4A-1  9 (0-1) Southeast Polk       4A-4  3 (0-1) Waukee                10.5   7.0
4A-8 16 (0-1) Eldridge North Scott 4A-6 17 (1-0) Muscatine             -2.0  -3.0
4A-4  7 (1-0) Urbandale            4A-2  1 (0-0) WDM Dowling           36.0  28.0
4A-5 20 (1-0) Cedar Falls          4A-1 14 (0-1) Ames                   8.0  -7.0
4A-5 24 (0-1) Marion Linn-Mar      4A-7 11 (1-0) Pleasant Valley       15.0  13.0
4A-5 21 (0-1) CR Jefferson         4A-6 12 (1-0) CR Prairie            13.0  14.0
4A-5 19 (1-0) CR Kennedy           4A-6  8 (1-0) CR Washington         19.0  13.0
3A-3 16 (1-0) Waverly-Shell Rock   4A-4 22 (1-0) Mason City            -4.0  -7.0
4A-3  2 (1-0) WDM Valley           4A-7 18 (0-1) Iowa City West       -47.0 -38.0
 
Code:
Conf Rk (W-L) Visitor              Conf Rk (W-L) Home                  Open  Curr
4A-2  5 (1-0) Johnston             4A-1 10 (1-0) Ankeny                -5.0  -2.0
4A-1  9 (0-1) Southeast Polk       4A-4  3 (0-1) Waukee                10.5   7.0
4A-8 16 (0-1) Eldridge North Scott 4A-6 17 (1-0) Muscatine             -2.0  -3.0
4A-4  7 (1-0) Urbandale            4A-2  1 (0-0) WDM Dowling           36.0  28.0
4A-5 20 (1-0) Cedar Falls          4A-1 14 (0-1) Ames                   8.0  -7.0
4A-5 24 (0-1) Marion Linn-Mar      4A-7 11 (1-0) Pleasant Valley       15.0  13.0
4A-5 21 (0-1) CR Jefferson         4A-6 12 (1-0) CR Prairie            13.0  14.0
4A-5 19 (1-0) CR Kennedy           4A-6  8 (1-0) CR Washington         19.0  14.0
3A-3 16 (1-0) Waverly-Shell Rock   4A-4 22 (1-0) Mason City            -4.0  -7.0
4A-3  2 (1-0) WDM Valley           4A-7 18 (0-1) Iowa City West       -47.0 -38.0
 
Code:
Conf Rk (W-L) Visitor              Conf Rk (W-L) Home                  Open  Curr
4A-2  5 (1-0) Johnston             4A-1 10 (1-0) Ankeny                -5.0   3.0
4A-1  9 (0-1) Southeast Polk       4A-4  3 (0-1) Waukee                10.5   7.0
4A-8 16 (0-1) Eldridge North Scott 4A-6 17 (1-0) Muscatine             -2.0  -3.0
4A-4  7 (1-0) Urbandale            4A-2  1 (0-0) WDM Dowling           36.0  26.0
4A-5 20 (1-0) Cedar Falls          4A-1 14 (0-1) Ames                   8.0  -6.5
4A-5 24 (0-1) Marion Linn-Mar      4A-7 11 (1-0) Pleasant Valley       15.0  13.5
4A-5 21 (0-1) CR Jefferson         4A-6 12 (1-0) CR Prairie            13.0  14.0
4A-5 19 (1-0) CR Kennedy           4A-6  8 (1-0) CR Washington         19.0  13.5
3A-3 16 (1-0) Waverly-Shell Rock   4A-4 22 (1-0) Mason City            -4.0  -7.0
4A-3  2 (1-0) WDM Valley           4A-7 18 (0-1) Iowa City West       -47.0 -35.0
 
Code:
Conf Rk (W-L) Visitor              Conf Rk (W-L) Home                  Open  Curr Act
4A-2  5 (1-0) Johnston             4A-1 10 (1-0) Ankeny                -5.0   3.0  -3
4A-1  9 (0-1) Southeast Polk       4A-4  3 (0-1) Waukee                10.5   7.0   3
4A-8 16 (0-1) Eldridge North Scott 4A-6 17 (1-0) Muscatine             -2.0  -3.0  29
4A-4  7 (1-0) Urbandale            4A-2  1 (0-0) WDM Dowling           36.0  26.0   1
4A-5 20 (1-0) Cedar Falls          4A-1 14 (0-1) Ames                   8.0  -6.5  -3
4A-5 24 (0-1) Marion Linn-Mar      4A-7 11 (1-0) Pleasant Valley       15.0  13.5  14
4A-5 21 (0-1) CR Jefferson         4A-6 12 (1-0) CR Prairie            13.0  14.0 -18
4A-5 19 (1-0) CR Kennedy           4A-6  8 (1-0) CR Washington         19.0  13.5  -4
3A-3 16 (1-0) Waverly-Shell Rock   4A-4 22 (1-0) Mason City            -4.0  -7.0 -22
4A-3  2 (1-0) WDM Valley           4A-7 18 (0-1) Iowa City West       -47.0 -35.0 -33
 
Code:
Name                 Cor Att   %    Dev
Composite Computer     8  10 0.800  244
Makelovenotwar         7  10 0.700  109
Dodge59                7  10 0.700  120
RedAgentRadar          7  10 0.700  136
screwloose             7  10 0.700  142
MarionHawk             7  10 0.700  151
Dragon7678             7  10 0.700  174
bcmoore87              6  10 0.600  140
Straw1397              6  10 0.600  147
PNation                6  10 0.600  153
GoBigD6788             6  10 0.600  156
Standard Computer      6  10 0.600  173
Momentum Computer      6  10 0.600  173
SEPRamsFan             5  10 0.500  133
Orsky1                 5  10 0.500  152
ZMac328                5  10 0.500  176
SimpsonStorm           5  10 0.500  179
Modified Computer      5  10 0.500  184


Name                 Cor Att   %    Dev
Composite Computer    14  20 0.700  376
GoBigD6788            13  20 0.650  262
screwloose            13  20 0.650  266
Dragon7678            13  20 0.650  300
Standard Computer     12  20 0.600  310
Momentum Computer     12  20 0.600  310
bcmoore87             11  20 0.550  278
PNation               11  20 0.550  305
Modified Computer     11  20 0.550  321
Straw1397             10  20 0.500  281
SimpsonStorm          10  20 0.500  328
Makelovenotwar         7  10 0.700  254
Dodge59                7  10 0.700  265
RedAgentRadar          7  10 0.700  281
MarionHawk             7  10 0.700  296
makelovenotwar         6  10 0.600  250
SEPRamFan              5  10 0.500  268
SEPRamsFan             5  10 0.500  278
Orsky1                 5  10 0.500  297
Redagentradar          5  10 0.500  302
ZMac328                5  10 0.500  321
DSMan                  4  10 0.400  307


Name                 ATS Att   %    p-val Fame
Makelovenotwar         7   8 0.875  0.010    6
screwloose            10  16 0.625  0.167    4
SEPRamsFan             5   7 0.714  0.145    3
MarionHawk             6   9 0.667  0.173    3
Dodge59                6  10 0.600  0.278    2
RedAgentRadar          4   6 0.667  0.233    2
ZMac328                6  10 0.600  0.278    2
Composite Computer    10  18 0.556  0.325    2
makelovenotwar         3   5 0.600  0.352    1
SEPRamFan              5   9 0.556  0.380    1
bcmoore87              6  11 0.545  0.389    1
Orsky1                 5   9 0.556  0.380    1
Modified Computer      8  16 0.500  0.500    0
Redagentradar          3   7 0.429  0.368   -1
Standard Computer      7  15 0.467  0.403   -1
Momentum Computer      7  15 0.467  0.403   -1
GoBigD6788             6  14 0.429  0.306   -2
DSMan                  3   8 0.375  0.258   -2
Straw1397              7  17 0.412  0.242   -3
Dragon7678             6  15 0.400  0.229   -3
SimpsonStorm           7  17 0.412  0.242   -3
PNation                6  17 0.353  0.118   -5
 
I need to update my computer to output Week2 to present and perhaps retain (week1 to present).
 
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