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BCMoore Prediction Game: playoff 2

bcmoore87

All District
Oct 30, 2001
8,004
29
48
1. Guess the game margin for the playoff matchups in Class 4A. Beat the computer - earn iapreps fame - prove to everyone that your team is underrated.



2. Notation: +2 --> Home wins by 2 points. -7 --> Visitor wins by 7 points.



3. Game is open to all, and all are encouraged to play. The greater the number of participants, the more accurate the overall predictions should be (central limit theorem).



3.1 Reply to this post in this form:



username, -2, -4, +3, +5, -3, +10, -20, +3, +3, -1



where: username --> your rivals.com username,

-2, -4, +3, +5, -3, +10, -20, +3, +3, -1 --> your predictions for the 10 games this week



3.2 Notes:



3.2.1 Use one line only.

3.2.2 Use a comma and space as separators



3.2 The following are example of bad replies:



name



-13, +3, +14, +12, +4, +26, +10, -8, +21, +43 (entry uses two lines, comma after name missing)



name,-13,+3,+14,+12,+4,+26,+10,-8,+21,+43 (spaces missing)



name: -13,+3,+14,+12,+4,+26,+10,-8,+21,+43 (don't use colon, spaces missing)



name -13, +3, +14, +12, +4, +26, +10, -8, +21, +43 (commas after name missing)



3.3 Motivation of format rules is to minimize mistakes in reading your entry and minimize the amount of my time in working on this contest.



4. Rankings: Official rankings of the contest are the BCMoore Rankings, http://bcmoorerankings.com.



5. Scoring: Entry with most correct answers wins. Ties will be broken by sum of (absolute values of predictions - actual scores).



6. Deadline: All entries must be submitted by Monday, 5PM. Entries can be changed up to deadline. To change your entry, submit a new entry. Do not edit a previous entry; I may not see the change you want to make.



7. Duration: Contest will run for the length of the playoff season. Updates on season long standings will be given weekly in addition to each individual weeks winner.



This week's games:


N Conf Rk (W-L) Visitor Conf Rk ( W-L) Home Matchup
17 4A-2 5 (7-3) Johnston 4A-3 3 ( 9-1) WDM Valley 169.23
18 4A-1 9 (6-4) Southeast Polk 4A-4 2 ( 9-1) Waukee 166.60
19 4A-2 10 (9-1) CB Lewis Central 4A-1 7 ( 8-2) Ankeny 165.53
20 4A-8 14 (8-2) Eldridge North Scott 4A-7 13 ( 7-3) Pleasant Valley 161.54
21 4A-7 15 (6-4) Iowa City West 4A-5 11 ( 9-1) Marion Linn-Mar 158.31
22 4A-1 12 (6-3) Ames 4A-2 1 ( 9-1) WDM Dowling 153.64
23 4A-5 16 (8-2) Cedar Falls 4A-6 4 (10-0) CR Washington 153.24
24 4A-5 22 (3-7) CR Kennedy 4A-8 6 (10-0) Bettendorf 144.93

Composite Computer, 20, 33, -9, -1, 23, 38, 34, 59
Modified Computer, 13, 23, 4, 2, 8, 37, 25, 25
Standard Computer, 16, 18, 6, 6, 7, 32, 20, 21
Momentum Computer, 14, 19, -2, 16, 11, 32, 16, 13


This post was edited on 10/30 8:21 AM by bcmoore87
 
Conf Rk (W-L) Visitor Conf Rk (W-L) Home Open Curr
4A-2 5 (7-3) Johnston 4A-3 3 (9-1) WDM Valley 15.0 14.0
4A-1 9 (6-4) Southeast Polk 4A-4 2 (9-1) Waukee 21.0 20.0
4A-2 10 (9-1) CB Lewis Central 4A-1 7 (8-2) Ankeny 1.0 4.0
4A-8 14 (8-2) Eldridge North Scott 4A-7 13 (7-3) Pleasant Valley 4.0 2.0
4A-7 15 (6-4) Iowa City West 4A-5 11 (9-1) Marion Linn-Mar 9.5 10.0
4A-1 12 (6-3) Ames 4A-2 1 (9-1) WDM Dowling 34.5 37.0
4A-5 16 (8-2) Cedar Falls 4A-6 4 (10-0) CR Washington 22.5 25.0
4A-5 22 (3-7) CR Kennedy 4A-8 6 (10-0) Bettendorf 23.0 25.0
 
screwloose, +21, +17, -4, -6, +13, +31, +24, +20

Screwloose Ranking, +15, +14, -1, +1, +13, +27, +22, +27
 
Conf Rk (W-L) Visitor Conf Rk ( W-L) Home Open Curr
4A-2 5 (7-3) Johnston 4A-3 3 ( 9-1) WDM Valley 15.0 14.5
4A-1 9 (6-4) Southeast Polk 4A-4 2 ( 9-1) Waukee 21.0 19.5
4A-2 10 (9-1) CB Lewis Central 4A-1 7 ( 8-2) Ankeny 1.0 -1.0
4A-8 14 (8-2) Eldridge North Scott 4A-7 13 ( 7-3) Pleasant Valley 4.0 -2.0
4A-7 15 (6-4) Iowa City West 4A-5 11 ( 9-1) Marion Linn-Mar 9.5 10.5
4A-1 12 (6-3) Ames 4A-2 1 ( 9-1) WDM Dowling 34.5 33.5
4A-5 16 (8-2) Cedar Falls 4A-6 4 (10-0) CR Washington 22.5 24.5
4A-5 22 (3-7) CR Kennedy 4A-8 6 (10-0) Bettendorf 23.0 26.0
 
Conf Rk (W-L) Visitor Conf Rk ( W-L) Home Open Curr
4A-2 5 (7-3) Johnston 4A-3 3 ( 9-1) WDM Valley 15.0 14.0
4A-1 9 (6-4) Southeast Polk 4A-4 2 ( 9-1) Waukee 21.0 20.0
4A-2 10 (9-1) CB Lewis Central 4A-1 7 ( 8-2) Ankeny 1.0 -1.0
4A-8 14 (8-2) Eldridge North Scott 4A-7 13 ( 7-3) Pleasant Valley 4.0 -1.0
4A-7 15 (6-4) Iowa City West 4A-5 11 ( 9-1) Marion Linn-Mar 9.5 10.0
4A-1 12 (6-3) Ames 4A-2 1 ( 9-1) WDM Dowling 34.5 35.0
4A-5 16 (8-2) Cedar Falls 4A-6 4 (10-0) CR Washington 22.5 25.0
4A-5 22 (3-7) CR Kennedy 4A-8 6 (10-0) Bettendorf 23.0 27.0
 
Conf Rk (W-L) Visitor Conf Rk ( W-L) Home Open Curr
4A-2 5 (7-3) Johnston 4A-3 3 ( 9-1) WDM Valley 15.0 14.5
4A-1 9 (6-4) Southeast Polk 4A-4 2 ( 9-1) Waukee 21.0 20.5
4A-2 10 (9-1) CB Lewis Central 4A-1 7 ( 8-2) Ankeny 1.0 1.5
4A-8 14 (8-2) Eldridge North Scott 4A-7 13 ( 7-3) Pleasant Valley 4.0 -2.0
4A-7 15 (6-4) Iowa City West 4A-5 11 ( 9-1) Marion Linn-Mar 9.5 10.0
4A-1 12 (6-3) Ames 4A-2 1 ( 9-1) WDM Dowling 34.5 35.0
4A-5 16 (8-2) Cedar Falls 4A-6 4 (10-0) CR Washington 22.5 26.5
4A-5 22 (3-7) CR Kennedy 4A-8 6 (10-0) Bettendorf 23.0 26.0
 
Do you have a similar breakdown for other classes? Where Can I find it? Thanks.
 
> can you see west high beating Linn- mar tonight BC moore

sure, 27% probability

Iowa City West should win about 1 out of every 4 games they plays against Linn-Mar. Fortunately for West, they have to win only one, not win a 7-game series.
 
Conf Rk (W-L) Visitor Conf Rk (W-L) Home Open Curr Act
4A-2 5 (7-3) Johnston 4A-3 3 (9-1) WDM Valley 15.0 15.0 28
4A-1 9 (6-4) Southeast Polk 4A-4 2 (9-1) Waukee 21.0 21.0 24
4A-2 10 (9-1) CB Lewis Central 4A-1 7 (8-2) Ankeny 1.0 3.0 14
4A-8 14 (8-2) Eldridge North Scott 4A-7 13 (7-3) Pleasant Valley 4.0 -1.0 -4
4A-7 15 (6-4) Iowa City West 4A-5 11 (9-1) Marion Linn-Mar 9.5 10.0 -4
4A-1 12 (6-3) Ames 4A-2 1 (9-1) WDM Dowling 34.5 35.0 35
4A-5 16 (8-2) Cedar Falls 4A-6 4 (10-0) CR Washington 22.5 28.0 11
4A-5 22 (3-7) CR Kennedy 4A-8 6 (10-0) Bettendorf 23.0 25.0 24
 
Name Cor Att % Dev
TRoe15 8 8 1.000 51
orsky1 8 8 1.000 63
maxstabs13 7 8 0.875 64
Redagentradar 7 8 0.875 66
SEPRamFan 7 8 0.875 67
MarionHawk 6 8 0.750 59
Modified Computer 6 8 0.750 61
Standard Computer 6 8 0.750 62
bcmoore87 6 8 0.750 67
screwloose 6 8 0.750 72
Dragon7678 6 8 0.750 74
Composite Computer 6 8 0.750 131
Screwloose Ranking 5 8 0.625 82
EHS1505 5 8 0.625 82
Momentum Computer 5 8 0.625 89
Straw1397 5 8 0.625 106
cbfan26 5 8 0.625 161


Name Cor Att % Dev
orsky1 23 24 0.958 204
maxstabs13 22 24 0.917 204
Modified Computer 21 24 0.875 180
bcmoore87 21 24 0.875 188
SEPRamFan 21 24 0.875 206
screwloose 21 24 0.875 272
MarionHawk 20 24 0.833 185
Standard Computer 20 24 0.833 194
Dragon7678 20 24 0.833 251
Straw1397 20 24 0.833 273
Composite Computer 20 24 0.833 376
Momentum Computer 19 24 0.792 230
Screwloose Ranking 19 24 0.792 287
EHS1505 18 24 0.750 295
cbfan26 18 24 0.750 380
TRoe15 8 8 1.000 483
Redagentradar 7 8 0.875 498


Name ATS Att % Fame
maxstabs13 11 14 0.786 8
MarionHawk 11 15 0.733 7
Standard Computer 14 21 0.667 7
SEPRamFan 12 17 0.706 7
Modified Computer 12 19 0.632 5
Redagentradar 4 5 0.800 3
bcmoore87 8 15 0.533 1
orsky1 9 17 0.529 1
Momentum Computer 10 21 0.476 -1
TRoe15 3 7 0.429 -1
Straw1397 8 19 0.421 -3
Dragon7678 7 18 0.389 -4
Composite Computer 8 20 0.400 -4
screwloose 6 19 0.316 -7
EHS1505 6 19 0.316 -7
Screwloose Ranking 5 20 0.250 -10
cbfan26 4 18 0.222 -10
 
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