1A RPI - Week 6
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Doubtful. Van Meter and Panorama each have a higher OWP the way it is. If you remove 6-0 Xavier their (Regina's) OWP can only get worse.
But, those numbers are a fraction of the .17 they would get for 1 more win. Add even a 3-3 team and they are at the top.
i don’t think the state did that without Xavier being on the list and vice versa
Has anyone else noticed that S-K vs. Mediapolis in Week 9 is looking like only the winner of that district, so the winner of that game, gets in. If S-K loses and finishes 8-1, it is looking like they will have a hard time getting in as they are lowest ranked 6-0 team right now. Hmmm...an 8-1 team stays home but several 7-2 teams or even a 6-3 or 5-4 team gets in?
And on the flip side, looking like the only way Mepo gets in is to win out and finish 8-1. Can't see them moving into the top 16 with a loss and finishing 7-2.
Looking like the RPI could possibly produce some weird results this year in 1A.
Surely, somebody has a predictor sheet set up to look at that. I think S-K is in if they finish 8-1 and district runner-up. However, right now I believe Mepo will be the first team out if they finish 7-2 and district runner-up without some of the current 5-1 and 4-2 teams losing and will be mad they let their Homecoming game against L&M get away. Mepo has to make it past Wilton first this week and S-K has Wapello next week before playing Mepo.
Wilton is 1-5 and the 5th worst team in 1A according to the RPI numbers. If Mediapolis even has a close game with Wilton, that's a bad sign. Wapello is 3-3 and sitting at 30th out of 54 teams.
When you look at the RPI rankings, specifically the opponents win loss records, several teams in the top 15 stand out as not having played a challenging schedule:
S-K, opponents have a combined 17 wins
Treynor, opponents have a combined 18 wins
Mediapolis, opponents have a combined 19 wins
South Central Calhoun, opponents have a combined 19 wins
https://www.iahsaa.org/wp-content/uploads/2019/10/RPI-Week-6-Class-1A-10.7.19.pdf
When you look at the RPI rankings, specifically the opponents win loss records, several teams in the top 15 stand out as not having played a challenging schedule:
S-K, opponents have a combined 17 wins
Treynor, opponents have a combined 18 wins
Mediapolis, opponents have a combined 19 wins
South Central Calhoun, opponents have a combined 19 wins
https://www.iahsaa.org/wp-content/uploads/2019/10/RPI-Week-6-Class-1A-10.7.19.pdf
And Van Buren/Columbus Jct. are 49th/50th just ahead of Wilton. I’ve addressed this in another thread. Mepo needs better non-district opponents in the future. They played 3 2A opponents, (20th, 44th, and 54th in current 2A RPI. 2 of them are a combined 1-11 with the one win against the other. Pekin is 33rd in A. Unfortunately, the football is just pretty much bad overall in SE Iowa.
They played Mt. Pleasant in the past maybe they need to pick them and Washington up. Heck the junior high teams play Fairfield, Mt. Pleasant, and Washington, why not high school.
You definitely have to look ahead to not jus first year but the second year of the contract. If u look at sk opponents its basically a flip from last year where 3 losses would of probably got them in. Scheduling this next cycle is going to be fun to follow and jus hope you have an AD with good relationships.
There are 8 6-0 Teams, do all of them finish undeafeated? Likewise, there are 7 1 loss teams, so some of them will have two losses and fall behind a potential one loss S-K.
If Mediapolis loses to S-K wk 9 and finishes 7-2, they're in risky territory. Those first three games against teams who are now a combined 3-15 is really dragging down their RPI. Right now their opponents have a combined 19-36 total, not getting any help there. If they want in they're going to have to win their way in in week 9. My gut says there's at least one team above them who will slip under them with two losses and they have one spot to spare. I think they'd be ok.
How do you even request a schedule where you know you're playing winning teams who will play winning teams, three years down the road and have that choice (along with the fact you don't have total control over the choice, just your wishes) impact 44% of your RPI. As a related observation, maybe the state needs to make the wish lists public. Wouldn't THAT be interesting?
There are 9 unbeatens now, but at most there will be 7. Panorama/Van Meter this week will knock one off, and Western Christian/West Lyon in Week 9 would be the other.
That’s a pretty tall task. DNH looks awfully tough as usual
Should be a pretty good game. There’s going to be great games these next few weeks to end the regular season.
SK has played nobody, and the only team worth their salt they will play before the season is over is Mepo. That’s going to hurt them come playoff time.
I think on any given night, anyone in the top 10 has the opportunity to put together a win over another top 10. That being said, I think the top 4 or 5 seem to have the edge in terms of consistent execution that makes them favorites in any of these matchups. I think that's what separates the top 4 or 5 from the bottom 5 or 6. I wouldn't be "shocked" to see Regina pull off that upset, but I would definitely consider it an upset. A significant upset.
"will look like?" When? What happens to Panorama and Western Christian? or is this more your gut feeling? Does this mean this is your dome prediction?
Not trying to argue with you, just trying to figure out the point.
I think heading into the playoffs this is saying these will be the top 4. Panorama will drop a little after they play VM. We’ll see how district 1 shakes out. WL needs to get by WS tonight obviously. I don’t see anyone beating WB so they should probably finish in top 4.
West Lyon is the only one that's shaky in that top 4. They have a couple of biggies coming up with WS and WC
ALL LEVEL OF NORMALCY INVOLVED
WB, VM, and DNH are very likely to finish at 9-0
Panorama just doesn't have enough to hang with VM. I see a 35-13 kind of score, or worse Dike will handle Regina in Week 9 with no issues. Them boys are on a mission.
WB should be able to rest players tonight and possibly next week with running clocks. And, after seeing Bellevue handling Beckman in week 6, the Bears may be as rested as anyone come week 10.
So rc1963, to answer your question those are the 4 teams I see at the top of the heap come RPI Judgment Day after Week 9.
ALL LEVEL OF NORMALCY INVOLVED
WB, VM, and DNH are very likely to finish at 9-0
Panorama just doesn't have enough to hang with VM. I see a 35-13 kind of score, or worse Dike will handle Regina in Week 9 with no issues. Them boys are on a mission.
WB should be able to rest players tonight and possibly next week with running clocks. And, after seeing Bellevue handling Beckman in week 6, the Bears may be as rested as anyone come week 10.
So rc1963, to answer your question those are the 4 teams I see at the top of the heap come RPI Judgment Day after Week 9.
That may be true. But, West Branch is not a top 4 team. They were losing at halftime to 3-3 Wapello. They really haven't played anybody to test themselves. Williamsburg is probably the best team they played, and they played them before Willamsburg moved their best player to running back. They may be rested, but they won't be ready for the level of competition that's coming up.
Happens every year. West Branch plays an easy schedule. Celebrates being undefeated or winning the District...and then gets destroyed by the first good team they play.
Happens every year. West Branch plays an easy schedule. Celebrates being undefeated or winning the District...and then gets destroyed by the first good team they play.
And remind me again who continues to stoke the "rivalry" flame on this board?
Good luck vs North Linn tonight.
Good luck vs North Linn tonight.
Depends on how other games go. Another team or 2 could get beat that we aren’t expecting to make room for them. It only takes one injury to derail a season or even one game (fingers crossed that doesn’t happen to anyone). Mepo knows this from their loss to L&M.
