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BCMoore Prediction Game: week 1

bcmoore87

All District
Oct 30, 2001
8,004
29
48
1. Guess the game margin for the top 10 matchups in Class 3A. Beat the computer - earn iapreps fame - prove to everyone that your team is underrated.



2. Notation: +2 --> Home wins by 2 points. -7 --> Visitor wins by 7 points.



3. Game is open to all, and all are encouraged to play. The greater the number of participants, the more accurate the overall predictions should be (central limit theorem).



3.1 Reply to this post in this form:



username, -2, -4, +3, +5, -3, +10, -20, +3, +3, -1



where: username --> your rivals.com username,

-2, -4, +3, +5, -3, +10, -20, +3, +3, -1 --> your predictions for the 10 games this week



3.2 Notes:



3.2.1 Use one line only.

3.2.2 Use a comma and space as separators



3.2 The following are example of bad replies:



name



-13, +3, +14, +12, +4, +26, +10, -8, +21, +43 (entry uses two lines, comma after name missing)



name,-13,+3,+14,+12,+4,+26,+10,-8,+21,+43 (spaces missing)



name: -13,+3,+14,+12,+4,+26,+10,-8,+21,+43 (don't use colon, spaces missing)



name -13, +3, +14, +12, +4, +26, +10, -8, +21, +43 (commas after name missing)



3.3 Motivation of format rules is to minimize mistakes in reading your entry and minimize the amount of my time in working on this contest.



4. Rankings: Official rankings of the contest are the BCMoore Rankings, http://bcmoorerankings.com.



5. Scoring: Entry with most correct answers wins. Ties will be broken by sum of (absolute values of predictions - actual scores).



6. Deadline: All entries must be submitted by Thursday, 5PM. Entries can be changed up to deadline. To change your entry, submit a new entry. Do not edit a previous entry; I may not see the change you want to make.



7. Duration: Contest will run for the length of the regular season. Updates on season long standings will be given weekly in addition to each individual weeks winner.



8. Game selection: Games are generally selected based on two criteria:


8.1 Each district has at least one team in the weekly game.


8.2 Remaining games are selected based on state-wide merit.





This week's games:



N Conf Rk (W-L) Visitor Conf Rk (W-L) Home Matchup
1 2A-8 1 (0-0) Carroll Kuemper 3A-2 3 (0-0) Carroll 177.11
2 3A-7 5 (0-0) Pella 3A-5 2 (0-0) Washington 176.45
3 3A-1 1 (0-0) Sioux City Heelan 4A-2 7 (0-0) Sioux City East 174.98
4 1A-6 2 (0-0) Iowa City Regina 3A-4 8 (0-0) Solon 173.94
5 3A-3 4 (0-0) Decorah 2A-3 10 (0-0) North Fayette Valley 166.11
6 4A-2 15 (0-0) CB Lewis Central 3A-1 19 (0-0) Sergeant Bluff-Luton 165.52
7 3A-1 10 (0-0) Spencer 3A-2 16 (0-0) Humboldt 165.17
8 4A-8 17 (0-0) Bettendorf 3A-5 21 (0-0) Davenport Assumption 162.77
9 3A-4 9 (0-0) CR Xavier 4A-2 1 (0-0) WDM Dowling 158.89
10 3A-2 13 (0-0) Webster City 3A-6 22 (0-0) Gilbert 158.83

Composite Computer, -5, 4, -11, -5, -4, -1, -4, -1, 19, -4
Modified Computer, -11, 7, -23, -11, -9, -1, -8, -2, 37, -10
Standard Computer, -11, 7, -23, -11, -9, -1, -8, -2, 37, -10
Momentum Computer, -11, 7, -23, -11, -9, -1, -8, -2, 37, -10




Edit: fixed deadline

This post was edited on 8/25 8:58 PM by bcmoore87
 
Conf Rk (W-L) Visitor Conf Rk (W-L) Home Open Curr
2A-8 1 (0-0) Carroll Kuemper 3A-2 3 (0-0) Carroll -11.0 -7.0
3A-7 5 (0-0) Pella 3A-5 2 (0-0) Washington 7.0 7.0
3A-1 1 (0-0) Sioux City Heelan 4A-2 7 (0-0) Sioux City East -23.0 -21.0
1A-6 2 (0-0) Iowa City Regina 3A-4 8 (0-0) Solon -11.0 -11.0
3A-3 4 (0-0) Decorah 2A-3 10 (0-0) North Fayette Valley -9.0 -9.0
4A-2 15 (0-0) CB Lewis Central 3A-1 19 (0-0) Sergeant Bluff-Luton -1.0 -1.0
3A-1 10 (0-0) Spencer 3A-2 16 (0-0) Humboldt -8.0 -5.0
4A-8 17 (0-0) Bettendorf 3A-5 21 (0-0) Davenport Assumption -2.0 -2.0
3A-4 9 (0-0) CR Xavier 4A-2 1 (0-0) WDM Dowling 37.0 28.0
3A-2 13 (0-0) Webster City 3A-6 22 (0-0) Gilbert -10.0 -10.0
 
Conf Rk (W-L) Visitor Conf Rk (W-L) Home Open Curr
2A-8 1 (0-0) Carroll Kuemper 3A-2 3 (0-0) Carroll -11.0 -4.0
3A-7 5 (0-0) Pella 3A-5 2 (0-0) Washington 7.0 0.5
3A-1 1 (0-0) Sioux City Heelan 4A-2 7 (0-0) Sioux City East -23.0 -21.0
1A-6 2 (0-0) Iowa City Regina 3A-4 8 (0-0) Solon -11.0 -12.5
3A-3 4 (0-0) Decorah 2A-3 10 (0-0) North Fayette Valley -9.0 -8.0
4A-2 15 (0-0) CB Lewis Central 3A-1 19 (0-0) Sergeant Bluff-Luton -1.0 -1.0
3A-1 10 (0-0) Spencer 3A-2 16 (0-0) Humboldt -8.0 -4.5
4A-8 17 (0-0) Bettendorf 3A-5 21 (0-0) Davenport Assumption -2.0 -2.0
3A-4 9 (0-0) CR Xavier 4A-2 1 (0-0) WDM Dowling 37.0 21.5
3A-2 13 (0-0) Webster City 3A-6 22 (0-0) Gilbert -10.0 -8.5
 
bcmoore87, +1, +1, 0, -10, -7, +1, +1, 0, +21, -7

(zeros for missed deadline games, automatic loss for me)
 
Conf Rk (W-L) Visitor Conf Rk (W-L) Home Open Curr
2A-8 1 (0-0) Carroll Kuemper 3A-2 3 (0-0) Carroll -11.0 -1.0
3A-7 5 (0-0) Pella 3A-5 2 (0-0) Washington 7.0 -1.0
3A-1 1 (0-0) Sioux City Heelan 4A-2 7 (0-0) Sioux City East -23.0 -21.0
1A-6 2 (0-0) Iowa City Regina 3A-4 8 (0-0) Solon -11.0 -11.0
3A-3 4 (0-0) Decorah 2A-3 10 (0-0) North Fayette Valley -9.0 -7.0
4A-2 15 (0-0) CB Lewis Central 3A-1 19 (0-0) Sergeant Bluff-Luton -1.0 -1.0
3A-1 10 (0-0) Spencer 3A-2 16 (0-0) Humboldt -8.0 -1.5
4A-8 17 (0-0) Bettendorf 3A-5 21 (0-0) Davenport Assumption -2.0 -2.0
3A-4 9 (0-0) CR Xavier 4A-2 1 (0-0) WDM Dowling 37.0 21.5
3A-2 13 (0-0) Webster City 3A-6 22 (0-0) Gilbert -10.0 -7.0
 
Conf Rk (W-L) Visitor Conf Rk (W-L) Home Open Curr Act
2A-8 1 (0-0) Carroll Kuemper 3A-2 3 (0-0) Carroll -11.0 -1.0 34
3A-7 5 (0-0) Pella 3A-5 2 (0-0) Washington 7.0 -1.0 -35
3A-1 1 (0-0) Sioux City Heelan 4A-2 7 (0-0) Sioux City East -23.0 -21.0 10
1A-6 2 (0-0) Iowa City Regina 3A-4 8 (0-0) Solon -11.0 -11.0 1
3A-3 4 (0-0) Decorah 2A-3 10 (0-0) North Fayette Valley -9.0 -7.0 14
4A-2 15 (0-0) CB Lewis Central 3A-1 19 (0-0) Sergeant Bluff-Luton -1.0 -1.0 -7
3A-1 10 (0-0) Spencer 3A-2 16 (0-0) Humboldt -8.0 -1.5 27
4A-8 17 (0-0) Bettendorf 3A-5 21 (0-0) Davenport Assumption -2.0 -2.0 -35
3A-4 9 (0-0) CR Xavier 4A-2 1 (0-0) WDM Dowling 37.0 21.5 22
3A-2 13 (0-0) Webster City 3A-6 22 (0-0) Gilbert -10.0 -7.0 32
 
Name Cor Att % Dev
fmclonefan 7 10 0.700 203
PNation 6 10 0.600 225
Wild Man 4510 6 10 0.600 236
NorseHorse 5 10 0.500 200
Vroom_C14 5 10 0.500 245
bcmoore87 4 10 0.400 212
EastIowaHawk 4 10 0.400 235
Mize19 4 10 0.400 252
Composite Computer 3 10 0.300 233
Modified Computer 3 10 0.300 286
Standard Computer 3 10 0.300 286
Momentum Computer 3 10 0.300 286


Name Cor Att % Dev
fmclonefan 7 10 0.700 203
PNation 6 10 0.600 225
Wild Man 4510 6 10 0.600 236
NorseHorse 5 10 0.500 200
Vroom_C14 5 10 0.500 245
bcmoore87 4 8 0.500 212
EastIowaHawk 4 10 0.400 235
Mize19 4 10 0.400 252
Composite Computer 3 10 0.300 233
Modified Computer 3 10 0.300 286
Standard Computer 3 10 0.300 286
Momentum Computer 3 10 0.300 286


Name ATS Att % p-val Fame
fmclonefan 9 9 1.000 0.000 9
PNation 6 8 0.750 0.085 4
NorseHorse 5 8 0.625 0.258 2
bcmoore87 4 7 0.571 0.368 1
Wild Man 4510 5 9 0.556 0.380 1
Vroom_C14 5 9 0.556 0.380 1
Composite Computer 4 9 0.444 0.380 -1
EastIowaHawk 3 7 0.429 0.368 -1
Mize19 3 9 0.333 0.173 -3
Modified Computer 1 7 0.143 0.023 -5
Standard Computer 1 7 0.143 0.023 -5
Momentum Computer 1 7 0.143 0.023 -5
 
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