ADVERTISEMENT

BCMoore Prediction Game: playoff 1

bcmoore87

All District
Oct 30, 2001
8,004
29
48
1. Guess the game margin for the playoff matchups in Class 4A. Beat the computer - earn iapreps fame - prove to everyone that your team is underrated.


2. Notation: +2 --> Home wins by 2 points. -7 --> Visitor wins by 7 points.


3. Game is open to all, and all are encouraged to play. The greater the number of participants, the more accurate the overall predictions should be (central limit theorem).


3.1 Reply to this post in this form:


username, -2, -4, +3, +5, -3, +10, -20, +3, +3, -1


where: username --> your rivals.com username,

-2, -4, +3, +5, -3, +10, -20, +3, +3, -1 --> your predictions for the 10 games this week


3.2 Notes:


3.2.1 Use one line only.

3.2.2 Use a comma and space as separators


3.2 The following are example of bad replies:


name


-13, +3, +14, +12, +4, +26, +10, -8, +21, +43 (entry uses two lines, comma after name missing)


name,-13,+3,+14,+12,+4,+26,+10,-8,+21,+43 (spaces missing)


name: -13,+3,+14,+12,+4,+26,+10,-8,+21,+43 (don't use colon, spaces missing)


name -13, +3, +14, +12, +4, +26, +10, -8, +21, +43 (commas after name missing)


3.3 Motivation of format rules is to minimize mistakes in reading your entry and minimize the amount of my time in working on this contest.


4. Rankings: Official rankings of the contest are the BCMoore Rankings, http://bcmoorerankings.com.


5. Scoring: Entry with most correct answers wins. Ties will be broken by sum of (absolute values of predictions - actual scores).


6. Deadline: All entries must be submitted by Wednesday, 5PM. Entries can be changed up to deadline. To change your entry, submit a new entry. Do not edit a previous entry; I may not see the change you want to make.


7. Duration: Contest will run for the length of the playoff season. Updates on season long standings will be given weekly in addition to each individual weeks winner.



This week's games:


N Conf Rk (W-L) Visitor Conf Rk (W-L) Home Matchup
1 4A-2 6 (6-3) Johnston 4A-3 9 (7-2) Ankeny Centennial 175.51
2 4A-1 11 (5-3) Ames 4A-4 18 (5-4) Urbandale 159.04
3 4A-6 20 (4-5) CR Prairie 4A-7 13 (6-3) Pleasant Valley 157.25
4 4A-7 24 (6-3) Dubuque Hempstead 4A-8 14 (7-2) Eldridge North Scott 156.57
5 4A-8 21 (5-4) Dubuque Senior 4A-5 15 (7-2) Cedar Falls 156.45
6 4A-5 22 (2-7) CR Kennedy 4A-6 17 (7-2) Muscatine 155.65
7 4A-2 19 (6-3) Sioux City East 4A-4 3 (8-1) Waukee 147.53
8 4A-4 23 (6-3) Fort Dodge 4A-1 8 (5-4) Southeast Polk 147.43
9 4A-5 26 (4-5) CR Jefferson 4A-8 5 (9-0) Bettendorf 147.35
10 4A-7 29 (4-5) Davenport Central 4A-5 10 (8-1) Marion Linn-Mar 144.25
11 4A-6 27 (5-4) Ottumwa 4A-7 16 (5-4) Iowa City West 143.71
12 4A-3 28 (4-5) CB Lincoln 4A-2 12 (8-1) CB Lewis Central 136.19
13 4A-4 25 (5-4) Indianola 4A-2 1 (8-1) WDM Dowling 133.04
14 4A-3 36 (3-6) Des Moines Lincoln 4A-1 7 (7-2) Ankeny 119.95
15 4A-1 32 (4-4) Des Moines East 4A-3 2 (8-1) WDM Valley 118.64
16 4A-8 40 (2-7) Clinton 4A-6 4 (9-0) CR Washington 89.86

Composite Computer, 4, -5, 19, 15, 17, 37, 35, 12, 57, 40, 11, 46, 53, 48, 57, 91
Modified Computer, -4, -8, 12, 15, 9, 8, 35, 19, 29, 26, 17, 24, 52, 39, 54, 68
Standard Computer, 6, -11, 12, 9, 9, 7, 33, 23, 22, 20, 16, 24, 49, 40, 53, 66
Momentum Computer, 12, -3, 16, 5, 12, 7, 36, 23, 20, 18, 12, 30, 51, 40, 52, 64
 
maxstabs13, -7, -7, 13, 10, 10, 3, 31, 21, 14, 14, 17, 35, 42, 24, 35, 49

CR Kennedy/Muscatine and North Scott/Hempstead were my two toughest choices...
 
screwloose, -8, -10, +14, +12, +17, +9, +19, +7, +31, +26, +14, +17, +42, +24, +36, +38

Screwloose Ranking, +7, -3, +14, +10, +6, +19, +20, +11, +27, +17, +7, +18, +37, +25, +34, +42
 
Originally posted by screwloose:
screwloose, -8, -10, +14, +12, +17, +9, +19, +7, +31, +26, +14, +17, +42, +24, +36, +38

Screwloose Ranking, +7, -3, +14, +10, +6, +19, +20, +11, +27, +17, +7, +18, +37, +25, +34, +42
I'm confused. Your Rankings first round predictor has AC by 10 over Johnston which you have on here as 7 and Ames by 5 over Urby which you have as 3... I didn't look through the rest, but how can your predictor vary from your predicted point spread?
 
The game score predictions come from a percentage formula between each team's offensive and defensive averages, plus a home field advantage added to the home team. The final scores may 0be fudged a little also, because teams usually don't score 22, for example. So that just adjusted to 21, so it looks more real. The predicted spread uses ONLY the Power Ranking number plus whatever the HFA happens to be. Long story short, they come from different, but related, sets of numbers. Hopefully that makes sense.
 
Conf Rk (W-L) Visitor Conf Rk (W-L) Home Open Curr
4A-2 6 (6-3) Johnston 4A-3 9 (7-2) Ankeny Centennial 5.0 4.0
4A-1 11 (5-3) Ames 4A-4 18 (5-4) Urbandale -6.5 -7.0
4A-6 20 (4-5) CR Prairie 4A-7 13 (6-3) Pleasant Valley 14.0 14.0
4A-7 24 (6-3) Dubuque Hempstead 4A-8 14 (7-2) Eldridge North Scott 12.0 10.0
4A-8 21 (5-4) Dubuque Senior 4A-5 15 (7-2) Cedar Falls 10.5 10.0
4A-5 22 (2-7) CR Kennedy 4A-6 17 (7-2) Muscatine 7.5 8.0
4A-2 19 (6-3) Sioux City East 4A-4 3 (8-1) Waukee 35.0 33.0
4A-4 23 (6-3) Fort Dodge 4A-1 8 (5-4) Southeast Polk 21.0 19.0
4A-5 26 (4-5) CR Jefferson 4A-8 5 (9-0) Bettendorf 25.5 27.0
4A-7 29 (4-5) Davenport Central 4A-5 10 (8-1) Marion Linn-Mar 23.0 20.0
4A-6 27 (5-4) Ottumwa 4A-7 16 (5-4) Iowa City West 14.0 14.0
4A-3 28 (4-5) CB Lincoln 4A-2 12 (8-1) CB Lewis Central 27.0 24.0
4A-4 25 (5-4) Indianola 4A-2 1 (8-1) WDM Dowling 51.5 49.0
4A-3 36 (3-6) Des Moines Lincoln 4A-1 7 (7-2) Ankeny 40.0 39.0
4A-1 32 (4-4) Des Moines East 4A-3 2 (8-1) WDM Valley 53.5 52.0
4A-8 40 (2-7) Clinton 4A-6 4 (9-0) CR Washington 67.0 64.0
 
Originally posted by screwloose:


The game score predictions come from a percentage formula between each team's offensive and defensive averages, plus a home field advantage added to the home team. The final scores may 0be fudged a little also, because teams usually don't score 22, for example. So that just adjusted to 21, so it looks more real. The predicted spread uses ONLY the Power Ranking number plus whatever the HFA happens to be. Long story short, they come from different, but related, sets of numbers. Hopefully that makes sense.

If this was a lower class of Iowa football 22 wouldn't be that uncommon. lol Lots of teams tend to not have a kicker so they go for two point conversions. Yeah, it makes sense.
 
Conf Rk (W-L) Visitor Conf Rk (W-L) Home Open Curr
4A-2 6 (6-3) Johnston 4A-3 9 (7-2) Ankeny Centennial 5.0 5.0
4A-1 11 (5-3) Ames 4A-4 18 (5-4) Urbandale -6.5 -7.5
4A-6 20 (4-5) CR Prairie 4A-7 13 (6-3) Pleasant Valley 14.0 14.0
4A-7 24 (6-3) Dubuque Hempstead 4A-8 14 (7-2) Eldridge North Scott 12.0 11.0
4A-8 21 (5-4) Dubuque Senior 4A-5 15 (7-2) Cedar Falls 10.5 11.0
4A-5 22 (2-7) CR Kennedy 4A-6 17 (7-2) Muscatine 7.5 8.5
4A-2 19 (6-3) Sioux City East 4A-4 3 (8-1) Waukee 35.0 32.0
4A-4 23 (6-3) Fort Dodge 4A-1 8 (5-4) Southeast Polk 21.0 19.5
4A-5 26 (4-5) CR Jefferson 4A-8 5 (9-0) Bettendorf 25.5 27.5
4A-7 29 (4-5) Davenport Central 4A-5 10 (8-1) Marion Linn-Mar 23.0 20.5
4A-6 27 (5-4) Ottumwa 4A-7 16 (5-4) Iowa City West 14.0 15.0
4A-3 28 (4-5) CB Lincoln 4A-2 12 (8-1) CB Lewis Central 27.0 24.0
4A-4 25 (5-4) Indianola 4A-2 1 (8-1) WDM Dowling 51.5 45.5
4A-3 36 (3-6) Des Moines Lincoln 4A-1 7 (7-2) Ankeny 40.0 39.5
4A-1 32 (4-4) Des Moines East 4A-3 2 (8-1) WDM Valley 53.5 52.5
4A-8 40 (2-7) Clinton 4A-6 4 (9-0) CR Washington 67.0 56.5
 
EHS1505, -7, +14, +10, +11, +21, +30, -1, +28, +35, +24, +10, +40, +45, +40, +40, +45
 
Conf Rk (W-L) Visitor Conf Rk (W-L) Home Open Curr
4A-2 6 (6-3) Johnston 4A-3 9 (7-2) Ankeny Centennial 5.0 3.5
4A-1 11 (5-3) Ames 4A-4 18 (5-4) Urbandale -6.5 -7.5
4A-6 20 (4-5) CR Prairie 4A-7 13 (6-3) Pleasant Valley 14.0 13.5
4A-7 24 (6-3) Dubuque Hempstead 4A-8 14 (7-2) Eldridge North Scott 12.0 11.5
4A-8 21 (5-4) Dubuque Senior 4A-5 15 (7-2) Cedar Falls 10.5 11.0
4A-5 22 (2-7) CR Kennedy 4A-6 17 (7-2) Muscatine 7.5 8.5
4A-2 19 (6-3) Sioux City East 4A-4 3 (8-1) Waukee 35.0 31.0
4A-4 23 (6-3) Fort Dodge 4A-1 8 (5-4) Southeast Polk 21.0 21.0
4A-5 26 (4-5) CR Jefferson 4A-8 5 (9-0) Bettendorf 25.5 28.0
4A-7 29 (4-5) Davenport Central 4A-5 10 (8-1) Marion Linn-Mar 23.0 21.0
4A-6 27 (5-4) Ottumwa 4A-7 16 (5-4) Iowa City West 14.0 15.0
4A-3 28 (4-5) CB Lincoln 4A-2 12 (8-1) CB Lewis Central 27.0 28.5
4A-4 25 (5-4) Indianola 4A-2 1 (8-1) WDM Dowling 51.5 43.5
4A-3 36 (3-6) Des Moines Lincoln 4A-1 7 (7-2) Ankeny 40.0 39.5
4A-1 32 (4-4) Des Moines East 4A-3 2 (8-1) WDM Valley 53.5 45.5
4A-8 40 (2-7) Clinton 4A-6 4 (9-0) CR Washington 67.0 49.0
 
orsky1, -3, -10, +10, +10, +7, +7, +28, +14, +28, +21, +14, +24, +35, +35, +42, +45
 
Conf Rk (W-L) Visitor Conf Rk (W-L) Home Open Curr
4A-2 6 (6-3) Johnston 4A-3 9 (7-2) Ankeny Centennial 5.0 3.0
4A-1 11 (5-3) Ames 4A-4 18 (5-4) Urbandale -6.5 -7.0
4A-6 20 (4-5) CR Prairie 4A-7 13 (6-3) Pleasant Valley 14.0 13.0
4A-7 24 (6-3) Dubuque Hempstead 4A-8 14 (7-2) Eldridge North Scott 12.0 11.0
4A-8 21 (5-4) Dubuque Senior 4A-5 15 (7-2) Cedar Falls 10.5 10.0
4A-5 22 (2-7) CR Kennedy 4A-6 17 (7-2) Muscatine 7.5 8.0
4A-2 19 (6-3) Sioux City East 4A-4 3 (8-1) Waukee 35.0 31.0
4A-4 23 (6-3) Fort Dodge 4A-1 8 (5-4) Southeast Polk 21.0 21.0
4A-5 26 (4-5) CR Jefferson 4A-8 5 (9-0) Bettendorf 25.5 28.0
4A-7 29 (4-5) Davenport Central 4A-5 10 (8-1) Marion Linn-Mar 23.0 21.0
4A-6 27 (5-4) Ottumwa 4A-7 16 (5-4) Iowa City West 14.0 14.0
4A-3 28 (4-5) CB Lincoln 4A-2 12 (8-1) CB Lewis Central 27.0 28.0
4A-4 25 (5-4) Indianola 4A-2 1 (8-1) WDM Dowling 51.5 42.0
4A-3 36 (3-6) Des Moines Lincoln 4A-1 7 (7-2) Ankeny 40.0 35.0
4A-1 32 (4-4) Des Moines East 4A-3 2 (8-1) WDM Valley 53.5 42.0
4A-8 40 (2-7) Clinton 4A-6 4 (9-0) CR Washington 67.0 48.0
 
> bcmoore are you happy to see a previous trophy champ back in the mix for the playoffs

very happy to see your insights once again, welcome back!
 
Conf Rk (W-L) Visitor Conf Rk (W-L) Home Open Curr Act
4A-2 6 (6-3) Johnston 4A-3 9 (7-2) Ankeny Centennial 5.0 3.0 -28
4A-1 11 (5-3) Ames 4A-4 18 (5-4) Urbandale -6.5 -7.0 -3
4A-6 20 (4-5) CR Prairie 4A-7 13 (6-3) Pleasant Valley 14.0 13.0 7
4A-7 24 (6-3) Dubuque Hempstead 4A-8 14 (7-2) Eldridge North Scott 12.0 11.0 19
4A-8 21 (5-4) Dubuque Senior 4A-5 15 (7-2) Cedar Falls 10.5 10.0 4
4A-5 22 (2-7) CR Kennedy 4A-6 17 (7-2) Muscatine 7.5 8.0 -3
4A-2 19 (6-3) Sioux City East 4A-4 3 (8-1) Waukee 35.0 31.0 38
4A-4 23 (6-3) Fort Dodge 4A-1 8 (5-4) Southeast Polk 21.0 21.0 22
4A-5 26 (4-5) CR Jefferson 4A-8 5 (9-0) Bettendorf 25.5 28.0 28
4A-7 29 (4-5) Davenport Central 4A-5 10 (8-1) Marion Linn-Mar 23.0 21.0 20
4A-6 27 (5-4) Ottumwa 4A-7 16 (5-4) Iowa City West 14.0 14.0 28
4A-3 28 (4-5) CB Lincoln 4A-2 12 (8-1) CB Lewis Central 27.0 28.0 42
4A-4 25 (5-4) Indianola 4A-2 1 (8-1) WDM Dowling 51.5 42.0 41
4A-3 36 (3-6) Des Moines Lincoln 4A-1 7 (7-2) Ankeny 40.0 35.0 35
4A-1 32 (4-4) Des Moines East 4A-3 2 (8-1) WDM Valley 53.5 42.0 49
4A-8 40 (2-7) Clinton 4A-6 4 (9-0) CR Washington 67.0 48.0 65
 
Name Cor Att % Dev
Modified Computer 15 16 0.938 119
bcmoore87 15 16 0.938 121
maxstabs13 15 16 0.938 140
orsky1 15 16 0.938 141
Straw1397 15 16 0.938 167
screwloose 15 16 0.938 200
MarionHawk 14 16 0.875 126
Standard Computer 14 16 0.875 132
SEPRamFan 14 16 0.875 139
Momentum Computer 14 16 0.875 141
Dragon7678 14 16 0.875 177
Screwloose Ranking 14 16 0.875 205
Composite Computer 14 16 0.875 245
EHS1505 13 16 0.812 213
cbfan26 13 16 0.812 219


Name Cor Att % Dev
Modified Computer 15 16 0.938 119
bcmoore87 15 16 0.938 121
maxstabs13 15 16 0.938 140
orsky1 15 16 0.938 141
Straw1397 15 16 0.938 167
screwloose 15 16 0.938 200
MarionHawk 14 16 0.875 126
Standard Computer 14 16 0.875 132
SEPRamFan 14 16 0.875 139
Momentum Computer 14 16 0.875 141
Dragon7678 14 16 0.875 177
Screwloose Ranking 14 16 0.875 205
Composite Computer 14 16 0.875 245
EHS1505 13 16 0.812 213
cbfan26 13 16 0.812 219


Name ATS Att % Fame
MarionHawk 7 10 0.700 4
Standard Computer 9 14 0.643 4
maxstabs13 6 8 0.750 4
Modified Computer 8 13 0.615 3
bcmoore87 6 10 0.600 2
SEPRamFan 6 10 0.600 2
Momentum Computer 8 14 0.571 2
orsky1 5 11 0.455 -1
Straw1397 5 12 0.417 -2
Composite Computer 6 14 0.429 -2
Dragon7678 4 11 0.364 -3
EHS1505 5 13 0.385 -3
cbfan26 3 11 0.273 -5
Screwloose Ranking 4 14 0.286 -6
screwloose 2 12 0.167 -8
 
ADVERTISEMENT

Latest posts

ADVERTISEMENT