I'm really not sold on Xavier. Yes, Dowling is good, but they're not as good as last year. Xavier had a ton of question marks going into this season, and I'm not sure that Solon can't knock them off. They were pretty impressive against Regina, who could compete very well against damn near any team in the state outside of Dowling and Waukee. Losing Black was thought to be a big blow, but I think Childs will be a very pleasant surprise for Solon fans this year.
Xavier might still get to the Dome, but I don't think it's a lock right now.